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H-1B: What Trump’s $100,000 visa means for India and US industries

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H-1B: What Trump’s 0,000 visa means for India and US industries


Soutik Biswas and Nikhil InamdarBBC News

Getty Images President Donald Trump takes a question from a reporter before signing executive orders in the Oval Office at the White House on September 19, 2025 in Washington, DC. Trump signed two executive orders, establishing the "Trump Gold Card" and introducing a $100,000 fee for H-1B visas. Getty Images

Trump has stunned the tech world by announcing an up to 50-fold hike in the cost of skilled worker permits

Panic, confusion and then a hasty White House climbdown – it was a weekend of whiplash for hundreds of thousands of Indians on H-1B visas.

On Friday, US President Donald Trump stunned the tech world by announcing an up to 50-fold hike in the cost of skilled worker permits – to $100,000. Chaos followed: Silicon Valley firms urged staff not to travel outside the country, overseas workers scrambled for flights, and immigration lawyers worked overtime to decode the order.

By Saturday, the White House sought to calm the storm, clarifying that the fee applied only to new applicants and was a one-off. Yet, the long-standing H-1B programme – criticised for undercutting American workers but praised for attracting global talent – still faces an uncertain future.

Even with the tweak, the policy effectively shutters the H-1B pipeline that, for three decades, powered the American dream for millions of Indians and, more importantly, supplied the lifeblood of talent to US industries.

That pipeline reshaped both countries. For India, the H-1B became a vehicle of aspiration: small-town coders turned dollar earners, families vaulted into the middle class, and entire industries – from airlines to real estate – catered to a new class of globe-trotting Indians.

For the US, it meant an infusion of talent that filled labs, classrooms, hospitals and start-ups. Today, Indian-origin executives run Google, Microsoft and IBM, and Indian doctors make up nearly 6% of the US physician workforce.

Indians dominate the H-1B programme, making up more than 70% of the recipients in recent years. (China was the second-largest source, making up about 12% of beneficiaries.)

In tech, their presence is even starker: a Freedom of Information Act request in 2015 showed over 80% of “computer” jobs went to Indian nationals – a share industry insiders say hasn’t shifted much.

The medical sector underlines the stakes. In 2023, more than 8,200 H-1Bs were approved to work in general medicine and surgical hospitals.

India is the largest single source of international medical graduates (who are typically in US on H-1B visas) and make up about 22% of all international doctors. With international doctors forming up to a quarter of US physicians, Indian H-1B holders likely account for around 5-6% of the total.

Experts say pay data shows why Trump’s new $100,000 fee is unworkable. In 2023, the median salary for new H-1B employees was $94,000, compared with $129,000 for those already in the system. Since the fee targets new hires, most won’t even earn enough to cover it, say experts.

A chart showing the five countries that have the most H1-B approvals - India tops the list, follopwed by China, Phillipines, Canada, and South Korea

“Since the latest White House directive indicates that the fee would only apply to new H-1B recipients, this is more likely to cause medium and long-term labour shortages instead of immediate disruption,” Gil Guerra, an immigration policy analyst at the Niskanen Center, told the BBC.

India may feel the shock first, but the ripple effects could run deeper in the US. Indian outsourcing giants such as TCS and Infosys have long prepared for this by building local workforces and shifting delivery offshore.

The numbers tell the story: Indians still account for 70% of H-1B recipients, but only three of the top 10 H-1B employers had ties to India in 2023, down from six in 2016, according to Pew Research.

To be sure, India’s $283bn IT sector faces a reckoning with its reliance on shuttling skilled workers to the US, which accounts for over half its revenue.

IT industry body Nasscom believes the visa fee hike could “disrupt business continuity for certain onshore projects”. Clients are likely to push for repricing or delay projects until legal uncertainties are cleared, while companies may rethink staffing models – shifting work offshore, reducing onshore roles and becoming far more selective in sponsorship decisions.

Indian firms are also likely to pass on the increased visa costs to US clients, says Aditya Narayan Mishra of CIEL HR, a leading staffing firm.

“With employers reluctant to commit to the heavy cost of sponsorship, we could see greater reliance on remote contracting, offshore delivery and gig workers.”

The broader impact on the US could be severe: hospitals facing doctor shortages, universities struggling to attract STEM students, and start-ups without the lobbying muscle of Google or Amazon are likely to be hit hardest.

“It [visa fee hike] will force US companies to radically change their hiring policies and offshore a significant amount of their work. It will also ban founders and CEOs coming to manage US-based businesses. It will deal a devastating blow to US innovation and competitiveness,” David Bier, director of immigration studies at the Cato Institute, told BBC.

San Francisco Chronicle via Getty Images Muthumalla Dhandapani, an Indian immigrant with an H1-B visa and a Comcast employee in Sunnyvale, protests against President Trump's immigration orders in 2017. A bill in Congress would� alter the employment-based immigrant system, tilting it towards immigrants from India and China, without increasing the overall number of visas for everyone. (Photo by Santiago Mejia/San Francisco Chronicle via Getty Images)San Francisco Chronicle via Getty Images

Indians dominate the H-1B programme, making up more than 70% of recipients

That anxiety is echoed by other experts. “The demand for new workers in fields like tech and medicine [in US] is projected to increase (albeit in uneven ways), and given how specialised and critical these fields are, a shortage that lasts even a few years could have a serious impact on the US economy and national well-being,” says Mr Guerra.

“It will likely also incentivise more skilled Indian workers to look at other countries for international study and have a cascading effect on the American university system as well.”

The impact, in fact, will be felt most sharply by Indian students, who make up one in four international students in the US.

Sudhanshu Kaushik, founder of the North American Association of Indian Students, which represents 25,000 members across 120 universities, says the timing – just after September enrolments – has left many new arrivals stunned.

“It felt like a direct attack, because the fees are already paid, so there’s a big sunk cost of anywhere between $50,000 and $100,000 per student – and the most lucrative route to entering the American workforce has now been obliterated,” Mr Kaushik told the BBC.

He predicts the ruling will hit US university intake next year, as most Indian students opt for countries where they can “put down permanent roots”.

For now, the full impact of the tax hike remains uncertain.

Immigration lawyers expect Trump’s move to face legal challenges soon. Mr Guerra warns that the fallout could be uneven: “I expect the new H-1B policy will bring a number of negative consequences for the US, though it will take some time to see what those may be.”

“For example, given that the executive order allows for certain companies to be excepted, it could be possible that some heavy H-1B users such as Amazon, Apple, Google, and Meta will find a way to be exempted from the H-1B fee policy. If they all get exemptions, however, this would largely defeat the purpose of the fee.”

As the dust settles, the H-1B shake-up looks less like a tax on foreign workers and more like a stress test for US companies – and the economy. H-1B visa holders and their families contribute roughly $86bn annually to the US economy, including $24bn in federal payroll taxes and $11bn in state and local taxes.

How companies respond will determine whether the US continues to lead in innovation and talent – or cedes ground to more welcoming economies.



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FTSE 100 moves ahead amid surprise US growth jump

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FTSE 100 moves ahead amid surprise US growth jump



The FTSE 100 was in festive mood on Tuesday, closing higher after a report showed improved UK business confidence and the US economy grew more than forecast in the third quarter.

The FTSE 100 index closed up 23.25 points, 0.2%, at 9,889.22. The FTSE 250 ended up just 6.83 points at 22,349.55, while the AIM All-Share closed down 1.67 points, 0.2%, at 758.81.

UK business confidence increased to 47% in December, rising five points from last month and standing 10 points higher than the start of 2025, according to the latest Lloyds Business Barometer.

In addition, optimism towards the wider economy reached a four-month high, up 11 points to 42%. The renewed economic optimism offset a slight dip in firms’ expectations for their own trading prospects, which decreased by one point to 52%.

“It is great to see business confidence ending the year on a higher note,” said Hann-Ju Ho, senior economist at Lloyds Commercial Banking.

Construction saw the sharpest improvement, up 22 points to 61%, its highest level seen this year.

Manufacturing also was up five points to 49%, while retail firms edged higher to 47%, likely reflecting seasonal demand.

In European equities, the CAC 40 in Paris closed down 0.2%, while the DAX 40 ended up 0.2%.

In Copenhagen, Novo Nordisk jumped 9.2% after the US Food and Drug Administration approved its once‑daily Wegovy pill, the first oral glucagon‑like peptide‑1 therapy cleared for weight management.

“As the first oral GLP-1 treatment for people living with overweight or obesity, the Wegovy pill provides patients with a new, convenient treatment option that can help patients start or continue their weight loss journey,” said Novo chief executive Mike Doustdar in a statement late on Monday.

The company expects to launch the Wegovy pill in the US in early January 2026.

Stocks in New York were higher at the time of the London equity market close. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 0.2%, while the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite were both 0.3% higher.

The yield on the US 10-year Treasury was quoted at 4.18%, widened from 4.17%. The yield on the US 30-year Treasury was quoted at 4.84%, stretched from 4.83%.

Figures showed US economic growth accelerated in the third quarter of the year, markedly outperforming expectations.

According to Bureau of Economic Analysis data, US gross domestic product expanded 4.3% on an annualised basis quarter-on-quarter in the three months to September 30, easily beating the 3.3% growth predicted by consensus cited by FXStreet, and accelerating from a 3.8% expansion in the second quarter.

ING said the figure was “eye-popping”, primarily due to a strong performance from net trade with exports rising 8.8% and imports falling 4.7%, while consumer spending grew a robust 3.5% versus the 2.7% rate expected.

But while it was a “fantastic outcome”, ING noted fourth-quarter GDP is likely to record growth that is considerably slower, thanks in part to the effects of the month-long government shutdown.

“We also can’t see the net trade component continuing to make such a strong contribution while consumer spending is also set to slow,” ING added.

Other US data was mixed, with industrial production beating expectations, but consumer confidence and durable goods orders falling short of hopes.

The pound was quoted at 1.3481 US dollars at the time of the London equities close on Tuesday, up from 1.3452 on Monday.

The euro stood at 1.1777 dollars, higher against 1.1759 dollars. Against the yen, the dollar was trading lower at 156.37 yen compared to 156.95.

Back in London, Metlen Energy & Metals was the best FTSE 100 performer, rising 6.8%.

It said it has completed the sale of a portfolio of solar farms and co-located battery energy storage systems in Chile to a subsidiary of Glenfarne Group at enhanced terms.

Metlen is an Athens-based aluminium producer and electricity generator. Glenfarne is a New York and Houston-based developer, owner, operator, and industrial manager of energy and infrastructure assets.

In April, Metlen had said Glenfarne unit GAC RS Chile II Spa would pay 815 million dollars (£606 million) for the assets.

On Tuesday, Metlen said the final price to be paid is 865 million dollars (£643 million), reflecting the “value creation opportunities emerging in the Chilean market”.

Videndum plunged 56% as the provider of broadcasting hardware and software said a planned refinancing will, if successful, see current shareholdings “very significantly diluted”, while completion is also not guaranteed.

The firm said the main components of a refinancing proposal have now been agreed in principle with the revolving credit facility lenders and its two largest shareholders.

But the firm warned any share issue would be “very significantly below” their current nominal value of 20p per share.

Gut Gulf Marine Services fared better, climbing 11% after reporting a new contract award that covers two of its large-class vessels in Europe.

Neither the name of the client nor the financial terms of the contract were disclosed, but Gulf Marine Services said the award increases its contracted backlog to 540 million dollars.

Brent oil was quoted at 62.09 dollars a barrel at the time of the London equities close on Tuesday, up from 61.87 dollars late on Monday.

Gold traded at 4,462.05 dollars an ounce, up from 4,440.54 on Monday.

The biggest risers on the FTSE 100 were Metlen Energy & Metals, up 2.80 euro cents at 44.00 euro, Anglo American, up 88.00 pence at 2,993.00p, Antofagasta, up 67.00p at 3,235.00p, BT, up 2.80p at 185.05p and Airtel Africa, up 4.80p at 337.80p.

The biggest fallers on the FTSE 100 were Diageo, down 29.00p at 1,588.00p, Ashtead Group, down 78.00p at 5,192.00p, Convatec, down 3.20p at 238.60p, Burberry, down 16.00p at 1,261.50p and easyJet, down 6.29p at 506.80p.

Wednesday’s economic calendar includes US weekly jobless claims data.

There are no significant events scheduled in Wednesday’s UK corporate calendar.

– Contributed by Alliance News



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How Senior Living Homes Are Addressing A Silent Health Risk In India And Helping The Ageing Population

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How Senior Living Homes Are Addressing A Silent Health Risk In India And Helping The Ageing Population


With India’s elderly population projected to reach nearly 35 crore by 2050, retirement is no longer about slowing down. Increasingly, people in their late fifties and sixties are seeking communities where they can stay active, socialize, and enjoy a secure, independent lifestyle. Families, too, are encouraging parents to consider senior living homes that offer support, companionship, and a sense of purpose. The pandemic underscored the risks of isolation, highlighting the need for safe housing, reliable medical care, and built-in social networks.

Recent industry studies, including the latest JLL-ASLI senior living report, show that demand for organised retirement communities is rising sharply across India. The report also notes that India has 22,157 organised senior living units against a potential demand of 1.7 million senior households, underscoring how early the market still is. The country is witnessing the early formation of a silver economy, a new growth frontier driven by rising longevity, changing family structures, and a growing appetite for independent, age-ready living.

Over the past decade, falls have emerged as a serious health risk for senior citizens.According to the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), one in four people aged 65 and above experiences a fall each year. In 2018 alone, nearly 36 million falls were reported among older adults, resulting in about 8.4 million fall-related injuries and more than 32,000 deaths. The severity of these injuries depends largely on how the fall occurs, ranging from hip fractures to traumatic brain injuries. Dr Julius Cheng, Associate Professor in the Department of Surgery at URMC, has cautioned that seemingly minor incidents such as slipping on a wet floor should not be underestimated, as even low-level falls can have serious consequences for elderly patients. Another CDC study found that nearly half of all fall-related deaths among those aged 65 and above involved head injuries, while even less severe injuries often lead to complex treatment and prolonged recovery for seniors.

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Senior living homes focus on ease and safety. Flats feature non-slip flooring, wider spaces, grab rails, and pathways designed for safe movement. Medical support is always accessible, with doctors on call and regular wellness checks incorporated into daily routines. But the real draw is the social life. Yoga sessions, music groups, afternoon games, reading clubs, and hobby rooms and travel opportunities. Friendships form naturally, and there’s a sense of belonging.

Residents report that senior living communities give them a renewed sense of routine. Shared meals, morning walks, hobby clubs, and small celebrations prevent days from feeling repetitive while providing the social fabric they may have missed at home.

“After retirement, the biggest fear for many of us is loneliness and losing our sense of routine. Moving into a senior living community changed that completely. I have my morning walks, yoga sessions, friends to share meals with, and medical help close by if I ever need it. It feels like living independently—but with the comfort of knowing you’re never alone,” said M. Laxmi, a retired government officer living in a senior housing near Bengaluru.

Buyers of these projects are typically over the age of 55. Many live alone or have children in other cities or abroad. They are looking for communities where medical support and emergency assistance are readily available. The rapidly growing senior population and nuclear family system in India have further increased the demand for these homes.

Ankur Gupta, Co-founder (Association of Senior Living India) & JMD of Ashiana Housing, said that retirement in India is no longer about stepping back. He says seniors want structure, purpose and a vibrant social setting. “They want to stay engaged, stay fit and stay connected. Senior living communities provide mix of privacy and dependable support, which makes them appealing,” he said.

Anantharam V. Varayur, co-founder of Manasum Senior Living said, “Seniors require more care. In such societies, the health and safety of the elderly is a top priority.”Developers and investors are increasingly viewing the segment as both socially responsible and economically resilient.The rise of senior living in India is, at its core, a story of empowerment of creating environments that allow people to age with dignity, purpose, and belonging.Nearly one in four elderly Indians now live either alone or only with their spouse, reflecting a shift from dependence to choice. This generation of seniors is financially aware, socially active, and seeks spaces that encourage connection, not confinement.We have curated the senior living projects across Bengaluru, Goa &Tirupati.

The demand for organised senior communities has grown sharply in the last few years. This is not just a real estate product. This is social infrastructure. Developers believe that seniors are increasingly vocal about what they want in later life – dignity, independence, and companionship. With more families embracing the concept of community-based living for elders, poised to redefine retirement living in India.

“In 2026, the senior living industry is expected to consolidate further, with rising demand and greater acceptance shaping a more structured and service-oriented market. Assisted living, in particular, will emerge as a high-growth segment as more organised players explore opportunities in care-led residential models. We anticipate stronger competition as well as better quality standards across the board. We see 2026 as a year where service-based real estate, especially in the elder care segment, strengthens its position as a vital part of India’s real estate landscape,” said Shreya Anand, Director, Vedaanta Senior Living.

According to experts, one of the biggest challenges facing the senior living sector in India is the deeply rooted social myth around it. Senior living is often perceived as a last resort or, worse, as a sign of neglect by families, rather than a conscious lifestyle choice made by seniors themselves. Many families still worry about social judgement, believing that a parent moving into a senior living community may be viewed negatively by society. Changing this mindset takes time, storytelling, and visible examples of thriving, independent senior communities, feel the experts.



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Tariff jitters: US consumer confidence slips in December; inflation and jobs worries deepen – The Times of India

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Tariff jitters: US consumer confidence slips in December; inflation and jobs worries deepen – The Times of India


US consumer confidence weakened in December, sliding to its lowest level since President Donald Trump rolled out sweeping tariffs earlier this year, as households grew more anxious about high prices, trade levies and job prospects, according to a survey by the Conference Board.The Conference Board said its consumer confidence index fell 3.8 points to 89.1 in December from an upwardly revised 92.9 in November, AP reported. The reading is close to the 85.7 level recorded in April, when the Trump administration introduced import taxes on key US trading partners, AP reported.Consumers’ assessment of current economic conditions saw a sharper drop. The present situation index fell 9.5 points to 116.8, reflecting growing unease about inflation and employment conditions. Write-in responses to the survey showed that prices and inflation remained the biggest concern for consumers, alongside tariffs.Short-term expectations for income, business conditions and the labour market were little changed at 70.7, but remained well below 80 — a threshold that can signal a recession ahead. This was the 11th straight month that expectations stayed under that level.Perceptions of the job market also weakened. The share of consumers who said jobs were “plentiful” fell to 26.7% in December from 28.2% in November, while those who said jobs were “hard to get” rose to 20.8% from 20.1%.The softer sentiment follows recent labour market data showing mixed signals. Government figures released last week showed the US economy added 64,000 jobs in November after losing 105,000 jobs in October. The unemployment rate climbed to 4.6% last month, its highest level since 2021.Economists say the labour market is stuck in a “low hire, low fire” phase, as companies remain cautious amid uncertainty over tariffs and the lingering effects of high interest rates. Since March, average monthly job creation has slowed to about 35,000, down from 71,000 in the year ended March. Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell has said he suspects those figures could be revised even lower, AP reported.



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