Business
Stocks slide, oil gains with Mideast ceasefire prospects centre stage | The Express Tribune
The widening war has jolted global markets this month, sending oil prices soaring, reigniting inflation fears
Asian stocks slid in choppy trading while oil rose on Thursday as investors treaded cautiously amid the dizzying pace of developments in the Middle East, with Iran saying it would weigh a US proposal to end the conflict.
The widening war has jolted global markets this month, sending oil prices soaring, reigniting inflation fears and upending global interest rate expectations.
Contradictory messages from the two sides over ceasefire talks have kept investors on edge.
US President Donald Trump said Iran was desperate to make a deal, while Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi said there had been no dialogue or negotiations with the US, although various messages had been exchanged through intermediaries.
Japan’s Nikkei.N225 reversed early gains to trade 0.7% lower, while South Korean stocks. KS11fell 2.7% and Hong Kong’sHang Seng index slid 1.7%.
MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan.MIAPJ0000PUS fell more than 1% lower, set for a 9.5% decline this month, its biggest monthly drop since October 2022.
The sombre mood will continue in Europe, with stock futures STXEc1 indicating a lower open. US stock futures EScv1 were also down.
Read: PSX jumps over 4,300 points on peace optimism
“It looks like the market’s relief trade is starting to wobble,” said Charu Chanana, chief investment strategist at Saxo. “Traders are also remembering that one peace rumour does not undo the inflation and rates damage already in the system.”
The nearly month-long war triggered by joint US–Israeli strikes on Iran in late February has resulted in Iran effectively shutting the Strait of Hormuz, a conduit for a fifth of global oil and liquefied natural gas flows.
The disruption has sent crude prices surging above $100 per barrel. Brent crude futures LCOc1 were at $104.53, up over 2% on the day, and set for a 43.6% jump in the month.
The dollar held firm near recent highs and was on track for a 2% monthly gain, cementing its status as the preferred safe haven.
The latest comments by Iran suggested some willingness by Tehran to negotiate an end to the war if its demands were met. The US sent a 15-point ceasefire proposal to Iran that was originally brushed aside by Iranian officials.
“If you look at what the US wants to achieve, what Israel wants to achieve, and what Tehran wants to achieve, it will be very hard to reconcile all these points,” said Matthias Scheiber, senior portfolio manager and the head of the multi-asset team at Allspring Global Investments.
“We still think there is a case to make for structurally higher energy prices for the moment.”
Read More: Trump threatens to ‘unleash hell’ if Iran rejects latest US proposal
Fears of an inflationary aftershock have pushed traders to price out any chance of a Federal Reserve rate cut this year, supporting the dollar. Bets on US rate hikes briefly gained traction but have since been pared back.
The yield on Japan’s two-year government bond hit its highest level in 30 years as traders cemented wagers of a Bank of Japan interest rate hike as early as April.
European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde opened the door on Wednesday to raising rates if war in the Middle East pushes up inflation in the euro area for some time.
“If the shock gives rise to a large though not-too-persistent overshoot of our target, some measured adjustment of policy could be warranted,” Lagarde said in Frankfurt.
The euro EUR= was little changed at $1.1564, while sterling GBP= bought $1.3362. The yen JPY= hovered at 159.44 per dollar, near the closely watched 160 level that traders see as a potential trigger for intervention.
Gold XAU reversed course to trade 0.3% lower at $4,439 per ounce as the selloff in the yellow metal extended. Gold is on course for a 14% drop this month, which would be its steepest monthly decline since October 2008.
Business
Middle East crisis: Jubilant FoodWorks reports some Domino’s outlets affected by LPG shortage – The Times of India
Jubilant FoodWorks Ltd (JFL), which operates Domino’s Pizza and Dunkin Donuts in India, has reported constraints in LPG cylinder supplies across parts of its store network due to the ongoing West Asia war, according to ET.In a filing to the BSE, the company said, “Operational impact at this stage is limited and being actively managed. The company is taking several steps to conserve LPG and working overtime to move to alternate energy sources like electricity and piped natural gas (PNG).”It added that it is in continuous touch with oil marketing companies to track developments and respond to the evolving situation. “The company is in constant engagement with oil marketing companies (OMCs) to remain apprised of the latest developments and plan operational responses accordingly, given the rapidly evolving nature of the situation,” the filing said.The company noted that it is closely monitoring the situation as supply disruptions persist.The impact is being felt across the restaurant industry, with several chains facing similar challenges due to LPG shortages.On March 10, the National Restaurant Association of India (NRAI) had advised its five lakh members to consider shorter operating hours, reduce items requiring long cooking times or deep frying, and adopt fuel-saving measures such as using lids while cooking, in view of supply constraints linked to the Gulf war.
Business
Russia sells reserve gold for first time in 25 years to fund Ukraine war deficit: Report – The Times of India
Russia has begun selling physical gold from its central bank reserves for the first time in 25 years, as the government seeks to plug a widening budget deficit driven by sustained military expenditure, according to a report by Berlin-based news outlet bne IntelliNews.Regulatory data show that between 2022 and 2025, Russia sold gold and foreign currency worth over RUB 15 trillion ($150 billion), followed by an additional RUB 3.5 trillion ($35 billion) in just the first two months of 2026, the report noted. In January alone, the Central Bank of Russia sold 300,000 ounces of gold, followed by another 200,000 ounces in February.The move marks a significant shift in reserve management. Earlier, gold transactions were largely notional, involving transfers between the Ministry of Finance and the central bank without physical movement of bullion. In recent months, however, the central bank has started selling actual gold bars into the market.As a result, Russia’s gold holdings have declined to 74.3 million ounces, the lowest level in four years. The disposal of 14 tonnes in January and February is the largest two-month sale since the second quarter of 2002, when 58 tonnes were offloaded in a single tranche.The sales come as Russia’s fiscal position comes under increasing strain. The government ended 2025 with a budget deficit of 2.6 per cent of GDP, compared to an initial projection of 0.5 per cent, Berlin-based bne IntelliNews report noted. Economists estimate the actual deficit could be closer to 3.4 per cent, with some payments deferred to 2026 to limit the reported gap.Pressure on the budget has intensified as oil prices weakened in the second half of the year and US sanctions tightened, reducing the contribution of oil and gas tax revenues to about 20 per cent of total revenues — roughly half of pre-war levels.The decision to sell gold has also been influenced by the sharp rise in bullion prices to above $5,000 per ounce. This surge has pushed Russia’s international reserves to over $809 billion as of February 28, including around $300 billion of assets frozen in the West, according to the Central Bank of Russia. Of this, gold reserves alone are valued at about $384 billion.Russia currently holds more than 2,000 tonnes of gold, making it the world’s fifth-largest sovereign holder, according to World Gold Council data. The country had built up these reserves over the years to reduce dependence on dollar-denominated assets, especially after sanctions imposed following the annexation of Crimea in 2014 and further tightened after the invasion of Ukraine in 2022.Since 2022, the Ministry of Finance has relied on multiple funding channels to manage budget pressures. These include drawing from the National Welfare Fund, which still holds around RUB 4 trillion, increasing issuance of domestic OFZ treasury bonds, and raising value-added tax rates, which account for about 40 per cent of government revenues.The shift to selling physical gold suggests that Russia is now tapping its liquid reserve buffers more directly, underlining the growing fiscal strain as the conflict in Ukraine continues into its fourth year.
Business
Pakistan eases export rules for Iran, Central Asia | The Express Tribune
Three-month waiver on bank guarantees, credit letters covers rice, seafood, pharmaceuticals among other commodities
Increased sourcing from the US reduces reliance on the Strait of Hormuz — a narrow maritime corridor through which a substantial proportion of global oil trade passes and which remains vulnerable to geopolitical tensions. Photo: Reuters
ISLAMABAD:
The Ministry of Commerce has approved a temporary exemption from financial instruments, including bank guarantees and letters of credit, for exports to Iran, the Central Asian Republics and Azerbaijan via Iran’s land route, it emerged on Saturday.
The development arose from a March 24 notification by the Ministry of Commerce received by The Express Tribune.
The exemption, issued under the Import and Export Control Act 1950, waived the requirement under Paragraph 3 of the Export Policy Order 2022, which mandates that all exports from Pakistan be made in compliance with Foreign Exchange Rules, regulations, and procedures notified by the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP).
The concession will remain effective for three months, from March 24 to June 21. The ministry stated that the federal government had taken the step to facilitate exporters and enhance regional trade.
Read: Local exports hit by ‘triple threat’
Under the exemption, rice may be exported to the Central Asian Republics and Azerbaijan through Iran’s land route. Exports of the following commodities to Iran via land route were also permitted: rice (milled), seafood, potatoes, meat, onions, maize, citrus, banana, tomato, frozen chicken, pharmaceuticals and tents.
However, the exemption from financial instruments, according to the notification, would be subject to the submission of an undertaking by the exporter that the export proceeds would be submitted within the stipulated time period.
Commerce Minister Jam Kamal Khan said Pakistan would now be able to export rice to Central Asia and Azerbaijan via Iran, adding that removing barriers to pharmaceutical exports was the government’s top priority.
He added that trade through Iran would significantly reduce exporters’ costs and time, and that increasing exports would steer the country towards economic stability.
Read More: Attack on Iran jolts Pakistan’s economy
The Ministry of Commerce said it was utilising all resources to enhance regional connectivity and increase trade volume, adding that the measure would strengthen trade links in the region.
A week ago, Pakistan’s Ambassador to Iran, Mudassir Tipu, said bilateral and transit trade between the two countries remained operational despite ongoing regional tensions.
The envoy expressed gratitude to the Iranian government for extending “full facilitation” to Pakistan’s trade, including transit trade through Iran during “challenging times”.
He added that land border crossings between Pakistan and Iran were functioning “optimally”, with green channels at multiple routes ensuring swift movement of goods on both sides. Further, Tipu said that Pakistan was extending maximum cooperation to Tehran to ensure trade flows remain unaffected by the evolving situation.
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