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Experts reveal which tax increase will have ‘least damaging’ impact

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Experts reveal which tax increase will have ‘least damaging’ impact


The government is under pressure to raise revenues and balance the books ahead of November’s autumn Budget statement.

And new economic analysis has revealed which tax rise will be the better option for Chancellor Rachel Reeves to implement for the economy.

Income tax and VAT were compared.

Raising VAT could push down harder on people’s real incomes, while hiking income tax will be the “least damaging” option.

Analysis carried out by the National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) suggests that it would be harmful for the Chancellor to find other ways to raise tax revenue beyond the “main” UK taxes.

The economic think tank analysed the economic impact of raising income tax, corporation tax and value added tax (VAT).

Of the three, NIESR said raising VAT would have the biggest negative impact on the UK economy by lowering real personal disposable income (RPDI) by nearly 3 per cent and real gross domestic product (GDP) by nearly 1 per cent in the first year of the tax being applied.

Raising VAT would have the biggest negative impact on the UK economy, a think tank said (PA)

A higher rate of VAT would also push up inflation more than the other levers because of the impact it would have on prices in shops.

Raising corporation tax – which is charged on the profits made by businesses – would have a smaller short-term impact but drag on the economy in the long run by reducing investment, according to the analysis.

On the other hand, hiking income tax would have the lowest impact, bringing down GDP by about 0.05 per cent in the first year after the tax is applied.

The scenarios in NIESR’s analysis are based on the assumption that the government aims to raise total net annual revenue by £30 billion by 2029-30.

This is how much Ms Reeves needs to raise to fill an estimated black hole in the public finances.

NIESR said the “least bad” option therefore was for the Chancellor to increase income tax at her next Budget.

The think tank acknowledged that doing so would mean the Labour government breaks its manifesto pledge not to raise taxes on “working people” – which it said was now widely interpreted to mean income tax, VAT, employee national insurance contributions, and corporation tax.

“We would argue that they could find other ways to raise tax revenue but doing so would be much more distortive, harming the economy in the longer run,” the report’s authors wrote.

Ed Cornforth, NIESR economist and main author of the analysis, said: “Our analysis clearly shows that a rise in income tax is the Chancellor’s least damaging, most reliable option for putting the economy on a sustainable, secure footing.

“VAT would put pressure on prices, an undesirable option given current inflation expectations, and additional business taxes would harm investment incentives, at a time when employer NICs have already dampened business confidence.

“Although it is politically unsavoury, avoiding raising income tax will force the Chancellor’s hand into worse options – tinkering around the edges simply won’t shift the dial.”



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Flipkart Layoffs 2026: Why Has E-Commerce Firm Sacked Around 500 Employees?

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Flipkart Layoffs 2026: Why Has E-Commerce Firm Sacked Around 500 Employees?


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The layoffs account for 3-4% of Flipkart’s workforce, which is higher than the company’s practice of letting go of 1-2% of employees in the lowest performance bracket every year.

Flipkart Layoffs 2026.

Flipkart Layoffs 2026.

Flipkart Layoffs 2026: Flipkart, the Walmart-owned e-commerce giant, has reportedly asked around 400-500 employees to exit the company this year following its annual performance review process. According to a report by The Economic Times, the layoffs account for roughly 3-4% of Flipkart’s workforce, which is higher than the company’s usual practice of letting go of 1-2% of employees in the lowest performance bracket every year.

Why Has Flipkart Laid Off Employees?

Responding to queries, Flipkart said the move is part of its routine evaluation process. “Flipkart conducts regular performance reviews aligned with clearly defined expectations. As part of this process, a small percentage of employees may transition from the organisation. We are supporting affected employees with transition support,” the company said, according to Mint.

Layoffs Across Teams, Hiring Continues For Senior Roles

The job cuts have reportedly impacted employees across multiple departments and job levels. At the same time, the company continues to recruit senior executives as it prepares for a potential initial public offering (IPO).

According to a report by ANI, Flipkart has recently strengthened its leadership team with several senior appointments.

These include Somnath Das as vice-president (supply chain), Digbijay Mishra as vice-president (corporate communications), Vipin Kapooria as vice-president (business finance), Yogita Shanbhag as vice-president (human resources), and Amer Hussain as vice-president (supply chain for its grocery and quick-commerce businesses).

Flipkart Preparing For India IPO

In December 2025, Flipkart received approval from the National Company Law Tribunal to shift its legal domicile from Singapore to India, a key step ahead of a potential domestic listing.

The restructuring involved merging eight Singapore-based entities into Flipkart Internet Pvt Ltd, simplifying the group’s holding structure across businesses such as fashion, health and logistics.

Loss Widens Despite Revenue Growth

Financial data shows that Flipkart continues to expand its business, although losses have widened.

According to data from Tofler, Flipkart India reported a consolidated loss of Rs 5,189 crore in FY25, compared with Rs 4,248.3 crore in FY24.

However, revenue from operations rose 17.3% to Rs 82,787.3 crore, up from Rs 70,541.9 crore a year earlier.

Total expenses also increased 17.4% to Rs 88,121.4 crore, largely due to higher stock-in-trade purchases, which climbed to Rs 87,737.8 crore, compared with Rs 74,271.2 crore in the previous financial year.

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Want To Buy A House In Karnataka? Know About The ‘Namma Mane’ Scheme With Affordable Housing & Subsidies

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Want To Buy A House In Karnataka? Know About The ‘Namma Mane’ Scheme With Affordable Housing & Subsidies


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The programme aims to make land ownership more accessible for eligible residents while supporting the government’s wider goal of providing housing for all.

Under the ‘Namma Mane’ housing scheme 50,000 residential plots will be distributed at concessional rates over the next two years.

Under the ‘Namma Mane’ housing scheme 50,000 residential plots will be distributed at concessional rates over the next two years.

What if owning a home became a little more achievable? In the latest Karnataka Budget, the state government has announced a series of housing initiatives aimed at expanding access to affordable homes and residential plots. From the ‘Namma Mane’ scheme offering concessional sites to increased subsidies for beneficiaries and plans for a massive sports complex in Anekal, the announcements signal a renewed push towards housing development across the state.

The Karnataka government has unveiled several housing and infrastructure initiatives in the latest state budget, including the distribution of thousands of residential plots and the construction of a large sports complex in Bengaluru’s Anekal taluk. The announcements are part of broader efforts to expand housing access and improve public infrastructure across the state.

Karnataka Budget Housing Scheme: Key Benefits

One of the key proposals is the introduction of the ‘Namma Mane’ housing scheme, under which 50,000 residential plots will be distributed at concessional rates over the next two years. The programme aims to make land ownership more accessible for eligible residents while supporting the government’s wider goal of providing housing for all.

The Housing Department has also set a new target of sanctioning one lakh houses under various housing schemes in the state. These houses will be approved based on the Beneficiary Led Construction (BLC) model, which allows eligible beneficiaries to construct their own homes with financial support from the government.

As part of this initiative, the government has increased the subsidy amount provided under housing schemes. For beneficiaries in the general category, the subsidy has been raised from Rs 1.20 lakh to Rs 2 lakh. Meanwhile, beneficiaries from Scheduled Castes and Scheduled Tribes will receive increased assistance, with the subsidy rising from Rs 2 lakh to Rs 3 lakh.

The budget also introduces a change in the process used to select beneficiaries for state housing schemes. Instead of the traditional manual lottery system, selections will now be conducted through an online lottery in Gram Sabhas. The move is expected to improve transparency and streamline the allocation process.

In addition to housing initiatives, the Karnataka Housing Board has announced plans to develop a major sports facility in Anekal taluk of Bengaluru Urban district. The project, titled ‘KHB Surya Krida Grama’, will include the construction of an 80,000-seat cricket stadium designed to host international sporting events.

Meanwhile, the Karnataka Slum Development Board is continuing the implementation of housing projects under the Pradhan Mantri Awas Yojana (AHP). A total of 1.29 lakh houses are being constructed under the scheme, with 79,134 homes dedicated for the year 2025–26. The state government has allocated an additional grant of Rs 1,136 crore to support the project, providing permanent housing to many slum residents.

Since the Congress government came to power, Rs 7,328 crore has been spent on various housing schemes. So far, 4,19,454 houses have been completed and handed over to beneficiaries. The government has set a target to complete three lakh houses during the current year.

Authorities have also stated that steps will be taken to complete the 4.90 lakh houses sanctioned by the previous government, even though they were approved without grants.

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Emirates resumes some Dubai flights – what’s the latest on travel to UK?

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Emirates resumes some Dubai flights – what’s the latest on travel to UK?



New flights to the UK from the Middle East follow days of widespread air travel disruption which had left Britons stranded.



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