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7 big questions that will impact the 2026 NCAA tournament bracket

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7 big questions that will impact the 2026 NCAA tournament bracket


A new men’s college basketball season has finally arrived. With it comes inevitable questions, both obvious and arcane, about players, teams and, most importantly, what will happen 5½ months from now. Below are just some of what your intrepid ESPN Bracketologist will be watching in the 19 weeks between now and Selection Sunday.

The first in-season projections of the 2026 March Madness field of 68 will release Nov. 11.

1. Who will secure the four No. 1 seeds on March 15?

Our season-opening projection lists Houston, Purdue, Florida and Duke on the top line of the bracket. History suggests we’ll be only half right, so I’m nominating Purdue and Florida as most likely to deceive. The reasons are that the Big Ten (in Purdue’s case) and the SEC (in Florida’s) have more contenders to chase the respective league favorites. Ultimately, Bracketology is a prisoner of probability, and it’s simply more likely that Houston and Duke ride the wave of their respective conferences to a No. 1 seed.


2. Who do we like in the emerging UConnSt. John’s rivalry?

The Big East has needed a grudge match like this since the end of Villanova’s hegemony in the conference. Both the Huskies and Johnnies are No. 2 seeds on our board to open the season, but we like the former to win the regular-season crown and the latter to cut down the nets at the Big East tournament. The major difference comes later in March, when Rick Pitino leads St. John’s to the Elite Eight and UConn falls in the second round in its chase for Dan Hurley’s third NCAA title.


3. Can the Big Ten really end a quarter-century of NCAA tournament frustration?

Yes. But I don’t think it will be preseason favorite Purdue that takes the conference’s first national championship since 2000. I’ve pushed my chips to the center of the table on Michigan.


4. Are there practical considerations already determining the 2026 NCAA bracket?

More than usual. Houston stepping back as host of the South regional means the Cougars can play in their home town in the Sweet 16 and Elite Eight. Count on this after an opening weekend assignment in Oklahoma City. Another Big 12 entry, BYU, seems fairly locked on a West region placement and even more certain to open NCAA play in Portland (a Thursday-Saturday site) because of the school’s ban on Sunday competition.

On the other side of the country, UConn and St. John’s figure to have easy bus rides (to Philadelphia) when the bracket is revealed. Villanova could also play in Philly, having only three regular-season games scheduled for Xfinity Mobile Arena, but would be happy to see its name anywhere after three straight NCAA misses.

Other schools whose fans should be comfortable booking opening-round hotels: Florida (Tampa), Duke (Greenville, South Carolina), UCLA (San Diego) and Gonzaga (Portland). These and other travel tips are available for no extra charge for longtime Bracketology readers.


5. Which power conference gets the most bids …

The SEC should once again lead the way with the highest number of NCAA bids, although the Big Ten will be within striking distance. What the SEC will not do is match its record bid total (14) from last season. A dozen bids seems like a more realistic number this time around, as it took a perfect storm of metrics and mediocre teams in other multibid conferences for the SEC to hit the mother lode eight months ago.


6. … and which gets the fewest?

Once again, the ACC is listed for this dishonorable mention. The conference’s multiyear decline should be a thing of the past, however, with a healthy number of potential bubble teams that could raise the league’s bid number well above the half-dozen projected at this point, in a push toward double figures.


7. What are the other multibid conferences?

Last season, only the Mountain West (New Mexico, Utah State, San Diego State, Colorado State) and WCC (Gonzaga, Saint Mary’s) snagged extra bids outside the Power 4-Big East cluster. The American and Atlantic 10 sunk to one-bid status mostly as a result of poor nonconference results. This season, the American’s best hope is for a team other than Memphis to win its automatic bid. In the A-10, multiple teams — VCU, Saint Louis, Dayton, Loyola Chicago and sleeper George Washington — have put together rosters good enough to be in the at-large conversation.


8. If ESPN put me in charge of programming, what would the “College GameDay” schedule look like?

With the caveat that this is not actually the “College GameDay” schedule.

Jan. 24: Houston at Texas Tech

Could very well be the game of the year in the Big 12, and also double the population of Lubbock for the weekend.

Jan. 31: Kentucky at Arkansas

This is a no-brainer in Year 2 of the post-John Calipari era at Kentucky. Remember, the Razorbacks pulled the upset at Rupp Arena a year ago.

Feb. 7: Boise State at New Mexico

Let’s branch out a bit and go to The Pit in Albuquerque for the first time in forever.

Feb. 14: UCLA at Michigan

If my hunch on the Wolverines is a good one, this would be a colossal showdown of old-school vs. new-school Big Ten.

Feb. 21: Tennessee at Vanderbilt

Let’s turn the set 90 degrees at Memorial Gym and look at Rece & Co. sideways (might not be a bad thing …). Also, there haven’t been enough seasons in which the Vols and ‘Dores have been this good at the same time.

Feb. 28: Gonzaga at Saint Mary’s

The end of the best and longest rivalry in the history of the West Coast Conference.

March 7: North Carolina at Duke

I have to make Cameron Indoor the season’s final stop.



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Sources: Atlanta finalizing ‘Tata’ Martino return

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Sources: Atlanta finalizing ‘Tata’ Martino return


Atlanta United is finalizing a deal to bring back Gerardo “Tata” Martino to be the club’s head coach, multiple sources confirmed to ESPN.

The Argentine would replace Ronny Deila, who was fired following hugely disappointing season, one that saw it record just 28 points in 34 matches, just two points ahead of last place D.C. United in the Eastern Conference.

Source: Revs set to hire U.S. U20 coach Mitrovic

Atlanta’s poor performance came in spite of having the third-highest payroll in the league at $27.6 million.

The Atlanta Journal-Constitution was the first to report the news.

Martino, 62, beat out five other candidates, including former Portland Timbers coach Giovanni Savarese.

Martino was hired in 2016 as the first manager in Atlanta United’s history, culminating in an MLS Cup triumph in 2018. He left following that season to take up the coaching reins of the Mexico men’s national team.

The 62-year-old has been out of work since abruptly leaving his position with Inter Miami last November, following the Herons’ shock playoff exit at the hands of Atlanta.

Among the clubs he has also managed are Argentine side Newell’s Old Boys, Barcelona and the Argentina men’s national team.

The hope is that Martino’s hiring will bring some much needed stability to Atlanta, which has burned through four different managers since Martino’s departure. The Five Stripes have only qualified for the playoffs in three of the last six seasons.



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McIlroy gets ‘gracious’ apology over Ryder abuse

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McIlroy gets ‘gracious’ apology over Ryder abuse


Rory McIlroy said that PGA of America chief executive Derek Sprague has sent a personal apology for the abuse directed at him and his wife during Europe’s Ryder Cup victory in New York.

Europe held off a stirring fightback from the U.S. at Bethpage Black, where the Americans had gone into the final session 12-5 down before mounting a comeback in the singles, only to come up short.

Luke Donald‘s team — and McIlroy in particular — were on the end of abuse from a partisan crowd across the three days, with a beer from the crowd hitting McIlroy’s wife, Erica. The number of insults and jeers, some that occurred as he was in the process of hitting a shot, caused delays and led the PGA of America to add extra security.

“I got a lovely email from Derek Sprague apologizing,” McIlroy told BBC Sport as he prepared for the Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship.

“Erica worked with Derek at the PGA of America back in the day, so we know Derek and his wife pretty well. He couldn’t have been more gracious or apologetic and he wrote us a lovely letter, which we really appreciated.”

Sprague had said last month that he planned to issue an apology to McIlroy and his wife.

U.S. captain Keegan Bradley didn’t condemn the “passionate” home fans at Bethpage, where McIlroy felt the hostile atmosphere actually spurred Europe on.

“I take it as a compliment that they targeted me, but then at the same time, it was a tough week,” McIlroy said. “That made us better as a team. It galvanized us and it really put our arms around each other.”

In his first public comments since the Ryder Cup loss, Bradley said recently, “There’s no part of me that thinks I’ll ever get over this.”

Masters champion McIlroy is aiming to cap a memorable year as he prepares for the season-ending DP World Tour Championship in Dubai.

“I think back to the start in January of 2025 when I was last here and everything that’s happened since,” said McIlroy, who also won the Players Championship, the Pebble Beach Pro-Am and the Irish Open.

“Honestly, in my wildest dreams, I didn’t know. I mean, I knew a year like this was possible, but it has just been an amazing 10 months.”

Information from PA was used in this report.



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Miami’s Suárez banned for kicking Nashville’s Nájar

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Miami’s Suárez banned for kicking Nashville’s Nájar


Inter Miami forward Luis Suárez will be suspended for the final game in the Round 1 MLS playoff best-of-three series against Nashville SC.

Suárez earned the one-game ban for kicking Nashville’s Andy Nájar in the second half of the match on Nov. 1 at Geodis Park, where Inter Miami lost 2-1. At the time of the incident, the referee did not issue the player a yellow or red card.

“The MLS Disciplinary Committee has suspended Inter Miami CF forward Luis Suárez for one match and fined Suárez an undisclosed amount under Disciplinary Committee Parameter 3 for violent conduct in the 71st minute of Inter Miami’s match against Nashville SC on November 1st. Suárez will serve his one-match suspension on November 8 during Miami’s match against Nashville SC,” the MLS Disciplinary Committee said in a statement.

Major League Soccer rules allow, however, for postgame disciplinary action to be enforced when a match official fails to issue a card for an offense on the field.

Suárez will now serve his second suspension from MLS action in 2025, after initially receiving a three-game ban for spitting on a member of the Seattle Sounders‘ staff following the Leagues Cup final on Aug. 31.

“Inter Miami CF accepts and respects the decision made by the MLS Disciplinary Committee,” the club said in a statement on Wednesday. At the same time, the club wishes to express its concern about the precedent set by re-refereeing a play that had already been judged by the match officials and VAR, and its confidence that the same standard will be applied in the future to all on-field situations, in any match and involving any team.”

Inter Miami will now enter the decisive final game of the playoff series without Suárez, as the team looks to qualify to the next round of the postseason. The Round 1 series is tied 1-1 after Inter Miami won the first game but lost the second.



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