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UK Government bond sell-off eases after Budget date confirmed

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UK Government bond sell-off eases after Budget date confirmed



UK long-term borrowing costs have eased back from fresh 27-year highs after the Treasury revealed the keenly-awaited autumn Budget will take place on November 26 – also helping to take the pressure off the pound.

The yield on 30-year UK Government bonds – also known as gilts – edged lower to 5.691% at one stage, having earlier hit a new high not seen since 1998.

Gilt yields move counter to the value of the bonds, meaning their prices fall when yields rise.

The pound, which suffered hefty losses on Tuesday, also reversed early session falls to stand 0.1% higher at 1.341 US dollars and was flat at 1.15 euros.

Financial markets have been heavily focused on the upcoming Budget, with the sell-off in gilts largely down to worries over Britain’s public finances and as investors look for reassurances on how Ms Reeves will plug a black hole in the nation’s public finances – estimated by some to be as much as £51 billion.

But recent pressure on gilts have also come amid a bond sell-off globally, with European and US government bonds likewise seeing yields jump due to political uncertainty and public finance concerns.

Japan was the latest to see its 30-year yield sent soaring as it hit an all-time high on worries over rising debts.

The Governor of the Bank of England has stressed that rising UK long-term government borrowing costs are part of a global pattern and said it is “important not to focus too much” on longer-term bond yields.

It came after the yield on 30-year Government bonds, called gilts, rose to a 27-year high earlier on Wednesday before dropping back later in the session.

Andrew Bailey told the Treasury Select Committee: “We’ve seen a steepening of yield curves across the developed world – the underlying driver of this is global.

“When you look at UK yields regarding the steepening, we are broadly in the middle of the pack. Germany and Japan have gone up significantly more than us, the US less than us.

“It’s important not to focus too much on the 30-year-bond rate.

“It’s a number that gets quoted a lot. It is quite a high number but it is not what is being used for funding at all at the moment actually.

“There is a lot of dramatic commentary on this but I wouldn’t exaggerate the 30-year bond rate.”

Rising yields on these bonds mean it costs more for governments to borrow from financial markets.

But experts believe a driver of weakness in the UK bond market this week could have been compounded by concerns over the Prime Minister’s Government reshuffle on Monday and Chancellor Rachel Reeves’s position.

No 10 insisted on Tuesday that the Chancellor’s authority was not being dealt a blow by Sir Keir Starmer’s shake-up in a bid to calm market jitters.

This week’s reshuffle saw the Chancellor’s deputy, Darren Jones, move into a new role as chief secretary to the Prime Minister.

Health Secretary Wes Streeting told Sky News: “The Chancellor, since she came in last year, has been determined to restore stability to our economy, to get growth back into our economy, and to create the conditions where we can get the nation’s finances back to health.”

He said while there are “encouraging signs”, there is “much more to do”.

Mr Streeting added: “Britain is not out of the woods, and that is why the discipline and the focus that she (the Chancellor) has brought on cost of living, on economic growth and creating the conditions for businesses to be successful is really important, and the discipline we show as a Cabinet in terms of public spending is really important.”

London’s FTSE 100 Index lifted 35.6 points to 9152.3 in Wednesday mid-morning trading, while gold earlier hit new record highs once again – above 3,530 US dollars – as nervous investors flocked to the safe haven asset.

Kathleen Brooks, research director at XTB, said the “focus is likely to remain on the Budget for some time” and cautioned that bond markets will continue to see volatility.

She said: “UK bond yields have been on an upward trajectory for most of this year and have risen significantly since Labour took office.

“The bond market will need some hefty persuading that Labour will rein in public sector spending and bring the UK’s finances under control.

“This is why we expect to see bouts of UK bond market volatility in the coming months.”



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Coca-Cola tops earnings and revenue estimates but says demand for drinks is still soft

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Coca-Cola tops earnings and revenue estimates but says demand for drinks is still soft


Sina Schuldt | Picture Alliance | Getty Images

Coca-Cola reported its fiscal third-quarter earnings before the bell on Tuesday.

Here’s what the company reported compared with what Wall Street analysts surveyed by LSEG were expecting:

  • Adjusted earnings per share: 82 cents adjusted vs. 78 cents expected
  • Adjusted revenue: $12.41 billion adjusted vs. $12.39 billion expected



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India Sees Sharp Surge In SME IPOs, Supported By Strong Retail Participation, Market Sentiment

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India Sees Sharp Surge In SME IPOs, Supported By Strong Retail Participation, Market Sentiment


New Delhi: The SME IPO market in India saw a sharp surge in activity during the financial year 2023-24 (FY 2023-24) and FY 2024-25, supported by strong retail participation and favourable market sentiment, the latest Reserve Bank of India (RBI) October Bulletin has said. 

Small and medium enterprises had raised Rs 5,917.19 crore in FY24, to which Rs 5,660.93 crore (94.80 per cent) was raised issuing fresh shares and Rs 310.26 crore (5.19 per cent) through offer for sale (OFS).

The numbers soared significantly in FY25, with SMEs raising Rs 9,110.97 crore. Fresh issues (Rs 8,344.37 crore) contributed 91.5 per cent, while the OFS part was Rs 775.6 crore or 8.5 per cent.

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Most of the SME IPOs, during this period, recorded high oversubscription levels and listing gains.

According to the Bulletin, Macroeconomic and policy factors like overall market buoyancy and advancement in payment and settlement mechanisms in the IPO market drove this boom.

The SME firms used most of the raised funds for capital enhancement or working capital. However, despite robust listing gains, post-listing performances of these SME stocks reveal both opportunities and risks for the investors.

“While the buzz around SME IPOs may seem exciting, investing solely on market sentiment can be risky. During bullish phases in the market, enthusiasm and investors’ appetite may cause investors to overlook due diligence. In this phase, demand for IPOs surges, and expectations of substantial listing gains can lead to inflated valuations,” the Bulletin said.

However, market reversals can quickly dampen this optimism. SME IPOs may offer impressive gains in favourable conditions but carry higher volatility and risk during downturns, making due diligence indispensable.

Investors should carefully evaluate the company’s fundamentals, growth prospects, and risk factors before committing capital, the bulletin suggested.

Meanwhile, given the strong growth of start-ups in India, most of which have innovative business models, the provision of risk capital for these firms becomes crucial.

Keeping in view the spurt of SME IPOs in recent months and the associated challenges from the perspective of investor protection, SEBI, in consultation with NSE, BSE and merchant bankers, had initiated the review of the IPO framework for the SME segment.

These measures aim to reduce information asymmetry and regulatory arbitrage, ensure proper utilisation of IPO proceeds, prevent market manipulation, and protect retail investors, the bulletin noted.



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Muhurat Trading 2025 Live Updates: Special One-Hour Market Session Today; RIL, HDFC Bank, SBI In Focus

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Muhurat Trading 2025 Live Updates: Special One-Hour Market Session Today; RIL, HDFC Bank, SBI In Focus


Diwali Muhurat Trading 2025 Time Live Updates: The special one-hour Muhurat trading session on both the BSE and the NSE will take place between 1:45 pm and 2:45 pm on October 21, with a pre-opening session from 1:30 pm to 1:45 pm, as per exchange notifications. The new session also ushers in Vikram Samvat 2082, the Hindu New Year that begins on Diwali. Traditionally, trading during the ‘Muhurat’ session, the auspicious hour, is believed to bring prosperity and financial growth to investors.

According to official schedules, all trades executed during the Muhurat session will carry regular settlement obligations, meaning delivery and payment duties for buyers and sellers will be settled as on any normal trading day.

V K Vijayakumar, chief investment strategist at Geojit Investments Ltd, said, “The important takeaway from Samvat 2081 is India’s huge underperformance. Even though there are many reasons, including Trump tariffs, for this underperformance, the single major factor is the sharp decline in India’s earnings growth to 5 per cent in FY25 from average 24 per cent during the three years before that. Since ‘in the long run, the market is a slave of earnings’ the major trend, going forward, will depend on how earnings growth pans out. The fiscal and monetary reforms implemented this year has started showing results.”

Particularly, the sales of automobiles and white goods have shot up early this festive season and, if this trend sustains, earnings growth will be good at around 8 per cent to 10 per cent in FY 26, accelerating to around 15 per cent in FY27. If this expectation materialises, the market will rally in Samvat 2082 compensating for the underperformance of Samvat 2081. In the short run the market may get a leg up from a possible India- US trade deal, but the long-term trend will be dictated by earnings growth, he added.

Muhurat trading is a long-standing Diwali tradition first introduced by the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) in 1957, and later adopted by the National Stock Exchange (NSE) in 1992.

Historically, brokers performed Chopda Pujan, a ritualistic worship of account books, during this auspicious hour to mark the beginning of the new financial year with prosperity and good fortune.

Technical View

Rupak De, senior technical analyst at LKP Securities, said, “The market started with a gap-up (in the previous session on Monday) and remained volatile throughout the day. On the higher end, Nifty touched a high of 25,926 before closing around 25,850. Though there was some profit-taking at higher levels, the overall sentiment is likely to remain strong, with the potential to reach 26,000-26,200 in the short term. The technical setup remains positive as long as the index stays above 25,700, below which it may move back into consolidation.”



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