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Current account posts $254 million deficit in July | The Express Tribune

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Current account posts 4 million deficit in July | The Express Tribune



KARACHI:

Pakistan’s current account (CA) posted a deficit of $254 million in July 2025, according to the latest figures released by the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) on Tuesday.

Last month, the country recorded a CA surplus of $335 million, while in July 2024, the deficit had stood at $348 million.

The SBP data shows a CA deficit of $254 million in July 2025, reflecting a notable improvement compared to the $348 million deficit recorded in July 2024. This marks a year-on-year reduction of $94 million, indicating a positive shift in the country’s external sector dynamics as the new fiscal year begins. However, the monthly CA data from July 2024 to July 2025 highlights a period of mixed performance, with several months showing strong surpluses that helped offset periods of modest deficits.

The fiscal year began with three consecutive months of deficits; July ($0.35 billion), August ($0.08 billion), and September 2024 ($0.04 billion). However, this was followed by a shift in October 2024, which recorded a surplus of $310 million. The external position continued to improve in November and December 2024, with surpluses of $720 million and $470 million, respectively.

In early 2025, the trend briefly reversed. January 2025 posted the highest monthly deficit of the year at $380 million, followed by a smaller deficit of $80 million in February. March 2025 marked a strong recovery, as Pakistan recorded its highest monthly surplus during the period at $1.28 billion, reflecting either a surge in exports, remittances, or possibly one-off inflows.

The CA remained relatively stable in the closing months of the fiscal year, with April 2025 posting a marginal surplus of $20 million, May returning to a small deficit of $80 million, and June rebounding with a surplus of $340 million.

Speaking to The Express Tribune, JS Global Head of Research Waqas Ghani said, “The shortfall of $254 million in July 2025 as opposed to a surplus of $335 million last month was driven primarily by a widening trade deficit, as a strengthening domestic economy spurred a rebound in imports.”

He expected the CA to end the fiscal year in deficit, driven by the pickup in imports. Even so, stable global commodity prices should help limit import pressures, while resilient workers’ remittances are likely to anchor external stability.

He anticipated a further buildup in foreign exchange reserves going forward, with workers’ remittances expected to exceed $40 billion in FY26. Ghani believed that the sustained inflow of remittances are driven by a shift towards official channels which are a key support to the CA. He projected the external financing requirements for FY26 to remain broadly in line with last year’s levels.

REER

The Real Effective Exchange Rate (REER) index appreciated to 98.6 in July 2025, up from 96.6 in June 2025, according to data released by the SBP. This two-point increase reflects a slight strengthening of the rupee in real terms against a basket of trading partner currencies.

While the REER remains below the benchmark level of 100, the recent appreciation suggests a marginal rise in the relative value of the Pakistani rupee, which could impact export competitiveness if the trend continues. Nonetheless, the REER is still broadly aligned with historical averages, indicating relative external stability.

Meanwhile, the local currency extended its winning streak on Tuesday, August 19, 2025, appreciating 0.02% against the US dollar in the interbank market. The local currency closed at 281.96, strengthening slightly from the previous day’s rate of 282.02.

This marks the eighth consecutive session of gains for the rupee, reflecting continued stability in the foreign exchange market and improved sentiment around the economy.



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Pakistan says it will repay remaining $1.5 billion loan to UAE by April 23 amid IMF funding hopes – The Times of India

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Pakistan says it will repay remaining .5 billion loan to UAE by April 23 amid IMF funding hopes – The Times of India


Pakistan has expressed hopes to repay the remaining $1.5 billion of the total $3.5 billion loan to UAE by April 23. This comes ahead of an expected $1.2 billion disbursement from the International Monetary Fund (IMF), following recent discussions in Washington.Spokesperson for the State Bank of Pakistan, country’s central bank told PTI, “Pakistan has repaid $2 billion of a $3.5 billion fund, which was placed by the United Arab Emirates with the State Administration of Foreign Exchange (SAFE) deposit with the central bank.”“The amount of $2 billion was transferred to the UAE following the maturity of deposits held by the State Bank. The remaining amount has to be paid by April 23,” he said.Earlier this week, the Saudi Fund for Development deposited $2 billion of its $3 billion support with the State Bank of Pakistan.The central bank spokesperson added that Pakistan’s foreign exchange reserves had remained steady due to ongoing inflows into the financial system.Meanwhile, in a separate update, Pakistan’s finance minister Muhammad Aurangzeb said in Washington that the country is anticipating a $1.2 billion release under the Staff Level Agreement (SLA) reached with the IMF after recent negotiations in the US capital. He said the IMF Executive Board is expected to meet in mid-May in Washington to review the agreement, which would clear the next tranche under the programme.The UAE had earlier extended $3.5 billion to support Pakistan’s balance of payments position, with the arrangement rolled over until recently. However, reports earlier this month suggested the UAE sought immediate repayment of funds following regional developments in the Middle East after the US-Israel launched joint strikes on Iran.In parallel, Saudi Arabia has also moved to support Pakistan’s external financing needs. The Saudi Fund for Development has signed an agreement with the SBP allowing an extension in the maturity of a $3 billion deposit. On Thursday, it deposited $2 billion of that total with the central bank, providing additional support to Pakistan’s reserves.“The agreement, signed between the SaudiA Fund for Development (SFD) and the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP), provides for the extension in the maturity of a $3 billion deposit placed by SFD with the State Bank of Pakistan,” said a post on X by the ministry of finance.Officials said Pakistan has been paying around 6 per cent interest on the UAE-linked funds. The deposit arrangements were previously rolled over on a yearly basis, but in December 2025, the term was first extended for one month and then for two months until April 17.Pakistan’s pending billsFor the current fiscal year, Pakistan requires approximately $12 billion in external deposit rollovers, including $5 billion from Saudi Arabia, $4 billion from China, and $3 billion from the UAE.According to official figures, Pakistan’s foreign exchange reserves stood at $16.4 billion as of March 27, a level authorities said was sufficient to cover nearly three months of imports. The latest repayment to the UAE comes as the country continues to manage pressure on its external financial position.



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India’s clean energy push: Govt mulls bids for 220 MWe Small Modular Reactor – The Times of India

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India’s clean energy push: Govt mulls bids for 220 MWe Small Modular Reactor – The Times of India


India is set to take a major step in expanding its nuclear energy programme, with plans to invite bids for the establishment of a 220 MWe Bharat Small Modular Reactor (BSMR-200), within the next three to six months. The project is considered as a major part of the country’s clean energy transition, officials told ET.Foreign companies will be allowed to participate in the bidding process, but only through tie-ups with local partners, an official said. The reactor design will be standardised, and the first unit is expected to serve as a model for future installations.“A cost of roughly Rs 30 crore per megawatt (MW) has been approved for BSMR-200 as a pilot project,” another official told the financial daily.

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The BSMR-200 is being jointly developed by the Bhabha Atomic Research Centre (BARC) and the Nuclear Power Corporation of India Ltd (NPCIL). The total cost of development and construction is estimated at around Rs 5,960 crore, to be funded through the Nuclear Energy Mission. After approvals, the construction is expected to take anywhere between 60 and 72 months.Officials said that inter-ministerial consultations are currently underway to finalise the bidding details.The move follows the opening up of the nuclear sector to private investment after the enactment of the Sustainable Harnessing and Advancement of Nuclear Energy for Transforming India (SHANTI) Act in December 2025.“A final call on the proposal will be taken by the Cabinet Committee on Economic Affairs,” the official said, adding that domestic firms capable of executing the project on an engineering, procurement and construction (EPC) basis have already been identified.The Union Budget had already alloted Rs 20,000 crore to develop at least five indigenously designed and operational small modular reactors by 2033 under the Nuclear Energy Mission.India has also set an ambitious goal of reaching 100 GW of nuclear power capacity by 2047, alongside efforts to strengthen local manufacturing and technology development in the sector.In a recent milestone for the nuclear programme, India’s prototype fast breeder reactor reached criticality this month.



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No fuel shortage: Govt assures 100% domestic LPG, PNG, CNG supply amid Hormuz energy crunch – The Times of India

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No fuel shortage: Govt assures 100% domestic LPG, PNG, CNG supply amid Hormuz energy crunch – The Times of India


Amid ongoing geopolitical tensions straining global oil supplies, the government has said that it is ensuring uninterrupted fuel availability across the country and is closely monitoring maritime safety in the Middle East.Reassuring citizens, the ministry of petroleum and natural gas said there has been no disruption in household LPG supply. “Domestic LPG cylinder deliveries remain normal against bookings with more than 53.5 lakh domestic LPG cylinders delivered yesterday,” it said.The ministry further urged people not to rush to fuel stations or stock up on supplies. It said, “Citizens are advised to avoid panic purchase of petrol, diesel and LPG as the Govt is making all efforts to ensure availability of petrol, diesel and LPG.”It further assured that essential services remain fully supported, stating, “100% supply is being made to Domestic LPG, Domestic PNG and CNG (Transport),” while supply management measures are being taken as needed.At the same time, the government pointed to changes in consumer behaviour in the energy sector. It said, “more than 39,000 PNG consumers surrendered their LPG connections via MYPNGD.in,” suggesting a gradual shift towards piped natural gas. It also noted a rise in auto fuel demand, adding that “avg. Auto LPG sale by PSU OMCs in the month of April-26 (till 17.04.26) is around 305 MT/day against the avg. of 177 MT/day during Feb-26.On the maritime front, authorities confirmed that Indian shipping continues to move safely through the region despite risks. The Ministry of Ports, Shipping and Waterways said, “Indian-flagged crude oil tanker Desh Garima safely crossed the Strait of Hormuz on 18 April 2026,” adding that the vessel, carrying 31 Indian seafarers, is “expected to arrive at Mumbai on 22 April 2026.”However, it also acknowledged recent security incidents, noting that “two Indian vessels… reported a firing incident while transiting the Strait of Hormuz,” though “there has been no injury to any crew reported.”The shipping ministry said the situation is being closely tracked, adding, “All Indian seafarers are safe. The situation continues to be closely monitored.”On fuel availability, the petroleum ministry said refineries are running at strong capacity and “sufficient stocks of petrol and diesel are being maintained,” with retail fuel stations operating normally across the country.To cushion consumers from global price shocks, the government highlighted recent fiscal steps, saying, “The Middle East crisis has led to an abnormal increase in crude prices; however, to protect consumers, the Government of India has reduced excise duty on petrol and diesel by Rs 10 per litre.”It also intensified action against malpractice in the supply chain, stating that “more than 2400 raids were conducted across the country” on April 18 to check hoarding and black marketing of LPG.Officials said that coordinated efforts with states, industry stakeholders and agencies are ongoing to ensure energy security and uninterrupted supplies despite global uncertainty.



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