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‘Used car imports could capture 50% of market’ | The Express Tribune

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‘Used car imports could capture 50% of market’ | The Express Tribune


PAAPAM says rising influx threatens Rs300b local production, 1.83m jobs as reduced duties distort competition

The commerce minister directed industry stakeholders to submit comprehensive proposals for a long-term automotive policy aligned with national industrial goals. Photo: file


LAHORE:

Pakistan’s local automobile industry has sounded a loud alarm over rising used-car imports, warning that the market share of imported vehicles could soar to 50% if current fiscal and import policies continue unchecked. The Pakistan Association of Automotive Parts & Accessories Manufacturers (PAAPAM) fears this surge would cripple local production and dismantle the industrial ecosystem that took decades to develop.

“Industry data indicate that used-car imports have already captured around one-quarter of the domestic market. If current policies persist, this share could surge to 50% within a short period,” said Shehryar Qadir, Senior Vice Chairman of PAAPAM. “That means every second car sold in Pakistan would be an imported used vehicle, effectively displacing local production capacity and threatening the sustainability of OEMs and their supplier networks.”

The association’s concerns come amid fiscal adjustments that have reduced effective duties and taxes on imported used cars, enabling importers to bring in vehicles at much lower prices than locally assembled units. Many of these imported cars are older and undervalued but enter the market as low-cost options that distort competition. Local manufacturers continue to pay full duties and comply with domestic safety and emission standards, creating an “uneven and unsustainable playing field.”

“This steep drop in import taxes undermines the government’s industrialisation objectives and erodes the competitiveness of domestic assemblers who have invested heavily in localisation, employment and technology transfer,” Qadir said.

According to PAAPAM’s latest diagnostic report, Pakistan’s auto parts industry binds together over 1,200 Tier-1, Tier-2 and Tier-3 suppliers, supporting 1.83 million skilled jobs, including around 300,000 directly in the auto parts segment. The sector anchors localised production valued at more than Rs300 billion annually. It substitutes roughly $1.25 billion worth of imports every year. Over Rs100 billion has been invested by local vendors in plant and tooling. The industry has achieved localisation levels of up to 60% in several vehicle categories.

“Imported used cars introduce a double-down effect on depreciation,” Qadir explained. “These vehicles are already aged and lose value quickly, depressing overall market prices and diminishing resale values for new locally manufactured cars. This artificially deflated market discourages customers from purchasing new vehicles and erodes manufacturers’ margins.”

Pakistan’s automotive sector is already under pressure from sluggish demand, expensive financing and high energy costs. Car sales dropped by more than 40% in the last two fiscal years, largely due to record-high interest rates and inflation that curtailed consumer buying power.

“Used-car liberalisation might appear to offer short-term relief to consumers, but it’s economically destructive,” said Dr Nishat Alam, an independent economist and auto-sector analyst. “Every imported vehicle adds to the current account deficit, displaces local jobs and drains value from the supply chain built painstakingly over decades. If localisation unravels, the country could face a permanent $1 billion annual import shock.”

“The government must decide whether Pakistan will remain a dumping ground for second-hand imports or evolve into a strong regional manufacturing hub,” Qadir said.



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Indians cut overseas travel spending to $1.9 billion in March: RBI

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Indians cut overseas travel spending to .9 billion in March: RBI


Indians sharply cut back on overseas travel spending in March, with remittances for foreign trips dropping by more than $212 million from the previous month, according to Reserve Bank of India data. The fall in outbound travel expenditure came amid rising oil prices linked to the Middle East conflict and persistent pressure on rupee, even as travel remained the single largest component of outward remittances under the Liberalised Remittance Scheme (LRS).In March, travel-related remittances fell to $1.09 billion from $1.3 billion in February and $1.65 billion in January. The decline came at a time when the West Asia conflict pushed oil prices higher and weakened rupee to record lows. Amid the situation, Prime Minister Narendra Modi urged citizens to cut down on foreign travel and adopt measures such as carpooling. Lower overseas travel spending could reduce foreign exchange outflows and help ease pressure on rupee.According to the RBI’s data on outward remittances by resident individuals, travel continued to account for the largest share of money sent abroad under the LRS in March. Total remittances during the month stood at $2.59 billion.The RBI tracks overseas spending across categories including travel, studies abroad, maintenance of close relatives, overseas investments, and property purchases. Under the LRS framework, resident individuals, including minors, can remit up to $250,000 in a financial year for permitted current or capital account transactions.Within the travel segment, the biggest component remained the ‘other travel’ category, which covers holiday spending and international credit card settlements. Indians spent $623.05 million under this category in March, accounting for nearly 57 per cent of total travel-related remittances during the month.Expenditure linked to education travel, including hostel and fee payments, stood at $450.16 million. Business travel, pilgrimage, and overseas medical treatment together accounted for $21.39 million.The data also showed a rise in remittances meant for the maintenance of close relatives abroad. Such transfers increased to $389.78 million in March from $266.18 million in February.At the same time, spending under the ‘studies abroad’ category declined. This category includes payments made for educational services accessed remotely without travelling overseas, such as correspondence courses. Remittances under this head stood at $151.71 million in March, compared to $175.68 million in February and $267.42 million in January.For the financial year 2024-25, Indians remitted a total of $29.56 billion under the LRS. Travel made up the largest portion of this amount at $16.96 billion.The RBI figures further showed that investments by Indians in overseas equity and debt instruments rose significantly to $440.22 million in March from $265.99 million in February.Meanwhile, outward remittances for the purchase of immovable property overseas declined to $38.68 million in March, down from $51.36 million a month earlier.



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Stock market this week: Middle East tensions, oil prices, FII flows & more — what will guide Dalal Street

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Stock market this week: Middle East tensions, oil prices, FII flows & more — what will guide Dalal Street


Dalal Street is heading into the new trading week with global uncertainty firmly in focus, as investors keep a close watch on the evolving situation in the Middle East, fluctuations in crude oil prices and the behaviour of foreign investors. Analysts said that sentiment is likely to remain fragile and heavily influenced by developments in negotiations between the United States and Iran, while movements in the rupee, global equities and the US dollar are also expected to shape market direction in the days ahead.Trading activity during the week is also expected to be shaped by the rupee’s movement against the US dollar, while investors continue to assess the impact of global uncertainty on risk appetite. Markets will remain closed on Thursday for Bakri Id.A key trigger for sentiment emerged over the weekend after US Secretary of State Marco Rubio said negotiations between Washington and Tehran had shown some progress, raising expectations that the ongoing conflict in West Asia could move closer to resolution.Ajit Mishra, SVP, Research at Religare Broking Ltd, said investors would closely track developments tied to crude oil, global currencies and bond markets. “This week is expected to remain highly sensitive to global macroeconomic developments and currency movements. Investors will also monitor crude oil prices, developments in US-Iran negotiations, and the trajectory of the US dollar and bond yields, all of which are expected to influence foreign flows and overall risk appetite,” he said.Apart from geopolitical developments, the Reserve Bank’s decision to transfer a record Rs 2.87 lakh crore dividend to the government for the year ended March 2026 is also expected to remain in focus. The announcement comes at a time when rising import costs and supply chain pressures linked to the West Asia conflict continue to weigh on the economy.According to Mishra, market participants are expected to evaluate how the RBI payout could affect liquidity conditions, fiscal flexibility and government spending in the months ahead.Ponmudi R, CEO of Enrich Money, said market behaviour in the coming sessions is expected to remain sensitive to fresh headlines surrounding diplomatic negotiations and oil prices. “Markets are expected to remain volatile and heavily headline-driven in the coming week, with investor attention firmly focused on developments surrounding the US–Iran situation, broader diplomatic negotiations and movements in crude oil prices,” he said.“While hopes of a diplomatic breakthrough and easing geopolitical tensions have improved sentiment modestly, investors continue to remain cautious as uncertainty surrounding the final outcome of the negotiations remains elevated,” Ponmudi added.He further said investors are expected to watch institutional flows, global equity trends, macroeconomic indicators and the rupee for further market cues. “With global uncertainty still elevated, market participants are likely to remain selective and cautious despite the recent improvement in sentiment,” he said.Vinod Nair, Head of Research at Geojit Investments Limited, said markets would require stronger support factors to build a more constructive setup. According to him, a meaningful decline in crude oil prices, steady foreign institutional investor flows and stable Q1FY27 earnings expectations without major downgrades would be important for sustained momentum.In the previous week, the BSE benchmark index rose 177.36 points, or 0.23%, while the NSE Nifty advanced 75.8 points, or 0.32%.



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‘Shameful’ more spent on benefits than jobs for young people, says adviser Alan Milburn

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‘Shameful’ more spent on benefits than jobs for young people, says adviser Alan Milburn



Reforms are needed of the welfare system to tackle the high numbers of young people not in work or education, says Alan Milburn.



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