Fashion
6-9% revenue dip for Indian RMG exporters, US market share to drop
Margins in the sector are likely to contract by 200-300 basis points (bps) due to discounts or inability to fully pass on tariffs.
US market share in Indian apparel exports is set to shrink following US tariff hike, with apparel exporters seeing a 6-9 per cent dip in revenues in FY26, ICRA recently projected.
Margins in the sector are likely to contract by 200-300 bps due to discounts or inability to fully pass on tariffs.
Moderation in credit metrics is envisaged for apparel and home textile exporters.
Moderation in credit metrics is envisaged for apparel and home textile exporters, ICRA said in a note.
The United States and European markets continue to be the major markets for Indian apparel exporters, accounting for 33-34 per cent and 31-32 per cent share respectively in FY25 and Q1 FY26.
Asian countries, namely Vietnam, China, Bangladesh, India, Indonesia, Cambodia and Pakistan, collectively represent 70 per cent of apparel imports by the United States.
The United States has been the topmost destination for apparel exports for India, accounting for a third of the share of total exports in 2024. In the home textiles segment as well, the country is a key market, accounting for 59 per cent share in 2024. In the cotton yarn segment, the US share in India’s exports is less than 1 per cent and will have a negligible impact.
While India was at a competitive position initially as the tariff actions were much steeper in other key competing nations like China, Bangladesh and Cambodia. But after the United States imposed a 50-per cent tariff on Indian apparel imports, Indian garments became significantly more expensive compared to those from other key competing nations, which face lesser tariffs.
While the recently concluded trade deal between India and the United Kingdom could lead to a shift in trade volumes to the UK market, ICRA expects a larger impact over the longer term as the validation process from customers usually consumes time.
At a broader level, entities have not yet experienced significant disruption, as orders are typically placed three to four months in advance and most exports are conducted on free-on-board (FOB) basis.
While a large portion of shipments was expedited before imposition of the additional tariffs, the impact is expected to be more pronounced in the second half (H2) of this fiscal as the tariff burden renders India less competitive.
Entities were largely able to pass on the initial 25 per cent tariff increase to customers, offering only minor discounts. However, full clarity on pricing implications following the additional 25 per cent penalty tariff is still awaited. ICRA anticipates margin contraction for textile manufacturers in H2 FY26.
Entities with diversified manufacturing facilities across other geographies (like Sri Lanka, Bangladesh, Vietnam, Africa, etc) are expected to redirect orders to these locations, thereby mitigating the impact.
Players in the sector also expect supportive measures from the government to help navigate the current challenges.
Fibre2Fashion News Desk (DS)
Fashion
Vietnam targets GDP growth of at least 10% in 2026
The Ministry of Finance is giving the final touches to a draft resolution that lays out an initial road map to achieve these numbers.
Vietnam’s National Assembly recently approved several socio-economic targets for next year that include GDP growth of at least 10 per cent, GDP per capita of $5,400-$5,500, a rise in consumer price index of around 4.5 per cent and labour productivity gains of 8.5 per cent.
Exports are expected to rise by about 8 per cent in 2026, while retail sales of goods and services are targeted to rise by 11 per cent.
Total social investment is projected at nearly 4.93 quadrillion VND ($189 billion)—up by 18.7 per cent year on year (YoY) and equivalent to 33-33.7 per cent of GDP.
Exports are expected to rise by about 8 per cent in 2026, delivering a trade surplus of around $28 billion, while retail sales of goods and services are targeted to rise by 11 per cent, with a stretch target of 12 per cent.
Industrial hubs like Hanoi, Ho Chi Minh City, Hai Phong, Quang Ninh, Da Nang and Dong Nai are also chasing double-digit gains.
Less affluent provinces like Son La, Gia Lai, Dak Lak, Vinh Long, Dong Thap and Ca Mau are also targeting 8-per cent or better regional GDP growth, a domestic news agency reported.
The National Assembly has outlined 11 key task groups and solutions. The government has instructed relevant agencies to break these down into concrete, actionable plans under the resolution.
Core focuses include accelerating institutional reforms for greater transparency, consistency and equity in investment and business rules to unlock productive forces and pool resources; advancing a new growth model and economic restructuring; and ensuring timely delivery of strategic and critical infrastructure projects.
Fibre2Fashion News Desk (DS)
Fashion
China’s electricity demand remains robust in November
Power use rose 6.2 per cent year on year (YoY) to 835.6 billion kilowatt-hours in November. Electricity consumption in the secondary industry increased by 4.4 per cent, reflecting stable industrial activity.
China’s electricity consumption grew steadily in November, indicating resilient economic activity, as per official data.
Power use rose 6.2 per cent YoY to 835.6 billion kilowatt-hours, with secondary industry consumption up 4.4 per cent.
Residential demand increased 9.8 per cent.
In the first eleven months, total electricity consumption climbed 5.2 per cent YoY to about 9.46 trillion kilowatt-hours.
Residential electricity uses also remained robust, rising 9.8 per cent to 105.7 billion kilowatt-hours during the month, as per Chinese media reports.
In the first eleven months of the year, China’s total electricity consumption grew 5.2 per cent YoY to approximately 9.46 trillion kilowatt-hours, pointing to sustained demand despite broader economic challenges.
Fibre2Fashion News Desk (SG)
Fashion
Climate change may hit RMG export earnings of 4 nations by 2030: Study
This translates to a 22-per cent reduction in export earnings versus a climate-adaptive scenario.
The apparel industries in Vietnam, Cambodia, Pakistan and Bangladesh may lose up to $65.8 billion in export earnings by 2030 and create a million fewer jobs due to the impact of climate changes if they make no efforts to manage heat stress and higher flooding, a study revealed.
Under the no-adaptation scenario, estimates for export earnings by 2050 are 68.8 per cent lower than in the adaptation scenario.
The estimates for 2050 are even worse. With the compounding effect of slower growth under the no-adaptation scenario, estimates for export earnings are 68.8 per cent lower than in the adaptation scenario.
The analysis also predicts that in these four countries, the employment levels in a no-adaptation scenario would be 8.64 million lower in 2050 than in the adaptative scenario.
The International Labour Organization’s Better Work team offered inputs for the study.
Extreme weather is already disrupting production, delaying orders and threatening workers’ health and incomes. As heat waves and floods become more severe and frequent, worker health, productivity, job creation, and earnings are increasingly at risk, Better Work said in a release.
Despite these challenges, there is reason for optimism. Action is under way across the apparel sector. Governments are introducing and enforcing new standards on workplace heat, ventilation, rest breaks, and access to water.
Global brands are adopting voluntary standards to better manage extreme heat and flooding risks across their supply chains. Manufacturers are training workers to identify and respond to heat stress and related illnesses.
Fibre2Fashion News Desk (DS)
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