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German business sentiment stalls despite slight rise in expectations

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German business sentiment stalls despite slight rise in expectations



The business climate in Germany saw hardly any movement over the course of 2025 and remains significantly below the figures in previous years, according to ifo institute. From January to November, the index only rose by around 2.8 points overall, which is practically tantamount to a standstill. The business situation scarcely changed (minus 0.4 points), while expectations rose slightly over the course of the year (plus 5.9 points).

The business climate in industry has improved noticeably since the start of the year. Nevertheless, almost all sectors remain in negative territory and are still predominantly pessimistic about the future, ifo said in a press release.

Germany’s business climate showed minimal improvement in 2025, rising only 2.8 points from January to November, according to the ifo institute.
While expectations improved, most sectors remained pessimistic, with chemicals seeing the sharpest decline.
Trade sentiment stayed weak, though warehousing improved.
Despite slight industrial gains, businesses remain cautious.

Sentiment in the chemical industry deteriorated particularly in October and November. Overall, the indicator fell by 8.6 points.

“Companies are taking a sober and concerned view of economic development,” said Klaus Wohlrabe, head of ifo Surveys. “We are seeing a stabilisation of the business climate driven only by expectations, and the euphoria from the start of the year has already faded again.”

Sentiment in trade recovered somewhat but remained at a very low level at the end of the year and was worse overall than in previous years. Sentiment in warehousing and storage improved significantly by 13.1 points.

“Overall, it is evident across all sectors of the economy that it would be wrong to speak of a recovery,” added Wohlrabe.

Fibre2Fashion News Desk (SG)



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China rolls out tariff cuts on Congo imports from April 1

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China rolls out tariff cuts on Congo imports from April 1



China will begin applying agreed tariff rates to certain imports originating from the Republic of the Congo from April 1, according to the Customs Tariff Commission of the State Council.

The measure implements tariff reduction commitments made under the ‘Early Harvest Arrangement of the Agreement on Economic Partnership for Shared Development’ between the two countries.

China will implement preferential tariff rates on selected imports from the Republic of the Congo starting April 1 under the Early Harvest Arrangement of their economic partnership agreement.
The move announced by the Customs Tariff Commission, is aimed at fulfilling tariff reduction commitments, enhancing bilateral trade cooperation and advancing long-term economic ties between the two countries.

The commission said the move is in line with China’s tariff law and reflects the country’s continued efforts to expand opening-up and strengthen trade ties with African partners.

Officials stated that the preferential tariff treatment will help deepen bilateral economic and trade cooperation and support the development of a higher-level community with a shared future between China and the Republic of the Congo.

The Early Harvest Arrangement, signed in November 2025, marked the first such agreement of its kind between China and an African country, paving the way for broader market access and phased tariff reductions.

Fibre2Fashion News Desk (JP)



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More risk from Iran war to Bangladesh, Pakistan, Sri Lanka: S&P Global

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More risk from Iran war to Bangladesh, Pakistan, Sri Lanka: S&P Global



The Middle East war poses a greater risk to Bangladesh, Pakistan and Sri Lanka, and to a lesser extent Laos, due to their high dependence on imported energy and limited reserve supplies, according to S&P Global Ratings.

These countries are particularly vulnerable to rising oil prices and potential supply disruptions, it noted in a recent article.

The Iran war poses a greater risk to Bangladesh, Pakistan and Sri Lanka, and to a lesser extent Laos, due to their high dependence on imported energy and limited reserves, S&P Global Ratings said.
These countries are particularly vulnerable to rising oil prices and potential supply disruptions.
All four governments are likely to see significant credit metric deteriorations, if the conflict is prolonged.

In our base case scenario, the war is unlikely to have a material impact on our sovereign ratings on these countries, but a more prolonged price and supply shock in global energy markets could cause more pronounced credit damage.

Pakistan, Sri Lanka, and Bangladesh are showing signs of economic recovery. The three countries have made progress, but sustained high energy prices and potential disruptions to trade and remittances could derail their fragile economies.

S&P Global Ratings believes the higher-income Asia-Pacific (APAC) economies are better placed to weather temporary disruptions to oil and gas supply from the Middle East.

Even where they are highly dependent on imported energy, they generally have more significant oil reserves to meet the shortfall in imports. They also have financial resources to acquire available supply in the spot oil and gas markets to secure needed energy, the rating agency noted.

Lower-income economies in the region do not enjoy such flexibility. The sovereign ratings on some may face pressure if the supply disruption persists longer than our assumptions. Bangladesh, Laos, Pakistan and Sri Lanka are among this group. These economies have one thing in common: a high dependence on imported energy products.

The Middle East war is likely to have a more severe impact on these economies, due to their fuel import bills, and generally weaker fiscal and external reserves to withstand supply shortages and high oil prices.

Among the four sovereigns, Laos is likely to fare better due to the dominance of hydropower in its energy mix.

Bangladesh, with government revenues at only around 9 per cent of gross domestic product, has fewer options to cap electricity and fuel prices through fiscal means.

All four governments are likely to see significant credit metric deteriorations, through inflation and currency channels, if the Middle East conflict is prolonged. However, the impact on the agency’s ratings on these sovereigns may be limited, as the generally low rating levels have already captured a significant share of the risks.

S&P Global Ratings’ base case for the Middle East war assumes that elevated hostilities will persist into early April, with the Strait of Hormuz facing material disruptions.

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EU Parliament members set conditions for lowering tariffs on US items

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EU Parliament members set conditions for lowering tariffs on US items



European Parliament members (MEPs) yesterday adopted their position on two proposals implementing the tariff aspects of the European Union (EU)-United States (US) Turnberry trade deal.

On July 27, 2025, in Turnberry, Scotland, US President Donald Trump and European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen reached a deal on tariff and trade issues, outlined in a joint statement published on August 25.

EU Parliament members have adopted their position on two proposals implementing the tariff aspects of the EU-US Turnberry trade deal.
The texts, if agreed with EU members, will eliminate most tariffs on US industrial goods and offer preferential market access for many US seafood and agricultural goods.
The members strengthened the proposed suspension clause, and introduced ‘sunrise’ and ‘sunset’ clauses.

The texts, if agreed with EU member states, will eliminate most tariffs on US industrial goods and provide preferential market access for a wide range of US seafood and agricultural goods, in line with the commitments made in summer 2025 between the EU and the United States.

The MEPs strengthened the proposed suspension clause, which would allow the tariff preferences with the US to be suspended under a number of conditions.

For instance, the Commission would be able to propose suspending all or some trade preferences if the US were to impose additional tariffs exceeding the agreed 15-per cent ceiling, or any new duties on EU goods, a release from the Parliament said.

The suspension clause could also be activated if the US undermines the objectives of the deal, discriminated against EU economic operators, threatened member states’ territorial integrity, foreign and defence policies, or engaged in economic coercion, it noted.

The MEPs have introduced a ‘sunrise clause’ that means the new tariffs would only become effective if the US respects its commitments. These conditions include the US lowering its tariffs on EU products with a steel and aluminium content below 50 per cent, to a tariff of maximum 15 per cent.

Furthermore, for EU products with a steel and aluminium content of above 50 per cent, unless the US reduces its tariffs to a maximum of 15 per cent, EU tariff preferences for US exports of steel, aluminium and their derivative products would cease to apply six months after the entry into application of the regulation.

The members also agreed on an expiry date for the main regulation on March 31, 2028. This could only be extended via a new legislative proposal, to be submitted following a thorough impact assessment of the effects of the regulation.

The European Commission would be tasked with monitoring the impact of the new rules and would be able to suspend the new tariffs temporarily, should US imports reach a level that could cause serious harm to EU industry.

Fibre2Fashion News Desk (DS)



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