Business
FTSE 100 ends higher as hopes rise of US interest rate cut
The FTSE 100 forged ahead on Thursday as the bond market calmed further and investors looked ahead to Friday’s US non-farm payrolls figures as hopes build for a rate cut.
The FTSE 100 index closed up 38.88 points, or 0.4%, at 9,216.87. The FTSE 250 ended 161.61 points higher, or 0.8%, at 21,474.68 but the AIM All-Share finished down 6.47 points, or 0.8%, at 762.00.
In Europe, the CAC 40 in Paris ended down 0.2%, while the DAX 40 in Frankfurt closed 0.7% higher.
“The FTSE 100 pushed ahead as bond markets calmed down and the focus shifted to US jobs data,” said AJ Bell investment director Russ Mould.
The yield on the US 10-year Treasury was quoted at 4.20%, narrowed from 4.22% on Wednesday. The yield on the US 30-year Treasury was quoted at 4.90%, trimmed from 4.91%.
In the UK, the yield on 10-year gilts eased to 4.73% compared to 4.76% at the same time on Wednesday.
Ahead of Friday’s non-farm payrolls report, figures showed US private sector job growth slowed sharply in August.
According to payroll firm ADP, businesses added just 54,000 jobs amid signs of labour market cooling and persistent economic uncertainty.
The figure came in well below July’s upwardly revised total of 106,000 and marked the smallest gain in five months. It also missed FXStreet-cited expectations of 65,000.
Citi analyst Veronica Clark expects Friday’s non-farm payrolls to show continued gradual weakening in the jobs market with 45,000 payrolls added and the unemployment rate rising to 4.3% with upside risk.
“This should be soft enough to all but ensure a rate cut from the Fed in September,” she said.
Elsewhere, the Institute for Supply Management;s US services PMI rose to 52.0 in August from 50.1 in July, signalling the third straight month of expansion.
The business activity index increased to 55.0 from 52.6, while the new orders index surged to 56.0 from 50.3. However, the employment index remained in contraction at 46.5, the third month below the break-even 50-point mark.
Analysts at TD Economics said the surge in new orders was “encouraging”, although the report “wasn’t without blemishes, with an employment index that remained in contractionary territory for the third month in a row.
But with the Fed now putting more emphasis on softening labour market conditions, the subdued performance of the employment subcomponent in the report lines up with a host of other data favouring a rate cut at next month’s FOMC meeting, TD analysts added.
In New York, at the time of the London equities market close, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 0.3%, as was the Nasdaq Composite, while the S&P 500 rose 0.4%.
The pound eased to 1.3432 dollars late on Thursday afternoon in London, compared to 1.3448 at the equities close on Wednesday.
In the UK, figures showed the UK’s construction sector remained in contraction in August, with activity falling for the eighth consecutive month, led by steep declines in the housing and civil engineering sectors.
The headline S&P Global UK construction purchasing managers’ index rose to 45.5 points in August from 44.3 in July – which had marked a more than five-year low – but remained well below the neutral 50.0-point mark that separates growth from contraction.
On the FTSE 100, insurers and asset managers which had suffered from the spike in bond yields, rallied, with Aviva up 2.5%, M&G up 1.9% and Beazley up 2.1%. Admiral bucked the trend, down 2.2% as it traded ex dividend.
Retailers were a warm order, with Next up 2.3% and Tesco up 1.8%. On the FTSE 250, Asos gained 3.0%.
Also on the FTSE 250, another retailer led the way as Currys shot up 17% after a triple dose of good news.
The London-based electricals retailer won plaudits as it delivered strong trading, a positive pension review outcome and a larger than expected £50 million share buyback.
Currys said group like-for-like sales rose 3% in the 17 weeks to August 30.
Also in the green, Basingstoke-based animal biotechnology and genetics company Genus leapt 10% as it hailed “good second half momentum” that boosted annual earnings.
For the new financial year, Genus expects “significant growth” in adjusted pretax profit at constant currency, in line with current market expectations, which it puts at £79.0 million.
Gold eased from recent record highs to 3,543.56 dollars an ounce on Thursday.
A barrel of Brent traded at 67.02 dollars late on Thursday afternoon.
The biggest risers on the FTSE 100 were Rightmove, up 20.6p at 737.0p, Airtel Africa, up 5.4p at 220.6p, Aviva, up 15.80p at 645.8p, Relx, up 83.0p at 3,495.0p and Auto Trader, up 18.6p at 794.6p.
The biggest fallers on the FTSE 100 were easyJet, down 20.5p at 466.3p, Antofagasta, down 50.0p at 2,147.0p, Admiral Group, down 80.0p at 3,444.0p, Entain, down 16.0p at 836.4p and Endeavour Mining, down 48.0p at 2,712.0p.
Contributed by Alliance News
Business
Gold and silver sell-off gathers steam in correction after record highs
Gold and silver prices have continued to drop sharply in a “brutal” sell-off after hitting record highs in recent weeks.
The precious metals began falling on Friday in response to US President Donald Trump’s nomination for the incoming chairman of the Federal Reserve.
His choice for former Fed governor Kevin Warsh to replace current chairman Jerome Powell when his term ends in May soothed some investor nerves, which boosted the US dollar but saw appetite for safe-haven investments gold and silver slump in response.
Gold and silver suffered their worst trading days for decades on Friday and were down heavily again on Monday, with spot prices off by another 7% and 11% respectively at one stage.
Silver had plunged by nearly 30% on Friday and gold dropped over 9% in its worst one-day drop since 1983.
Gold and silver had been enjoying a record breaking rally as investors sought refuge amid global geopolitical uncertainty, conflict and tariff woes.
Ipek Ozkardeskaya, senior analyst at Swissquote, said: “The sell-off has been far more brutal than I, and many, expected.”
He added: “For silver, the rally on the way up was faster than gold’s, so the correction on the way down is faster too.”
Kathleen Brooks, research director at XTB, added: “If the sell off continues, then gold and silver are at risk of eroding their losses for the year so far.
“The historic move lower in silver prices has not stemmed a fall at the start of this week.
“Traders have not yet found a level that they are happy to buy the dips, and the timing of Chinese Lunar New Year in mid-February could accelerate the sell off, as Chinese traders reduce risk ahead of the holiday.”
UK and US stock markets are expected to open in the red on Monday, as the gold and silver rout has a knock on effect on mining giants, while Brent oil was also 5% lower.
Derren Nathan, head of equity research at Hargreaves Lansdown, said: “Mining stocks are likely to feel the heat as metal prices scramble to find a floor.
“Oil prices are also trending the wrong way for investors in commodity-focused companies.”
Business
Budget’s mild fiscal consolidation to be positive for GDP growth: Report
Mumbai: Lower revenue as a share of GDP has been more than offset by cuts to subsidies and spending on current schemes, leading to the smallest fiscal consolidation in six years, likely positive for growth, a new report has said.
The fiscal consolidation for FY27 is the slowest in six years. And the budgeted disinvestment, which is a below-the-line funding item, is likely to see the highest rise in six years, the report from HSBC Global Investment Research said.
“The central government continues with fiscal consolidation, though signing up for a gentler path for FY27; the fiscal impulse will likely turn neutral after several years in the negative, and this should be good news for GDP growth,” the research firm added.
The report said that the services sector was the focus of the Budget, “with ambitious plans and increased outlays for medical institutions, universities, tourism, sports facilities, and the creative economy.”
Urban infrastructure saw a renewed push with each City Economic Region (CER) set to receive get Rs 50 billion over 5 years.
Seven new high-speed rail corridors will connect major cities, the report noted, adding large cities will also get an incentive of Rs 1 billion if they issue municipal bonds worth more than Rs 10 billion.
The report highlighted policy priorities, saying, “new manufacturing sectors were given incentives, namely biopharma, semiconductors, electronic components, rare earth corridors, chemical parks, container manufacturing, and high-tech tool rooms.”
Direct taxes are expected to grow faster than nominal GDP while indirect taxes will expand more slowly, with gross tax revenues budgeted to rise about 8 per cent year‑on‑year, the report said.
Central government set a fiscal deficit target of 4.3 per cent of GDP for FY27 after a 4.4 per cent estimate for FY26, and nominal GDP growth was pegged at 10 per cent.
Business
India’s $5 trillion economy push: How ‘C+1’ strategy could turn country into world’s factory
New Delhi: India is preparing for a major economic transformation. The Union Budget 2026-27 lays out measures that could make the country the top choice for global manufacturing using the popular ‘China +1’ (C+1) strategy. This comes as international companies rethink supply chains after COVID-19 disruptions, rising trade tariffs and geopolitical tensions.
India has positioned itself as the backup factory for the world that is ready to absorb international demand in case of any crisis in China or Taiwan.
The government has offered tax breaks for cell phone, laptop, and semiconductor makers, making India more attractive to foreign investors. Reducing bureaucratic hurdles for global firms, the budget also strengthens the National Single Window System to simplify business procedures. The message is clear: India is ready to step in as a global manufacturing hub, ensuring supply continuity for the world.
The expressway to a $5 trillion economy
China presently dominates about 40% of global manufacturing. Its factories supply critical products worldwide, but 2026 is expected to be a turning point. Expanding influence and economic opacity have made global companies seek alternatives.
India has leveraged this moment, offering a comprehensive incentive package for foreign manufacturers. Analysts call it more than policy; it is a blueprint to become a $5 trillion economy and reclaim India’s historic position as a global industrial leader.
Why the world needs India now
The COVID-19 pandemic exposed the dangers of over-reliance on a single supplier. When China halted medical exports, nations realised the need for diversified supply chains. Major companies such as Apple and Samsung now see India as a dependable alternative.
China’s aging workforce and rising labour costs further enhance India’s appeal. With 65% of its population under 35, India offers a vast, skilled and affordable workforce for decades. The geopolitical uncertainty surrounding Taiwan, which produces 90% of advanced chips, has also created demand for a secure manufacturing backup. India is stepping in to fill that gap.
How India stands to gain from China’s challenges
India’s budget, 2026-27, slashes import duties on cell phone and laptop components, turning the country into a hub for component manufacturing, not just assembly. Electronics exports are projected to cross $120 billion by 2025.
The government has also launched a Rs 1.5 lakh crore semiconductor mission, attracting companies like Tata and Micron to establish advanced chip plants in India. In the chemical sector, stricter environmental regulations in China have shut down several plants, benefiting Indian companies such as Privi Specialty and Aarti Industries, which are now filling gaps in global supply chains.
Incentives for companies
The Production Linked Incentive (PLI) scheme promises cash rewards for output, covering over 14 sectors. This is India’s answer to Chinese subsidies. From land acquisition to electricity connections, the National Single Window System now enables businesses to clear all approvals through a single portal.
Infrastructure investment has also received a massive boost, with Rs 11.11 lakh crore allocated under PM GatiShakti. New ports and dedicated freight corridors are being built to ensure that exports from India reach the world faster and cheaper than ever before.
India’s moves points to a strategic shift in global manufacturing. By rolling out the red carpet for foreign companies and investing heavily in infrastructure, technology and policy reforms, the country is poised to become the go-to destination for global supply chains. The C+1 formula is not only a concept; it is a roadmap to turn India into the next industrial superpower and a $5 trillion economy.
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