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Government borrowing hits highest August level for five years

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Government borrowing hits highest August level for five years


Charlotte EdwardsBusiness reporter

Getty Images Woman holds umbrella while walking across the street on a grey rainy dayGetty Images

UK government borrowing in August hit the highest level for the month in five years, latest figures show, adding to the pressure on the chancellor ahead of the Budget.

Borrowing – the difference between public spending and tax income – was £18bn in August, the Office for National Statistics (ONS) said, which was higher than analysts had expected.

Despite tax and National Insurance receipts increasing, they were outstripped by higher spending on public services, benefits and debt interest, the UK statistics body said.

One analyst said Rachel Reeves faced “tough choices” in the Budget to meet her tax and spending rules, with speculation building that taxes will rise.

The latest borrowing figure for August is the highest for the month since the height of the Covid pandemic, when government spending was ramped up to support the economy.

Borrowing over the first five months of the financial year has now reached £83.8bn, which is £16.2bn higher than the same period last year.

It is also above the prediction of £72.4bn that the government’s official forecaster, the Office for Budget Responsibility, had made in March.

Paul Dales, chief UK economist at Capital Economics, said the latest figures, “highlight the deteriorating nature of the public finances even though the economy hasn’t been terribly weak”.

He added that this would contribute to the chancellor having to find money in November’s Budget, “mostly through higher taxes”.

Nabil Taleb, an economist at PwC UK, said Reeves now faced “tough choices, and the test will be whether she can make them palatable to voters and markets”.

A Bar chart titled 'Government borrowing in August', showing the UK's public sector net borrowing, excluding public sector banks, from August 2020 to 2025. In August 2020, public sector net borrowing stood at £24 billion. It then fell to £13.9 billion in August 2021, and again to £7.8 billion in August 2022, before rising to £11.4 billion in August 2023, £14.4 billion in August 2024, and £18 billion in August 2025. The source is the Office for National Statistics.

The expectation is Reeves will need to raise extra money or cut spending to meet her self-imposed rules for government finances.

Reeves has two main rules, which she has said are “non-negotiable”:

  • Not to borrow to fund day-to-day public spending by the end of this parliament
  • To get government debt falling as a share of national income by the end of this parliament in 2029/30.

There has been a wide range of forecasts for how much money Reeves might raise in the Budget to meet her rules.

One factor that will influence this is the latest growth forecast from the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR). Small changes to the forecaster’s outlook can make a big difference to its projections for tax income over the years ahead.

The cost to the government through its U-turns on benefit cuts – which had aimed to save billions of pounds – will also be a factor, as will the interest rates on government borrowing.

Mr Dales at Capital Economics said the chancellor would have “to raise £28bn, mostly through higher taxes, if she wants to keep her buffer against her rule of £10bn”.

Elliott Jordan-Doak, senior UK economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics, said the latest figures suggested “the chancellor will need to raise taxes by more than the £20bn we had previously estimated”.

“We still expect the chancellor to fill the fiscal hole with a smorgasbord of stealth and sin tax increases, along with some smaller spending cuts.”

On the financial markets, the value of the pound fell 0.5% against the dollar to $1.349, while government bond yields – which indicate government borrowing costs – rose on Friday.

The latest ONS figures showed interest payments on government debt rose by £1.9bn to £8.4bn, partly due to inflation pushing up costs.

Welfare spending increased by £1.1bn to £27.3bn, largely driven by inflation-linked benefit rises and higher state pension payments.

James Murray, Chief Secretary to the Treasury, said the government had “a plan to bring down borrowing because taxpayer money should be spent on the country’s priorities, not on debt interest”.

“Our focus is on economic stability, fiscal responsibility, ripping up needless red tape, tearing out waste from our public services, driving forward reforms, and putting more money in working people’s pockets,” he added.

But shadow chancellor Sir Mel Stride, wrote on X: “Keir Starmer and Rachel Reeves are too weak and distracted to take the action needed to reduce the deficit.

“The chancellor has lost control of the public finances, and Labour’s weakness means much needed welfare reforms have been abandoned.”

Warm weather boosts stores

Separate data from the ONS showed that good weather brought a boost to the High Street in August.

Retail sales rose by 0.5% during the month, slightly higher than analysts had expected, with butchers, bakers, clothing stores and online shopping all reporting growth.

The figures come despite warnings from some retailers in recent days of cost pressures and price rises.

However, the monthly shop sales data from the ONS can be volatile.

Over the three months to August sales declined by 0.1%, the ONS said, compared with the three months to May.

“Overall, August caps off a better-than-expected summer, particularly for non-food retailers, with sales of seasonal lines boosted by the hottest summer temperatures on record,” said Jacqueline Windsor, head of retail at PwC.

“However, overall sales volumes remain below pre-pandemic levels, so the high street is far from being out of the woods.”

Alice Cowley, managing director in Accenture’s retail practice, said retailers were “facing fresh headwinds as we head into the autumn”.

She said factors such as uncertainty over possible Budget measures, and ongoing energy and labour cost pressures, would continue to put profit margins “under greater strain”.



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BAE workers can continue to strike following High Court decision

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BAE workers can continue to strike following High Court decision



Workers at BAE Systems in Lancashire can continue to strike following the dismissal of a bid for a High Court injunction aimed at blocking industrial action.

The company asked a judge to order Unite the Union members at the Warton and Samlesbury sites to cease their planned action in a last-minute hearing on Tuesday.

Strikes were due to start on Wednesday and last until November 25, according to the union.

But Mr Justice Soole refused to grant the injunction on Thursday.

He said: “Having considered the evidence, the application is dismissed. I will give my reasons later.”

Bruce Carr KC, for BAE, said in written submissions for the hearing on Tuesday that Unite had given notice to ballot on September 24 after rejecting the 2025 pay offer.

He said that following this, union representatives told members not to train managers in aircraft testing and that this amounted to a call to industrial action, therefore invalidating the lawfulness of the upcoming strike.

The barrister added: “It is the claimant’s case that the evidence clearly demonstrates that at that meeting and thereafter, Unite called on its members employed as quality professionals, to take industrial action in the form of refusing to undertake the training of managers employed by the claimant.”

Mr Carr said that in mid-September BAE wanted the training after “a number of absences” and while it was “considering business continuity plans in the event of possible industrial action”.

This training occurred between September 22 and October 10, after which the quality professionals refused to continue following instructions from the union, Mr Carr said.

These workers breached their duty to BAE because they are “required to act in the best interests of the company to carry out such duties in respect of their appointment as they may reasonably be called upon to undertake”, the barrister added.

Oliver Segal KC, for Unite, said the training was a “request”, not an “instruction” and therefore workers who refused were not in breach of their contract.

He described managers being trained for the testing role as “unprecedented” and that union representatives had asked workers to get the “request” in writing while they seek legal advice.

In written submissions, he said: “The evidence in this case is that the defendant never even suggested, let alone ‘called’ on, its members who are quality professionals to refuse to comply with a management instruction to provide training to management executives.”

Mr Segal said BAE was “ludicrously interpreting” emails between union representatives discussing the training as instructions for union members not to comply.

The barrister also said there was no refusal to train the managers after October 10 and that one of the quality professionals gave a statement saying his team never stopped providing training.

He continued: “The reality is that this application is a last-minute, desperate attempt by the claimant to neuter the industrial action, which is both factually mis-premised and legally misconceived.”

Mr Carr said on Thursday that BAE is considering an appeal.

A BAE spokesperson said: “We note the ruling by the High Court. We believe we had good grounds for the legal challenge and will consider the court’s judgment.

“We respect the right of employees to engage in industrial action and remain committed to a partnership approach with all our trade union groups.”

The PA news agency understands that less than 70 employees out of 12,000 are involved in the strike action while production lines are continuing to operate.

Speaking after the decision, Unite general secretary Sharon Graham said: “This unsuccessful attempt by BAE to prevent a lawful strike will have severely damaged the goodwill it has with its workforce.

“BAE is a multibillion-pound company making record profits.

“It now needs to come back to the negotiating table with an acceptable offer for striking workers in its Air division, rather than wasting money on pointless legal threats.

“Otherwise, our members will be taking strike action throughout November in their fight for fair pay.”

Rachel Halliday of Thompsons Solicitors, which represented Unite, added: “This is a clear win for Unite and for workers everywhere.

“The High Court has confirmed that the union acted lawfully at every stage, and that BAE’s attempt to block strike action had no basis.

“Today’s decision will send a strong message to employers that the courts cannot be used to silence workers standing up for fair pay and respect.

“Unite acted responsibly throughout, adhering to all statutory requirements, and this important decision reinforces the union’s members’ right to strike.

“Thompsons is proud to have stood with Unite in defending this principle. Working people have the right to be heard – and to take lawful industrial action when negotiations fail.”



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FM asks banks to ensure staff speak local language – The Times of India

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FM asks banks to ensure staff speak local language – The Times of India


MUMBAI: Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman has urged banks to ensure that customers are able to get their work done in branches speaking in the local language. She also called upon banks to tweak HR policies to give weightage to local language proficiency during appraisals. She asked banks to restore the human connect in customer service, insisting that technology must complement—not replace—personal interaction.Language friction between PSU bank staff has come to the fore, particularly in Maharashtra and southern India, especially Karnataka. There was recent outrage after a public sector bank manager in Bengaluru refused to speak Kannada with a customer. The incident prompted condemnation from the chief minister, a transfer of the official, and an apology from the bank. Similar cases have exposed ongoing tensions as staff from other states struggle with local languages, causing communication gaps and customer resentment.In a Q&A session with SBI chairman CS Setty at the bank’s 12th Banking and Economic Conclave, she said the sector must rethink its approach to customer engagement, especially at the branch level. “You cannot say you will do everything digitally and reach customers only online. Person-to-person contact was the strength of Indian banks, even before technology, and it helped you make big strides.” A key part of this human touch, she stressed, is language.Calling it “basic etiquette,” Sitharaman said banks must ensure customers can converse in their own tongue at branches. “Language is an important way to communicate with your customers. Even if they know Hindi or English, it gives a nice touch when you speak their language,” she said. “We Indians go abroad and say a few words in French or Spanish to please people—but in our own country, because of HR policies, staff are posted without knowing the local language. That human touch gets lost.”The finance minister linked customer service to HR policy, asking banks to incentivise linguistic and cultural familiarity. “HR policies must ensure that every staff member posted at a branch understands the customer and speaks the local language. Performance appraisal should also factor in proficiency in the local language,” she said.While acknowledging the gains of digitisation, she cautioned banks against becoming impersonal. “Technology can bring advantages, efficiency, productivity, and profit—but that human touch is what many earlier private banks had before they were nationalised. You don’t have to struggle like the old bankers who travelled to villages, but you still need that connection. Please don’t be carried away only by technology.Sitharaman also called for restoring accountability in credit assessment, especially for small businesses. “Credit rating of a customer—particularly MSMEs—has to be your own. You should not outsource it,” she said. “Earlier, you knew your customers because the staff posted there understood who was reliable and who was not. That has gone, and it needs to be restored.” She urged banks to simplify paperwork and reduce the burden on borrowers. “Paperwork has to be simple. You cannot keep putting the onus on the borrower to keep proving and providing documents endlessly. If you simplify processes, you will be among the most appreciated institutions.”Bankers said that the language issue largely arose because the response to recruitment drives was not uniform across states. While in some states like Gujarat, young candidates were more inclined towards business, youngsters in Karnataka got more opportunities in private IT sector and preferred these jobs which were non-transferrable. In some northern states however the priority was for government jobs leading to differences in language skills.





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India services sector loses steam: Growth moderates amid rains, competition; HSBC PMI shows softest rise in 5 months – The Times of India

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India services sector loses steam: Growth moderates amid rains, competition; HSBC PMI shows softest rise in 5 months – The Times of India


File photo (Picture credit: ANI)

India’s services sector saw its slowest pace of growth in five months during October, as competitive market pressures and heavy rainfall in some regions weighed on business activity.According to the monthly HSBC India Services PMI Business Activity Index, compiled by S&P Global, the seasonally adjusted reading fell to 58.9 in October, down from 60.9 in September, signalling the weakest expansion since May. Despite the moderation, the figure remained comfortably above the neutral 50 mark—which separates growth from contraction—and higher than the long-term average of 54.3, as per news agency PTI.Pranjul Bhandari, chief India economist at HSBC, said, “India’s services PMI softened to 58.9 in October, which represented the slowest pace of expansion since May. Competitive pressures and heavy rains were cited as contributors to the sequential slowdown.”The survey, based on responses from around 400 service sector firms, indicated that while demand buoyancy and GST relief helped improve business conditions, factors such as increased competition and adverse weather dampened momentum.External demand for Indian services also grew further, though the rate of increase was the weakest since March. The report noted that the GST reform had a positive influence on price pressures, with input costs and output charges rising at their slowest pace in 14 and seven months, respectively.Companies remained optimistic about future business activity, expressing strong confidence in growth prospects over the next year. To meet new orders and ensure timely service delivery, many firms added staff in October.The HSBC India Composite PMI Output Index, which combines manufacturing and services data, also reflected slower growth—dropping from 61 in September to 60.4 in October, marking the weakest expansion since May. “India’s composite PMI fell on a sequential basis from 61 in September to 60.4 last month, largely due to the slowdown in the services sector,” Bhandari added.Composite PMI indices are weighted averages of the manufacturing and services PMIs, adjusted to reflect their share in India’s GDP.





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