Fashion
Mid-market surge lifts UK business confidence at end-2025: NatWest
Mid-market firms reported solid growth in December, supported by stronger order books, planned recruitment and healthier sales pipelines, alongside expectations of a broader economic pick-up this year. The improvement aligns with recent Office for National Statistics data showing the UK economy grew 0.3 per cent in November, NatWest said in a press release.
The growth among mid-market firms was broad-based, with manufacturing recording an index of 51.1. Businesses linked higher activity to rising new orders, and new product launches, and an influx of customers.
UK PMI data for manufacturing and services rose to 55.3 in December, signalling faster expansion, as per NatWest’s UK Business Growth Tracker.
Private sector activity ended 2025 stronger, led by mid-market firms reporting solid output growth, healthier order books, and improved confidence for 2026.
SMEs remained under pressure, though declines eased, amid persistent cost inflation.
In contrast, small and medium-sized enterprises (SME) continued to face challenging conditions. While small and medium-sized enterprises business activity remained in contraction territory, the pace of decline eased in December. Economic uncertainty, including the late November Budget, was cited as a factor delaying customer decisions and hiring plans. Employment levels at SMEs fell for a 15th consecutive month, although the rate of job losses softened.
Cost pressures intensified across the board, with SMEs experiencing the fastest rise in input costs since last April, driven by higher food, staffing and raw material expenses. Mid-market firms also reported a pick-up in input cost inflation, reaching a seven-month high. Efforts to protect margins led SMEs to raise output charges at the strongest pace in five months, while mid-market companies increased selling prices at their fastest rate since last August.
Sebastian Burnside, chief economist at NatWest, said businesses are entering 2026 with greater certainty and improving confidence. He noted that mid-market firms closed 2025 with a strong surge in sales, maintaining momentum despite fiscal uncertainty, while SMEs remain hopeful that easing inflation will gradually reduce cost pressures.
Andy Gray, managing director of commercial mid-market at NatWest, highlighted the segment’s economic importance, noting that even modest growth among mid-market businesses could add significantly to UK gross value added by 2030. He said NatWest will continue working with industry leaders and government to unlock further growth potential.
Overall, business expectations for 2026 improved, with confidence strengthening across the mid-market, reinforcing its role as a key engine of UK economic growth.
Fibre2Fashion News Desk (SG)
Fashion
China rolls out tariff cuts on Congo imports from April 1
The measure implements tariff reduction commitments made under the ‘Early Harvest Arrangement of the Agreement on Economic Partnership for Shared Development’ between the two countries.
China will implement preferential tariff rates on selected imports from the Republic of the Congo starting April 1 under the Early Harvest Arrangement of their economic partnership agreement.
The move announced by the Customs Tariff Commission, is aimed at fulfilling tariff reduction commitments, enhancing bilateral trade cooperation and advancing long-term economic ties between the two countries.
The commission said the move is in line with China’s tariff law and reflects the country’s continued efforts to expand opening-up and strengthen trade ties with African partners.
Officials stated that the preferential tariff treatment will help deepen bilateral economic and trade cooperation and support the development of a higher-level community with a shared future between China and the Republic of the Congo.
The Early Harvest Arrangement, signed in November 2025, marked the first such agreement of its kind between China and an African country, paving the way for broader market access and phased tariff reductions.
Fibre2Fashion News Desk (JP)
Fashion
More risk from Iran war to Bangladesh, Pakistan, Sri Lanka: S&P Global
These countries are particularly vulnerable to rising oil prices and potential supply disruptions, it noted in a recent article.
The Iran war poses a greater risk to Bangladesh, Pakistan and Sri Lanka, and to a lesser extent Laos, due to their high dependence on imported energy and limited reserves, S&P Global Ratings said.
These countries are particularly vulnerable to rising oil prices and potential supply disruptions.
All four governments are likely to see significant credit metric deteriorations, if the conflict is prolonged.
In our base case scenario, the war is unlikely to have a material impact on our sovereign ratings on these countries, but a more prolonged price and supply shock in global energy markets could cause more pronounced credit damage.
Pakistan, Sri Lanka, and Bangladesh are showing signs of economic recovery. The three countries have made progress, but sustained high energy prices and potential disruptions to trade and remittances could derail their fragile economies.
S&P Global Ratings believes the higher-income Asia-Pacific (APAC) economies are better placed to weather temporary disruptions to oil and gas supply from the Middle East.
Even where they are highly dependent on imported energy, they generally have more significant oil reserves to meet the shortfall in imports. They also have financial resources to acquire available supply in the spot oil and gas markets to secure needed energy, the rating agency noted.
Lower-income economies in the region do not enjoy such flexibility. The sovereign ratings on some may face pressure if the supply disruption persists longer than our assumptions. Bangladesh, Laos, Pakistan and Sri Lanka are among this group. These economies have one thing in common: a high dependence on imported energy products.
The Middle East war is likely to have a more severe impact on these economies, due to their fuel import bills, and generally weaker fiscal and external reserves to withstand supply shortages and high oil prices.
Among the four sovereigns, Laos is likely to fare better due to the dominance of hydropower in its energy mix.
Bangladesh, with government revenues at only around 9 per cent of gross domestic product, has fewer options to cap electricity and fuel prices through fiscal means.
All four governments are likely to see significant credit metric deteriorations, through inflation and currency channels, if the Middle East conflict is prolonged. However, the impact on the agency’s ratings on these sovereigns may be limited, as the generally low rating levels have already captured a significant share of the risks.
S&P Global Ratings’ base case for the Middle East war assumes that elevated hostilities will persist into early April, with the Strait of Hormuz facing material disruptions.
Fibre2Fashion News Desk (DS)
Fashion
EU Parliament members set conditions for lowering tariffs on US items
On July 27, 2025, in Turnberry, Scotland, US President Donald Trump and European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen reached a deal on tariff and trade issues, outlined in a joint statement published on August 25.
EU Parliament members have adopted their position on two proposals implementing the tariff aspects of the EU-US Turnberry trade deal.
The texts, if agreed with EU members, will eliminate most tariffs on US industrial goods and offer preferential market access for many US seafood and agricultural goods.
The members strengthened the proposed suspension clause, and introduced ‘sunrise’ and ‘sunset’ clauses.
The texts, if agreed with EU member states, will eliminate most tariffs on US industrial goods and provide preferential market access for a wide range of US seafood and agricultural goods, in line with the commitments made in summer 2025 between the EU and the United States.
The MEPs strengthened the proposed suspension clause, which would allow the tariff preferences with the US to be suspended under a number of conditions.
For instance, the Commission would be able to propose suspending all or some trade preferences if the US were to impose additional tariffs exceeding the agreed 15-per cent ceiling, or any new duties on EU goods, a release from the Parliament said.
The suspension clause could also be activated if the US undermines the objectives of the deal, discriminated against EU economic operators, threatened member states’ territorial integrity, foreign and defence policies, or engaged in economic coercion, it noted.
The MEPs have introduced a ‘sunrise clause’ that means the new tariffs would only become effective if the US respects its commitments. These conditions include the US lowering its tariffs on EU products with a steel and aluminium content below 50 per cent, to a tariff of maximum 15 per cent.
Furthermore, for EU products with a steel and aluminium content of above 50 per cent, unless the US reduces its tariffs to a maximum of 15 per cent, EU tariff preferences for US exports of steel, aluminium and their derivative products would cease to apply six months after the entry into application of the regulation.
The members also agreed on an expiry date for the main regulation on March 31, 2028. This could only be extended via a new legislative proposal, to be submitted following a thorough impact assessment of the effects of the regulation.
The European Commission would be tasked with monitoring the impact of the new rules and would be able to suspend the new tariffs temporarily, should US imports reach a level that could cause serious harm to EU industry.
Fibre2Fashion News Desk (DS)
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