Business
Reeves: Gatwick second runway shows Government ‘backing builders, not blockers’
Gatwick Airport’s £2.2 billion second runway plan could create thousands of jobs and help “kickstart the economy”, Chancellor Rachel Reeves said.
In the privately-financed project, the West Sussex airport will move its emergency runway 12 metres north, enabling it to be used for departures of narrow-bodied planes such as Airbus A320s and Boeing 737s.
This will enable it to be used for about 100,000 more flights a year.
Ms Reeves said: “This Government promised to kickstart the economy – and we are.
“A second runway at Gatwick means thousands of more jobs and billions more in investment for the economy.”
The Chancellor views the plan as a signal of the Government’s commitment to back “the builders, not the blockers”.
She said: “By slashing red tape and transforming the planning system to get Britain building again we are investing in this country’s renewal and building an economy that works for working people.”
Ms Reeves is keen to seize on any positive news for the economy as she prepares for her November 26 Budget against a backdrop of sluggish growth and inflation remaining stubbornly above target.
The Gatwick scheme has been given the go-ahead by Transport Secretary Heidi Alexander.
She backed the scheme as a “no-brainer” for economic growth, a Government source said, suggesting flights could take off from the new full runway before 2029.
The Cabinet minister is satisfied with adjustments made, covering issues such as noise mitigation and the proportion of passengers who would travel to and from the airport by public transport.
It comes after the Planning Inspectorate initially rejected the airport’s application and earlier this year recommended Ms Alexander should approve the project if the changes were made.
New commitments include Gatwick’s management setting its own targets for the proportion of passengers who travel to the airport by public transport, rather than a legally binding target.
Residents affected by more noise will be able to ask Gatwick to cover the costs for triple-glazed windows.
Homeowners living directly beneath the new flight routes who choose to sell could have their stamp duty and reasonable moving costs paid, as well as estate agent fees of up to 1% of the purchase price.
Gatwick says its plans will create £1 billion per year in economic benefits, and generate an additional 14,000 jobs.
A Government source told the PA news agency: “With capacity constraints holding back business, trade and tourism, this is a no-brainer for growth.
“This Government has taken unprecedented steps to get this done, navigating a needlessly complex planning system, which our reforms will simplify in future.
“It is possible that planes could be taking off from a new full runway at Gatwick before the next general election.”
The source said the expansion must be delivered in line with climate change commitments and meet strict environmental requirements.
Local campaigners opposed to expansion are concerned about the impact on surface transport, noise, housing provision and wastewater treatment, but the airport insists it has conducted “full and thorough assessments” of those issues.
CAGNE, an umbrella aviation community and environment group for Sussex, Surrey and Kent, said it stands ready to serve a judicial review funded by residents and environmental bodies.
The group said: “We know this Government cares little for the environmental impact aviation is having on our planet and Gatwick’s neighbours, but not to demand that Gatwick pays for the infrastructure, the onsite wastewater treatment plant, and noise impact is unlawful in our book.”
The Labour Government’s backing of a third runway at Heathrow Airport in its bid to grow the economy has also drawn criticism from environmental groups and opposition politicians.
The move was welcomed by shadow transport secretary Richard Holden, who accused Labour of delaying the “key” decision.
He said: “This decision should have been made months ago. Labour pledged to go ‘further and faster’ on growth, yet they’ve dithered and delayed at every turn.
“Pushing key decisions down the road has only created uncertainty for businesses and local communities.”
But Green Party leader Zack Polanski said: “Labour keeps wheeling out the same nonsense about growth, but at what cost? What this really means is more pollution, more noise for local communities, and no real economic benefit.”
Stewart Wingate, Vinci Airports managing director for the UK and former Gatwick chief executive, said: “After a lengthy and rigorous planning process, we welcome the Government’s approval of plans to bring our Northern Runway into routine use, ahead of the expected deadline.
“This is another important gateway in the planning process for this £2.2bn investment, which is fully funded by our shareholders and will unlock significant growth, tourism and trade benefits for London Gatwick and the UK and create thousands of jobs.
“As we’ve said previously, it is essential that any planning conditions enable us to realise the full benefits of the project and do not impose unnecessary constraints that make it uneconomic to invest in.
“We now need to carefully examine the details of the planning consent. Once we have done that, we will be able to comment further.”
European stocks rallied on Wednesday as comments from both sides of the Middle East war gave some conviction for a near-term end to hostilities.
“The market appears increasingly optimistic that an end to the war in Iran is in the offing as big gains in the US and Asia were matched in Europe,” said AJ Bell investment director Russ Mould.
The FTSE 100 closed up 188.34 points, 1.9%, at 10,364.79. The FTSE 250 ended up 484.48 points, 2.3%, at 21,688.19, and the AIM All-Share advanced 22.13 points, 3.1%, at 739.25.
On Wednesday, US President Donald Trump said that Iran had asked for a ceasefire but that the US would only consider this once the Strait of Hormuz, the vital oil and gas shipping route which Iran has effectively closed for most exports, is clear for shipping.
This came after Mr Trump told reporters on Tuesday the US would end operations in Iran “very soon”, perhaps within “two weeks, maybe three”.
The US president is due to make a televised address later on Wednesday.
Meanwhile, Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian said the Islamic republic had the “necessary will” to end the war, provided its enemies guaranteed it would not flare up again.
But Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu insisted that Israel would press ahead with its military campaign and that “we will continue to crush the terror regime”.
Brent oil traded lower at 101.83 dollars a barrel on Wednesday afternoon, from 107.38 dollars late on Tuesday.
In European equities on Wednesday, the CAC 40 in Paris closed up 2.1%, while the DAX 40 in Frankfurt rose 2.7%.
Stocks in New York were higher, extending Tuesday’s bumper gains. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 0.9%, as was the S&P 500 index, and the Nasdaq Composite advanced 1.3%.
Michael Brown, senior research strategist, at Pepperstone pointed out that amid the “euphoria, exuberance, and relief” which has driven a rebound in risk appetite over the last day or so, the surge in energy prices means that a rise in headline inflation over the next few months is, essentially, “baked in”.
“Added to which, considerably higher energy prices, and continued supply chain disruption, are likely to bring with them substantial growth headwinds, in turn amounting to a notable negative demand shock, which will likely weaken what is already very anaemic economic momentum, most notably in Europe,” he said.
Mr Brown does not think financial markets have “ignored” these risks, but are essentially “parking these worries, to be dealt with on some other day in the future”.
Reflecting these concerns, the Bank of England said the Middle East war had caused “a substantial negative supply shock to the global economy”, increasing risks to the financial system.
The central bank said the fallout will also weigh on economic growth and tighten financial conditions, such as restricted lending by banks.
“Adverse impacts on the global macroeconomy increase the likelihood that multiple vulnerabilities could crystallise at the same time, amplifying their effect on financial stability,” the Bank said in a quarterly update on identifying risks to financial stability.
Bank governor Andrew Bailey sought to dampen expectations of interest rate hikes.
In an interview with Reuters, Mr Bailey responded to market expectations for higher rates by commenting “that is a judgment markets have to make but I think they’re getting ahead of themselves”.
Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer said the UK could weather the economic storm caused by the Iran conflict but acknowledged the crisis will “affect the future of our country” as households faced higher fuel costs now and the prospect of energy bill hikes later this year.
The UK is leading a diplomatic initiative to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, but restoring the flow of global trade will not be easy, Sir Keir admitted.
Foreign Secretary Yvette Cooper will host an international meeting on Thursday to “assess all viable diplomatic and political measures” to reopen the strait, after 35 countries signed up to a statement expressing willingness to contribute to efforts to ensure safe passage for shipping.
The yield on the US 10-year Treasury narrowed to 4.31% on Wednesday from 4.33% on Tuesday. The yield on the US 30-year Treasury ebbed to 4.89% from 4.91%.
The pound rose to 1.3324 dollars on Wednesday afternoon from 1.3205 dollars at the equities close on Tuesday. Against the euro, sterling firmed to 1.1476 euro from 1.1463 euro.
The euro stood higher against the greenback at 1.1608 dollars from 1.1523 dollars. Against the yen, the dollar was trading lower at 158.66 yen compared to 159.02 yen.
On the FTSE 100, the risk-on mood saw gains for banks Lloyds, up 5.8%, NatWest, up 5.4%, and Barclays, up 5.1%.
British Airways owner, International Consolidated Airlines, flew 5.7% higher, budget airlines easyJet and Wizz Air soared 5.0% and 6.2% respectively.
But housebuilder Berkeley Group plunged 9.7% as its decision to halt land buying amid the uncertainty sparked by the Iran war sparked significant profit downgrades.
In an unscheduled trading update, the Surrey-based housebuilder said its fears, expressed in a recent trading statement, that the economic consequences of the conflict in the Middle East could reduce confidence in a near-term market recovery has “now become a reality”.
The builder said it is reducing work in progress investment to match current sales levels and will not acquire new land.
Berkeley anticipates delivering above £1.4 billion of pre-tax profit, over financial 2027 to 2030, which analysts at RBC Capital Markets said was 29% below Visible Alpha consensus of £1.98 billion.
Mr Mould said Berkeley has a “long-standing reputation for being adroit at calling the ups and downs of the property market”.
“In that context, the moves the company has announced today will make others sit up and take notice,” he said.
Rightmove fell 1.4% as it said it will “defend vigorously” a proposed class action claim filed against it, as estate agents accuse the firm of charging excessive fees.
The London-based online property portal confirmed it is aware of reports that an application to commence collective proceedings has been filed with the UK’s Competition Appeal Tribunal.
On the FTSE 250, Trustpilot climbed 7.3% as Panmure Liberum upgraded to “buy” from “hold”, while Raspberry Pi extended Tuesday’s bumper gains with a further 13% rise.
Gold traded at 4,781.92 dollars an ounce on Wednesday, up from 4,613.15 dollars at the same time on Tuesday.
The biggest risers on the FTSE 100 were Babcock International, up 110.0p at 1,268.0p, Rolls Royce, up 75.0p at 1,207.0p, 3i Group, up 146.0p at 2,584.0p, Endeavour Mining, up 260.0p at 4,720.0p and Fresnillo, up 192.0p at 4,720.0p.
The biggest fallers on the FTSE 100 were Berkeley Group, down 332.0p at 3,104.0p, BP, down 30.3p at 576.0p, Shell, down 139.5p at 3,443.5p, Rightmove, down 6.0p at 422.9p and British American Tobacco, down 58.0p at 4,313.0p.
Thursday’s global economic calendar has trade figures in the US and Canada, and US weekly jobless claims.
Thursday’s domestic corporate calendar has half year results from Baillie Gifford Japan Trust.
– Contributed by Alliance News
Britain’s manufacturing sector has seen the biggest monthly jump in input prices for more than 30 years as the Iran war wreaks havoc on supply chains, according to a survey.
The S&P Global UK manufacturing purchasing managers’ index (PMI) survey, watched closely by economists, showed that the input price inflation index jumped by 15 points between February and March – the biggest rise since the UK withdrew from the European Exchange Mechanism (ERM) on so-called Black Wednesday in 1992.
The report also showed that delivery delays worsened due to the Middle East conflict as ships have been forced to re-route around the blocked Strait of Hormuz, which is a key shipping route.
Manufacturing production also contracted for the first time in six months in March, according to the survey.
Overall activity slipped back, with the PMI recording a reading of 51 in March, down from 51.7 in February and lower than the 51.4 flash estimate earlier this month.
Any reading above 50 indicates that activity is growing while any score below means it is contracting.
Rob Dobson, director at S&P Global Market Intelligence, said: “UK manufacturing output contracted for the first time in six months in March, as the war in the Middle East and ongoing concerns about domestic economic policy led to a scaling back of production.
“The impact of the war also caused noticeable shifts in the cost and supply chain backdrops.
“Delivery times lengthened to the greatest extent since mid-2022, while the acceleration in input price inflation was the steepest since the aftermath of the UK’s withdrawal from the ERM in 1992.”
The survey found that almost half of companies (49%) reported an increase in purchase prices, while only 2% saw a decrease last month.
It said the Iran conflict had a “marked” impact on supply chains, with average vendor delivery times growing by the most in more than four-and-a-half years.
The survey also showed an impact on jobs in the sector, with the latest round of cuts the steepest since last September.
But there was a chink of light with new orders remaining resilient as they rose for the fourth successive month in March, albeit at a slower pace than in February.
Mr Dobson said: “This suggests that the drop in production is currently more of a supply issue than one caused by an outright downturn in demand, though it’s hard to see how demand can prove resilient in the face of current high energy prices and economic uncertainty unless there’s a swift resolution to the war in the Middle East.”
Expert Mike Thornton, head of industrials at RSM UK, said: “The control of the Strait of Hormuz is one of the biggest commercial issues for manufacturers and issues will pile up the longer access is blocked.
“The increase in energy costs will be a persistent headwind, but worries relating to supply chain disruption are growing.”
A separate report from banking giant Barclays on Wednesday showed firms are already taking action to offset trading and cost pressures from the Iran war, with 43% seeing shipping and logistics costs hitting their profitability.
The lender’s business prosperity index revealed almost four in 10 (37%) are reducing their energy use or boosting supply chain efficiency, while nearly a third (32%) have changed their pricing to offset rising costs.
More than a third (34%) of the 500 business leaders polled for the survey are planning to pass on higher costs to consumers.
And over a quarter (29%) are cutting non-essential spending or wider operational costs, according to the report.
The U.S. Food and Drug Administration approved Eli Lilly‘s GLP-1 pill, the company said, a major milestone for the Indianapolis-based drugmaker and one that will test the market for new weight-loss medications.
Lilly said the once-daily pill, Foundayo, will start shipping from direct-to-consumer platform LillyDirect on Monday and will be available at pharmacies and on telehealth platforms “shortly after.” People with insurance coverage could pay $25 a month with a coupon from Lilly, while people paying out of pocket could pay between $149 and $349, depending on the dose.
The approval comes just a few months after Lilly submitted the drug to the FDA as part of a program that grants speedy reviews for drugs that are considered national priority interests. That means Lilly will introduce its Foundayo only about three months behind Novo Nordisk’s Wegovy pill, setting the stage for the next battle between the rival drugmakers in the next frontier for GLP-1 drugs.
“It’s a big moment,” Eli Lilly CEO Dave Ricks said in an interview with CNBC. “We’ve obviously been working in this category of medicines for a while with the first GLP-1 medication 20 years ago and improving ever since. Here is an option that’s not more effective … but it’s more accessible, it’s easier to fit into your daily routine.”
Lilly licensed the molecule, orforglipron, from Japanese drugmaker Chugai in 2018, paying just $50 million upfront for global rights to the drug. But there are still questions about how big the drug will become. It doesn’t produce as much weight loss as Lilly’s best-selling shot Zepbound. Millions of people are already used to the routine of injecting themselves once a week.
Eli Lilly Foundayo GLP-1 weight loss pill.
Courtesy: Eli Lilly
Analysts estimate Foundayo sales will reach $14.79 billion by 2030, according to FactSet. That compares to expectations of $24.68 billion for the weight-loss drug Zepbound and $44.87 billion for Mounjaro, which is marketed for diabetes in the U.S. and obesity and diabetes in the rest of the world.
Ricks said shots haven’t been as big of a barrier to uptake as Lilly once thought they would be. He still sees Foundayo as an attractive option for people who would rather take a pill or who are searching for a lower price than the injectables.
He sees it playing a role in maintenance, for people who achieve their goal weight with a shot and want to keep the weight off. And he sees Foundayo as a way to “reach the planet” without manufacturing constraints or cold-chain requirements that come with Zepbound.
Foundayo is a small molecule whereas Zepbound and Wegovy are peptides, which require more intensive manufacturing processes, a barrier Ricks thinks will hinder generic versions of Wegovy that have recently launched in some other countries like India.
“[Foundayo] does allow for scalability, and that will allow us to launch this globally on the first instance,” Ricks said. “So today, you can get the oral [Wegovy] in the U.S., but you really can’t get it elsewhere. This will be marketed around the world. As soon as we have regulatory approvals, we essentially have as much scale as we need to supply the world with an oral GLP-1 inhibitor.”
Lilly expects approval for Foundayo in more than 40 countries over the next year. The company since 2020 has invested more than $55 billion in manufacturing, which includes opening new sites and expanding existing plants to produce the pill.
In the U.S., Lilly will compete with Novo’s newly launched Wegovy pill. Early demand for that pill has been stronger than expected, with Novo reporting more than 600,000 prescriptions in March.
Novo CEO Mike Doustdar told CNBC in February that one of the earliest takeaways from the launch is that the pill appears to be expanding the obesity treatment market, drawing in new patients rather than converting existing ones from injections. Ricks agreed with that assessment and said Lilly doesn’t care whether people take Foundayo or Zepbound.
“We want people to be on the medicine that meets their health goals,” Ricks said. “If it has Lilly on the box, that’s the goal we have.”
Novo plans to argue that the Wegovy pill is more effective than Foundayo. The Wegovy pill showed around 16.6% weight loss on average in a late-stage trial, while Lilly’s oral drug caused roughly 12.4% on average in a separate study, when analyzing patients who stayed on treatment. Lilly’s Zepbound has consistently shown it can help people lose more than 20% of their body weight.
Meanwhile, Lilly plans to tout the fact that Foundayo can be taken any time without any restrictions, while the Wegovy pill needs to be taken first thing in the morning on an empty stomach with only a few ounces of water.
Where the two drugs are the same is the starting price. The lowest doses of both drugs will cost $149 for cash-paying customers thanks to an agreement the companies struck with the Trump administration last fall. And price is the most important factor for patients, said Dr. Nidhi Kansal, an obesity medicine doctor at Northwestern Medicine.
“Unfortunately, price is what is driving the decision making between clinicians and patients for these drugs because they’re all excellent drugs and we have lots of options now, but it’s still a financial decision at the end of the day,” Kansal said.
The lower price point and the approachability of a pill versus a shot opens up the market to casually interested patients, said BMO Capital Markets analyst Evan David Seigerman. Seniors on Medicare will be able to access Foundayo and other GLP-1 obesity medicines for $50 a month starting this summer as part of Lilly and Novo’s deals with the Trump administration. Ricks expects a “pretty robust” response to the program, which Lilly built into its financial guidance for the year.
Analysts say a successful launch of Foundayo is key to Lilly’s stock recovering from recent weakness. The company’s shares have fallen about 14% this year after a meteoric rise that briefly made Lilly the first trillion dollar market cap health-care company. Sales are a lagging indicator, so analysts will be tracking prescriptions to monitor uptake of the pill, said Cantor Fitzgerald analyst Carter Gould.
“If scripts are going in the right direction, and you’re seeing the continued gains, my guess is people will look through any sort of choppiness around [the first or second quarter],” Gould said.
Another factor for Lilly’s performance this year is a forthcoming readout for its more potent obesity shot, retatrutide. The company has already shared some late-stage data on that drug, but the most important trial is one studying the treatment specifically for weight loss. If retatrutide lives up to its expectations, Lilly would be on its way to creating a portfolio of obesity medicines.
“The future will be more choices, and that’s a great thing,” Ricks said. “And we hope Lilly is the one presenting those choices.”
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