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FTSE fails to sparkle in tame pre-holiday trade

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FTSE fails to sparkle in tame pre-holiday trade



The FTSE 100 drifted lower on Wednesday in lacklustre trading ahead of the Christmas break, although a chunky disposal by BP brought some life to proceedings.

The FTSE 100 index closed down 18.54 points, 0.2%, at 9,870.68. The FTSE 250 ended down 35.05 points, 0.2%, at 22,314.50, while the AIM All-Share closed up 1.42 points, 0.2%, at 759.39.

BP closed down 0.4% after announcing the sale of a 65% stake in its lubricants business Castrol to private equity firm Stonepeak Partners.

The London-based oil major said it will receive proceeds of around six billion dollars (£4.4 billion) from the sale, which puts an enterprise value on Castrol of around 10.1 billion dollars (£7.48 billion).

In February this year, BP announced a strategic review of Castrol as part of plans to raise 20 billion dollars (£14.8 billion) in disposals by the end of 2027.

“The transaction represents a significant milestone in BP’s commitment to accelerate its strategy, including simplifying the portfolio, strengthening the balance sheet, and focusing the downstream on its leading integrated businesses,” the FTSE 100 listing said.

Citi equity analyst Alastair Syme said comments from BP that deal proceeds will be directed “towards de-leverage (as opposed to shareholder returns)” reinforces “our view that the current share buyback programme will be cancelled ahead of the arrival of the new CEO in 2026.”

Woodside Energy boss Meg O’Neill joins BP on April 1 2026 after last week’s exit of chief executive Murray Auchincloss.

But RBC Capital Markets questioned the rationale of selling this “highly cash generative, low volatility and low capital intensity asset, as ultimately this is detrimental to the long-term dividend sustainability and earnings quality of the business.”

In European equities on Wednesday, the CAC 40 in Paris closed up 0.1%.

Stocks in New York are expected to open slightly lower on Wednesday after strong gains so far this week.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average is called 0.1% lower, while modest falls are seen for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite when Wednesday’s abridged trading day begins.

The yield on the US 10-year Treasury was quoted at 4.16%, trimmed from 4.18%. The yield on the US 30-year Treasury was quoted at 4.82%, narrowed from 4.84%.

Weekly initial jobless claims data in the US provides the last major data point ahead of the Christmas break.

The jobs market has become a key focus for the US Federal Reserve as it weighs monetary policy options heading into 2026.

On Tuesday, the Conference Board’s measure of consumer confidence fell to 89.1 in December from an upwardly revised 92.9 in November with concerns over job security a prominent concern.

The pound was quoted at 1.3510 dollars at the time of the London equities close on Wednesday, up from 1.3481 dollars on Tuesday.

The euro stood at 1.1790 dollars, higher against 1.1777 dollars. Against the yen, the dollar was trading lower at 155.92 yen compared to 156.37 yen.

Back in London, weak pharmaceuticals stocks held the blue index back with index heavyweights GSK and AstraZeneca both down 0.5%.

Elsewhere, retailers were in the picture with attention focused on performance in the key holiday trading period.

Data from BDO’s High Street sales tracker showed UK retail sales returned to modest growth in the week before Christmas, driven by a sharp rebound in online spending, although in-store sales and footfall remained under pressure.

Total like-for-like sales rose 1.0% in the week ended December 21, reversing two consecutive weeks of decline.

However, the increase came against 2.6% growth in the same week last year, highlighting fragility in consumer demand.

Meanwhile, figures from Barclays showed UK consumer spending increased 0.8% year-on-year in the four weeks ending December 12.

“Pubs, restaurants and fast food strengthen, while other tracked categories broadly weaken,” the Barclays report said.

On the FTSE 100, Next was down 0.3%, as was Marks & Spencer, while JD Sports Fashion rose 0.2%.

Barclays and NatWest are through to the second round of bidding for wealth management group Evelyn Partners, Sky News reported.

Sky said the two high street banks were among the bidders notified last week that they were through to the second round of the Evelyn auction.

Royal Bank of Canada also is said to be in the frame to buy Evelyn, Sky said, while a number of private equity firms also have tabled offers for the business, which could be worth £2.5 billion, it said.

Shares in Barclays closed up 0.1% while NatWest eased 0.3%.

Crimson Tide slumped 17% after reporting a “significant customer”, which it did not name but described as a “major retailer”, has exercised a break clause in its contract.

The contract, which began a year ago, represents 12% of Crimson Tide’s annual recurring revenue.

But Crimson Tide said the contract loss will enable the company to redeploy resources towards higher-margin opportunities.

Faring better, PipeHawk shares soared 44% as it agreed to sell its loss-making Utsi Electronics subsidiary to Hong Kong-based Leidi Global Supply for £1.0 million in cash.

Brent oil was quoted at 62.58 dollars a barrel at the time of the London equities close on Wednesday, up from 62.09 dollars late on Tuesday.

Gold traded at USD4,492.58 an ounce, up from 4,462.05 dollars on Tuesday. The yellow metal had earlier hit a fresh record of 4,525 dollars an ounce.

Bullion has broken multiple records this year, driven partly by looser US monetary policy, robust safe-haven demand and strong central bank buying.

The biggest risers on the FTSE 100 were Schroders, up 7.2 pence at 407.5p, Pershing Square Holdings, up 52.0p at 4,870.0p, Persimmon, up 13.50p at 1,334.25p, Melrose, up 5.2p at 585.4p and Entain, up 5.4p at 750.9p.

The biggest fallers on the FTSE 100 were Games Workshop, down 280.0p at 18,875.0p, Fresnillo, down 32.0p at 3,206.0p, Rolls Royce, down 10.5p at 1,149.5p, Admiral, down 26.0p at 3,154.0p and Burberry, down 9.0p at 1,250.0p.

Next week’s global economic calendar has minutes from the December Federal Open Market Committee meeting, a raft of manufacturing PMI prints and house price data in the UK and US.

There are no significant events scheduled in next week’s UK corporate calendar.

– Contributed by Alliance News



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Oil prices jump and shares drop after Trump threatens more Iran strikes

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Oil prices jump and shares drop after Trump threatens more Iran strikes



The US president said he’ll bring Iran “back to the Stone Age” but gave no detail on ending the war.



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Swinton Business offers tailored policies to suit your needs

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Swinton Business offers tailored policies to suit your needs


Whether you are a first-time landlord navigating a buy-to-let or a seasoned contractor with an expanding team, running a successful business isn’t just about growth. It also means making sure you have the right protection in place.

Swinton has been providing insurance for over 65 years. Landlord insurance and public liability insurance are key parts of its Business range. A long-standing, well-trusted name, you can rely on Swinton Business to help you find a tailored policy to suit your needs. 

Read on to find out how Swinton Business can help protect you and your assets, should the unexpected happen. Plus, there’s a bonus for Independent readers right now too: a free £60 Amazon Gift Card with a qualifying landlord insurance policy or a free £20 Amazon Gift Card with a qualifying public liability insurance policy.

Find out more about Swinton Business now

(Swinton)

Swinton Business Landlord Insurance

The rental market has shifted significantly in recent years, with new regulations and changing tenant expectations. Whether you manage a single home, or a portfolio, there’s financial risk that comes with letting out property. Standard home insurance simply isn’t enough to cover the unique challenges of a rental. 

Swinton’s Landlord Insurance is designed to provide peace of mind by covering the what ifs. Its specialist policies offer financial protection against a wide range of perils, including fire, storms, floods, and landslips. For those in transition, Swinton provides cover for unoccupied properties for up to 60 days, giving you a safety net during tenant turnovers or renovations. 

What is landlord insurance?

Landlord insurance can offer protection against damage caused by factors such as theft, vandalism, fire and flooding. It isn’t a legal requirement for landlords to have it. However, it’s worth knowing that a standard home insurance policy won’t cover your property if it’s being rented out to paying tenants.

If you have a buy-to-let mortgage, having landlord insurance is often a condition of a mortgage agreement. Types of landlord insurance include: commercial property insurance, buy-to-let insurance and landlord legal protection.

Why choose Swinton Business Landlord Insurance?

Swinton has been providing Landlord Insurance for over 15 years. From second homes to diverse portfolios, its experts can help arrange insurance to protect your assets. Offering insurance on both commercial and buy-to-let properties, Swinton Business covers a range of tenants. Better still, if you have more than one property, you can streamline your insurance by protecting them under one policy which may help you save time and money.

(Swinton)

Swinton Landlord Insurance cover includes:

  • Unoccupied properties are covered for up to 60 days
  • Financial protection against a wide range of perils, including – but not limited to – fire, storm, flood and landslip
  • 24-hour claims assistance, 365 days a year

Swinton also offers a host of additional options to help you tailor your policy to your specific needs: 

  • Alternative accommodation
  • Theft of keys
  •  Malicious damage caused by tenants
  • Accidental damage
  • Holiday home cover
  • Landlords content cover
  • Land cover
  • Landlord Legal Protection

Find out more about Swinton Business now

Swinton Business Public Liability Insurance

For those who are self-employed or own a business, your reputation is everything. But even the most meticulous professional can face an unexpected claim for accidental damage or injury.

What is public liability insurance?

Public liability insurance (PLI) is a type of insurance that protects you in the event your business is held legally responsible for either an injury to a member of the public or damages to their property. In short, if you’re taken to court, having PLI means your insurer will pay the legal costs on your behalf, up to a pre-agreed limit.

While public liability insurance protects business owners from claims made by members of the public, it can also cover claims from contractors and clients. Of course, no two trades are the same, and Swinton’s panel of insurers provides cover for over 500 different professions, including painters and decorators, carpenters, plumbers, electricians and landscape gardeners.

Why choose Swinton Public Liability Insurance?

Swinton compares quotes from a panel of insurers to help you secure a suitable quote. Swinton’s Public Liability Insurance has tailored features for you to find a policy that suits your business needs.

Flexibility is the standout feature here: you can choose limits including £1m, £2m, £5m, or £10m, so you can tailor your cover to meet the specific requirements of your clients or local authorities. 

For businesses with a team, Swinton also makes it easy to add employers’ liability. This is a legal requirement for anyone with staff, providing £10m in cover for injury or illness claims. It’s also worth knowing that while having public liability insurance isn’t compulsory under UK law, many businesses choose it so they’re covered should the unexpected happen. A customer or client may ask that you have cover in place before they work with you. Plus, it may be an obligation of your industry regulator or trade bodies.

(Swinton)

You can further tailor your policy with additional extras like: 

  • Tools and business equipment: protection for the essential gear you use every day 
  • Stock and materials: coverage for items stolen or damaged on-site, at home, or in transit 
  • Own and hired-in plant: securing heavy machinery like diggers or mixers 
  • Contract works: protect contract work in progress, in the event of damage by an insured peril before completion

Find out more about Swinton Business now

Insurance you can trust 

In a crowded market, experience matters. Swinton Business can help you find the right fit for your unique circumstances. With 24/7 claims assistance available 365 days a year, you can rest easy knowing that if something goes wrong, expert support is only a phone call away. 

When shopping for insurance, it’s important to choose a partner that understands the UK business landscape. Swinton has more than a decade of experience for those who value quality and reliability. 

Reader offer 

There has never been a better time to review your coverage. When you purchase a qualifying policy, Independent readers will receive an added bonus: 

  • £60 Amazon Gift Card with a qualifying landlord insurance policy
  • £20 Amazon Gift Card with a qualifying public liability insurance policy 

Protect your property, your equipment, and your professional future today with Swinton Business and treat yourself to something new from Amazon.  Ready to protect your business? Click here to get a quote and claim your Amazon voucher Gift Card.

Terms and conditions apply. Visit Swinton.co.uk for more details.

Find out more about Swinton Business now



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Trump’s war could see fuel rationing and global recession within months, experts warn

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Trump’s war could see fuel rationing and global recession within months, experts warn


A global recession and widespread fuel rationing are likely if the conflict in the Middle East does not end soon, a leading economic body has warned ahead of a meeting of international allies to try to find a way to end the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz.

Oxford Economics’s latest research shows that the number of tankers passing through the Strait is already down 98 per cent, and if the key shipping route remains closed for an extended period it would see existing oil inventories continually depleted and the current shortfall of 2m barrels per day rising sharply.

That would mean a shortage around the world of 12 per cent of usual oil consumption, requiring fuel rationing and a big hit to world economic growth this year.

“In our prolonged Iran war scenario, we estimate the gap widens to around 13m barrels per day by the sixth month,” said head of oil and gas forecasting, Bridget Payne.

“That represents an unprecedented shortage of around 12 per cent of consumption, leading to widespread rationing concentrated in emerging economies, with significant hits to activity and supply chain disruption.

“Our modelling shows this scenario would trigger a global recession and slow world GDP growth to 1.4 per cent in 2026.”

Oxford’s research shows that the need for rationing would accelerate from the fourth month onward, with the US and Canada among the most protected from this due to both their large domestic production of oil and also their refining capabilities.

Europe, with better refining and strong government policy, sits on a middle ground – but “remains exposed if disruption is prolonged”, says the report.

“Emerging economies across the Asia Pacific and sub-Saharan Africa are the most exposed, combining heavy import dependence with limited inventory cover and, in many cases, weak fiscal and institutional capacity to manage shortages,” it adds.

(Middle East Images/AFP via Getty)

There are concerns in Bangladesh that it may be the first nation to run out of fuel. Drivers have been pictured queuing for hours to fill up their tanks, while universities have closed as the nation tries to protect its diminishing reserves.

Elsewhere, a raft of countries have taken proactive steps to protect their supplies.

Egypt has ordered shops and restaurants to close early to save on energy consumption, Pakistan has enacted a four-day work week, Philippines has ordered government fuel consumption reduced and Myanmar introducing alternate driving days.

Oxford further reports “panic buying and black markets for LPG” (Liquefied Petroleum Gas) cropping up in India and petrol stations being empty in Thailand.

It comes as foreign secretary Yvette Cooper hosts talks with a coalition of countries to reopen the crucial Strait of Hormuz shipping lane.

Meanwhile, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) warned Britain’s economy is “especially exposed” to spiralling prices because of its reliance on gas‑fired power, with fertiliser supply disruption also contributing to food price inflation which is expected to surge close to 10 per cent later this year.

Keir Starmer has been cautioned the public that price rises are “inescapable” this year due to the conflict in the Middle East, but the government has repeatedly said there is no call for fuel rationing at this stage – though they remain monitoring matters “hour by hour”.

Mr Starmer has also confirmed a virtual gathering will take place on Thursday hosting over 30 nations – not including the US – with a view to finding solutions to reopen the Strait of Hormuz.

Earlier in March, a former BP chief who served as advisor to Gordon Brown when he was prime minister said that the UK should prepare for fuel shortages and urged the government to take stock to ensure “crucial sectors [like] the health service, food supply, hospitals” were amply supplied.

On Wednesday night Donald Trump made further comments to suggest the war would end in weeks rather than months, but “the military timeline differs from the economic one,” said Oxford Economics’ chief global economist Ryan Sweet in response.

“The Strait of Hormuz is still effectively closed, and the baseline assumes that it won’t change until the end of April, removing additional oil supply from the market and adding to the economic costs with each passing day.”

The firm are forecasting average prices for Brent crude oil to be at $113 across April to June. On Thursday morning it sat at $109.

“Governments have been left scrambling to try to limit the impact on companies and consumers, with more rationing of energy likely to come into play,” said Susannah Streeter, chief investment strategist at Wealth Club.

(Getty Images)

“The UK government has held off announcing short-term support for sections of society which will be worst hit by the ramp-up in energy bills, with specific help not expected until the autumn. At this stage, with the government still mulling how to alleviate the pain of the energy shock, there could still be phased in hikes to fuel duty, as planned, from September.

“The big concern will be about further damage to energy facilities across the Gulf. The repair work is already likely to take years, and further destruction is likely to keep oil and gas prices elevated for even longer. Brent crude has jumped sharply, reflecting these worries, and European and UK gas futures have also jumped and are set to stay highly volatile.

“Around a fifth of global LNG supplies are usually transported through the Strait of Hormuz, but it remains largely impassable, and it’s becoming clear that there is going to be no easy exit from this war, with a lack of planning increasingly evident.”

Meanwhile, a new report from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) has also highlighted the state of concern among British businesses over energy costs across the second half of the year.

Over half (55 per cent) of businesses expressed some level of concern about energy prices, rising to nearly three-quarters (74 per cent) for businesses with 10 or more employees. In addition, almost two in five (37 per cent) of firms with 10-plus employees said they held concerns over international conflicts impacting supply chains across the coming year.

The questions were asked of businesses during March, after the Middle East conflict had started.



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