Business
India’s FDI Inflows May Shoot Past $100 Billion In 2025-26: Finance Ministry

New Delhi: Gross FDI coming into India stood at $25.2 billion in Q1 FY26, compared with $22.8 billion in Q1 FY25, representing a robust double-digit growth of 10.5 per cent over the same quarter of the previous year, and if this trend is maintained in the coming quarters, it would result in annual gross FDI inflows of around $100 billion, according to the Finance Ministry’s monthly review released on Friday.
There are notable improvements in equity inflows, while the incidence of repatriations remains broadly at the same level as in Q1 FY25. As a result, net FDI inflows stood at $4.9 billion in Q1 FY26. Additionally, it is pertinent to note that the gross FDI reached a four-year high in June 2025, the review states.
In the Q1 FY26, India’s current account deficit stood at $2.4 billion (0.2 per cent of GDP), declining from $8.6 billion (0.9 per cent of the GDP) during Q1 FY25, mainly driven by higher net invisible receipts, mainly representing remittances, it further states.
Net services receipts increased to $47.9 billion in Q1FY26 from $39.7 billion in Q1 FY25, representing a year-on-year (YoY) increase of 20.7 per cent. Remittance inflows reached $33.2 billion in Q1FY26, registering a 16.1 per cent YoY increase. These inflows now comprise 13 per cent of total current account receipts in Q1FY26 and play a crucial role in supporting household consumption and maintaining macroeconomic stability.
In August 2025, foreign portfolio investment (FPI) saw net outflows of $2.3 billion, primarily due to equity outflows amounting to $4 billion. This was partially offset by net inflows of $1.4 billion into the debt segment. As of September 12, the foreign exchange reserves stand at a level of $703 billion, providing an import cover of 11.6 months and around 94.8 per cent of India’s total external debt outstanding as of end-March 2025, the report observes.
The report also highlights that persistent shocks, including tariff uncertainties, geopolitical tensions, and disruptions in supply chains, have reshaped global trade dynamics. Historically, increases in uncertainty were episodic and relatively contained, as multilateral and regional agreements served as stabilising factors, mitigating abrupt policy shifts and providing predictability to global markets. Against this backdrop, in 2025, uncertainty reached unprecedented levels, posing considerable challenges for global trade, the report added.
Business
Dhanteras Engine Fires Up Auto Market: Over 1 lakh Cars Delivered In 24 Hours

New Delhi: The festive spirit roared through India’s automobile market this Dhanteras, as automakers clocked record-breaking deliveries, crossing the 100,000 mark within just 24 hours, according to industry sources. Driven by robust festive demand and the positive impact of GST 2.0 reforms, the auto sector saw one of its strongest single-day performances in years.
According to industry estimates, these deliveries translated into sales worth Rs 8,500–10,000 crore in a single day, based on an average vehicle price of Rs 8.5–10 lakh. Leading carmakers including Maruti Suzuki India (MSIL), Tata Motors Passenger Vehicles, and Hyundai Motor India (HMIL) reported record sales this festive season, as consumer confidence hit a high gear.
Amit Kamat, Chief Commercial Officer at Tata Motors Passenger Vehicles Ltd, said that this year’s Dhanteras and Diwali deliveries were spread over two to three days, aligning with auspicious muhurat timings.
“Overall demand has been robust, and the GST 2.0 reform has further provided positive momentum. We expect to deliver over 25,000 vehicles during this period,” he noted. Echoing the sentiment, Tarun Garg, Whole-time Director and COO of Hyundai Motor India Ltd, said the company witnessed strong customer demand, with deliveries expected to touch around 14,000 units — nearly 20 per cent higher than last year.
The broader festive season has also fuelled consumer spending across other sectors. Gold and silver sales surged over 25 per cent in value, while overall Dhanteras trade was estimated to have crossed Rs 1 lakh crore, according to the Confederation of All India Traders (CAIT).
The All India Gem and Jewellery Domestic Council (GJC) reported strong buying activity following a sharp correction in gold prices. “We expect festive sales to cross Rs 50,000 crore this season. Despite high gold and silver prices, consumer sentiment is upbeat, driven by early wedding purchases and strategic festive buying,” said GJC Chairman Rajesh Rokde.
From automobiles to jewellery, the Diwali season has brought a wave of optimism to India’s retail landscape. Experts say the combination of festive spirit, economic recovery, and tax reforms under GST 2.0 has reignited consumer sentiment — making this one of the most buoyant festive seasons in recent memory.
Business
RBI Likely To Go In For Another Policy Rate Cut By Year-End: Report

Mumbai: The RBI is likely to go in for another policy rate cut before the end of the year, which, along with fiscal consolidation and domestic regulatory easing, would lead to a gradual recovery in credit demand, according to a Goldman Sachs report.
“We expect an additional policy rate cut before year-end, and the recent GST simplification signals that peak fiscal consolidation is behind us. We expect this, along with domestic regulatory easing, to foster a gradual recovery in credit demand,” the report said.
The report observes that the recent measures announced by the RBI should ease supply-side credit conditions; however, the extent of incremental lending will depend on the demand situation in the broader economy.
External headwinds continue to weigh on India’s outlook, including tighter US immigration costs for H-1B visas that affect Indian IT services, in addition to elevated US tariffs on Indian goods and “these factors could temper credit demand alongside broader macro uncertainty”, the report states.
India’s inflation rate based on the Consumer Price Index (CPI) declined to an over 8-year low of 1.54 per cent in September this year. This gives the RBI more space to focus on reducing the policy rate and injecting more liquidity into the economy to promote growth.
The RBI has raised its projection of India’s GDP growth rate to 6.8 per cent for 2025-26 from 6.5 per cent earlier, as the implementation of several growth-inducing structural reforms, including streamlining of GST, is expected to offset some of the adverse effects of the external headwinds, Reserve Bank Governor Sanjay Malhotra said earlier this month.
He pointed out that India’s GDP recorded a robust growth of 7.8 per cent in Q1:2025-26, driven by strong private consumption and fixed investment. On the supply side, growth in gross value added (GVA) at 7.6 per cent was led by a revival in manufacturing and steady expansion in services. Available high-frequency indicators suggest that economic activity continues to remain resilient.
Rural demand remains strong, riding on a good monsoon and robust agricultural activity, while urban demand is showing a gradual revival, the RBI Governor further stated.
Business
Ed Miliband hints at cut to VAT on energy bills

Becky MortonPolitical reporter

The government is looking at the possibility of cutting the rate of VAT on energy bills, Ed Miliband has suggested.
The energy secretary said he would not speculate ahead of the chancellor’s Budget in November.
But asked if the government would consider scrapping the 5% rate, he told the BBC the country was facing a “cost-of-living crisis that we need to address as a government” and “we’re looking at all of these issues”.
The government is under pressure to reduce household energy costs and before the election Labour pledged to lower average bills by £300 a year by 2030.
Miliband told the BBC’s Sunday with Laura Kuenssberg programme he stood by that promise but the reason bills were so high was “because of our dependence on fossil fuels”.
He added: “There is only one route to get bills down, which is to go for clean power, home-grown, clean energy, that we control, so we’re not at the behest of the petrol states and the dictators.”
Pressed over whether the government was considering scrapping the 5% VAT rate on energy bills in November’s Budget, Miliband said: “The whole of the government, including the chancellor, understand that we face an affordability crisis in this country.
“We face a cost-of-living crisis, a longstanding cost-of-living crisis, that we need to address as a government. We also face difficult fiscal circumstances… so obviously we’re looking at all of these issues.”
A Treasury spokesperson said: “We do not comment on speculation.”
Scrapping VAT on domestic energy bills would save the average household £86 per year and cost an estimated £2.5bn per year to implement, according to the charity Nesta.
There was a rapid spike in energy prices in 2021, following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, and although costs have gone down, they have remained high by historical standards.
This month bills went up by 2% for millions of households, under the energy regulator Ofgem’s price cap.
It means a household using a typical amount of energy will pay £1,755 a year, up £35 a year on the previous cap.

Earlier this week Chancellor Rachel Reeves told the BBC she was planning “targeted action to deal with cost-of-living challenges” in her Budget next month.
The BBC understands this could also include reducing some of the regulatory levies currently added to energy bills.
Levies known as “policy costs” – which are used to fund environmental and social schemes such as subsidies for renewables – made up around 16% of the average electricity bill and 6% of the average gas bill last year.
Some energy bosses have argued green levies are partly to blame for rising bills and the government’s independent adviser, the Climate Change Committee, has long recommended removing policy costs from electricity bills to help people feel the benefits of net-zero transition.
Asked whether these could be funded through taxes rather than coming off energy bills, Miliband said: “That’s always a judgement for the chancellor, but let’s be honest we know we’ve got really difficult fiscal circumstances that we inherited… but absolutely we look at those things.”
He argued the government had to invest in “aging electricity infrastructure” but there needed to be a “balance between public expenditure and levies”.
The cost of household energy bills has become a major political battleground, with the Conservatives and Reform UK blaming net-zero policies for higher prices.
The Conservatives have said they would scrap the Climate Change Act, which legally requires the UK government to reduce emissions to net zero by 2050, as well as ditch carbon taxes on electricity generation and cut a funding scheme for renewables.
Shadow energy secretary Claire Coutinho said her party’s plans would cut electricity bills for everyone by 20%.
“[The public] care about climate change but what I don’t think they are signing up for is much higher bills and jobs being lost to countries abroad,” she told the BBC.
In an interview with the same programme, Green Party leader Zack Polanski argued nationalising energy companies would help cut costs for customers.
His party has also proposed a new tax on carbon emissions to drive fossil fuels out of the economy and raise money to invest in the green transition.
Challenged over whether businesses would simply pass on these costs to customers, Polanski rejected this and said the tax would be “vital for tackling the climate crisis”.
“What we need to be doing is finding other ways to support particularly small and local businesses… We know the big corporations are destroying our environment, our democracy and our communities,” he said.
“They can make a profit, sure, but this isn’t about squeezing out every single profit they can make.”

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