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Govt mulls seeking relaxation in FY27 budget from IMF – SUCH TV

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Govt mulls seeking relaxation in FY27 budget from IMF – SUCH TV



In a move aimed at spurring sluggish economic activities, the government is mulling various options to convince the International Monetary Fund (IMF) to secure relaxations on different macroeconomic and fiscal frameworks for the next budget 2026-27.

This thinking among policymakers has surfaced in the context of increasing criticism over the IMF’s Extended Fund Facility (EFF) that suffocated growth by increasing the tax burden and hike in electricity and gas tariffs.

With the lenient conditions of the IMF, the government wants the revival of economic growth, attracting investment, reducing unemployment and poverty, cutting power tariffs, offering tax incentives and creating room for a reduction in the policy rate.

The government plans possible relaxation in targets related to the primary balance and provincial budget surpluses in the next fiscal year 2026-27.

The government might request the IMF to allow a relatively higher fiscal deficit target in the upcoming budget to create fiscal space for growth-oriented measures.

After completing two years in office, the government has now started moving seriously towards allowing the economy to grow during the third year of its tenure, to achieve economic growth of 5 to 6%.

Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif has instructed the Ministry of Finance and the Federal Board of Revenue to fully cooperate with the business community to help attract domestic and foreign investment.

Four key proposals have been discussed, with the government’s foremost priority being export-led growth.

The prime minister has also expressed concern over the trade deficit recorded during the July to December period of the current fiscal year.

The second major proposal focuses on boosting investment by exploring all possible opportunities.

The Special Investment Facilitation Council has been tasked with taking concrete measures to increase investment.

Another proposal under consideration is a further reduction in power tariffs to provide industry with a competitive edge in international markets.

The government is also seeking fiscal space to offer tax incentives.

According to the draft of the industrial policy, a decision has been made to reduce super tax for the manufacturing sector, but it will be implemented subject to the approval of the IMF.

Under the new industrial policy, the government has decided to lower the super tax rate for manufacturing.

Under the proposed reforms, the super tax rate for the manufacturing sector will be gradually reduced to 5% over four years, while the tax will be abolished in the fifth year if a primary surplus is achieved.

Approval of the industrial policy from the IMF is still pending.

It has also been proposed to increase the minimum income threshold for the manufacturing sector, subject to a super tax from Rs200 million to Rs500 million.

Similarly, the threshold for imposing a 10% super tax is proposed to be raised from Rs500 million to Rs1.5 billion, while the super tax rate will be halved over the next four years.

Another proposal under consideration is to leverage the decline in inflation to cut the policy rate, making credit more accessible for the private sector.

The government also wants banks to be given specific lending targets to improve private sector credit flows, especially to the SME sector.



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The family-owned soda firm that stuck to returnable glass bottles

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The family-owned soda firm that stuck to returnable glass bottles



Soft drinks company Twig’s Beverage has a loyal following for its old-fashioned approach.



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Faisal Islam: Is Reeves right in saying we’re turning a corner?

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Faisal Islam: Is Reeves right in saying we’re turning a corner?



The Chancellor is trying to use this moment as a launching pad for a wider attempt to gee up consumer and business confidence.



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Oil market price battle: Russia and Iran offer deeper discounts to China as crude piles up at sea – The Times of India

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Oil market price battle: Russia and Iran offer deeper discounts to China as crude piles up at sea – The Times of India


Russian and Iranian oil producers are reportedly offering deeper discounts to compete for the same limited pool of Chinese buyers after India pulled back from purchases. Analysts say India’s imports from Russia could fall by 40 per cent from January levels, to around 600,000 barrels a day, according to a scenario from Rystad Energy, as reported by Bloomberg.Much of the displaced crude is heading east, sparking a price war with Iranian suppliers, long favoured by China’s independent refiners, known as teapots. Russian Urals crude is reportedly selling at about $12 a barrel below ICE Brent, up from a $10 discount last month. Iranian Light crude is going for as much as $11 below the global benchmark, widening from $8–$9 in December, according to traders.

Russia Affirms India Still Buys Russian Oil, Rejects Recent US Statements

“The Chinese private refiners cannot take in much more as their capacity is likely maxed out,” said Jianan Sun, an analyst at Energy Aspects, noting that sanctioned barrels are building up in both onshore and offshore storage.China’s teapots historically act as a pressure valve, absorbing barrels shunned by others, but their capacity is limited; they account for roughly a quarter of the country’s refining capacity and are also subject to government import quotas. Major state-owned refiners, meanwhile, have traditionally avoided Iranian crude and have recently largely stayed away from Russian barrels as well.With China unable to fully absorb the displaced supply, unsold oil is piling up in Asian waters, leaving Russia and Iran scrambling. The Kremlin has already cut output, depriving it of funds for its war in Ukraine, while Iran is trying to ship as much oil as possible amid fears of a potential US strike.Data shows Russian oil deliveries to Chinese ports rose to 2.09 million barrels a day in the first 18 days of February, a roughly 20 per cent increase from January and nearly 50 per cent higher than December. By contrast, Iranian exports to China have fallen about 12 per cent from a year earlier, to roughly 1.2 million barrels a day, according to Kpler. The firm estimates nearly 48 million barrels of Iranian crude are now at sea, up from about 33 million in early February. Russian cargoes sitting in Asian waters total around 9.5 million barrels.A potential US strike on Iran could disrupt exports if oil facilities are targeted or shipments through the Strait of Hormuz are blocked. Russian barrels carry a “relatively lower level of risk” for Chinese buyers compared with Iranian crude, said Lin Ye, vice president of oil markets at consultancy Rystad Energy, citing optimism over a potential ceasefire in Ukraine.



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