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FTSE 100 at new high as banks offset weak gold and US-China talks hailed

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FTSE 100 at new high as banks offset weak gold and US-China talks hailed



The FTSE 100 edged upwards on Monday, notching another record close, ahead of a week dominated by central bank meetings and tech earnings.

The FTSE 100 index closed up 8.20 points, or 0.1%, at 9,653.82. It had earlier set a new intra-day high of 9,672.74.

The FTSE 250 ended 17.54 points lower, or 0.1%, at 22,511.48, and the AIM All-Share declined 4.66 points, 0.6%, at 772.60.

Markets were given a lift by productive trade talks between the world’s two largest economies, China and the US.

Joshua Mahony at Scope Markets said the weekend talks between US-Chinese negotiators appear to have resulted in a “significant breakthrough”, with US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent announcing that a “substantial framework” had been agreed upon.

That framework covers a wide range of issues, including export controls, tariff suspensions, fentanyl-related tariffs, and agricultural trade.

“With the Trump-Xi meeting always likely to be a result of significant groundwork being made by their negotiating teams, there is an optimism that the two leaders can strike a more conciliatory tone than had been seen over recent weeks,” he added.

In Europe on Monday, the CAC 40 in Paris ended up 0.2%, while the DAX 40 in Frankfurt closed 0.3% higher.

Stocks in New York were higher at the time of the London close. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 0.5%, the S&P 500 was 1.0% higher, and the Nasdaq Composite advanced 1.6%.

The yield on the US 10-year Treasury was quoted at 4.02%, stretched from 4.00% on Friday. The yield on the US 30-year Treasury stood at 4.59%, widened from 4.58% on Friday.

On Wall Street, the focus this week is on Wednesday’s interest rate decision and earnings from five of the ‘Magnificent 7’ with Amazon, Alphabet, Apple, Meta Platforms and Microsoft, which hit the wires after the market close on Wednesday and Thursday.

The Federal Reserve is widely expected to lower interest rates on Wednesday and possibly tee up another quarter-point reduction in December, despite a lack of data because of the federal government shutdown.

Morgan Stanley said: “Limited data availability should not stop the Fed from reducing its policy rate again in October and signalling another cut is likely in December, but it could limit how far rate guidance extends past year-end.”

After a 25 basis points cut on Wednesday, the investment bank expects further cuts in December, January, April and July, with a terminal rate of 2.75%-3.00%.

The pound was quoted higher at 1.3331 dollars at the time of the London equity market close on Monday, compared with 1.3301 dollars on Friday.

The euro stood at 1.1639 dollars, up compared with 1.1631dollars. Against the yen, the dollar was trading at 153.04 yen, higher compared with 152.79 yen.

On the FTSE 100, HSBC fell 0.3% as it said it will set aside 1.1 billion dollars (£0.82 billion) after an adverse court ruling related to the Bernard Madoff investment fraud.

The provision will be included in its third-quarter results, due for release on Tuesday.

Madoff, who died in a North Carolina prison in 2021, admitted to defrauding thousands of investors of around 65 billion dollars (£48.7 billion) through a Ponzi scheme.

“This is not a great headline and was unexpected, but the overall financial impact is not material to the investment case,” commented Shore Capital banking analyst Gary Greenwood.

But other banking stocks pushed higher, with Standard Chartered up 3.2%, Lloyds Banking up 2.3%, and NatWest and Barclays both 1.9% to the good.

Analysts at JP Morgan (JPM) think that the consistency of earnings generation and strong capital in UK domestic banks remains “underappreciated” with valuations below European peers.

“Concerns around an inflection in hedge earnings are premature, in our view, while we also see a ‘reasonable’ tax increase with the Budget as largely priced, allowing investors to re-engage with the sector,” JPM added, noting the outlook for distributions is “solid”.

But Centrica fell 1.4%, as Citi downgraded the British Gas owner to ‘hold’ from ‘buy’.

“With the stock now within touching distance to our unchanged 185p price target, with no immediate upside catalyst, some concerns gathering around UK politics and Centrica Energy for the (full year), as well as our more cautious view of commodity outlook, we struggle to see much absolute upside,” analyst Jenny Ping wrote in a research note.

The more ‘risk-on’ mood saw the safe haven of gold retreat, dragging Fresnillo and Endeavour Mining both down by 5.0%. On the FTSE 250, Hochschild Mining fell 5.2%.

Gold traded at 3,993.32 dollars an ounce on Monday, down from 4,125.47 dollars on Friday.

James Luke, senior portfolio manager, gold and commodities at Schroders said it was a “natural correction within a multi-year bull market”.

“We continue to view this bull market as incomparable with prior bull markets in terms of the breadth and depth of potential monetary demand. If, as we see it, this is the ‘Mount Everest’ of gold bull markets, while we are well into the foothills, there is a long climb yet to reach the peak,” he added.

Back on the FTSE 250, Goodwin stormed 33% higher after announcing a special dividend and stating it expects its annual profit to double.

The Stoke-on-Trent, Staffordshire-based engineering and manufacturing company said that for the financial year to April 30, it expects to report pre-tax trading profit of £71 million, doubling from £35.5 million the year prior.

The special dividend, totalling 532 pence per share, was to “acknowledge and reward shareholders for their long-term commitment”, Goodwin said.

Brent oil traded at 65.99 dollars a barrel on Monday, down from 66.56 dollars late on Friday.

The biggest risers on the FTSE 100 were Standard Chartered, up 45.5 pence at 1,470.5p, Polar Capital Technology Trust, up 10.5p at 460.5p, Lloyds Banking Group, up 1.98p at 87.84p, St James’s Place, up 30.0p at 1,369.0p and Burberry, up 29.0p at 1,325.5p.

The biggest fallers on the FTSE 100 were Endeavour Mining, down 160.0p at 3,018.0p, Fresnillo, down 111.0p at 2,102.0p, Ashtead Group, down 134.0p at 5,178.0p, Croda International, down 67.0p at 2,943.0p and Entain, down 17.6p at 807.0p.

Tuesday’s global economic diary sees the start of the two-day Federal Open Market Committee meeting, plus house price data and the Conference Board consumer confidence report in the US.

Tuesday’s domestic UK corporate calendar has a trading statement from miner Anglo American and third-quarter earnings from Asia-focused lender HSBC.

Contributed by Alliance News



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Oil prices fall as Trump pauses Project Freedom to seek final peace deal with Iran

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Oil prices fall as Trump pauses Project Freedom to seek final peace deal with Iran


Oil prices fell and Asian stock markets surged to record highs on Wednesday after Donald Trump said negotiations with Iran were making “great progress” toward a final agreement and announced a brief pause in US operations escorting ships through the Strait of Hormuz.

Brent crude tumbled 1.2 per cent to $108.51 a barrel, still well above its roughly $70 price before the war began, but lower than the highs of recent weeks.

Wall Street had already set records on Tuesday, with the S&P 500 rising 0.8 per cent to a new all-time high and the Nasdaq gaining 1 per cent, as oil pulled back sharply after briefly crossing $115 on Monday.

Strong corporate earnings underpinned the Wall Street rally. DuPont surged 8.4 per cent after the chemical giant reported better-than-expected first-quarter profits and raised its full-year forecasts, even as it acknowledged some impact from logistics disruptions in the Middle East.

Pinterest jumped 6.9 per cent after its number of active monthly users rose 11 per cent to 631 million, beating Wall Street’s sales and profit targets. AB InBev climbed 8.7 per cent after topping profit forecasts on growth for its Corona, Stella Artois and Michelob Ultra brands. “Cheers to beer,” chief executive Michel Doukeris said.

Palantir fell 6.9 per cent despite beating expectations, as its stock continued to struggle on worries about increased competition. American Electric Power rose 1.8 per cent and Cummins added 2.8 per cent after both reported stronger-than-expected results.

In Europe, markets were mixed. The CAC 40 rose 1.1 per cent in Paris while the FTSE 100 fell 1.4 per cent in London. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng fell 0.8 per cent. Many Asian markets were closed for holidays.

The momentum carried into Asia on Wednesday, where MSCI‘s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan jumped 2.3 per cent to a fresh all-time high. South Korea’s Kospi surged 5.1 per cent, clearing the 7,000 mark for the first time, as Samsung Electronics jumped 12 per cent and crossed a $1 trillion market valuation, overtaking Berkshire Hathaway.

The AI trade drove much of the enthusiasm. Advanced Micro Devices jumped 16.5 per cent in extended trading after forecasting second-quarter revenue above Wall Street expectations on strong demand from cloud computing companies accelerating spending on AI infrastructure.

“Due to the capital expenditure we are seeing from hyperscalers in the US, the earnings growth trajectory for sectors such as semiconductors, tech hardware, industrials and materials in Asia exceeds anything I have seen in a long time,” Rushil Khanna, head of equity investments for Asia at Ostrum, an affiliate of Natixis Investment Managers, told Reuters. “This capex is leading to material value creation in Asia as the provider of the picks and shovels to the AI ecosystem.”

(AP)

The diplomatic backdrop of US-Iran talks also helped the markets. Mr Trump said he would briefly pause US operations escorting ships through the strait, which has been effectively closed since Iran blockaded it in late February, triggering a global energy shock. US defence secretary Pete Hegseth confirmed the ceasefire remained in place despite the US and Iran exchanging fire the previous day.

“Markets embraced a sense of calm and stability overnight, with the risk of escalation in the Middle East conflict viewed as having diminished,” analysts from Westpac wrote in a note.

Despite the optimism, analysts cautioned that significant uncertainties remained this week.

“A fragile ceasefire, a novel blockade, Friday’s NFP and diminishing odds of a US-Iran peace deal are all converging this week,” said Lukman Otunuga, head of market research at trading broker FXTM.

“Gold may find itself on the losing end of conflict-induced inflation fears, even as uncertainty grips markets.”

Gold rose 1.2 per cent to $4,609.59. The dollar index slipped 0.1 per cent, snapping a three-day winning streak, with the euro rising to $1.1724 and sterling to $1.3577.

The Australian dollar climbed 0.6 per cent to its highest since June 2022, buoyed by improved risk appetite and underpinned by a third consecutive interest rate rise from the Reserve Bank of Australia, which cited the Middle East conflict’s impact on fuel and commodity prices. The ten-year US Treasury yield held flat at 4.424 per cent.



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Top stocks to buy today: Stock recommendations for May 6, 2026 – check list – The Times of India

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Top stocks to buy today: Stock recommendations for May 6, 2026 – check list – The Times of India


Top stocks to buy (AI image)

Stock market recommendations: Mehul Kothari, DVP – Technical Research at Anand Rathi Shares has recommended Castrol India, Concord Biotech, and Intellect Design Arena as the top stocks to buy today, May 6, 2026.Castrol India Ltd – Harmonic Completion with Momentum ConfirmationBuy: ₹186–₹180 | Stop Loss: ₹166 | Target: ₹214Castrol India has completed a classic AB=CD harmonic structure, highlighting price symmetry and a potential reversal zone. This completion aligns with the 61.8% internal Fibonacci retracement, reinforcing the importance of this support area. Additionally, the presence of the 1.27 external retracement adds further confluence to the bullish setup. Momentum indicators support this view, with RSI sustaining above the 50 mark, indicating improving strength and positive bias. Overall, the structure suggests a high probability of upward movement from current levels.Concord Biotech Ltd – Base Formation with Momentum ExpansionBuy: ₹1200–₹1170 | Stop Loss: ₹1070 | Target: ₹1380Concord Biotech has formed a strong base in the ₹1000–₹1100 zone, supported by bullish divergence, indicating accumulation at lower levels. The RSI has crossed above the 60 mark for the first time in several months, reflecting a pickup in momentum and strengthening trend bias. Additionally, the stock has closed above the Williams Alligator indicator, suggesting a transition into a sustained uptrend. The confluence of these factors indicates improving sentiment and increasing buying interest, pointing toward potential continuation of the bullish move.Intellect Design Arena Ltd – Base Breakout with Trend Reversal SignalsBuy: ₹740–₹720 | Stop Loss: ₹660 | Target: ₹850Intellect Design Arena has developed a strong base in the ₹600–₹700 zone, supported by bullish divergence, indicating accumulation at lower levels. The RSI has moved above the 50 mark, signaling improving momentum and strengthening trend conditions. Additionally, the stock has broken above its previous swing high, confirming a potential trend reversal and shift towards an uptrend. The alignment of these technical factors reflects improving sentiment and rising buying interest, suggesting a high probability of continued bullish momentum in the near to medium term.(Disclaimer: Recommendations and views on the stock market, other asset classes or personal finance management tips given by experts are their own. These opinions do not represent the views of The Times of India.)



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Oil prices ease as US pauses Project Freedom to seek Iran deal

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Oil prices ease as US pauses Project Freedom to seek Iran deal



President Donald Trump raised hopes of an agreement between the US and Iran after days of escalation.



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