Cotton prices in Brazil hit 16-year low amid weak demand, ample supply

Cotton prices in Brazil continued their prolonged slide in November, with the CEPEA/ESALQ Index (payment in 8 days) falling to its lowest real level since September 2009 after six straight months of declines. The downturn reflects abundant national supply, subdued domestic demand and weaker international quotations, despite firm export activity, as per the Centre for Advanced Studies on Applied Economics (CEPEA).

The average November price settled at BRL 3.4505 (~$0.65) per pound, 1.91 per cent lower than in October 2025 and 12.5 per cent below November 2024. Over the month, the Index slipped 0.23 per cent and remained below export parity, signalling little support from external markets.

Brazil’s cotton prices fell in November, hitting their lowest real level since September 2009 as strong supply, weak domestic demand and softer global quotes pressured the market.
The CEPEA/ESALQ Index stayed below export parity, with buyers taking minimal volumes and sellers accepting lower prices to clear stocks.
ABRAPA reported 81.73 per cent of the 2024-25 crop processed by November 27.

Market participants are preparing for the year-end period, buying only small volumes. Sellers under cash pressure or looking to clear inventories have shown greater price flexibility, adding to the downward momentum, CEPEA said in its latest fortnightly report on the Brazilian cotton market.

Beyond ongoing shipments under term contracts, traders are already negotiating new deals for early 2026 deliveries and for cotton from the next season. According to Brazilian Cotton Producers Association (ABRAPA), 81.73 per cent of Brazil’s 2024-25 crop had been processed by November 27, with progress at 79 per cent in Mato Grosso and 92 per cent in Bahia.

Fibre2Fashion News Desk (KD)