Fashion
6-9% revenue dip for Indian RMG exporters, US market share to drop
Margins in the sector are likely to contract by 200-300 basis points (bps) due to discounts or inability to fully pass on tariffs.
US market share in Indian apparel exports is set to shrink following US tariff hike, with apparel exporters seeing a 6-9 per cent dip in revenues in FY26, ICRA recently projected.
Margins in the sector are likely to contract by 200-300 bps due to discounts or inability to fully pass on tariffs.
Moderation in credit metrics is envisaged for apparel and home textile exporters.
Moderation in credit metrics is envisaged for apparel and home textile exporters, ICRA said in a note.
The United States and European markets continue to be the major markets for Indian apparel exporters, accounting for 33-34 per cent and 31-32 per cent share respectively in FY25 and Q1 FY26.
Asian countries, namely Vietnam, China, Bangladesh, India, Indonesia, Cambodia and Pakistan, collectively represent 70 per cent of apparel imports by the United States.
The United States has been the topmost destination for apparel exports for India, accounting for a third of the share of total exports in 2024. In the home textiles segment as well, the country is a key market, accounting for 59 per cent share in 2024. In the cotton yarn segment, the US share in India’s exports is less than 1 per cent and will have a negligible impact.
While India was at a competitive position initially as the tariff actions were much steeper in other key competing nations like China, Bangladesh and Cambodia. But after the United States imposed a 50-per cent tariff on Indian apparel imports, Indian garments became significantly more expensive compared to those from other key competing nations, which face lesser tariffs.
While the recently concluded trade deal between India and the United Kingdom could lead to a shift in trade volumes to the UK market, ICRA expects a larger impact over the longer term as the validation process from customers usually consumes time.
At a broader level, entities have not yet experienced significant disruption, as orders are typically placed three to four months in advance and most exports are conducted on free-on-board (FOB) basis.
While a large portion of shipments was expedited before imposition of the additional tariffs, the impact is expected to be more pronounced in the second half (H2) of this fiscal as the tariff burden renders India less competitive.
Entities were largely able to pass on the initial 25 per cent tariff increase to customers, offering only minor discounts. However, full clarity on pricing implications following the additional 25 per cent penalty tariff is still awaited. ICRA anticipates margin contraction for textile manufacturers in H2 FY26.
Entities with diversified manufacturing facilities across other geographies (like Sri Lanka, Bangladesh, Vietnam, Africa, etc) are expected to redirect orders to these locations, thereby mitigating the impact.
Players in the sector also expect supportive measures from the government to help navigate the current challenges.
Fibre2Fashion News Desk (DS)
Fashion
South Indian cotton yarn under pressure on weak demand
In the Mumbai market, cotton yarn prices remained unchanged as the loom sector slowed production. Although spinning mills are looking to raise their selling rates, they have not found sufficient demand. A Mumbai-based trader told Fibre*Fashion, “Power and auto looms are facing limited fabric buying from the garment industry. Export prospects are still unclear. Domestic demand is also insufficient to support any price rise. Mills are comfortable with falling cotton prices, while buyers remain silent on yarn purchases.”
In Mumbai, ** carded yarn of warp and weft varieties were traded at ****;*,***–*,*** (~$**.**–**.**) and ****;*,***–*,*** per * kg (~$**.**–**.**) (excluding GST), respectively. Other prices include ** combed warp at ****;***–*** (~$*.**–*.**) per kg, ** carded weft at ****;*,***–*,*** (~$**.**–**.** per *.* kg, **/** carded warp at ****;***–*** (~$*.**–*.**) per kg, **/** carded warp at ****;***–*** (~$*.**–*.**) per kg and **/** combed warp at ****;***–*** (~$*.**–*.**) per kg, according to trade sources.
Fashion
Bangladesh–US tariff deal may have limited impact on India
Bangladesh is already among the top suppliers of apparel to the US, particularly in basic knit and woven categories such as T-shirts, trousers and sweaters. A tariff advantage, even if modest, could sharpen its price competitiveness in high-volume, price-sensitive segments dominated by mass retailers.
The proposed Bangladesh–US trade understanding offering near zero-tariff access for garments has sparked debate in India’s textile sector.
While Bangladesh may gain a price edge in basic apparel, industry leaders believe the effective advantage could be limited to 2–3 per cent due to raw material dependence, capacity constraints and logistics costs.
However, Indian industry leaders argue that the net gain for Bangladesh may be restricted to around 2–3 per cent in effective competitiveness. They point to structural constraints, including Bangladesh’s heavy reliance on imported raw materials. A significant share of its fabric and yarn requirements is sourced from China and India, limiting flexibility in rules-of-origin compliance if strict value-addition conditions are attached to the deal.
Capacity limitations in spinning, weaving and man-made fibre processing are also seen as bottlenecks. While Bangladesh has built scale in garmenting, its upstream integration remains narrower than India’s diversified fibre-to-fashion base. Indian exporters emphasise that integrated supply chains offer advantages in speed, customisation and smaller batch production.
Logistics and lead times may further temper expectations. Distance from major US ports, coupled with infrastructure pressures and global shipping volatility, could offset part of the tariff benefit. In contrast, Indian suppliers have been investing in port connectivity, digital compliance systems and flexible production models to strengthen reliability.
Industry representatives also highlight that US buyers are increasingly factoring in sustainability, traceability and geopolitical risk. India’s growing adoption of renewable energy in textile clusters, compliance with global standards and broader product depth may help it retain strategic sourcing partnerships.
While some diversion of orders in basic categories cannot be ruled out, exporters believe the overall impact will be incremental rather than disruptive. The consensus view is that tariff preference alone is unlikely to override considerations of scale, compliance, diversification and long-term supply-chain resilience.
Fibre2Fashion News Desk (KUL)
Fashion
US lawmakers introduce Last Sale Valuation Act to end customs loophole
“This bill protects Louisiana workers and American businesses, ensuring loopholes don’t hold them back,” Dr Cassidy said in a press release.
US Senators Bill Cassidy and Sheldon Whitehouse have introduced the Last Sale Valuation Act to close the ‘first sale’ customs loophole that lets importers underpay duties.
The bipartisan bill would base tariffs on final sale values, strengthen US Customs enforcement and curb duty evasion.
Supporters say it will protect American manufacturers, workers and federal revenue.
If passed, the bipartisan measure would grant clearer enforcement authority to US Customs and Border Protection (CBP), streamline valuation reviews and reduce disputes over documentation, while curbing mis-invoicing and related-party pricing schemes linked to tariff evasion and illicit financial activity.
The legislation has drawn support from the American Compass, the Coalition for a Prosperous America and the Southern Shrimp Alliance.
“Cassidy’s ‘Last Sale Valuation Act’ strengthens customs valuation by assessing duties on the final transaction value of goods entering the US,” said Mark A DiPlacido, senior political economist at the American Compass, adding that closing the judicially created ‘first sale’ loophole would reduce duty evasion, simplify enforcement and increase customs revenue.
Jon Toomey, president of the Coalition for a Prosperous America, said the bill is “an important first step in restoring customs integrity,” ensuring duties are paid on the true commercial value of imported goods and helping level the playing field for American manufacturers and workers.
Fibre2Fashion News Desk (CG)
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