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Netflix-Warner Bros: Five takeaways from the blockbuster deal
Natalie Sherman,Business reporter,
Danielle Kaye,Business reporterand
Christal Hayes,Los Angeles senior reporter
Warner Brothers DiscoveryIt sounds like a simple merger deal, but it’s got all the ingredients of a Hollywood drama: a rich and powerful suitor, political intrigue, and plenty of cliff-hangers.
Netflix’s deal to buy Warner Brothers Discovery’s storied movie studio and popular HBO streaming networks, is a real-life tale of a conquering giant.
But with regulators and rivals still waiting in the wings, it’s probably just the start of the saga.
As the story unfolds, here are five key things to look out for.
1. Netflix is becoming even more powerful
Netflix has been pulling ahead in Hollywood for years now, ranking as the world’s biggest streaming subscription service and largest producer of new content in California.
But this deal – the biggest in the industry for years – would confirm its position at the head of the pack, handing the company a catalogue with nearly a century’s worth of titles and beefing up its already formidable production capacity.
That’s not to mention its sheer subscriber might, as Netflix prepares to add some of HBO’s 128 million subscribers to its already more than 300 million-strong base.
“Netflix is already the biggest streaming service and now you add HBO Max to that and it becomes arguably untouchable,” said Mike Proulx, vice president at research firm Forrester.
Murray Close/Getty ImagesThe deal will unite beloved historic franchises like Looney Tunes, Harry Potter and Friends and HBO hits like Succession, Sex and the City and Game of Thrones under the same roof as Netflix’s less conventional output, including Stranger Things and KPop Demon Hunters.
The purchase also includes TNT Sports outside the US.
2. It could mean prices go up…. or down
Netflix said it hopes to complete the deal in the next year to 18 months.
But executives are coy about how – or whether – they plan to incorporate Warner Brothers and its flagship HBO brand into the existing Netflix service.
Netflix’s co-chief executive Greg Peters said the HBO name was “very powerful” and would give the firm “a lot of options”, but would not elaborate further.
Netflix could package up films and programmes into different bundles, although analysts say they would be surprised to see the HBO brand disappear altogether.
The impact on prices is also unclear.
Netflix’s dominance could allow it to charge customers more. But if viewers find they are paying for one streaming service rather than two, it could cost them less.
3. Streaming is the future and Hollywood feels cast aside
Warner Bros is one of the studios that defined Hollywood, creating classics such as Casablanca and the The Exorcist.
But this takeover is an illustration of how cinema’s golden age has faded.
The trajectory is clear, Forrester’s Mr Proulx said, the future is “all-streaming”.
“With this deal it is official: legacy media is ending.”
Netflix has promised to keep releasing films in cinemas, a decision that makes some sense as it will be acquiring the DC superhero franchise, films that do very well in movie theatres.
But not everyone believes that will remain a priority for the streamer.
After all, earlier this year Netflix’s co-chief executive officer Ted Sarandos said he believed movie-going was an “outdated concept”. And the consolidation touches a nerve in an industry already wrestling with earlier job cuts, decline in productions and the threat of artificial intelligence.
Titanic director James Cameron was one of many in Hollywood to greet the deal with dismay, warning just before it was announced, that he thought it would prove a “disaster” for the industry.
4. The deal is not yet done
Completion of the deal is far from certain.
First, Warner Brothers Discovery has to complete the spin-off of the parts of its business that it is not selling to Netflix, including CNN, Discovery and Eurosport.
Meanwhile rival suitor Paramount Skydance, which had hoped to buy the entire Warner Brothers Discovery business, may yet try to convince shareholders it can offer a better alternative.
Warner Brothers DiscoveryThe biggest question however, is whether the deal will get approval from competition regulators in the US and Europe – something that could pose a major challenge.
In Washington lawmakers from both parties have already chimed in against the deal, citing worries it will lead to fewer choices for consumers and higher prices.
Mr Sarandos said Netflix, which has to pay Warner Brothers $5.8bn if the deal falls apart, was “highly confident” it would win approval.
It will hinge in part on how regulators define the competitive landscape, said Jonathan Barnett, a professor at the University of Southern California Gould School of Law.
If regulators only look at video streaming, Netflix’s increased share of the market could raise significant red flags. But if regulators adopt a broader definition, one that includes cable and broadcast TV and even YouTube as Netflix’s competitors “the concentration concerns become less and less”, he said.
Rebecca Haw Allensworth, a professor at Vanderbilt Law School, said usually a merger like this would be a “clear-cut case for a challenge”, typically pushing for better terms for consumers.
This time, she is worried the Trump administration might put pressure on Netflix over questions like diversity and political bias, as has happened in other cases.
5. Donald Trump is another wild card
Looming over the debate is whether President Donald Trump will weigh in.
This administration has promised a lighter regulatory touch when it comes to mergers.
But the president has spoken highly of Paramount Skydance’s owners, the tech billionaire and Republican donor Larry Ellison and his son David who are behind the rival bid for Warner Bros. And Trump has always shown a keen interest in the media and entertainment industry.
There has been no comment from competition regulators in the US, but a senior Trump administration official told CNBC that it views Netflix’s bid for Warner Bros with “heavy scepticism”.
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Gas supply rejig: Govt prioritises LPG, CNG and piped cooking gas amid LNG disruption – The Times of India
The government has revised the priority order for allocating domestically produced natural gas, placing LPG production, CNG for transport and piped cooking gas for households at the top of the list, as disruptions in imported gas supplies intensify amid the widening West Asia conflict, PTI reported.According to a gazette notification, the requirements of these sectors will be fully met first before gas is supplied to other sectors.Under the revised framework, the fertiliser sector has been placed second, with at least 70% of its past six-month average gas demand to be met, subject to availability.At the third priority level, gas supply to tea industries, manufacturing units and other industrial consumers will be maintained at 80% of their past six-month average consumption, depending on operational availability.City gas distribution (CGD) entities supplying gas to industrial and commercial consumers have been placed at fourth priority in the revised allocation order.The reshuffle means that domestically produced gas will be diverted towards priority sectors, while supplies to petrochemical plants, power plants and other high-priced gas consumers may be curtailed.The move follows supply disruptions triggered by the ongoing conflict in West Asia.Following US-Israeli strikes inside Iran and Tehran’s retaliation, maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz has sharply declined, while insurance premiums have surged and energy markets have turned volatile.The strait handles roughly one-fifth of global seaborne oil and nearly one-third of LNG shipments, and is a key route for India’s imports of LNG and LPG.With tanker movement slowing, the government has decided to rework the allocation of domestically available gas to ensure supplies to essential sectors such as household cooking fuel and vehicular transport.Natural gas produced in India currently meets about half of the country’s total consumption of around 191 million standard cubic metres per day.“The Central Government has assessed that the ongoing conflict in the Middle East has resulted in the disruption of liquefied natural gas (LNG) shipments through the Strait of Hormuz and suppliers have invoked force majeure clause,” the notification said.It added that the revised allocation was necessary to maintain supplies and ensure equitable distribution of natural gas to priority sectors.The notification stated that domestic piped natural gas, CNG for vehicles and LPG production — including LPG shrinkage requirements — will receive 100% of their past six-month average gas consumption.Gas required for pipeline compressor fuel and other operational needs of the pipeline network will also receive priority allocation.For fertiliser plants, gas supply will be maintained at 70% of their past six-month average consumption, and the fuel must be used strictly for fertiliser production.“The gas marketing entities shall ensure that gas supply to tea industries, manufacturing and other industrial consumers supplied through the national gas grid is maintained at 80 per cent of their past six month average gas consumption subject to operational availability,” the order said.Similarly, CGD companies will ensure industrial and commercial consumers supplied through their networks receive 80% of their past six-month average gas consumption, depending on availability.To meet these priorities, gas supplies will be curtailed first to petrochemical facilities such as ONGC Petro additions Ltd, GAIL Pata Petrochemical Complex, Reliance O2C and other high-pressure high-temperature gas consumers, followed by power plants if required, the order said.Oil refining companies have also been asked to absorb part of the LNG supply disruption by reducing gas consumption at refineries to around 65% of their past six-month average usage.State-owned GAIL has been tasked with managing the allocation and distribution of natural gas to implement the revised priority order.
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Watchdog urged to clamp down on heating oil prices after 1.7m hit by soaring bills
The government has been urged to take quick action to help the 1.7 million homes that still use heating oil and have seen prices double due to the US attacks on Iran.
These are often people in rural areas, who have seen prices for their fuel jump in some cases from 62p a litre before the war to perhaps £1.73 now.
Suppliers have been accused of delivering supplies without a price being quoted, leaving consumers in for a nasty shock when the bill arrives.
Conservative net zero minister Clare Coutinho wants the Competition and Markets Authority (CMA) to probe the suppliers and order them to be fairer to consumers.
Speaking on the BBC Today programme this morning, Ms Coutinho said: “Heating oil is being delivered without a price being quoted. We have called on the CMA to investigate these practices. We want more transparency and fair practices for consumers.”
Chancellor Rachel Reeves says she has asked the CMA to be “vigilant”, but Ms Coutinho accused the government of being “slow off the mark”.
“I hope this is something we can work on together. It is people who are vulnerable and in rural communities who have no other choice,” she added.
All energy costs are rising as fears grow of a supply squeeze. But heating oil seems to be the energy supply that is being most badly hit. There are about 120 heating oil suppliers, much smaller firms than the large energy conglomerates that supply electricity and gas to most of the population.
Emma Simpson, chief executive of Rural Action Derbyshire, a charity that runs an oil-buying scheme, said: “People who rely on heating oil are facing a sudden and frightening surge in cost. We may be heading into spring, but anyone running low on oil right now doesn’t have the luxury of waiting for prices to fall.”
She added: “For some, the decision to order or not will come down to whether they can realistically afford it, and that is a really hard position to be in.”
There were wild swings in both the oil and equity markets on Monday. But on Tuesday, oil prices fell sharply and stock markets bounced back as US president Donald Trump said the US-Israel war with Iran could be over soon.
The price of Brent crude was more than 8 per cent lower at just under $91 dollars a barrel, retreating from near-four year highs above $100 a barrel in volatile trading on Monday.
Markets responded by recovering some of the recent ground lost in the sell-off, with the FTSE 100 Index up 1.6% soon after opening, up 165.3 at 10,414.8.
Lindsay James, investment strategist at Quilter, said: “Markets are attempting to stabilise after an extraordinary round trip in oil prices that saw prices collapse from an intraday high of nearly $120 a barrel back towards the low $90s, helped in part by President Trump signalling that the war with Iran could be ‘very complete, pretty much’.
“Equities in the US responded in turn with modest gains while Treasury yields reversed, ending the day fractionally lower.”
Matt Britzman, senior equity analyst at Hargreaves Lansdown, said: “Global equity markets are still taking their cues from oil this morning – but the tone has notably improved after yesterday’s wild swings.
“What initially looked like a one-way surge in energy costs and the inflation headaches that come with it has started to stabilise, offering some much-needed breathing room.”
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