Business
Energy surge: India set to become epicentre of global oil demand growth; IEA projects fastest energy expansion to 2035 – The Times of India
India is poised to become the epicentre of global oil demand growth over the next decade, the International Energy Agency (IEA) said in its latest Global Energy Outlook 2025, citing rapid economic expansion, industrialisation, and rising vehicle ownership as key drivers of energy consumption.According to the Paris-based agency, India’s energy demand is projected to rise by an average of 3% annually till 2035, the fastest among all emerging markets and developing economies, PTI reported. The country will account for the largest increase in global oil consumption through 2035, surpassing China and Southeast Asia combined.“China accounted for more than 75% of oil demand growth over the past decade, but this picture is changing. India becomes the new epicentre of growth in oil demand,” the IEA said.India’s oil use is expected to rise from 5.5 million barrels per day (mbpd) in 2024 to 8 mbpd by 2035, driven by growing car ownership, demand for plastics and chemicals, aviation fuel, and increased LPG use for cooking. Nearly half of all additional global oil demand till 2035 will come from India alone, the agency noted.Import dependence to deepenDespite government efforts to boost domestic production, India’s oil import dependency is set to climb from 87% in 2024 to 92% by 2035, the IEA projected. However, the country’s expanding refining capacity — expected to grow from 6 mbpd in 2024 to 7.5 mbpd by 2035 — will position it as a key exporter of transport fuels.“Since 2022, India has emerged as a global swing supplier, refining Russian crude oil that previously went to Europe,” the report said. With 9 mbpd of new refining capacity expected globally between 2024 and 2035, Asia will lead the expansion, with India contributing the largest share.Gas and coal outlookIndia’s natural gas demand is projected to nearly double to 140 billion cubic metres (bcm) by 2035, led by growth in city-gas distribution. LNG imports are also expected to surge, reaching 50 bcm by 2035, up from 35 bcm currently.Coal production, meanwhile, will continue to rise in India — even as it declines globally — increasing by around 50 million tonnes of coal equivalent (Mtce) by 2035. The IEA said this will help limit the growth of coal imports despite strong domestic demand. Coal India Ltd’s expansion of the Gevra mine to 70 million tonnes per year will make it Asia’s largest coal mine, with 36 new mines also planned over the next five years.Energy leadership beyond oilThe IEA described India as “the biggest driver of growth in global energy demand”, with overall consumption projected to rise by over 15 exajoules by 2035 — nearly equal to the combined increase of China and Southeast Asia.India’s GDP is expected to grow at over 6% annually, with transport and industry leading the rise in fuel use. The country’s carbon emissions are likely to peak around 2040 at roughly 3.4 gigatonnes per year.India, which has pledged to achieve net zero by 2070, has already met its target of 50% non-fossil power capacity five years ahead of schedule, in 2025. The share of renewables in installed capacity is projected to reach 60% by 2030 and 70% by 2035, accounting for 95% of new power additions.Solar and wind will make up nearly one-fifth of India’s total energy mix by 2050, the IEA said, adding that solar PV has already attracted $113 billion in investment over the past decade, outpacing fossil fuel projects.
Business
Brain implants, falling Tesla sales and a $1tn deal: A year in the life of Elon Musk
Elon Musk is rarely out of the spotlight. But, even by his standards, 2025 has been a full-on year.
Over the past 12 months, the entrepreneur-turned-government adviser has reached massive business milestones and suffered serious setbacks. He was also knocked off the top spot as the world’s richest man – and is now further out in front than ever before.
All that amid a backdrop of an increasingly challenging economic environment, both across the US and globally – and without factoring in private life developments, which included the announcement of a reported 13th child being born months earlier.
But business wise, Musk has been all-action, all year – just not all of it as smooth as he might have wished. Here, The Independent takes a look at a year in the life of Elon Musk.
Doge – and Donald Trump
It feels a long time ago but the Department of Government Efficiency (Doge) only came into being in January 2025, with Musk appointed as a special government employee, effectively giving him a 130-day stint overseeing cuts to the US federal budget, slashing public sector jobs and planning cuts to the US foreign aid programme to the tune of almost $10bn. Naturally, plenty of this drew plenty of ire, with Bill Gates one of those to accuse “the world’s richest man [of] killing the world’s poorest children”.
While it might have been expected that he at least had the backing of the person who appointed him to the role during that spell – President Trump – the relationship proved to be fractious and volatile, descending into all-out personal attacks strewn over social media at one point.
In June, Musk called Trump’s “Big Beautiful Bill” an “abomination” and soon after suggested on X that “the really big bomb [was] Trump is in the Epstein files”. For his part, the president lambasted Musk as a disappointment. The petty squabbles continued as Trump said the administration would be looking at the subsidies paid to Musk’s companies, around potentially ending them – though noting it had “to be fair” to the nation and to the entrepreneur alike. Suggesting he’d “take a look” at deporting Musk was hardly “first buddy” material, either.
Musk officially ended his Doge tenure in May, weeks after telling Tesla shareholders that he would be spending “far more time” back to focusing on the EV firm, amid a falling share price and questions over product launches.
Business ups and downs
It would of course be remiss to not detail the successes and milestones that Musk has seen across the year around his many businesses.
Though – as is often the case in industry and especially where pushing new boundaries is concerned – many ups can be followed by a down, Musk’s companies do continue to produce.
Tesla, for example, launched their long-range Cybertruck variant partway through the year to much acclaim from fans – but a massive recall to tens of thousands of earlier models over parts concerns was a misstep.
Neuralink, Musk’s firm which is developing brain implants to be placed within human skulls to aid people with limited movement to be able control devices using their thoughts, has held multiple clinical trials. He says there’s a backlog of 10,000 people who are signed up for it, with the potential for positive reach here undeniable, yet there has also been criticism over possible animal treatment and for filing as a “small disadvantaged business” in the US despite a valuation of $9bn.
Elsewhere Grok 4 was launched in July as a new AI model, SpaceX performed a successful controlled splashdown landing with one of its Starship rockets and The Boring Company showed progress with its ZPIT (Zero People In Tunnel) approach: digging tunnels, moving earth and installing concrete wall segments with no humans inside, improving safety and efficiency along the way.
Tesla
But it’s impossible to separate Musk from one company in particular, and that one has had more downs than ups across 2025: Tesla.
The share price, as ever, tells its own story: from a high of around $480 near Trump’s vote victory last winter, it sunk to about $220 by April, decimated by public perception of its CEO, falling sales, widespread economic uncertainty over tariffs and questions over the company’s valuation.
If investing in Tesla – and investing in individual companies in general – has always been a bit of a rollercoaster, 2025 has perhaps marked the part of the ride with loops, turnbacks and rapid accelerations, heading quickly towards the highest peak as we race toward the end of the calendar year. Beyond it? As with any funfair ride, you never know until you get there – that’s the thrill and the fear of it.
Tesla showrooms faced vandalism, while Musk himself faced protests aplenty – collections of people, bus stop posters, even a car smashed to pieces.
Some came in the face of his Doge work, while others were furious at a perceived insulting salute gesture at Trump’s inauguration. Yet more came as comments emerged from the car maker’s chief executive seemingly trying to entangle himself in other nations’ politics or policies.
The upshot was simple enough: falling sales.
In Europe in particular, the drop-off has been spectacular – summer data showed Tesla sales fell by 40 per cent as competition from Chinese manufacturers, reputational damage and a lack of new models all played a part in BYD overtaking it as the dominant emerging EV brand on the continent. Tesla’s market share had fallen to below 1 per cent by that time, and sales are down year-on-year despite EV sales as a whole being up by more than a quarter.
Weak sales in India, China and the US add further worries, despite a pickup in September domestically, driven by buyers beating the expiration of tax credits.
In Norway, a similar effect gave a recent boost in Europe: Tesla broke records for sales by a single manufacturer in a month in November, but rather than this being a sustainable trend, it appears to have been spurred on by planned increases to taxes on buying EVs which come into effect next year.
But Musk has long felt that car sales are not the only, or the biggest, ace up Tesla’s long-term sleeves.
Self-driving cars, robotics, AI and data – all these factors are what many investors point to as future revenue prospects for the firm. And those inside and outside the company seem to feel the same way, given the recent events.
World’s richest person
Musk is already the world’s richest person and has been for some time – aside from a few hours when he very briefly lost top spot to Oracle’s Larry Ellison.
Since then, however, Musk has opened up a huge gap again and, at the start of December, had a net worth of $450bn (£340bn) per Bloomberg’s Billionaires Index.
That places him a full $180bn (£136bn) ahead of now-second-placed Larry Page, of Alphabet. Musk’s net worth has grown by almost $17.5bn (£13.2bn) across the course of 2025 and he did become the first person to hit the $500bn mark for a short period. Yet it’s a figure way beyond even those riches where Musk’s year finishes in the spotlight.
Close to a full trillion dollars is at stake in his new Tesla pay package, voted for and approved by more than three-quarters of shareholders just last month. He’ll earn $878bn (£665bn) across a decade if he continues to lead the growth of the company to significant production and valuation milestones, the last of which would leave Tesla worth $8.5tn (£6.4tn) – the precise combined market capitalisation value of the world’s two biggest public companies right now as it happens, Nvidia and Apple.
The path to those riches is not just a “new chapter […] but a whole new book,” Musk declared after that pay packet was approved.
Whatever pages 2026 writes for Musk and his many projects, he’s unlikely to ever be far from dramatic progress, fervent criticism or eye-catching headlines – and the money milestones keep piling up too.
Business
Households suffer miserable year of across-the-board bill increases
This year has been a miserable one for households after across-the-board price hikes on everything from energy to council tax left many struggling to balance their budgets.
The so-called “Awful April” price hikes combined with high energy costs saw the average household facing an annual increase of £1,254 from essential bill rises, according to figures from comparison site Uswitch.
Most areas in England saw council tax bills rise by 5% – the maximum amount permitted – with some including Birmingham, Bradford, Newham, Somerset, Trafford, and Windsor & Maidenhead granted special permission to go even higher.
Water bills increased by an average £123 per year – the largest rise since the industry was privatised in 1989.
Broadband and phone bills also rose while the cost of a TV licence and the standard rate of car tax both increased by £5 – with electric vehicles no longer exempt.
Meanwhile, Ofgem’s energy price cap – which sets bills for households still on standard variable tariffs rather than fixed deals sought out independently – started the year at £1,738 for the average household and will end it at £1,755 before it rises to £1,758 on January 1.
Uswitch spokeswoman Sabrina Hoque said: “Pressure points have been widespread. Energy debt hit an eight-year high in October, with households now owing £780 million to their suppliers. The strain is so severe that more than two million homes say they won’t turn on their heating this winter – a fifth higher than last year.
“Similarly, mobile and broadband bills have been a key area of concern, with average annual jumps of £21.99 for broadband and £15.90 for mobile. In the last few months, we have seen nearly every major provider announce updated price rise rates for new customers, with monthly increases going up to as much as £4.
“For many broadband and mobile customers, bills are set to rise again in April 2026. If you are out of contract or your deal is set to expire ahead of April, it is time to take action. Out-of-contract rates tend to be more expensive, and you could save an average of £203 a year by switching to a new broadband deal.”
Citizens Advice chief executive Dame Clare Moriarty said: “The cost-of-living crisis is not over. Stubbornly high bills and increasing living costs mean four million people are in a negative budget, meaning they can’t afford essentials like energy bills, rent, or food.
“Our advisers see the impact of these punishingly high costs every day. People come to us feeling like they’re constantly fighting to stay afloat but, despite their best efforts, are sinking further into the red.
“Everyone should be able to afford the essentials and that’s why better targeted support is crucial. We want the Government to increase Local Housing Allowance to help those struggling with their rent and improve bill support to ensure sky-high utility costs, like energy and water, don’t continue to stretch household budgets beyond breaking point.”
Business
Stock market cues: What will guide Dalal Street this week? Macro data announcements, FII trading & more – The Times of India
Dalal Street is headed into the final stretch of the year as investors brace for a week driven by economic data releases, global developments and the flow of foreign funds. Analysts expect trading to remain largely range-bound, with sentiment hinging on a mix of domestic indicators and overseas cues, while automobile sales numbers are also set to draw attention. With the year nearing its end and only a limited number of trading sessions remaining, equities are likely to trade within a narrow band, though experts see underlying support for the market. “This week marks the transition into calendar year 2026 and is likely to witness heightened volatility due to the December F&O expiry. Key domestic data points to track include industrial production data for November and the final HSBC manufacturing PMI (Purchasing Managers’ Index) reading,” said Ajit Mishra, SVP, research, Religare Broking Ltd. He noted that global factors would play an equally important role, as investors track signals from the United States, particularly the release of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes and information related to the Federal Reserve’s balance sheet. “These developments could influence near-term expectations around growth, liquidity, and global risk sentiment,” Mishra said. Last week, Indian equities ended on a cautious note in a holiday-shortened trading period, marked by thin volumes, marginal profit-taking and continued foreign fund outflows. The BSE benchmark index advanced 112.09 points, or 0.13%, during the week, while the Nifty rose by 75.9 points, or 0.29%. Ponmudi R, CEO – Enrich Money, said the market’s near-term direction will largely be guided by a heavy flow of economic data from both domestic and global fronts. “With only a handful of trading sessions left in 2025, Indian equity markets are expected to remain largely range-bound, albeit with a constructive bias. Investor sentiment this week is likely to be shaped by a busy economic data calendar, both domestically and overseas. On the home front, India’s November industrial production (IIP) data will offer fresh insights into trends across mining, manufacturing, and electricity output,” he said. According to Ponmudi, investors will also keep a close watch on November automobile sales figures to gauge the strength of demand. “Alongside IIP data, these releases will offer key insights into domestic consumption trends, particularly whether the post-GST rationalisation surge in auto demand is being sustained as India moves into 2026,” he added. On the international front, attention is expected to shift to signals from major economies. Apart from the US Federal Reserve meeting minutes, analysts said data such as US initial jobless claims and manufacturing PMI readings from the US and China could influence global market sentiment. Siddhartha Khemka, head of research, wealth management, at Motilal Oswal Financial Services Ltd, said that India’s monthly auto sales, along with these overseas indicators, will be among the key data points investors are likely to track through the week.
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