Business
Soft inflation data encourages hopes of pre-Christmas rates cut
The FTSE 100 forged ahead on Wednesday, with housebuilders in demand, as weaker-than-expected inflation figures boosted hopes for an interest rate cut before the end of the year.
The FTSE 100 index closed up 88.01 points, 0.9%, at 9,515.00.
The FTSE 250 ended 321.49 points higher, 1.5%, at 22,229.79 and the AIM All-Share advanced 2.17 points, 0.3%, at 768.03.
Consumer prices rose 3.8% year-on-year, unchanged from August and below the FXStreet-cited consensus of a 4.0% increase, according to figures from the Office for National Statistics.
Core inflation, which strips out energy, food, alcohol, and tobacco, eased to 3.5% from 3.6%.
Both readings were below Bank of England forecasts for 4.0% and 3.8%.
In addition, closely watched services inflation held steady at 4.7%, defying forecasts for a rise to 4.8%, and below the Bank’s 5.0% projection.
Kathleen Brooks, at XTB, noted rate cut bets ramped up post the inflation report bolstering the chances of an early Christmas present from the UK’s central bank.
She said there are now 17 basis points (bps) of cuts priced in for December, compared to 10 bps of cuts expected on Tuesday.
“Better UK inflation news brings a December rate cut back into play,” said James Smith, developed markets economist at ING.
While Barclays said a quarter point rate cut could come as soon as November.
“The flow of data since the September (Bank of England) meeting has been soft on the labour market, soft on activity and now soft on inflation – a compelling trinity,” the bank noted.
While Goldman Sachs said the data “increase the risks that the next (Bank of England) cut comes earlier than our February baseline.”
In response, sterling fell while bond yields fell. The yield on the UK 10-year gilt traded below 4.40% in Wednesday, after topping 4.80% a month ago.
The pound was quoted lower at 1.3366 US dollars at the time of the London equity market close on Wednesday, compared to 1.3390 dollars on Tuesday.
The euro stood at 1.1610 dollars, down slightly compared to 1.1612 dollars. Against the yen, the dollar was trading at 151.78 yen, a touch higher compared to 151.74 yen.
On the FTSE 100, rate sensitive housebuilders were buoyant, with Persimmon up 6.3%, Barratt Redrow up 5.1% and Berkeley Group up 3.8%.
On the FTSE 250, builders merchant Travis Perkins surged 6.9% and building materials firm Marshalls climbed 5.9% on hopes that rate cuts will accelerate growth in the housing market.
Banks were also in favour after well received third quarter results from lender Barclays.
The London-based bank surprised the City by bringing forward a £500 million share buyback and also raised guidance.
This came despite increasing its provision for car finance and taking a £110 million hit from the collapse of subprime lender, Tricolor.
Barclays Group finance director Anna Cross said, excluding the motor finance provision, the operational performance of the business has continued to strengthen with signs of momentum visible across the business.
She also said there are “no signs of consumer distress” in the UK ahead of November’s budget, with arrears low and stable, demand robust, and customers managing spend carefully.
Barclays rose 4.9%, while NatWest, which reports third quarter results on Friday, climbed 1.6%, and Lloyds Banking Group, which reports on Wednesday, advanced 1.0%.
The mood was less bright in Europe. The CAC 40 in Paris ended 0.6% lower, while DAX 40 in Frankfurt closed 0.7% lower.
Stocks in New York were lower at the time of the London close. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 0.3%, the S&P 500 was 0.6% lower, while the Nasdaq Composite declined 1.1%.
Netflix stumbled 10% after reporting weaker-than-expected earnings after Tuesday’s US market close.
The streaming service took a 619 million US dollars (£463 million) charge related to an ongoing dispute with Brazilian tax authorities.
The yield on the US 10-year Treasury was quoted at 3.96%, unchanged from Tuesday. The yield on the US 30-year Treasury stood at 4.55%, widened from 4.54% on Tuesday.
Elsewhere, British Airways owner IAG rose 2.2%, benefiting from an upgrade by Goldman Sachs to “buy” from “neutral”.
On the FTSE 250, ITV plunged 8.1% after Liberty Global sold £135 million worth of ITV shares in a placing to institutional investors, cutting its stake in the broadcaster to 5% from 10%.
The telecommunications company, based in Denver, Colorado, first took a stake in London-based television broadcaster ITV in 2014 from satellite subscription service provider Sky for £481 million and nearly doubled it the following year – to 9.9% from 6.4%.
Also on the FTSE 250, Softcat climbed 4.6% after posting double-digit annual growth in both profit and revenue.
The IT infrastructure provider reported a 12% rise in pre-tax profit to £178.2 million on revenue up 52% to £1.46 billion, driven by an “exceptionally strong” second half and large project wins.
Gold continued to track lower after its record-breaking run. The metal traded at 4,028.64 dollars an ounce on Wednesday, down from 4,131.30 dollars on Tuesday.
Joshua Mahony at Rostro said gold traders are desperately trying to gauge whether Tuesday’s historic collapse was indicative of a new period of weakness or simply a case of “blowing off steam” after a dramatic surge into record highs.
He said: “Ongoing themes around geopolitics, trade tensions, debt, dollar strength and haven demand means that there is always likely to be a concoction of factors for traders to consider.
“However, with the Trump-Putin meeting called off, and scepticism over the likeliness of a wide-reaching US and China trade agreement, there will likely be calls for gold to regain its upward momentum soon enough.”
Brent oil traded at 62.61 dollars a barrel, up from 61.26 dollars late on Tuesday.
The biggest risers on the FTSE 100 were: Persimmon, up 74p at 1,253p; Howden Joinery, up 51p at 863.5p; Barratt Redrow, up 19.5p at 405.9p; Barclays, up 17.75p at 382p; and Entain, up 37.8p at 824p.
The biggest fallers on the FTSE 100 were: Rolls Royce, down 32p at 1,102.5p; Fresnillo, down 34p at 2,080p; Polar Capital Technology Trust, down 7p at 433p; Melrose, down 8.8p at 625.2p; and Glencore, down 4.2p at 340.2p.
Thursday’s global economic diary has retail sales figures in Canada and a eurozone consumer confidence report.
Thursday’s UK corporate calendar has third quarter results from lender Lloyds Banking Group; exchange operator and data provider London Stock Exchange; pest control firm Rentokil; consumer goods company Unilever; and miner Antofagasta.
Contributed by Alliance News
Business
From Manufacturing To Infra And AI: Capex Boost Flags Off Budget 2026 ‘Reforms Express’
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Budget 2026: FM Nirmala Sitharaman gives a strong push to manufacturing, infrastructure and job creation, while proposing a simpler tax and customs system.
Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman presents the Union Budget 2026-27.
Budget 2026 Takeaways: Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman on Sunday presented the Union Budget 2026-27, giving a strong push to manufacturing, infrastructure and job creation, proposing a simpler tax and customs regime, and hailing the government’s modernisation drive as a “reforms express”.
The Budget 2026 is anchored around three ‘kartavyas’ — driving growth by enhancing productivity and competitiveness, building people’s capacity, and ensuring inclusive development under the vision of Sabka Saath, Sabka Vikaas.
In her ninth consecutive Budget in Parliament, Sitharaman laid out a multi-pronged strategy to sustain growth amid global uncertainty, including expanding domestic electronics and semiconductor capabilities, de-risking infrastructure projects, skilling India’s youth for emerging technologies, and easing compliance for taxpayers and importers.
Here are the key takeaways from Budget 2026 across manufacturing, infrastructure, skills, AI, taxation and customs duty.
Manufacturing Gets A Boost
Budget 2026 put a special emphasis on the manufacturing landscape in India. The outlay for electronics components manufacturing was raised sharply to Rs 40,000 crore, while new schemes for rare earth magnets, chemical parks, container manufacturing and capital goods seek to reduce import dependency, and strengthen domestic supply chains. Textiles got an integrated, employment-oriented package covering fibres, clusters, skilling and sustainability.
Infrastructure-Led Growth
Infrastructure got a boost with a higher capex allocation and initiatives like a risk guarantee fund to de-risk projects for private developers, new dedicated freight corridors and national waterways, dedicated REITs (real estate investment trusts) for recycling of significant real estate assets of central public sector enterprises (CPSEs), and a seaplane VGF (viability gap funding) scheme.
The Centre’s capital expenditure (capex) target has been increased to Rs 12.2 lakh crore for FY27, up from Rs 11.2 lakh crore earmarked for the current financial year. Moreover, maintaining the fiscal discipline, Sitharaman said the government expects the fiscal deficit to be at 4.3 per cent of the GDP in 2026-27, lower than 4.4 per cent projected for the current financial year.
Tier-II and Tier-III cities were placed at the centre of urban growth via City Economic Regions, backed by reform-linked funding.
“We shall continue to focus on developing infrastructure in cities with over 5 lakh population (Tier II and Tier III), which have expanded to become growth centres,” Sitharaman said in her Budget Speech.
Greater Emphasis On Skilling
The Budget placed renewed emphasis on the services economy as a jobs engine. A high-powered Education-to-Employment and Enterprise Committee will realign skilling with market needs, including the impact of emerging technologies.
Content creation and creative industries get a boost through AVGC labs in schools and colleges, support for animation, gaming and comics, and new institutional capacity for design and hospitality. Tourism-linked skilling, from guides to digital heritage documentation, signals a clear intent to convert culture and content into employment and exports.
“I propose to support the Indian Institute of Creative Technologies, Mumbai in setting up AVGC Content Creator Labs in 15,000 secondary schools and 500 colleges,” FM Sitharaman said. AVGC stands for animation, visual effects, gaming and comics.
AI & Semiconductors Push
Artificial intelligence (AI) was positioned as a cross-sector force multiplier rather than a standalone theme. The Budget provided a push to artificial intelligence (AI) by promoting adoption with governance, agriculture, education and skilling, including proposals for AI-enabled advisory tools for farmers and AI integration in education curricula.
On hardware, the semiconductor strategy expanded decisively under ISM 2.0 (India Semiconductor Mission 2.0), with focus on domestic equipment manufacturing, materials, research centres and workforce development, signalling a long-term commitment to building a resilient chip ecosystem in India.
Taxation, ITR, TDS, TCS
A major structural reform comes with the Income Tax Act, 2025, effective April 1, 2026, containing simpler rules and redesigned forms.
Budget 2026 provided compliance relief for individuals, including extended timelines for revising returns to March 31 from December 31 earlier, staggered ITR due dates, and easier filing of Form 15G/15H through depositories.
Individuals with ITR-1 and ITR-2 returns will continue to file till July 31, and non-audit business cases or trusts are proposed to be allowed time till August 31, according to the Budget Speech 2026-27.
“I propose to extend time available for revising returns from 31st December to up to 31st March with the payment of a nominal fee. I also propose to stagger the timeline for filing of tax returns. Individuals with ITR 1 and ITR 2 returns will continue to file till 31st July and non-audit business cases or trusts are proposed to be allowed time till 31st August,” Sitharaman said.
TDS (Tax deducted at source) rules were clarified for manpower services, while a rule-based system for lower or nil TDS certificates is proposed. TCS rates were cut to 2% for overseas tour packages, education and medical expenses under liberalised remittance scheme (LRS). Litigation is targeted through integrated assessment and penalty orders, lower pre-deposit requirements, and wider immunity provisions.
TDS on the sale of immovable property by a non-resident will be deducted and deposited through resident buyer’s PAN (Permanent Account Number)-based challan instead of requiring TAN (Tax Deduction and Collection Account Number), Sitharaman said.
Customs Duty Tweaks
Customs duty rationalisation continued with a clear focus on domestic manufacturing, energy transition and ease of living. Exemptions have been extended or introduced for capital goods used in lithium-ion batteries, critical minerals processing, nuclear power projects and aircraft manufacturing.
Personal imports will become cheaper with a reduction in duty on goods for personal use from 20% to 10%. Seventeen cancer drugs and additional rare-disease treatments were exempted from customs duty. Process reforms aimed at trust-based, tech-driven clearances, faster cargo movement and lower compliance costs, especially for exporters and MSMEs (micro, small, medium and enterprises).
STT On F&O Hiked
The Budget increased securities transaction tax (STT) on futures trading from 0.02% to 0.05% and on options trading from 0.10% to 0.15%, a move that upset the capital markets with the BSE Sensex crashing more than 2,300 points from the day’s high and the NSE Nifty dropping to 24,571.75.
Securities Transaction Tax (STT) is a direct tax imposed on the buying and selling of securities in India.
Commenting on the Budget, Prime Minister Narendra Modi said, “The Union Budget reflects the aspirations of 140 crore Indians. It strengthens the reform journey and charts a clear roadmap for Viksit Bharat.”
February 01, 2026, 14:43 IST
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Business
‘Holistic And Forward-Looking’: Piyush Goyal Says Budget 2026 Reflects Future-Ready India
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Piyush Goyal termed the Budget “economically and fundamentally very strong”, and stated that it “reflects the aspirations of the youth of the country”.
Minister of Commerce and Industry Piyush Goyal. (File photo)
Union Minister Piyush Goyal on Sunday termed Budget 2026 “futuristic and holistic”, and stated that it “reflects the aspirations of the youth of the country and is forward-looking”.
Speaking exclusively to CNN-News18 on Budget 2026, presented by Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman, Goyal said, “This is a fabulous budget and it is very futuristic. The Budget 2026 has covered all sectors including technology, infrastructure, etc.”
“The technology sector has been given a thrust. The budget focuses on infrastructure. It is a holistic and forward-looking budget refecting future ready Bharat,” he said, adding, “The budget meets the aspirations of the youth and new India.”
Stating that the Budget is economically and fundamentally very strong, the Union Minister said, “Farmers, animal husbandry and labour-intensive sectors get a major push as this Budget focuses on investment, value addition and jobs.”
#Exclusive | “The Budget is economically and fundamentally very strong,”Preparing India for Viksit Bharat. Farmers, animal husbandry and labour-intensive sectors get a major push as the Budget focuses on investment, value addition and jobs.@Parikshitl in an exclusive… pic.twitter.com/tJr2SItcaW
— News18 (@CNNnews18) February 1, 2026
‘Budget 2026 Is Human-Centric’: PM Modi
Prime Minister Narendra Modi on Sunday said that the Union Budget 2026 is “human-centric and strengthens India’s foundation with path-breaking reforms.” The Prime Minister also described it as historic and a catalyst for accelerating the country’s reform trajectory and long-term growth.
Following the presentation of the Budget in Parliament, PM Modi said the proposals would energise the economy, empower citizens and give India’s youth fresh opportunities to scale new heights.
“This budget brings the dreams of the present to life and strengthens the foundation of India’s bright future. This budget is a strong foundation for our high-flying aspirations of a developed India by 2047,” he said.
Calling the government’s reform agenda a “Reform Express”, the Prime Minister added, “The reform express that India is riding today will gain new energy and new momentum from this budget.”
February 01, 2026, 19:01 IST
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Business
How inflation rebound is set to affect UK interest rates
Interest rates are widely expected to remain at 3.75% as Bank of England policymakers prioritise curbing above-target inflation while also monitoring economic growth, according to expert analysis.
The Bank’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) is anticipated to leave borrowing costs unchanged when it announces its latest decision on Thursday, marking its first interest rate setting meeting of the year.
This follows a rate cut delivered before Christmas, which was the fourth such reduction.
At the time, Governor Andrew Bailey noted that the UK had “passed the recent peak in inflation and it has continued to fall”, enabling the MPC to ease borrowing costs. However, he cautioned that any further cuts would be a “closer call”.
Since that decision, official data has revealed that inflation unexpectedly rebounded in December, rising for the first time in five months.
The Consumer Prices Index (CPI) inflation rate reached 3.4% for the month, an increase from 3.2% in November, with factors such as tobacco duties and airfares contributing to the upward pressure on prices.
Economists suggest this inflation uptick is likely to reinforce the MPC’s inclination to keep rates steady this month.
Philip Shaw, an analyst for Investec, stated: “The principal reason to hold off from easing again is that at 3.4% in December, inflation remains well above the 2% target.”
He added: “But with the stance of policy less restrictive than previously, there are greater risks that further easing is unwarranted.”
Shaw also highlighted other data points the MPC would consider, including gross domestic product (GDP), which saw a return to growth of 0.3% in November – a potentially encouraging sign for policymakers.
Matt Swannell, chief economic advisor to the EY ITEM Club, affirmed: “Keeping bank rate unchanged at 3.75% at next week’s meeting looks a near-certainty.”
He noted that while some MPC members who favoured a cut in December still have concerns about persistent wage growth and inflation, recent data has not been compelling enough to prompt back-to-back reductions.
Edward Allenby, senior economic advisor at Oxford Economics, forecasts the next rate cut to occur in April.
He explained: “The MPC will continue to face a delicate balancing act between supporting growth and preventing inflation from becoming entrenched, with forthcoming data on pay settlements likely to play a decisive role in shaping the next policy move.”
The Bank’s policymakers have consistently voiced concerns regarding the pace of wage increases in the UK, which can fuel overall inflation.
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