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Steady, slower growth in US transportation in 2026: S&P Global Ratings

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Steady, slower growth in US transportation in 2026: S&P Global Ratings



US transportation activity growth will be steady in 2026 and 2027, but slower than the post-pandemic recovery years, except for US port operators, which are expected to see volumes decline in 2026, according to S&P Global Ratings.

The rating agency believes US gross domestic product (GDP) growth, projected at 2 per cent for 2026 and 1.9 per cent for 2027, will provide a solid foundation for steady activity across most domestic transportation infrastructure asset classes, including maritime container volumes, tolled transactions, and mass transit ridership.

US transportation activity growth will be steady in 2026 and 2027, but slower than the post-pandemic recovery years, except for US port operators, which are expected to see volumes decline in 2026, according to S&P Global Ratings.
Port container volumes are likely to decline slightly in 2025 and 2026, based on data from S&P Global Market Intelligence, before resuming a growth trend in 2027.

Mass transit ridership remains below pre-pandemic levels with a full recovery unlikely in the next two-to-three years, it noted.

It estimates average growth rates in 2026 and 2027 at 4.5 per cent for transit ridership, 2.4 per cent for port container traffic and 3 per cent for tolled transactions.

For its 2026 activity estimates, it assumes that toll roads will continue to attract and benefit from passenger and commercial vehicle growth trends.

Port container volumes, measured by twenty-foot equivalent units (TEUs), are likely to decline slightly in 2025 and 2026, based on data from S&P Global Market Intelligence, before resuming a growth trend in 2027.

US import duties are in place for the foreseeable future, but a series of lightweight trade deals based on tariff concessions in return for purchase and investment commitments will provide an offset.

Although port volumes generally move in line with the broader U.S. economy, tariffs on foreign goods are dampening demand. S&P Global Ratings’ economists forecast slower, but still positive, consumer spending growth over the near term. It expects this will lead to spillover in the form of reduced throughput at US container ports.

Ports could be stressed on both sides, as US consumers reduce demand for imports and as other countries implement retaliatory trade policies in response to higher US tariffs.

However, if the administration’s tariff policies are overturned by the US Supreme Court, another period of front-running ahead of changing trade policy and an associated uptick in port container volumes could be witnessed.

Fibre2Fashion News Desk (DS)



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China sees rise in new FDI firms despite lower inflows

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China sees rise in new FDI firms despite lower inflows



China registered a total of 8,631 newly established foreign-invested enterprises in the first two months of the year, reflecting a year-on-year (YoY) increase of 14 percent, according to data released by the Ministry of Commerce.

However, actual use of foreign direct investment (FDI) in the Chinese mainland declined during the same period, falling 5.7 percent year on year (YoY) to ¥161.45 billion ($23.43 billion), as mentioned in official ministry figures.

China established 8,631 new foreign-invested firms in the first two months of the year, up 14 per cent YoY, even as actual FDI inflows fell 5.7 per cent to ¥161.45 billion ($23.43 billion).
High-tech industries attracted ¥63.21 billion ($9.19 billion), rising 20.4 per cent and accounting for 39.2 per cent of total inflows, while investment from Canada and Switzerland surged sharply.

Sector-wise, FDI inflows totalled ¥47.52 ($6.90 billion) in manufacturing and ¥111.22 billion ($16.17 billion) in services, indicating continued dominance of the service sector in attracting foreign capital. High-tech industries remained a key growth area, drawing ¥63.21 billion ($9.19 billion) in investment, up 20.4 per cent year on year (YoY) and accounting for 39.2 percent of the national total.

In terms of source countries, investment from Canada and Switzerland recorded strong gains, surging 210 per cent and 41.3 per cent respectively compared with the same period last year, highlighting a shift in the composition of foreign capital entering the Chinese market.

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APAC CEOs positive about domestic growth, doubt global growth: KPMG

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APAC CEOs positive about domestic growth, doubt global growth: KPMG



Asia-Pacific (APAC) chief executive officers (CEOs) reported much more optimism last year about the growth prospects of their own economies (82 per cent) over the next three years, while confidence in global economic prospects declined, according to KPMG.

In 2023, 73 per cent of APAC CEOs were optimistic about global economic prospects; however, it was down to 64 per cent in 2025. Globally, only 68 per cent of CEOs remain upbeat about this—the lowest level seen in four years.

APAC CEOs reported much more optimism in 2025 about the growth prospects of their own economies over the next three years, while confidence in global economic prospects dropped, KPMG said.
Optimism about their own country’s prospects was the highest in Australia and lowest in India last year.
About four-fifths of APAC CEOs also saw substantial growth opportunities for their organisations and industries.

Optimism about their own country’s prospects was the highest in Australia (90 per cent) and lowest in India (71 per cent) last year, a KPMG release said citing its latest annual ‘APAC CEO Outlook’.

The declining confidence of APAC CEOs in the global landscape also reflects ongoing uncertainty and volatility that has plagued the global markets, stemming from an evolving geopolitical landscape, persistent supply chain constraints and intensifying scrutiny on sustainability, KPMG noted.

Furthermore, about 80 per cent of APAC CEOs also saw substantial growth opportunities for their organisations and industries, in line with the global average.

In fact, in 2025, executives appear more certain that their companies are on an upward trajectory compared to the previous year: 61 per cent of respondents expect earnings to increase by more than 2.5 per cent this year, compared to just 52 per cent in 2024.

CEOs in Japan (76 per cent) are particularly optimistic about their earnings outlook compared to global and regional peers, reflecting its solid domestic demand and stable GDP performance.

This positivity is driving many in APAC to continue investing in their businesses, with executives noting that there is strong appetite for increased hiring (92 per cent) and mergers and acquisitions (87 per cent) over the next three years, and a substantial number (82 per cent) of APAC CEOs expecting to spend more than 10 per cent of their budgets on artificial intelligence (AI) in the next 12 months.

This clearly indicates that subdued global outlook has not dampened optimism around companies’ prospects in APAC, KPMG remarked.

Confidence in the growth prospects of the global economy is lowest among Chinese companies (58 per cent). This likely reflects, in part, the impacts of an uncertain tariff environment. Strained relations with its main export partner and uncertainty around global demand are likely some areas of concern among firms in China.

Global trade risks topped the minds of APAC CEOs last year, especially as geopolitical tensions and trade realignments dominated headlines. These trends have persisted in 2025, with supply chain resilience remaining a top three driver of organisational decision-making in the short term.

However, the landscape is shifting with the arrival of emerging technologies like generative AI. AI integration is the top issue driving APAC executives’ short-term decision-making, a notable contrast with global peers who are more focused on cybersecurity issues and supply chain resilience, KPMG added.

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Hormuz crisis update: 30–90% cost surge jolts polyester chain

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Hormuz crisis update: 30–90% cost surge jolts polyester chain




Strait of Hormuz disruption has unleashed a cascading cost shock across the textile value chain, from crude to fibre.
Indian PSF has surged 26.5 per cent while naphtha prices have spiked nearly 90 per cent, inflating feedstock costs.
The cotton–polyester spread has tightened to multi-year lows, while 31 force majeure declarations across Asian petrochemical plants intensify supply risks.



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