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First bets for Week 7: Buccaneers’ luck runs out vs. Lions, Giants cover in Denver

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First bets for Week 7: Buccaneers’ luck runs out vs. Lions, Giants cover in Denver


Week 7 gets underway with a matchup of AFC North rivals, as the Pittsburgh Steelers visit the Cincinnati Bengals on “Thursday Night Football.”

Sunday’s slate begins with the Los Angeles Rams and Jacksonville Jaguars meeting at Wembley Stadium in London, and the Indianapolis Colts visiting the Los Angeles Chargers highlights the late afternoon window of games.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Detroit Lions get together in a battle of offensive juggernauts to kick off a “Monday Night Football” doubleheader, and the night wraps up with the Houston Texans visiting the Seattle Seahawks.

Eric Karabell, Pamela Maldonado, Matt Bowen, Eric Moody, Joe Fortenbaugh and Seth Walder looked at the early Week 7 odds and identified which ones are worth jumping on now before potential shifts later in the week.

Note: Odds at time of publication, courtesy of ESPN BET Sportsbook


Miami DolphinsCleveland Browns total points UNDER 40.5 (-115)

Bowen: Cleveland is averaging only 13.7 PPG this season, the second fewest in the league. And when you watch the Browns on tape, with Dillon Gabriel at quarterback, they aren’t built to create explosive plays at a high rate. This feels like a game (based on the matchup) where rookie running back Quinshon Judkins is featured. Control tempo while leaning on your defense to limit Tua Tagovailoa and the Miami pass game. The game is in Cleveland, too. Take the under.
Last week: Buccaneers -2.5 vs. 49ers (Buccaneers won, 30-19)


Detroit Lions to cover -4.5 (-110) vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Fortenbaugh: This luckbox Buccaneers run is coming to a screeching halt at some point in the near future, so we might as well lean into the projected regression with a Lions team playing at home off a loss. Tampa Bay is now 5-1 on the season with a point differential of +14. To put that into perspective, the Seahawks are 4-2 with a point differential of +49 and the Texans are 2-3 with a point differential of +47. Throw in the myriad injuries to the Tampa receiving unit and you’ve got Detroit covering the 4.5 and restoring order to the NFC.
Last week: Steelers -4.5 vs. Browns (Steelers won, 23-9)


Cincinnati Bengals to cover +5.5 (-105) vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Karabell: Let’s stop a bit short of expecting Joe Flacco and the Bengals to win the game, but it is a home game against a heated rival on a short week, and the addition of Flacco does change things. It’s not like Pittsburgh’s QB is some young fellow. Flacco should keep this game close in the fourth quarter, at the least. I would not take the Steelers in pools. This is a field goal game at the end.
Last week: Ravens-Rams over 45.5 (Rams won, 17-3)


New York Giants to cover +7 (Even) at Denver Broncos

Maldonado: The Giants are quietly figuring it out with Jaxson Dart. You can feel the shift. They finally have an identity. Run the ball, control the clock, make the other team uncomfortable. Dart isn’t putting up video game numbers, but he’s doing exactly what this offense needs: extending plays. The defense is starting to look nasty too, especially up front with Brian Burns and Kayvon Thibodeaux collapsing pockets. It’s not flashy, but it’s effective. Going into Denver, this feels like another one of those ugly, grind-it-out games. The Giants are now built for that.
Last week: Eagles-Giants under 42 (Giants won, 34-17)


Carolina Panthers to cover -1.5 (+105) at New York Jets

Moody: The Panthers have won two straight and scored 27 or more points in three of their last four games. Rico Dowdle erupted for 234 total yards two weeks ago and piled on 239 more in a Week 6 win over Dallas, and Carolina’s defense shut down Javonte Williams and Cowboys’ running game. The Jets, meanwhile, managed just 82 total yards against the Broncos in London, the third-lowest single-game total in franchise history. With momentum on their side and New York reeling, this is a great spot to back Carolina. The Panthers are 4-1 against the spread in their last five games.
Last week: 49ers +2.5 at Buccaneers (Buccaneers won, 30-19)


Baltimore Ravens to MISS the playoffs (Even)

Walder: I’ll be the first one to say throw out any historical stats about how often 1-5 teams make the playoffs when it comes to the 2025 Ravens. Most 1-5 teams are simply bad, and despite whatever we have seen from Baltimore thus far, I don’t think anyone expects that this is a bad team going forward. And almost none of those teams have a perennial MVP candidate like Lamar Jackson, either. And rarely have those teams faced the hardest schedule in the NFL (as the Ravens have) and will face the 27th-hardest schedule going forward (as the Ravens will). It’s because all of that that I was perfectly prepared to argue for Baltimore’s chances to make the playoffs — and then I saw the odds. The 1-5 Ravens are even money to miss the playoffs? They certainly could come back, but 50/50? That surprised me, and it certainly would shock FPI. The model, which assumes Jackson returns after the team’s Week 7 bye, gives the Ravens only a 25% chance to make the playoffs. The Ravens will need a lot to go their way to play playoff football again.
Last week: Steelers -4.5 vs. Browns (Steelers won, 23-9)



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USMNT World Cup roster implications: Wright, Roldan make cases

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USMNT World Cup roster implications: Wright, Roldan make cases


COMMERCE CITY, Colorado — Haji Wright scored goals either side of half-time to help the United States defeat Australia 2-1 in a friendly on Tuesday night.

The Coventry City striker’s brace helped the hosts overcome Jordan Bos‘ 19th minute opener, with both goals assisted by midfielder Cristian Roldan.

The win for the U.S. extended its unbeaten streak to three games, while Australia saw its own 11-game run under manager Tony Popovic come to an end. It was also the first time in nine games that U.S. won under Mauricio Pochettino after conceding first.

Jeff Carlisle and Joey Lynch take a look at the major talking points from the match.


As it happened: Wright inspires USMNT past Socceroos
Pulisic subbed off early in USMNT friendly with Australia
– 2026 World Cup: Who has qualified, and how the rest can make it


1. Wright shows striker competition is still open

After Folarin Balogun scored in each of his last two U.S. games, it was beginning to look like he had gained some separation in the race to secure the starting striker spot. It was perhaps a bit puzzling then when Pochettino decided to hand Wright a start in Balogun’s place. After all, Wright hadn’t started for the U.S. since September of 2024 against New Zealand.

The move proved to be a master stroke, as Wright scored twice, though it wasn’t obvious at the start. In the opening minutes Wright looked a bit lost, and seemed oddly reluctant to exploit the space in behind that the Australia back-line was giving him.

But Wright stuck to his task, latching onto a through ball from Roldan in the 33rd minute to score with his right foot past Australia goalkeeper Mathew Ryan. Then, six minutes into the second half, he ran through on another Roldan pass, left defender Cameron Burgess in a heap on the ground, and curled his effort past Ryan into the Australia goal.

If the World Cup were to start tomorrow, Balogun would likely get the start for the U.S., but Wright’s goals have kept him in the running, and have boosted his chances of earning a spot in the U.S. World Cup roster. — Carlisle

2. Socceroos’ unbeaten streak finally snapped

It was going to have to come to an end at some point. For the first time in the Popovic era, the Socceroos have lost a match, ending an 11-game run that began with his first game in charge last September and that had produced wins across the side’s last seven games.

There are all the necessary qualifications about this being a friendly staged with a bigger, World Cup-shaped goal in mind — even if Popovic and his staff rejected this narrative in the build-up to the game — but particularly disappointing for the Socceroos will be that Tuesday evening’s defeat came despite Bos putting them ahead after 19 minutes.

Defending has long been the great strength of this team, even before Popovic’s arrival, but as one would expect from the former defender, this has only been reinforced in recent times. And it’s hardly panic stations for the Australians yet.

Nonetheless, two lapses in concentration were all it took for Wright to get in behind and, as the Championship‘s leading scorer showed, players that are in-form and playing at the highest level will punish you if you give them the scope to. As the Socceroos shifted into chasing the match — a game-state largely unseen since their late draw against Bahrain last November — the United States were able to capitalise and create a series of looks on goal that, with slightly sharper finishing, could have easily blown the lead out further. — Lynch

3. Roldan bounces back from slow start

It’s stunning to think that two months ago, Roldan didn’t seem anywhere near a World Cup roster spot. He was even an afterthought for the September window, only to earn a late call-up and then put in an outstanding shift in the 2-0 win over Japan.

On Tuesday, Roldan once again helped his cause with another big-time performance, one made all the more impressive given how it started. The U.S. had plenty of possession to start, but then out of nothing, in the 19th minute, Bos broke through the U.S. defense with Chris Richards and Roldan both needing to do better to thwart the left back’s slaloming run.

But Roldan rebounded impressively. He quickly put his stamp on the U.S. attack, and twice came close to scoring on shots that just missed the target. Following his assist on Wright’s first goal, Roldan engaged in some quick-thinking to set up Wright’s second. After Alex Freeman won a free kick on the right wing, Roldan had the presence of mind to take it quickly and immediately put Wright in a one-on-one situation that he duly converted.

Like Wright, Roldan did plenty to increase his chances of making a second consecutive World Cup roster. The Seattle Sounders midfielder has a lot of bodies to climb over in order to reach that goal, some of whom have an impressive pedigree. But Roldan seems to be a favorite of Pochettino’s for his contributions both on and off the field, and if he continues to perform at this level, it will be near impossible to leave him off the World Cup roster. — Carlisle

4. Pulisic injury casts a pall on October window

After a successful September window, one of the hopes for Christian Pulisic in October was to see him perform alongside more of the USMNT’s first-choice lineup. It wasn’t to be. An ankle injury saw Pulisic limited to just 17 minutes in the 1-1 draw against Ecuador. It’s unclear if Pulisic injured the same ankle against Australia, but what is known is that he was on the receiving end of several heavy challenges. After Australia’s Jason Geria was booked in the 26th minute for a transition tackle on Pulisic, the U.S. attacker was forced off two minutes later.

The decision by Pochettino to take Pulisic off made sense. There was no reason to risk his star’s health further, especially given the fine form that the U.S. attacker has been in for AC Milan. Yet the injury is still a blow for the USMNT, at least in the context of this window. The World Cup countdown clock is ticking, and the more Pochettino can get his top players on the field at the same time, the better. Now that will have to wait until next month, assuming Pulisic heals up in time. — Carlisle

5. Australia’s loss could come at a big cost

Thanks to their win over Canada, combined with Austria‘s shock 1-0 loss to Romania in European qualifying, the Socceroos had entered Tuesday evening ranked 24 in the FIFA rankings. It’s a position that would have vaulted the Socceroos into Pot 2, and potentially a weaker World Cup group, should the draw have taken place that day.

Tuesday’s 2-1 loss, however, has put a dent in these hopes. While a loss on the road against a 16th-ranked United States won’t necessarily cost them a significant amount of ranking points — nowhere near close to the 14.88 that Austria was docked for their loss to the Romanians — Australia will nonetheless slip backwards.

Will this defeat ultimately prove costly? We can’t know for certain, but with a clash with defending World Cup champions and world No. 2 Argentina, in India, of all places, heavily rumoured to be one of the Socceroos’ opponents in the November window (and 21st-ranked Iran another rumoured opponent in that window), the Australians may have a mountain to climb before December’s draw. — Lynch

6. Bos shows why he is considered one of Australia’s best

As disappointing as the loss will be, the night wasn’t a total waste for Australia, with Bos putting in another performance that, despite some stiff competition from the likes of Nestory Irankunda and Mo Touré, separates him as the most exciting talent coming through in green-and-gold.

Coming into the window fresh off being named the Eredivisie player of the month, the first Australian to scoop the honour, the 22-year-old instantly changed the dynamic of the game when he came on as a second-half substitute against Canada and was amongst Australia’s best when he started against the United States on Tuesday evening.

Blessed with rare athleticism, the left wing-back’s ability to tirelessly get up and down the touchline adds a critical ability to break lines and advance field position in Popovic’s system and his goal — pouncing on a loose ball, forcing his way through three American defenders, bundling over Roldan, and finishing into the bottom corner — was emblematic of the combination of skill and physical power he brings to the game.

Bos set a then-Australian transfer record when he transferred from Melbourne City to KVC Westerlo back in 2023 and the subsequent reported €5 million move he made to Feyenoord this season already looks like a bargain for the Dutch giants. Give it a year or two, and it’s hard to see how the one-time Point Cook junior isn’t playing, and starting, in one of the world’s biggest leagues. — Lynch



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USMNT vs. Socceroos live blog: World Cup prep continues

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USMNT vs. Socceroos live blog: World Cup prep continues


The United States and Australia are going head-to-head in an international friendly on Tuesday as both nations ramp up preparations for the 2026 World Cup.

Join us here for all the play-by-play action from the match at DICK’S Sporting Goods Park in Commerce City, Colorado.

Jump to: USMNT homepage | Socceroos home page | Live blog | Gamecast



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Shilo Sanders’ pregame impersonation of brother Shedeur Sanders turns heads

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Shilo Sanders’ pregame impersonation of brother Shedeur Sanders turns heads


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In late August, Shilo Sanders learned that his time with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers had come to an end. In the months since the safety was waived, Sanders has appeared to shift his focus from football to social media content.

Shilo’s younger brother, Shedeur Sanders, is the backup quarterback for the Cleveland Browns. The Pittsburgh Steelers hosted the Browns in Week 6.

Before kickoff, the elder Sanders brother duped some fans — and seemingly amused others — by impersonating Cleveland’s rookie quarterback.

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Shedeur Sanders, left, and Shilo Sanders at the AT&T Playoff Playlist Live! concert at State Farm Arena on Jan. 18, in Atlanta. (Julia Beverly/Getty Images)

In a video posted to his YouTube channel, Shilo wore a No. 12 Browns jersey as he walked into the Steelers’ home stadium hours before the AFC North matchup.

SHEDEUR SANDERS RESPONDS TO REX RYAN’S ‘EMBARRASSMENT’ CRITICISMS, EXPLAINS RECENT ‘MIME’ ACT

“What’s going on with y’all, man? I’m Shedeur today,” Shilo said as he did Shedeur’s trademark “watch flex” pose.

When asked whether Shedeur would take snaps in the game, Shilo responded with his brother’s viral mime routine.

Shilo Sanders on the bench

Tampa Bay Buccaneers safety Shilo Sanders looks on during a NFL preseason football game Aug. 16, at Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh. (Mark Alberti/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)

Sheduer was listed as the backup quarterback behind Dillon Gabriel after Joe Flacco was traded to the Cincinnati Bengals.

Gabriel has appeared in four games, starting in two, this season. The former Oregon quarterback has thrown for 430 yards and three touchdowns so far.

Shedeur Sanders and Dillon Gabriel practicing

Cleveland Browns quarterbacks Dillon Gabriel (5) and Shedeur Sanders, left, throw during minicamp.  (Ken Blaze/Imagn Images)

This past Sunday’s 23-9 loss to the Steelers marked the Browns’ third consecutive defeat.

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Shilo went undrafted in this year’s NFL Draft after playing two seasons in the defensive backfield at South Carolina, Jackson State and Colorado, respectively.

He was coached by his father, Pro Football Hall of Famer Deion Sanders, during his time at Jackson State and Colorado.

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