Business
Shrinking economy takes toll on FTSE 100 amid ‘unsurprising surprise’
The FTSE 100’s early promise faded on Friday amid downbeat economic growth figures and fresh US tech weakness.
The FTSE 100 index closed down 54.1 points, 0.6%, at 9,649.03.
It had earlier traded as high as 9,761.47.
The FTSE 250 ended 24.45 points higher, 0.1%, at 21,876.55, and the AIM All-Share ended up 3.70 points, 0.5%, at 751.36.
For the week, the FTSE 100 fell 0.2%, the FTSE 250 declined 0.9% and the AIM All-Share dropped 0.2%.
The mood was knocked by news that the UK economy shrank in October, according to figures from the Office for National Statistics.
Gross domestic product is estimated to have fallen by 0.1% in October, the same as in September, missing the FXStreet-cited market consensus for a 0.1% rise.
Services output fell by 0.3%, while construction output fell by 0.6%.
Production output, however, climbed 1.1%.
Citi analyst Callum McLaren-Stewart called the data “an unsurprising surprise”.
“A miss in October is perhaps not the most surprising outcome.
“Pre-budget uncertainty, and particularly the degree of speculation ahead of the event, can likely explain the miss relative to forecasts,” he said.
“For households, the prospect of income tax increases (which was still very much live during October) would likely have put the brakes on consumer spending,” the Citi analyst said, while, on the business side, “the associated lack of clarity around which sectors were to be taxed, will have likely delayed/slowed investment decisions”.
Berenberg analyst Andrew Wishart fears some of the slowdown in the UK economy could be due to underlying issues and not just budget uncertainty.
“We suspect that deteriorating fundamentals rather than a budget-related setback in confidence are to blame, so a recovery seems unlikely in the near term,” Mr Wishart said.
The data was seen as cementing a quarter-point interest rate cut at next week’s Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee meeting.
“Not that it was in any doubt at all, but today’s data essentially guarantees that the Bank of England will slash rates again next week.
“The focus will instead be on the guidance for rates in 2026.
“Any dovish undertones that hint at further easing ahead could bode ill for the pound,” Ebury analyst Matthew Ryan said.
Mr McLaren-Stewart agrees the data “clearly supports the consensus case for a cut”.
“However, we anticipate the (BoE) will be obliged to cut lower than currently priced in 2026, necessitating a terminal rate below 3%, supported by weaker GDP outlook,” he added.
Sterling fell back after the figures, after rallying in recent days.
The pound was quoted lower at 1.3356 US dollars at the time of the London equities close on Friday, compared to 1.3416 US dollars on Thursday.
The euro stood at 1.1739 US dollars, down against 1.1746 US dollars.
Against the yen, the dollar was trading higher at 155.69 yen compared to 155.24.
In Europe on Friday, the CAC 40 in Paris closed down 0.1%, while the DAX 40 in Frankfurt ended 0.5% lower.
Stocks in New York were lower at the time of the London equity close.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 0.7%, the S&P 500 index was 1.4% lower, while the Nasdaq Composite was down 2.1%.
Technology stocks were firmly in the red once more as Broadcom slid 11% after results failed to match lofty expectations, while Oracle fell a further 4.6%.
The yield on the US 10-year Treasury was quoted at 4.19%, stretched from 4.12% on Thursday.
The yield on the US 30-year Treasury was at 4.86%, widened from 4.77%.
Supporting the dollar and pushing yields higher, comments from two officials who voted against the Federal Reserve’s decision to lower interest rates this week.
Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee had joined Kansas City Fed President Jeffrey Schmid in pushing to keep rates unchanged instead at the central bank’s two-day policy meeting, which ended on Wednesday.
“I believe we should have waited to get more data, especially about inflation, before lowering rates further,” said Mr Goolsbee in a statement Friday.
In a separate statement, Mr Schmid, who also pushed for no rate cut at the Fed’s October meeting, said: “Right now, I see an economy that is showing momentum and inflation that is too hot, suggesting that policy is not overly restrictive.”
In addition, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland President Beth Hammack said she would prefer interest rates to be slightly more restrictive to keep putting pressure on inflation, which is still running too high.
Back in London, InterContinental Hotels Group rose 2.3% as Jefferies upgraded to “buy” from “hold”‘, but Whitbread dropped 2.2% as the broker moved the Premier Inn owner the other way, to “hold” from “buy”.
Elsewhere, 1Spatial soared 45% after agreeing in principle to a proposed £87.1 million offer from VertiGIS, a portfolio company of London-based private equity firm Battery Ventures.
The Cambridge, England-based location master data management software company said the cash bid would value each 1Spatial share at 73 pence.
VertiGIS confirmed that it has completed commercial due diligence, has a clear understanding of the 1Spatial business and requires only limited confirmatory diligence to proceed to making a firm offer.
But Card Factory plummeted 27% after cutting its profit guidance as it said weak high-street retail footfall hurt its UK store sales performance.
The Wakefield, England-based greeting cards, gifts and celebration merchandise retailer said it expects adjusted pretax profit of between £55 million and £60 million for financial 2026, which ends on January 31, if current trading trends persist.
This is lower than the company’s previous guidance, which was for mid-to-high single-digit-percentage growth in adjusted pretax profit from £66.0 million in financial 2025, roughly £70 million.
Card Factory attributed weak consumer confidence to the lower high street footfall, which has persisted into its “most important” trading period.
Brent oil was quoted at 61.30 dollars a barrel at the time of the London equities close on Friday, up from 60.91 late on Thursday.
Gold was quoted at 4,291.08 dollars an ounce on Friday, higher against 4,254.97.
The biggest risers on the FTSE 100 were Burberry, up 54.50 pence at 1272.5p, Ashtead Group, up 128.0p at 5,138.0p, BT Group, up 3.7p at 180.5p, Intercontinental Hotels Group, up 185.0p at 10,235.0p and Fresnillo, up 46.0p at 2,904.0p.
The biggest fallers on the FTSE 100 were St James’s Place, down 49.0p at 1,316.5p, British American Tobacco, down 146.0p at 4,238.0p, Anglo American, down 80.0p at 2,817.0p, Weir, down 80.0p at 2,856.0p and Imperial Brands, down 86.0p at 3,179.0p.
Monday’s economic calendar has CPI figures in Canada.
Later in the week, interest rate decisions are due in Europe, Japan and the UK. In addition, US nonfarm payrolls figures will be released, plus UK and US inflation and retail sales data.
Next week’s UK corporate calendar has delayed full-year results from travel retailer WH Smith and half-year numbers from electricals retailer Currys.
Contributed by Alliance News.
Business
CII Lays Out Investment Roadmap For Budget 2026-27
India’s next phase of economic growth will depend on steady and strong investment across public, private, and foreign channels, according to the Confederation of Indian Industry (CII). CII, in a release, laid out a detailed plan for the Union Budget 2026-27, saying that the Budget needs to act as both a stabiliser and a growth driver.
CII Director General Chandrajit Banerjee said the coming Budget must focus on boosting investments to keep India’s growth steady. He explained that public spending has pushed the country’s recovery after the pandemic, and that continued support in this area will help India stay on track as one of the fastest-growing major economies.
CII has suggested raising central capital expenditure by 12 per cent and increasing support to states by 10 per cent in FY27. These funds, it said, should go mainly to areas where spending creates the highest impact, such as transport, energy, logistics, and the green transition. CII also recommended creating a Capital Expenditure Efficiency Framework to help select and track important projects and measure their outcomes more clearly. Along with this, it proposed launching a new Rs 150 lakh crore National Infrastructure Pipeline for 2026-32 to give long-term clarity to investors and states.
The release also noted that India needs a more flexible fiscal policy. CII suggested shifting from strict annual deficit rules to a debt framework that adjusts with economic cycles. This, it said, would help the government respond better during shocks without losing long-term stability.
On private investment, CII highlighted that India now needs strong momentum from businesses to support growth. “The Government of India has provided a big demand push via income tax relief in last year’s Union Budget and recently via GST 2.0. Investments, especially private sector investment, will be the next big driver for economic growth that needs to be focused on in the next fiscal to continue the growth momentum,” Banerjee said.
CII recommended tax credits or easier compliance for companies that increase investments or production, along with returning accelerated depreciation to help firms, especially MSMEs, modernise.
To attract long-term global capital, CII proposed creating an NRI Investment Promotion Fund with partial government holding. This fund would help channel NRI and foreign institutional money into areas like infrastructure and AI. It also suggested strengthening the National Investment and Infrastructure Fund through a new Sovereign Investment Strategy Council to guide investments.
CII further called for simpler external borrowing rules and a single-window system for large foreign investment proposals to reduce delays and increase certainty. It also suggested forming an India Global Economic Forum to allow structured discussions between global investors and government leaders.
“An investment-driven growth strategy, anchored in fiscal credibility and institutional reforms, will define India’s next development phase,” Banerjee said.
Business
Can Indians Switch To A 4-Day Work Week? Here’s What Govt Says
New Delhi: For decades, the five-day work week has been the norm for most Indian employees. However, with rising conversations around work–life balance and productivity, many are now wondering if a four-day work week could become a reality in India. Several countries such as Japan, Germany and Spain have already experimented with shorter work schedules and reported encouraging outcomes. Interestingly, recent changes and discussions around India’s labour laws indicate that a four-day work week may be possible for certain sections of the workforce.
What the Labour Ministry Has Said on 4-Day Work Week
The Ministry of Labour and Employment recently clarified on X (formerly Twitter) that a four-day work week is possible under the new Labour Codes. According to the Ministry, employees can work for 12 hours a day for four days, while the remaining three days will be paid holidays. However, the total weekly working hours will still be capped at 48 hours, and any work beyond 12 hours in a day will have to be paid at double the normal wage rate.
Flexible Work Schedule Allowed Under New Labour Codes
The Labour Ministry has said that the revised Labour Codes allow employees to work 12 hours a day for four days, while the remaining three days can be taken as paid holidays, making a four-day work week possible under the new rules.
Weekly Work Hours Cap Remains Unchanged
The Labour Ministry clarified that the total working hours in a week will still be capped at 48 hours, even under a four-day work schedule. It also noted that the 12-hour workday includes breaks and spread-out time, ensuring employees are not working continuously for the entire duration.
What’s New Under India’s Updated Labour Laws
On November 21, 2025, the government consolidated 29 existing labour laws into four new labour codes—the Code on Wages (2019), Industrial Relations Code (2020), Social Security Code (2020), and the Occupational Safety, Health and Working Conditions Code (2020). The move aims to simplify labour regulations while ensuring timely payment of wages, regulated working hours, better workplace safety and wider access to health and social security benefits.
A major change under the new codes is for fixed-term employees. They are now entitled to the same benefits as permanent workers, including leave, health coverage and social security. Notably, fixed-term workers can claim gratuity after just one year of continuous service, instead of the earlier five-year requirement, and must be paid wages equal to permanent employees doing similar work.
Business
Kanpur–Lucknow Expressway To Revitalise Startup Ecosystem, Forge Vibrant Economic Belt
New Delhi: Lucknow is set to witness a significant boost to its startup ecosystem with the construction of the Kanpur–Lucknow Expressway, a key infrastructure project expected to reshape economic activity across the region, Uttar Pradesh government officials said on Sunday.
The expressway, being developed under the Uttar Pradesh Chief Minister Yogi Adityanath government’s connectivity push, is projected to emerge as a catalyst for innovation, entrepreneurship, and industrial growth. Once operational, the expressway will drastically reduce travel time between Kanpur and Lucknow, cutting the current journey of nearly two hours to a matter of minutes.
The improved connectivity is expected to make business travel more efficient, strengthen supply chains, and enhance logistics movement, making the corridor an attractive destination for startups and investors alike. According to Deepak Maini, Chairman of the Progressive Federation of Trade and Industry (PFTI), Uttar Pradesh’s rapid infrastructure expansion is creating a favourable environment for innovation-driven enterprises.
He said the Kanpur–Lucknow corridor has the potential to evolve into a vibrant economic belt, generating new opportunities in industry, education, and employment.
Industry experts believe the expressway will also encourage closer collaboration between academic institutions. With faster access, partnerships between IIT Kanpur and leading educational and management institutions in Lucknow are expected to intensify, particularly in areas such as deep technology, the Internet of Things, and advanced manufacturing.
Such collaboration could provide startups with easier access to mentorship, research facilities, funding avenues, and skilled talent.
Plans are also being discussed to develop manufacturing and logistics clusters along the expressway route.
In the coming years, the corridor is likely to see the establishment of IT parks, industrial nodes, and special economic zones, offering startups a conducive environment to scale operations. Officials say the expressway aligns with the state’s long-term vision of “Viksit Uttar Pradesh @ 2047”, aimed at accelerating economic growth and job creation.
A strategic roadmap is being prepared to position Lucknow as a major startup hub in North India, with expectations of increased private investment and the generation of a large number of high-paying jobs in the years ahead.
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