Business
PSX sheds 2.5% on weak earnings, Reko Diq | The Express Tribune
KARACHI:
Pakistan’s stock market remained under heavy pressure during the week ended February 13 as the benchmark KSE-100 index plunged 4,526 points, or 2.46% week-on-week, to close at 179,604 amid heightened volatility, weak corporate earnings, and investor concerns surrounding developments related to the Reko Diq mining project.
Market sentiment remained fragile due to persistent selling across major sectors, while analysts also linked the downturn to rising political and security tensions, which weighed on risk appetite and triggered cautious trading activity throughout the week.
On a day-on-day basis, the Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) started the week with a big loss, when the KSE-100 dived 1,789 points (-0.97%) to settle at 182,340. On Tuesday, the bourse experienced a consolidation phase as the index closed at 182,154, down 187 points (-0.10%).
However, the market staged a rebound from its intra-day low near 182,000 on Wednesday, settling at 183,049, up 896 points in a largely range-bound session. The second last day of the week witnessed a negative session, which erased 2,537 points (-1.39%) and closed at 180,513. The PSX extended its losses on Friday, with the KSE-100 declining by 909 points (-0.50%) at 179,604, breaching the key psychological support level of 180,000.
Arif Habib Limited (AHL), in its weekly commentary, noted that the KSE-100 remained bearish throughout the week, losing 4,526 points (-2.46% WoW) and ending at 179,604. The bearish trend was observed due to selling pressure, some lower-than-expected corporate results and high volatility stemming from concerns related to Reko Diq. During the week, Moody’s revised Pakistan’s banking system outlook from positive to stable, which indicated that while macroeconomic indicators had shown improvement, the recovery in the operating environment continued to be gradual.
Moreover, remittances from overseas Pakistanis increased by 15% year-on-year to $3.5 billion during January 2026 compared to $3 billion in January 2025. On a month-on-month basis, remittances decreased by 4%. Auto sales increased to 23.1k units, up by 74% MoM in Jan’26, while on a YoY basis, it rose by 35%.
In the MSCI Index review for Feb’26, Abbott Laboratories was deleted from the MSCI FM Standard Pakistan Index, while Security Papers and Zarea Ltd were included, and Lalpir Power was deleted from the MSCI Small Cap Index, AHL said.
Gas production was down by 7.8% WoW to 2,798 million cubic feet per day, while oil production fell significantly by 11.7% WoW to 59,121 barrels per day during the first week of Feb’26. The central government debt rose by 1.3% MoM to Rs78.5 trillion (+9.6% YoY) as of Dec’25 compared with Rs71.6 trillion in Dec’24. Meanwhile, the State Bank-held reserves increased by $20.6 million to $16.18 billion, with import cover now standing at 2.53 months, AHL added.
Wadee Zaman of JS Global said the KSE-100 index remained under pressure during the week, declining 4,526 points (-2.5%) WoW amid cautious investor sentiment driven by rising political tensions and security concerns in Balochistan, creating uncertainty around the Reko Diq mining project.
On the macro front, an IMF mission is expected later this month to start discussions for the third review under the $7 billion Extended Fund Facility. Pakistan has met three out of five major conditions so far.
Remittances for Jan’26 stood at $3.46 billion, up 15.4% YoY, taking 7MFY26 inflows to $23.2 billion, up 11% YoY. In the MSCI review, Pakistan saw two additions and two deletions across the Frontier Market and Small Cap indices, effective February 27.
On the fiscal side, PSDP spending reached Rs273 billion in 7MFY26, reflecting only 27% utilisation out of the FY26 allocation of Rs1 trillion, while the Finance Division reported a primary surplus of Rs4.1 trillion in 1HFY26, equivalent to 3.2% of GDP.
On the sectoral front, Moody’s revised Pakistan’s banking sector outlook to stable from positive, citing a gradual recovery. Meanwhile, four-wheeler auto sales surged 38% YoY to 23k units in Jan’26, marking a 43-month high and taking 7MFY26 growth to 43% YoY.
Business
Market recap: 6 of top-10 most-valued firms add Rs 74,111 crore; Reliance biggest winner
The combined market valuation of six of India’s top-10 most valued companies rose by Rs 74,111.57 crore last week, with Reliance Industries emerging as the biggest gainer. The rally came during a volatile trading week in which the BSE Sensex advanced 177.36 points, or 0.23%.According to news agency ANI, Reliance Industries added Rs 24,696.89 crore to its valuation, taking its total market capitalisation to Rs 18,33,117.70 crore.Tata Consultancy Services saw its valuation jump by Rs 19,338.68 crore to Rs 8,38,401.33 crore, while ICICI Bank added Rs 14,515.93 crore to reach a market capitalisation of Rs 9,06,901.32 crore.The valuation of Life Insurance Corporation of India climbed Rs 9,076.37 crore to Rs 5,14,443.69 crore.Meanwhile, Bajaj Finance gained Rs 3,797.83 crore, taking its valuation to Rs 5,70,515.57 crore, while Larsen & Toubro added Rs 2,685.87 crore to Rs 5,40,228.21 crore.
Airtel, HUL among laggards
On the losing side, Bharti Airtel witnessed the sharpest erosion in market value, losing Rs 20,229.67 crore to settle at Rs 11,40,295.49 crore.The market valuation of Hindustan Unilever declined by Rs 16,212.18 crore to Rs 5,17,380 crore, while State Bank of India lost Rs 12,784.4 crore in valuation to Rs 8,76,077.92 crore.HDFC Bank also saw its market capitalisation dip by Rs 2,094.35 crore to Rs 11,79,974.90 crore.Reliance Industries retained its position as India’s most valued company, followed by HDFC Bank, Bharti Airtel, ICICI Bank, State Bank of India, TCS, Bajaj Finance, Larsen & Toubro, Hindustan Unilever and LIC.
Markets end volatile week with modest gains
Ajit Mishra, SVP, research at Religare Broking Ltd, said markets ended the week with marginal gains amid a “highly volatile and range-bound trading environment”.“Benchmark indices witnessed sharp intraday swings throughout the week, driven by persistent rupee weakness, mixed global cues, sectoral rotation, and continued uncertainty around inflation and interest rates,” he said, as quoted by ANI.Benchmark indices recovered on Friday, with the Sensex closing 231.99 points higher at 75,415.35 and the NSE Nifty rising 64.60 points to settle at 23,719.30.Analysts cited optimism surrounding possible progress in US-Iran peace negotiations and easing Middle East tensions as factors supporting market sentiment.Vinod Nair, head of research at Geojit Investments, was quoted by news agency PTI as saying that domestic markets traded with a “mild positive bias” due to buying at lower levels and constructive global cues.“Globally, the AI investment theme remained the primary driver, while domestically, financial stocks led the gains,” he said.Brent crude prices climbed 2.3% to $104.7 per barrel, while foreign institutional investors (FIIs) sold equities worth Rs 1,891.21 crore in the previous session.
Business
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Business
Red tape, not bad luck, hits capital | The Express Tribune
LAHORE:
Imagine a country sitting at the crossroads of South Asia and Central Asia, with a population of 250 million, abundant natural resources, and a GDP exceeding $450 billion, yet struggling to convince even its own businesspeople to invest at home.
That is Pakistan’s continued uncomfortable reality in 2026, and the way things are going, the business community believes that even after elevating higher, in the past one year due to perfect diplomacy, the government needs to take strict action against those civil servants and state officials, who still try to slow the pace of overseas and local investment as well as development work, which has jeopardised the growth of the country.
“Foreign direct investment (FDI) in Pakistan fell 31% during the first 10 months of financial year 2025-26, with total inflows coming in at $1.409 billion against $2.035 billion during the same period a year earlier,” said Mian Shafqat Ali, Founder of the Pakistan Industrial and Traders Association Front. He raised alarm over what he calls a deepening investment crisis, warning that both local and foreign investment has dipped to one of its lowest levels in recent memory.
He added that the root cause of this decline is not a lack of opportunity, but a system that actively discourages investors at every step. “The real obstacle in the way of investment is the layers upon layers of bureaucratic hurdles. Without removing these barriers, the dream of increasing investment cannot be realised.”
He noted that investors, both domestic and foreign, are deeply sensitive to the environment they operate in, and Pakistan’s current legal and regulatory framework, unpredictable energy policies, fluctuating exchange rates, and ad hoc government decisions have created an atmosphere of uncertainty that keeps capital away.
The business community by and large thinks that once the US-Israel-Iran conflict is settled fully, Pakistan can have better opportunities; however they simultaneously say that to grab those opportunities, “we need to settle our systems, which are dominated by anti-investment and anti-business culture”.
There are systems, which welcome and protect overseas as well as local investment; those societies belong to the first world or second world; “unfortunately here in Pakistan we are still unable to manage the smooth flow of Chinese investments, whom we call ‘iron brothers’,” said Bilal Hanif, a Lahore-based businessman.
“We keep building new institutions and launching new investment windows, but nothing changes on the ground because the real problem is structural. A foreign investor does not just look at your pitch; he looks at your court system, your tax regime, and whether rules will be the same two years from now. On all these counts, we are falling short,” he said.
Pakistan has averaged barely $2 billion in annual FDI over the past 26 years; a figure that expert bodies like the Pakistan Business Council say should be at least $12 billion per year, or roughly 3% of GDP, to meet basic development benchmarks. Meanwhile, regional competitors such as India, Vietnam, Indonesia, and even smaller economies like Bangladesh have consistently attracted far greater inflows, benefiting from predictable regulations, stronger investor protection, and long-term policy continuity.
Mian Shafqat Ali was clear that the failure does not rest with any single institution. He said the problem is not the fault of the Special Investment Facilitation Council (SIFC) or any other body, but rather the deeply entrenched systems that make doing business in Pakistan unnecessarily complicated.
“Until policymakers are willing to make difficult structural and political decisions, investment will remain weak, no matter how many new institutions are created,” he warned.
What investors consistently ask for is not complicated; it is political stability, simple regulations, and confidence that policies of today will not be reversed tomorrow. Pakistan, unfortunately, has struggled to offer any of these in a reliable manner. Frequent political disruptions, leadership changes, and policy discontinuity have created uncertainty that discourages long-term capital, and the capital does not avoid Pakistan because of a lack of opportunity, it avoids uncertainty.
“Government should move beyond announcements and focus on real structural reforms, overhauling the regulatory framework, simplifying business registration processes, ensuring energy availability at competitive rates and most importantly, providing a stable and consistent policy environment as without fixing the foundation, everything else is meaningless,” Ali added.
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