Business
Diwali 2025: Gold & silver likely to consolidate next week; Here’s what analysts said – The Times of India
After a record-breaking surge in both domestic and global markets, gold and silver prices are likely to see some consolidation and mild correction next week as festive demand tapers off and profit-booking sets in, analysts said.“Gold prices are likely to see some corrections/ consolidation as ongoing fundamentals are already priced in and physical demand wanes post mid-week,” Pranav Mer, Vice President, EBG – Commodity & Currency Research, JM Financial Services Ltd told PTI.He added that traders will closely track key global cues such as Chinese data, UK inflation, PMI releases, US consumer confidence, and remarks from Federal Reserve officials ahead of the October 28–29 Fed policy meeting.Gold ended last week higher, supported by festive buying in India and strong inflows into exchange-traded funds (ETFs). However, Mer noted that a “sharp corrective move was seen on Friday amid profit-booking as the rally looks overstretched now.”On the Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX), gold futures rose Rs 5,644 or 4.65% last week, with December contracts hitting a record Rs 1,32,294 per 10 grams on Friday before settling at Rs 1,27,008, snapping a five-day record streak.According to Prathamesh Mallya, DVP – Research, Non-Agri Commodities and Currencies, Angel One, “The shine in gold prices just does not stop as momentum has been on the rising side throughout 2025, supported by policy uncertainty, US tariffs, and a slowdown in the American economy.”Echoing similar sentiment, Karthick Jongadla, Investment Manager on smallcase and Founder of Quantace Research, said the rally was fueled by a softer dollar, easing bond yields, and safe-haven demand amid “lingering US-China trade noise and a US data/shutdown fog.”“Gold jumped to a new record this week. The MCX gold futures printed an intraday high of Rs 1,32,294 per 10 grams on October 17 and stayed firm into Dhanteras,” Jongadla said, adding that India’s gold reserves with the RBI have now crossed $100 billion, reflecting robust institutional interest.On the global front, Comex gold futures for December delivery hit a record $4,392 per ounce on Friday before settling at $4,213.30, down 2.12%.“Gold extended its meteoric rally to fresh record highs this week as investors rushed into safe-haven assets amid renewed fears about cracks in the US financial system after two regional banks disclosed loan irregularities linked to potential fraud,”said Riya Singh, Research Analyst – Commodities and Currency, Emkay Global Financial Services.Silver too mirrored gold’s movement. MCX silver futures for December delivery hit a record Rs 1,70,415 per kilogram before closing at Rs 1,56,604, posting a weekly gain of Rs 10,138 or 6.92%.“Silver prices extended their bull run along with gold and were up over 15% in the week till Thursday, supported by reports of a supply crunch in the physical market and sustained ETF buying,” Mer of JM Financial said.“However, prices pared more than half the gains in a sharp sell-off on Friday which triggered profit-booking by investors. The rally in both bullions looks over-stretched and may see more correction ahead.”Globally, Comex silver futures hit $53.76 per ounce before retreating to $50.10, down 6% on Friday.“Silver prices touched record highs on Friday before retracing slightly, marking a remarkable run of nearly 87% for 2025,”Singh of Emkay Global noted. She added that ETF holdings have expanded by 117 million ounces this year to 833 million ounces, though accumulation appears to be plateauing.She also pointed out tight supply conditions in London, where more than 15 million ounces were withdrawn from Comex warehouses in New York last week to ease local shortages, even as ETF inflows of 11 million ounces further tightened supply.Analysts expect volatility to persist next week but maintain that the broader trend for precious metals remains positive, underpinned by macroeconomic uncertainty, central bank buying, and strong investor appetite for safe-haven assets.(Disclaimer: Recommendations and views on the stock market and other asset classes given by experts are their own. These opinions do not represent the views of The Times of India)
Business
Stocks hit by Greenland worry and Japan bond slump
Stocks fell sharply while the bond market creaked amid ongoing tension and increased rhetoric over the future of Greenland.
The FTSE 100 index closed down 68.57 points, 0.7%, at 10,126.78 on Tuesday.
The FTSE 250 ended 153.94 points lower, 0.7%, at 22,957.87, and the AIM All-Share closed down 2.35 points, 0.3%, at 801.14.
The threat of tariffs from US President Donald Trump continued to weigh heavy on European markets, while screens on Wall Street were a sea of red as trading resumed following Monday’s public holiday.
In European equities on Tuesday, the CAC 40 in Paris closed down 0.6%, while the DAX 40 in Frankfurt ended 1.0% lower.
In New York, financial markets were lower at the time of the London equity market close.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 1.3%, the S&P 500 was 1.4% lower and the Nasdaq Composite faltered 1.5%.
Mr Trump said at the weekend that, from February 1, Britain, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, the Netherlands, Norway and Sweden would be subject to a 10% tariff on all goods sent to the US until Denmark agrees to cede Greenland.
The announcement drew angry charges from US allies who are pondering countermeasures.
“Trade concerns are now front and centre, with European leaders pushing back against Washington’s stance and reportedly discussing countermeasures,” said David Morrison, senior market analyst, at Trade Nation.
“The potential use of the EU’s Anti-Coercion Instrument has added to market unease, particularly for export-heavy sectors such as autos and luxury goods, which have already come under pressure.”
Mr Morrison pointed to apparent split over how Europe should respond to Mr Trump’s threats.
“While UK Prime Minister Starmer pursues a softly-softly approach, insisting that jaw-jaw is better than war-war, French President (Emmanuel) Macron favours a more aggressive approach and wants to fight US tariffs with European ones,” he said.
European Commission president Ursula von der Leyen cautioned that Mr Trump risked plunging US ties with the EU into a “downward spiral”.
While Mr Macron warned against US attempts to “subordinate Europe”, and blasted as “unacceptable” Mr Trump’s threats to impose tariffs of up to 25% on countries opposed to his Greenland plans.
Reports suggested Europe could consider retaliatory tariffs and also possibly a concerted strategy to offload US treasury bonds.
The yield on the US 10-year treasury was quoted at 4.28%, widening from 4.21% on Friday.
The yield on the US 30-year treasury was quoted at 4.91%, stretched from 4.82% on Friday.
The focus now switches to Davos, which Mr Trump is due to address on Wednesday.
“Escalation or softening in tone seems likely to set the direction for European risk assets in the days ahead,” said Mr Morrison.
Adding to the bond market angst was a sharp sell-off in Japan.
Kathleen Brooks at XTB Research said while the sell off in long end bond yields was global, the biggest move “by far” was in Japan.
The 30-year Japanese bond yield rose 26 basis points, as investors “fret about an expansionary fiscal policy if PM (Sanae) Takaichi wins the February 8 election,” she pointed out.
“The Greenland issue is taking the headlines today, however, in the long term, the insane rise in Japanese bond yields could have a bigger global effect,” Ms Brooks suggested.
“Japan is central to global capital flows, if there is disruption in Japanese financial markets then this could have a knock-on effect on global capital flows and overall risk sentiment,” she added.
Ms Brooks said the risk is that the sell off in bonds causes “something to break, either a Japanese bank or fund gets into trouble like Silicon Valley Bank back in 2023, which is why it is worth watching the Japanese bond market as well as the Trump show this week.”
The pound was quoted higher at 1.3462 dollars at the time of the London equities close on Tuesday, compared to1.3428 dollars on Monday.
The euro stood at 1.1733 dollars, higher against 1.1643 dollars.
Against the yen, the dollar was trading at 157.95 yen, lower from 158.11 yen.
In London, analysts weighed data which pointed to a cooling labour market and a slowing in average wage growth.
According to the Office for National Statistics, the jobless rate was 5.1% in the three months to November, unchanged from the three months to October.
This came slightly above the FXStreet-cited market consensus, which had pencilled in a slight fall in unemployment to 5.0%.
The ONS said pay-rolled employees in the UK fell by 155,000, or 0.5%, on-year in November, and fell by 33,000, or 0.1%, on-month.
Annual growth in regular earnings, excluding bonuses, was 4.5% in the three months to November, slowing from 4.6% in the three months to October.
Annual average regular earnings growth was 7.9% for the public sector and 3.6% for the private sector.
“Today’s labour market data showed easing wage pressures, weak employment and rising redundancies. We judge this to be consistent with our view that the labour market continues to ease and has further to go in coming months,” said analysts at Barclays.
Informa led the blue chip risers, up 4.6%, after reporting “strong trading” in the fourth quarter.
The London-based events, digital services, and academic publishing business expects revenue of at least £4.0 billion in 2025, up 13% from £3.55 billion in 2024, representing underlying revenue growth of 6.3%.
On the FTSE 250, the weak labour statistics weighed on PageGroup, down 3.8%, and Hays, down 0.3%.
Morgan Stanley reiterated an ‘underweight’ stance on both recruitment firms and cut share price targets.
Elsewhere, Funding Circle jumped 14% as it reported stronger-than-expected revenue and profit growth in 2025, achieving its financial 2026 revenue target a year earlier.
The London-based lending platform focused on small and medium enterprises said revenue for the year was about £204 million, up 28% from a year earlier, beating market expectations of £191 million.
Profit before tax rose to around £20 million from £3 million in 2024, also ahead of consensus of £17 million.
Wise Group jumped 15% as analysts raised profit forecasts amid strong third quarter trading.
The London-based money transfer services provider expects full-year underlying income to be around the middle of its guided range of 15% and 20% growth, and expects underlying pre-tax profit margin for financial 2026 to be “towards the top” of the guided 13% to 16% target range.
JPMorgan analyst Craig McDowell said the underlying income forecast was better than consensus at 16.3%, while the underlying pre-tax profit margin projection was ahead of consensus at 14.3%.
McDowell predicted 9% to 12% pretax profit upgrades for financial 2026, while Bank of America was more bullish, raising numbers by 20%.
Brent oil traded higher at 64.89 dollars a barrel on Tuesday, down from 64.13 dollars late on Monday.
Gold was quoted at 4,742.56 dollars an ounce on Tuesday, up from 4,671.76 dollars on Monday.
The biggest risers on the FTSE 100 were Informa, up 39.8 pence at 912.2p, Haleon, up 11.8p at 372.9p, Endeavour Mining, up 112.0p at 4,208.0p, Rentokil Initial, up 8.0p at 461.7p and Melrose Industries, up 9.0p at 625.8p.
The biggest fallers on the FTSE 100 were Mondi, down 41.2p at 845.4p, Beazley, down 44.0p at 1,126.0p, Pershing Square Holdings, down 134.0p at 4,442.0p, Land Securities, down 19.0p at 635.0p and Bunzl, down 57.0p at 1,989.0p.
Wednesday’s global economic calendar has UK inflation figures and Canadian producer price inflation data.
Wednesday’s UK corporate calendar has trading statements from luxury goods manufacturer Burberry, sports retailer JD Sports, electrical retailer Currys and pub chain JD Wetherspoon.
– Contributed by Alliance News
Business
Netflix agrees revised all-cash deal for Warner Bros studios
Netflix has significantly increased its all-cash offer to acquire Warner Bros Discovery’s studio and streaming business, intensifying an ongoing takeover battle with rival Paramount Skydance.
The revised bid aims to secure Warner Bros’ extensive film and television library, alongside its premium HBO Max streaming service, in a move that could reshape the entertainment landscape.
In December, Netflix agreed to pay $23.25 in cash, $4.50 (£3.35) worth of Netflix stock per share to buy Warner Bros assets.
The deal valued the business at around $82.7bn (£61.5 bn). However, shares in Netflix have dropped by almost 15 per cent since the deal was first announced.
The US-based streaming giant has said it will now offer $27.75 (£20.64) per share in cash to buy the business, which will include Warner Bros’ extensive library of film and TV rights, as well as its HBO Max streaming service.
Analysts have said the new terms are favourable for investors in Warner Bros Discovery.
Despite the improved financial terms, Warner Bros Discovery continues to back Netflix over a competing bid from Paramount Skydance.
The rival studios and media giant had put forward an offer of $30 per share in cash, but crucially, this was for the entire Warner Bros Discovery company, rather than just its studio and streaming divisions, highlighting a key difference in the acquisition strategies.
David Zaslav, president and chief executive of Warner Bros Discovery, expressed his enthusiasm for the impending merger.
He stated: “Today’s revised merger agreement brings us even closer to combining two of the greatest storytelling companies in the world and with it even more people enjoying the entertainment they love to watch the most. By coming together with Netflix, we will combine the stories Warner Bros has told that have captured the world’s attention for more than a century and ensure audiences continue to enjoy them for generations to come.”
Greg Peters, Netflix’s co-chief executive, underscored the strategic and financial benefits of the amended agreement.
He commented: “By amending our agreement today, we are underscoring what we have believed all along: not only does our transaction provide superior stockholder value, it is also fundamentally pro-consumer, pro-innovation, pro-creator and pro-growth. Our revised all-cash agreement demonstrates our commitment to the transaction with Warner Bros and provides WBD stockholders with an accelerated process and the financial certainty of cash consideration, while maintaining our commitment to a healthy balance sheet and our solid investment grade ratings.”
The agreed deal is contingent on Warner Bros Discovery completing a proposed spin-off of its cable channels, which include CNN, TBS, and TNT Sports in the UK.
Business
India’s Core Industries Grow 3.7% In December 2025, Cement Tops List
Last Updated:
India’s Index of Eight Core Industries rose 3.7 percent in December 2025, led by cement and steel growth, while oil and gas output declined.
Infrastructure-Linked Sectors Push Core Index Higher in December
India’s core industrial sectors showed stronger momentum in December 2025, with the Index of Eight Core Industries (ICI) rising 3.7 per cent year-on-year, according to provisional government data. This marks an improvement from November’s final growth rate of 2.1 per cent, signalling a mild recovery in key production segments.
The eight core industries together account for 40.27 per cent of the weight of the Index of Industrial Production (IIP), making them a crucial indicator of overall industrial health.
Cement, Steel Lead the Growth
Cement and steel emerged as the strongest performers in December. Cement production jumped 13.5 per cent, reflecting steady demand from infrastructure and construction activity. Steel output also remained robust, rising 6.9 per cent during the month.
Electricity generation increased by 5.3 per cent, pointing to sustained power demand from industry and households. Fertilizer production grew 4.1 per cent, offering support to the agricultural sector, while coal output rose 3.6 per cent, helping ease supply pressures.
Oil and Gas Remain a Weak Spot
In contrast, the oil and gas segments continued to struggle. Crude oil production declined by 5.6 per cent, while natural gas output fell 4.4 per cent in December compared to the same month last year. Petroleum refinery production also slipped 1.0 per cent, highlighting ongoing operational and supply-side challenges in the energy sector.
Cumulative Growth Still Modest
For the April–December 2025-26 period, the cumulative growth of the core industries stood at 2.6 per cent, slightly muted despite strong gains in cement and steel. Steel recorded a sharp 9.5 per cent cumulative growth, while cement rose 8.8 per cent.
However, coal, crude oil, and natural gas saw cumulative declines, which weighed on the overall index.
January 20, 2026, 18:31 IST
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