Business
Rupee watch: Currency nears 90 amid RBI caution; data-heavy week to test stability – The Times of India
The Indian rupee could come under further strain this week, with traders watching whether the currency edges closer to 90 per US dollar amid limited signs of strong central bank intervention. The rupee touched a record low of 89.49 on the previous Friday and slid 0.8 per cent over the week, driven by portfolio outflows, doubts over a potential US–India trade deal, and a perceived retreat by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) from defending a key support level.A trader at a major private bank quoted by news agency Reuters said that the unexpected decline “caught the market on the wrong side,” and the pressure is likely to persist. The rupee has weakened 4.5 per cent in 2025, lagging regional counterparts despite resilient domestic fundamentals and robust equity markets. Analysts cited US tariffs as a major drag on India’s trade and portfolio flows, with hopes that a trade agreement could stem the currency’s slide.Abhishek Goenka of IFA Global was quoted by Reuters as saying that the rupee may now stabilise within an “88.80–90.00 range,” moving in a “gradual, staircase-like manner.” Meanwhile, the dollar index strengthened last week even as markets priced in chances of a US Federal Reserve rate cut following dovish comments by New York Fed President John Williams.Bond markets are expected to track liquidity trends and upcoming growth indicators. According to Reuters, the 10-year benchmark (6.33% 2035) closed at 6.5665 per cent on Friday, with traders expecting a 6.52–6.60 per cent band this week. The RBI recently made consecutive bond purchases — Rs 148.10 billion in the week to November 14 after Rs 124.70 billion a week earlier — its first such buys in nearly six months. The frontloaded nature of these operations has prompted speculation that they were largely for replacement demand rather than signalling a yield stance.Attention is also on the RBI’s December 5 policy decision, with uncertainty around whether the central bank will cut rates. Deutsche Bank’s India economist Kaushik Das said that the bank expects a 25-basis-point reduction, saying a Taylor Rule calculation points to a terminal repo rate of 5.25 per cent, reported Reuters. The bank estimates GDP growth for July–September at 7.7 per cent, compared with 7.8 per cent in the previous quarter.The rupee rebounded on Monday, settling at 89.20 after banks and importers sold dollars and global crude prices dipped. As per PTI, the RBI sold dollars in the offshore NDF market early in the day, helping keep the currency in the 89–89.30 range.The currency had earlier plunged 98 paise to close at 89.66 on Friday — its steepest one-day fall in over three years — amid strong dollar demand and weak equitiesKey data due this week, as listed by Reuters, includes India’s fiscal deficit, industrial output and GDP figures on November 28, alongside several US indicators such as PPI, retail sales, consumer confidence and durable goods orders.
Business
Rs 20,000 crore gold, silver rush: What will people buy this Akshaya Tritiya? – The Times of India
This Akshaya Tritiya, India’s gold and silver markets are heading for bumper purchases, with overall trade likely to cross Rs 20,000 crore even as record-high prices reshape buying patterns. The estimate, shared by the Confederation of All India Traders (CAIT), is higher than last year’s Rs 16,000 crore, signalling growth in value despite a sharp rise in bullion rates.Prices for the yellow metal have surged sharply over the past year, going from Rs 1,00,000 per 10 grams, to Rs 1.58 lakh. Meanwhile, silver has shown a steeper rally, jumping from Rs 85,000 per kilogram to Rs 2.55 lakh per kilogram. According to CAIT, this sharp escalation has not weakened demand, but is instead prompting consumers to make more deliberate and value-oriented purchases.Praveen Khandelwal, member of parliament from Chandni Chowk and secretary general of CAIT told ANI, “Akshaya Tritiya has traditionally been one of India’s most auspicious occasions for purchasing gold… While gold continues to dominate, the nature of purchasing is evolving significantly in response to steep price escalation.”Commenting on customer preference, CAIT national president BC Bhartia highlighted, “There is a clear shift towards lightweight, wearable jewellery, alongside a stronger focus on silver and diamond products. Attractive incentives such as reduced making charges and complimentary gold coins are also helping sustain consumer interest.”Despite the increase in overall trade value, the quantity of metals being sold tells a different story. Pankaj Arora, National President of the All India Jewellers and Goldsmith Federation (AIJGF), an associate of CAIT, explained that the projected Rs 16,000 crore gold trade amounts to nearly 10,000 kilograms (10 tonnes) at current rates. The value, spread across an estimated 2 to 4 lakh jewellers, translates to average sales of only 25 to 50 grams per jeweller, “clearly indicating a sharp decline in volume”.Meanwhile for silver, the estimated Rs 4,000 crore trade corresponds to around 1,56,800 kilograms (157 tonnes), resulting in average sales of about 400 to 800 grams per jeweller during the festival period. “These figures underline a critical shift: while the value of business is expanding due to rising prices, actual consumption is contracting,” Khandelwal said.This gap between value and volume is also reshaping consumer’s buying pattern, with smaller items and lightweight jewellery gaining popularity. At the same time, jewellers are facing challenges due to fluctuating prices, especially when it comes to managing inventory.Even so, festive demand remains steady, with markets witnessing healthy footfall. “Consumers are now adopting a more cautious and pragmatic approach, balancing traditional beliefs with financial discipline,” Khandelwal added.At the same time, it’s not just about physical gold anymore as consumers are increasingly exploring alternatives like digital gold, Sovereign Gold Bonds and gold ETFs, drawn by the promise of liquidity, safety and flexibility when prices are volatile.CAIT and AIJGF have urged jewellers to comply with mandatory hallmarking standards, including HUID certification, and advised buyers to verify the purity and authenticity of their purchases.
Business
The cost of rising rents: Working four jobs and pushed on to benefits
Lauren Elcock is among the young Londoners who say rising rents are forcing them to quit the capital.
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Business
Scams have grown more sophisticated, but people are fighting back
As governments across the world restricted the movements of their citizens during Covid lockdowns from 2020, people spent more time online. We bought more online and socialised more online, and this brought us closer to the people who want to scam us. At the same time, realistic video impersonations, voices, websites, and texts became more commonplace, and scammers increased their use of social media including WhatsApp.
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