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Stocks make late recovery after seven-day slump | The Express Tribune

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Stocks make late recovery after seven-day slump | The Express Tribune



KARACHI:

The Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) staged a powerful recovery at the end of the outgoing week, with the benchmark KSE-100 index surging 4,899 points, or 3.13%, on Friday to close at 161,632, marking one of its strongest single-day rebounds in recent sessions. On a week-on-week (WoW) basis, the index registered a decline of 1,672 points.

On a day-on-day basis, the PSX opened the rollover week on a bearish note, with the KSE-100 extending its losing streak by shedding another 1,140 points (-0.70%) to close at 162,164. On Tuesday, the market witnessed yet another turbulent session as the index fell for the fifth consecutive day, shedding 2,063 points (-1.27%) to settle at 160,101 – barely holding above the psychological support of 160k.

The bearish spell persisted for the sixth straight session on Wednesday when the KSE-100 slipped below 160k to close at 158,465, down 1,636 points (-1.02%). The bearish streak continued unabated on Thursday as the bourse lost 1,732 points (-1.09%) to close at 156,733. The benchmark index marked a new low, breaching the previous trough of 158,443 (recorded on October 13, 2025), amid persistent selling and fading confidence.

However, on Friday, after days of relentless pressure, bulls staged a powerful comeback in the last session of the week and month, propelling the KSE-100 to reclaim the 160k mark. Arif Habib Limited (AHL), in its weekly report, said that the KSE-100 index remained on a downward trajectory at the start of the week, but bounced back decisively on Friday, recovering some lost ground. The bearish part of the week was on the back of disappointing results across several sectors. Consequently, the index closed the week at 161,632, marking a decline of 1,672 points.

In the T-bill auction, AHL mentioned, the government raised a total of Rs1,134.5 billion against the target of Rs950 billion. Participation remained strong at Rs2,132.4 billion. Yields were down across the tenors of one month and three months by 11 basis points and 0.1 basis point respectively, while yields for six-month and 12-month tenors surged by 0.4 basis point and 10 basis points.

Broad money (M2) stood at Rs39.8 trillion, exhibiting a surge of 0.5% WoW, as of October 17, 2025. On Monday, the monetary policy committee maintained the policy rate at 11% in line with expectations.

The State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) announced details of its foreign exchange interventions. Between Jun’24 and Jul’25, the SBP conducted net foreign exchange interventions of $8.4 billion. In Jul’25, the SBP reported net foreign exchange interventions of $189 million, AHL said.

Banking deposits increased by 12.3% year-on-year (YoY) to Rs35.2 trillion as of Sept’25 (Sept’24: Rs31.3 trillion), while advances rose by 9.4% YoY to Rs13.5 trillion during the same period (Sept’24: Rs12.3 trillion).

Oil production recorded an increase of 9.9% WoW, arriving at 66,834 barrels per day. Production from Dhok Sultan, Nashpa and Mardan Khel rose during the week, AHL added.

Wadee Zaman of JS Global noted that the KSE-100 index remained under pressure during the week, falling to the low of 156,732 amid geopolitical tensions following the failure of Pakistan-Afghanistan talks in Istanbul on cross-border militancy. However, the index saw a sharp rebound on Friday after both countries agreed to maintain the ceasefire, with further discussions scheduled for November 6. On the economic front, the SBP kept the policy rate unchanged at 11%, citing a medium-term inflation target of 5-7%. The IMF is expected to hold its board meeting in December to approve the next $1.2 billion tranche, he said.

The World Bank revised its GDP growth projection to 3% (from 3.4%), citing inflationary risks due to floods. In external developments, Saudi Arabia pledged to extend a $1 billion oil financing facility and roll over $5 billion in deposits to support Pakistan’s external position. The Pakistani rupee strengthened to a six-month high, closing at Rs280.91/USD on Friday. On the fiscal side, the government posted a rare federal surplus of Rs1.5 trillion in 1QFY26 versus a Rs649 billion deficit in 1QFY25, Zaman added.



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India’s Net Direct Tax Collection Rises 8% To Rs 17.04 Lakh Crore On Higher Corporate Tax Mop-Up

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India’s Net Direct Tax Collection Rises 8% To Rs 17.04 Lakh Crore On Higher Corporate Tax Mop-Up


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Net corporate tax collection during the period (April 1, 2025, to December 17, 2025) stands at about Rs 8.17 lakh crore, up from Rs 7.39 lakh crore in the same period of FY25.

India’s gross direct tax collection, before adjusting refunds, stood at over Rs 20.01 lakh crore so far this fiscal year, a 4.16 per cent growth over the year-ago period.

India’s net direct tax collection has increased 8 per cent to over Rs 17.04 lakh crore in the ongoing financial year so far, on higher corporate tax mop-up. Net corporate tax collection during the period (April 1, 2025, to December 17, 2025) stood at about Rs 8.17 lakh crore, up from Rs 7.39 lakh crore in the same period of FY25.

Refund issuances fell 13.52 per cent to over Rs 2.97 lakh crore between April 1 and December 17.

The country’s non-corporate tax, including individuals and HUFs, mop-up so far this fiscal year stood around Rs 8.46 lakh crore, up from about Rs 7.96 lakh crore in the same period last year.

Securities Transaction Tax (STT) collection stood at Rs 40,194.77 crore so far this fiscal year, marginally higher than Rs 40,114.02 crore in the year-ago period.

India’s gross direct tax collection, before adjusting refunds, stood at over Rs 20.01 lakh crore so far this fiscal year, a 4.16 per cent growth over the year-ago period.

In the current fiscal year, the government has projected its direct tax collection at Rs 25.20 lakh crore, up 12.7 per cent year-on-year. The government aims to collect Rs 78,000 crore from STT in FY26.

Rohinton Sidhwa, partner at Deloitte India, said, “Tax refunds issuance has dropped much below last year, while overall tax collection has grown marginally at 4%. The drop in refunds is being attributed to a higher amount of screening of any fraudulent refund claims. Holding back refunds also accelerates litigation that the tax department can ill afford. Overall, the corporate advance tax increase signals good corporate earnings. Non- corporate advance tax collections have, however, declined possibly on the back of rate cuts for individuals given in the previous Budget.”

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Government borrowing higher than expected after winter fuel payments U-turn

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Government borrowing higher than expected after winter fuel payments U-turn



Borrowing fell last month to its lowest November level for four years but was still higher than expected as figures for the year so far were pushed higher due to the Government’s U-turn on winter fuel payments.

Official figures showed borrowing stood at £11.7 billion last month, £1.9 billion less than in November last year and the lowest for that month since 2021 thanks to a sharp fall in debt interest payments.

But the figure was more than the £10.3 billion expected by most economists and the £8.6 billion forecast in March by the UK’s independent fiscal watchdog, the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR).

The OBR’s monthly forecasts from the budget on November 26 are not available until mid-January, according to the ONS.

Borrowing for the eight months of the financial year so far was £132.3 billion, £10 billion higher than the same period a year ago and £16.8 billion higher than the OBR forecast in March.

This was partly due to an extra £1.8 billion of spending on winter fuel payments after the Government U-turned on its previous decision to severely restrict payments through means testing, instead opting to give the payout to all pensioners except those earning above £35,000 a year.

This helped drive an upward revision to borrowing for the seven months to October by £3.9 billion.

ONS senior statistician Tom Davies said: “Despite an increase in spending, this month’s borrowing was the lowest November for four years.

“The main reason for the drop from last year was increased receipts from taxes and National Insurance contributions.”

November’s figure was pushed lower thanks to falling debt interest payments on borrowing, down by £200 million year-on-year to £3.4 billion and the lowest November level for six years.

Public sector net debt, including the Bank of England, reached £2.93 trillion at the end of November, which is around 95.6% of gross domestic product (GDP) and 0.3 percentage points more than a year ago, although remains at levels last seen in the early 1960s.

Elliott Jordan-Doak, senior UK economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics, said there was “very little Christmas cheer for the Chancellor” in the latest borrowing figures.

He added: “Ms Reeves has staked much fiscal credibility on chunky tax increases in the back end of the forecast period. But we think today’s figures further illustrate the shaky foundations of that gamble.

“Revenues continue to underperform, and the smorgasbord approach of tax increases relies on distortionary tax increases with uncertain yields.

“We also have serious doubts about the Government’s ability to follow through on the raft of spending cuts announced in the Budget.”

Chief Secretary to the Treasury James Murray said the debt interest payments underscored the need to bring borrowing down.

He said: “£1 in every £10 we spend goes on debt interest – money that could otherwise be invested in public services.

“That is why last month the Chancellor set out a Budget that delivers on our pledge to cut debt and borrowing.”

Martin Beck at WPI Strategy said “confidence remains the missing ingredient”.

“A clear and credible pro-growth strategy from the Government – and an end to the pervasive gloom surrounding the UK economy – may matter just as much for the public finances as the fine print of future tax and spending plans,” he said.



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Ask Dhirendra: “How do I decide how much to save and invest when my income is just about enough?” – The Times of India

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Ask Dhirendra: “How do I decide how much to save and invest when my income is just about enough?” – The Times of India


The problem is not which fund to choose. It’s how much they can realistically save. (AI image)

“How do I decide how much to save and invest when my income is just about enough?”This is one of those questions that sounds technical, but is actually very emotional.On paper, it’s simple: income comes in, expenses go out, and whatever is left is “savings. In real life, income comes in, rent, EMIs, school fees, petrol, Swiggy, Zomato, sale on Myntra, birthday gifts, one sudden expense… and at the end of the month, you look at your balance and say, “I’ll start investing from next month. Pakka.”Next month looks surprisingly similar.So let’s start with an honest admission: for most people, the problem is not which fund to choose. It’s how much they can realistically save when it feels like the money is just about enough.At Value Research, whenever we look at this, we don’t begin with a number like “you must save 30%”. We start with a different idea: savings are not what is left after spending. Savings are what you decide first; spending adjusts after that if you flip this order, the maths – and your behaviour – changes completely.A good rule of thumb for many middle-class households is to allocate 20–30% of their take-home income to savings and investments. However, I also know that for many people today, 30% sounds like a bad joke. So instead of fighting over the “ideal” number, let’s work with two simpler questions:

  1. What can you save today without breaking your life?
  2. How can you make that number grow every year?

To answer the first question, you need to know where your money is actually going, not where you think it is going. For one or two months, track your expenses honestly – not for Instagram, for yourself. You don’t need an app; even a simple notebook or spreadsheet works.

Where does a typical salary go?

Where does a typical salary go?

Once you see your own pie chart, three things usually stand out:

  • Some expenses are non-negotiable (rent, basic food, fees).
  • Some are negotiable but important (a modest phone, occasional eating out).
  • Some are pure leakage (unused subscriptions, impulsive orders, “I don’t even remember what this was”).

Your first “investment” might simply be plugging two or three leaks. Even if that frees up only ₹2,000–₹3,000 a month, that is your starting SIP.Now let’s look at how “small” that really is.

From spare change to serious money

From spare change to serious money

When we run these numbers at Value Research in our retirement and goal calculators, the results are always the same: the gap between zero and small is far bigger than the gap between small and perfect.But what if your income truly is at the survival stage? There are people for whom even ₹2,000 is a luxury some months. If that’s your reality, you have two parallel jobs. One is to create a tiny habit – even ₹500 or ₹1,000 a month into a recurring deposit or a conservative fund. The absolute amount is less important than the mental switch from “I’ll save if anything is left” to “I will save something, and then I will live on the rest.The second job is to make sure that as your income grows, your lifestyle doesn’t expand at the same speed. This is where a lot of middle-class Indians quietly sabotage themselves. Every salary increase automatically becomes a better phone, nicer meals out, upgraded gadgets, and bigger car loans. The percentage saved stays the same, or sometimes even falls.A very powerful habit – one we often build into plans at Value Research – is the “step-up”. Each year, when your salary goes up, you increase your SIPs and savings before you upgrade anything else.

Step up your SIP before you step up your lifestyle

Step up your SIP before you step up your lifestyle

In many examples we’ve run, the step-up strategy leads to a dramatically higher corpus at the end, without you ever feeling an acute “sacrifice” in any single year. You just avoid letting every pay hike leak out into lifestyle.Now, how do you decide your own number?Here’s a simple approach:

  • First, add up your genuine essentials: rent/EMI, groceries, utilities, fees, basic transport.
  • Next, be realistic and add a modest amount for discretionary spending that you know you’ll do anyway – because you are human, not a robot.
  • See what is left. From that leftover, commit to a percentage – even 10% of your take-home income – as a non-negotiable saving and investing amount. Set up automatic transfers and SIPs for that right after your salary date.

If that number feels tight, start a little lower and promise yourself one thing: every time your income goes up, your savings rate will go up faster than your spending.At Value Research, when we build long-term plans, we don’t assume people will suddenly start saving 40% from next month. We assume they will start somewhere realistic, and then we design step-ups. The rigour is in the process, not in some magical starting number.One last point. Many people postpone investing because they are embarrassed by how small their starting amount looks. Please don’t underestimate the psychological power of seeing a small, growing pile that you started and maintained. It changes how you think about yourself: from “I can’t save” to “I am someone who always saves something.” That identity is worth more than one extra dinner out.So how much should you save and invest when your income feels just about enough? The honest answer is: start with whatever you can without lying to yourself, protect that amount like you protect your rent, and then make sure it rises every time your income increases. The “right” number is not what a formula says; it’s the number you will actually stick to for the next 20 years.The perfect percentage can wait. The first rupee cannot.If you have any queries for Dhirendra Kumar you can drop us an email at: toi.business@timesinternet.in(Dhirendra Kumar is Founder and CEO of Value Research)



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