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FTSE 100 at new high as banks offset weak gold and US-China talks hailed

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FTSE 100 at new high as banks offset weak gold and US-China talks hailed



The FTSE 100 edged upwards on Monday, notching another record close, ahead of a week dominated by central bank meetings and tech earnings.

The FTSE 100 index closed up 8.20 points, or 0.1%, at 9,653.82. It had earlier set a new intra-day high of 9,672.74.

The FTSE 250 ended 17.54 points lower, or 0.1%, at 22,511.48, and the AIM All-Share declined 4.66 points, 0.6%, at 772.60.

Markets were given a lift by productive trade talks between the world’s two largest economies, China and the US.

Joshua Mahony at Scope Markets said the weekend talks between US-Chinese negotiators appear to have resulted in a “significant breakthrough”, with US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent announcing that a “substantial framework” had been agreed upon.

That framework covers a wide range of issues, including export controls, tariff suspensions, fentanyl-related tariffs, and agricultural trade.

“With the Trump-Xi meeting always likely to be a result of significant groundwork being made by their negotiating teams, there is an optimism that the two leaders can strike a more conciliatory tone than had been seen over recent weeks,” he added.

In Europe on Monday, the CAC 40 in Paris ended up 0.2%, while the DAX 40 in Frankfurt closed 0.3% higher.

Stocks in New York were higher at the time of the London close. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 0.5%, the S&P 500 was 1.0% higher, and the Nasdaq Composite advanced 1.6%.

The yield on the US 10-year Treasury was quoted at 4.02%, stretched from 4.00% on Friday. The yield on the US 30-year Treasury stood at 4.59%, widened from 4.58% on Friday.

On Wall Street, the focus this week is on Wednesday’s interest rate decision and earnings from five of the ‘Magnificent 7’ with Amazon, Alphabet, Apple, Meta Platforms and Microsoft, which hit the wires after the market close on Wednesday and Thursday.

The Federal Reserve is widely expected to lower interest rates on Wednesday and possibly tee up another quarter-point reduction in December, despite a lack of data because of the federal government shutdown.

Morgan Stanley said: “Limited data availability should not stop the Fed from reducing its policy rate again in October and signalling another cut is likely in December, but it could limit how far rate guidance extends past year-end.”

After a 25 basis points cut on Wednesday, the investment bank expects further cuts in December, January, April and July, with a terminal rate of 2.75%-3.00%.

The pound was quoted higher at 1.3331 dollars at the time of the London equity market close on Monday, compared with 1.3301 dollars on Friday.

The euro stood at 1.1639 dollars, up compared with 1.1631dollars. Against the yen, the dollar was trading at 153.04 yen, higher compared with 152.79 yen.

On the FTSE 100, HSBC fell 0.3% as it said it will set aside 1.1 billion dollars (£0.82 billion) after an adverse court ruling related to the Bernard Madoff investment fraud.

The provision will be included in its third-quarter results, due for release on Tuesday.

Madoff, who died in a North Carolina prison in 2021, admitted to defrauding thousands of investors of around 65 billion dollars (£48.7 billion) through a Ponzi scheme.

“This is not a great headline and was unexpected, but the overall financial impact is not material to the investment case,” commented Shore Capital banking analyst Gary Greenwood.

But other banking stocks pushed higher, with Standard Chartered up 3.2%, Lloyds Banking up 2.3%, and NatWest and Barclays both 1.9% to the good.

Analysts at JP Morgan (JPM) think that the consistency of earnings generation and strong capital in UK domestic banks remains “underappreciated” with valuations below European peers.

“Concerns around an inflection in hedge earnings are premature, in our view, while we also see a ‘reasonable’ tax increase with the Budget as largely priced, allowing investors to re-engage with the sector,” JPM added, noting the outlook for distributions is “solid”.

But Centrica fell 1.4%, as Citi downgraded the British Gas owner to ‘hold’ from ‘buy’.

“With the stock now within touching distance to our unchanged 185p price target, with no immediate upside catalyst, some concerns gathering around UK politics and Centrica Energy for the (full year), as well as our more cautious view of commodity outlook, we struggle to see much absolute upside,” analyst Jenny Ping wrote in a research note.

The more ‘risk-on’ mood saw the safe haven of gold retreat, dragging Fresnillo and Endeavour Mining both down by 5.0%. On the FTSE 250, Hochschild Mining fell 5.2%.

Gold traded at 3,993.32 dollars an ounce on Monday, down from 4,125.47 dollars on Friday.

James Luke, senior portfolio manager, gold and commodities at Schroders said it was a “natural correction within a multi-year bull market”.

“We continue to view this bull market as incomparable with prior bull markets in terms of the breadth and depth of potential monetary demand. If, as we see it, this is the ‘Mount Everest’ of gold bull markets, while we are well into the foothills, there is a long climb yet to reach the peak,” he added.

Back on the FTSE 250, Goodwin stormed 33% higher after announcing a special dividend and stating it expects its annual profit to double.

The Stoke-on-Trent, Staffordshire-based engineering and manufacturing company said that for the financial year to April 30, it expects to report pre-tax trading profit of £71 million, doubling from £35.5 million the year prior.

The special dividend, totalling 532 pence per share, was to “acknowledge and reward shareholders for their long-term commitment”, Goodwin said.

Brent oil traded at 65.99 dollars a barrel on Monday, down from 66.56 dollars late on Friday.

The biggest risers on the FTSE 100 were Standard Chartered, up 45.5 pence at 1,470.5p, Polar Capital Technology Trust, up 10.5p at 460.5p, Lloyds Banking Group, up 1.98p at 87.84p, St James’s Place, up 30.0p at 1,369.0p and Burberry, up 29.0p at 1,325.5p.

The biggest fallers on the FTSE 100 were Endeavour Mining, down 160.0p at 3,018.0p, Fresnillo, down 111.0p at 2,102.0p, Ashtead Group, down 134.0p at 5,178.0p, Croda International, down 67.0p at 2,943.0p and Entain, down 17.6p at 807.0p.

Tuesday’s global economic diary sees the start of the two-day Federal Open Market Committee meeting, plus house price data and the Conference Board consumer confidence report in the US.

Tuesday’s domestic UK corporate calendar has a trading statement from miner Anglo American and third-quarter earnings from Asia-focused lender HSBC.

Contributed by Alliance News



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SC permits Centre to review Rs 6,000cr additional dues on Vodafone-Idea – The Times of India

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SC permits Centre to review Rs 6,000cr additional dues on Vodafone-Idea – The Times of India


NEW DELHI: The Union govt on Monday convinced the Supreme Court to permit the department of telecom to review its demand of Rs 6,000 crore additional adjusted gross revenue demand for the FY 2016-17 on Vodafone-Idea. Chief Justice B R Gavai and Justice K Vinod Chandran was informed by solicitor general Tushar Mehta that since the previous round of litigation, in which Vodafone was ordered to pay the AGR dues, there had been a change of circumstance as the Centre has acquired a 49% stake in the company. Mehta said, “We do not want the company, in which the govt has a huge investment, to go bankrupt to make 20 crore people suffer. ‘Govt wants to prevent monopoly’ Govt wants more players in the mobile telecom sector to prevent monopoly,” said solicitor general Tushar Mehta. Vodafone through senior advocate Mukul Rohatgi had argued that the SC had frozen the AGR dues at Rs 58,254 crore as of 2016-17 and that the DoT cannot raise additional AGR dues in breach of the SC order. Govt had converted Rs 36,950 cr dues as its 49% equity in the telecom service provider.

SC: Centre can review ₹6kcr additional dues on Voda-Idea

The bench noticed the element of public interest in the case and permitted the Centre to take a fresh view of the additional AGR demands, especially when the issue is purely in the policy domain and involves the interests of 20 crore people. “We see no reason why the Centre should be prevented from taking a relook at the additional AGR dues,” the bench said.





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OpenAI shares data on ChatGPT users with suicidal thoughts, psychosis

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OpenAI shares data on ChatGPT users with suicidal thoughts, psychosis


OpenAI has released new estimates of the number of ChatGPT users who exhibit possible signs of mental health emergencies, including mania, psychosis or suicidal thoughts.

The company said that around .07% of ChatGPT users active in a given week exhibited such signs, adding that its artificial intelligence (AI) chatbot recognizes and responds to these sensitive conversations.

While OpenAI maintains these cases are “extremely rare,” critics said even a small percentage may amount to hundreds of thousands of people, as ChatGPT recently reached 800 million weekly active users, per boss Sam Altman.

As scrutiny mounts, the company said it built a network of experts around the world to advise it.

Those experts include more than 170 psychiatrists, psychologists, and primary care physicians who have practiced in 60 countries, the company said.

They have devised a series of responses in ChatGPT to encourage users to seek help in the real world, according to OpenAI.

But the glimpse at the company’s data raised eyebrows among some mental health professionals.

“Even though .07% sounds like a small percentage, at a population level with hundreds of millions of users, that actually can be quite a few people,” said Dr. Jason Nagata, a professor who studies technology use among young adults at the University of California, San Francisco.

“AI can broaden access to mental health support, and in some ways support mental health, but we have to be aware of the limitations,” Dr. Nagata added.

The company also estimates .15% of ChatGPT users have conversations that include “explicit indicators of potential suicidal planning or intent.”

OpenAI said recent updates to its chatbot are designed to “respond safely and empathetically to potential signs of delusion or mania” and note “indirect signals of potential self-harm or suicide risk.”

ChatGPT has also been trained to reroute sensitive conversations “originating from other models to safer models” by opening in a new window.

In response to questions by the BBC on criticism about the numbers of people potentially affected, OpenAI said that this small percentage of users amounts to a meaningful amount of people and noted they are taking changes seriously.

The changes come as OpenAI faces mounting legal scrutiny over the way ChatGPT interacts with users.

In one of the most high-profile lawsuits recently filed against OpenAI, a California couple sued the company over the death of their teenage son alleging that ChatGPT encouraged him to take his own life in April.

The lawsuit was filed by the parents of 16-year-old Adam Raine and was the first legal action accusing OpenAI of wrongful death.

In a separate case, the suspect in a murder-suicide that took place in August in Greenwich, Connecticut posted hours of his conversations with ChatGPT, which appear to have fuelled the alleged perpetrator’s delusions.

More users struggle with AI psychosis as “chatbots create the illusion of reality,” said Professor Robin Feldman, Director of the AI Law & Innovation Institute at the University of California Law. “It is a powerful illusion.”

She said OpenAI deserved credit for “sharing statistics and for efforts to improve the problem” but added: “the company can put all kinds of warnings on the screen but a person who is mentally at risk may not be able to heed those warnings.”



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UK airline Eastern Airways suspends operations with all flights cancelled

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UK airline Eastern Airways suspends operations with all flights cancelled



UK domestic airline Eastern Airways has suspended operations and all of its flights have been cancelled.

Customers of the airline, which operated regional services from airports across the UK, are being urged not to go to the airport as flights will not be operating, the UK Civil Aviation Authority said.

Destinations the airline flew to included Aberdeen, Humberside, London Gatwick, Newquay, Teesside International and Wick, according to its website.

Eastern Airways customers are being urged to make their own alternative travel arrangements via other airlines, rail or coach operators.

On Monday morning Eastern Airways (UK) Ltd filed a notice of intention to appoint an administrator at the Insolvency and Companies Court, which is within the High Court.

Selina Chadha, consumer and markets director at the UK Civil Aviation Authority, said: “We urge passengers planning to fly with this airline not to go to the airport as all Eastern Airways flights are cancelled.

“Eastern Airways customers should visit the Civil Aviation Authority’s website for the latest information.”

Following the suspension of Eastern Airways operations, London and North Eastern Railway, ScotRail, TransPennine Express, and Northern will offer free standard class travel to Eastern Airways staff and customers on October 28 and 29, on suitable routes operated by each train company, the UK Civil Aviation Authority said.

To access this support, present either an Eastern Airways employee ID, boarding pass, or flight confirmation to station staff.



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