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Pakistan’s manufacturing sector slump: Private investment plunges 46%; experts warn of long-term industrial decay – The Times of India

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Pakistan’s manufacturing sector slump: Private investment plunges 46%; experts warn of long-term industrial decay – The Times of India


Representative image (Picture credit: ANI)

Pakistan’s manufacturing industry, once considered a key driver of economic growth and employment, is undergoing one of its worst downturns in recent history. The sector has seen a steep 46 per cent fall in private investment over the past six years, raising fears of long-term stagnation among economists and industrial experts.According to The Express Tribune report cited by news agency ANI, private investment in manufacturing dropped from PKR 706 billion in FY2018–19 to just PKR 377 billion in FY2024–25, marking the weakest phase of industrial growth in more than a decade. Ali Imran Asif, Senior Executive Committee Member of the Lahore Chamber of Commerce and Industry (LCCI), warned that the current level of investment was “not enough to even replace depreciating machinery,” suggesting a deep erosion of Pakistan’s industrial foundation.“We are not dealing with a short-term dip; we are watching our industrial base disintegrate,” Asif said, as per The Express Tribune. He stressed that without structural reforms focused on productivity, innovation, and competitiveness, the country could face prolonged industrial paralysis.The combined contribution of the manufacturing and mining sectors to Pakistan’s GDP has remained stagnant at around 13.2 per cent over the past six years. Frequent policy changes, high energy costs, and volatile currency movements have severely affected export-oriented sectors such as textiles, leather, and engineering goods. Large-scale manufacturing output fell 1.5 per cent in FY25, reversing the 0.92 per cent growth recorded in FY24.In contrast, neighbouring economies like India and Bangladesh have maintained strong industrial growth supported by stable policies and export diversification. Economist Shahid Saleem noted that Pakistan’s slump is not merely the result of high interest rates but also reflects policy inconsistency and eroding investor confidence. Import restrictions and weak domestic demand have forced many factories to run below capacity, he added.Experts, as cited by ANI, warned that unless Pakistan swiftly formulates a credible industrial revival plan and ensures policy stability, the manufacturing sector’s decline will deepen further, undermining exports, employment and broader economic resilience.





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Oil nears highest price since start of Iran war

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Oil nears highest price since start of Iran war



The US-Israel Iran war has halted almost all traffic in a key waterway and the price Brent crude has surged.



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Crunch talks between resident doctors and ministers set to continue

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Crunch talks between resident doctors and ministers set to continue



Crunch talks between resident doctors and the Government are set to continue in a bid to avert strike action.

Sir Keir Starmer has given the resident doctors committee of the British Medical Association (BMA) a deadline to reconsider a deal on pay and jobs which includes an offer of thousands of extra NHS training posts.

It is understood the proposal will be removed from the deal if resident doctors in England press ahead with a six-day strike from April 7 in a row over jobs and pay.

Dr Jack Fletcher, chairman of the resident doctors committee of the union, said: “It is wrong for Government to withhold desperately-needed jobs as part of negotiating tactics.

“Anyone who works in the NHS knows that patients need these 4,000 jobs created as soon as possible.

“We made that very clear to Government in our meetings today.

“We are not interested in arbitrary deadlines – we will be looking to get this dispute ended right up to the last minute.

“We believe there is a deal there to be done if Government is willing to withdraw the changes it made at the last minute that reduced the funding for pay rises. Talks continue.”

It comes as senior medics announced they were escalating their disputes with the Government.

Consultants and other senior doctors are to be balloted on industrial action after ministers announced they would be getting a 3.5% pay award.

Simultaneous ballots of consultants and specialist, associate specialist and specialty (SAS) doctors will run from May 11 until July 6.

Addressing resident doctors, Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer wrote in The Times: “The truth is this: no-one benefits from rejecting this deal.

“Resident doctors will be worse off. Instead of improved pay, progression and support, they will receive the standard pay award this year, with none of the reforms that would have strengthened their working lives.”

The deal sets out a minimum of 4,000 new additional specialty posts to be delivered over the next three years.

NHS England boss Sir Jim Mackey confirmed the offer to expand training places will “come off the table” if an agreement is not reached.

The walkout, which is due to run from 7am on April 7 until 6.59am on April 13, will be the 15th round of strikes by resident doctors in England since 2023.

In a letter to health leaders, Mike Prentice, national director for emergency planning at NHS England, wrote: “We expect this round to be challenging as there is a shorter notice period, bank holidays within the notice period and the action itself falling during the Easter holidays.

“This will represent a significant strain on staffing resources to provide safe cover.”



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Iran oil returns: India set to receive first cargo in 5 years, tanker heads to Gujarat – The Times of India

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Iran oil returns: India set to receive first cargo in 5 years, tanker heads to Gujarat – The Times of India


India is set to receive its first shipment of Iranian crude oil since 2019, with a tanker carrying 600,000 barrels of oil en route to Gujarat following a temporary sanctions waiver by the US, according to PTI.Ship-tracking data indicates that the vessel Ping Shun is headed towards Vadinar port, marking a potential revival of Indo-Iran oil trade after nearly five years.“The Indo-Iranian oil trade has flickered back to life. Following the US administration’s decision to grant a 30-day window for Iranian oil “on the water” due to regional conflict, the vessel Ping Shun is now en route to Vadinar (in Gujarat) with 600,000 barrels of crude. This is the first such delivery since May 2019 and comes at a critical time for Indian refiners facing tightening inventories,” said Sumit Ritolia, Lead Research Analyst, Refining and Modelling at Kpler.The development follows Washington’s decision earlier this month to allow a 30-day window for the purchase of Iranian oil already at sea, aimed at easing global oil prices amid the ongoing US-Israel conflict with Iran. The window is set to expire on April 19.While the buyer of the cargo remains unidentified, Vadinar houses a 20 million tonnes per annum refinery operated by Rosneft-backed Nayara Energy and also serves as a landing point for crude supplies to inland refineries such as BPCL’s Bina unit.India’s oil ministry has so far maintained that any decision to resume imports from Iran will depend on techno-commercial viability.Before sanctions were tightened in 2018, India was among the largest buyers of Iranian crude, importing both Iran Light and Iran Heavy grades due to refinery compatibility and favourable pricing terms.Imports ceased in May 2019 after US sanctions were reimposed, with India shifting to alternative suppliers including the Middle East and the US. At its peak, Iranian crude accounted for 11.5 per cent of India’s total imports.India had imported about 518,000 barrels per day (bpd) of Iranian oil in 2018, which declined to 268,000 bpd between January and May 2019 during a sanctions waiver period before dropping to zero thereafter.“The Aframax Ping Shun (IMO 9231901) loaded with Iranian crude oil from Kharg Island in early March has emerged as the first vessel observed signalling a destination of Vadinar, India since May 2019, following sanction reimposition on Iranian oil by the first Trump administration,” Ritolia said.The tanker is estimated to have loaded around 600,000 barrels from Kharg Island around March 4 and is expected to reach Vadinar on April 4.An estimated 95 million barrels of Iranian oil are currently stored on vessels at sea, of which around 51 million barrels could be supplied to India, while the rest may be directed to China and Southeast Asian markets.However, payment mechanisms remain uncertain as Iran continues to be excluded from the SWIFT global banking system, complicating international transactions.Earlier, payments were routed in euros through Turkish banks, but that channel is no longer available following renewed sanctions restrictions.Iran was first disconnected from SWIFT in 2012 due to EU sanctions over its nuclear programme, with further disruptions in 2018 after the US reimposed sanctions, limiting its ability to receive payments and access foreign currency reserves.



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