Business
Planning To Retire With Rs 1 Crore In 10 Years? Here’s Why It May Not Be Enough
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At the heart of this problem is inflation, the silent force that steadily erodes the value of money over time, so what Rs 100 buys today will not buy the same goods 10 years later
Relying on Rs 1 crore for retirement can be misleading, as inflation erodes its value over time.
For many Indians, a retirement corpus of Rs 1 crore is seen as the ultimate financial milestone, an amount believed to guarantee comfort and security. That assumption may hold true today. But the real question is what that Rs 1 crore will be worth a decade from now. This is a reality many investors overlook, often trapping themselves in a cycle where the goalpost keeps moving and retirement comfort remains elusive.
At the heart of this problem lies inflation, the silent force that steadily erodes the value of money over time. Simply put, what Rs 100 buys today will not buy the same basket of goods 10 years later. As prices rise year after year, the purchasing power of money falls. For instance, if inflation averages 5% annually, an item priced at Rs 100 today would cost more than Rs 150 after ten years.
The impact of this is visible all around. Take real estate in the Delhi-NCR region as an example. A 2BHK flat in Noida priced at Rs 1 crore today could easily command Rs 2 crore ten years later. The flat itself may remain unchanged in size and location, but inflation pushes prices up while simultaneously reducing the value of money. The same principle applies across essentials like housing, healthcare, education, food and transportation all become progressively more expensive with time.
The Reserve Bank of India considers inflation in the range of 4-6% to be manageable. Assuming an average inflation rate of 5%, the implications for long-term savings are stark. Over 10 years, the purchasing power of Rs 1 crore shrinks to about Rs 61.37 lakh. In effect, something that costs Rs 1 crore today would require nearly Rs 1.63 crore after a decade.
This is where investment choices become critical. Traditional fixed deposits, which typically offer returns of around 7%, appear safe but deliver limited real growth. After adjusting for 5% inflation, the real return is barely 2%. An investment of Rs 1 crore in a fixed deposit growing at 7% annually would amount to roughly Rs 2 crore after 10 years. However, once inflation is factored in, the real value of that corpus drops sharply, leaving purchasing power equivalent to just over Rs 37 lakh in today’s terms.
By contrast, investments that generate higher long-term returns offer a better chance of beating inflation. Equity-oriented mutual funds, with average annual returns in the range of 10-11 per cent, significantly alter the outcome. The same Rs 1 crore invested at these rates could grow to nearly Rs 2.84 crore in ten years. Even after adjusting for inflation, the real value of this corpus would still be about Rs 1.21 crore, comfortably ahead of the original investment.
So, retirement planning based solely on reaching a nominal figure like Rs 1 crore can be misleading. What truly matters is the future purchasing power of that money. Only those who account for inflation and aim for returns that outpace rising costs are likely to break the cycle, and secure a genuinely comfortable retirement.
December 23, 2025, 20:16 IST
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Red tape, not bad luck, hits capital | The Express Tribune
LAHORE:
Imagine a country sitting at the crossroads of South Asia and Central Asia, with a population of 250 million, abundant natural resources, and a GDP exceeding $450 billion, yet struggling to convince even its own businesspeople to invest at home.
That is Pakistan’s continued uncomfortable reality in 2026, and the way things are going, the business community believes that even after elevating higher, in the past one year due to perfect diplomacy, the government needs to take strict action against those civil servants and state officials, who still try to slow the pace of overseas and local investment as well as development work, which has jeopardised the growth of the country.
“Foreign direct investment (FDI) in Pakistan fell 31% during the first 10 months of financial year 2025-26, with total inflows coming in at $1.409 billion against $2.035 billion during the same period a year earlier,” said Mian Shafqat Ali, Founder of the Pakistan Industrial and Traders Association Front. He raised alarm over what he calls a deepening investment crisis, warning that both local and foreign investment has dipped to one of its lowest levels in recent memory.
He added that the root cause of this decline is not a lack of opportunity, but a system that actively discourages investors at every step. “The real obstacle in the way of investment is the layers upon layers of bureaucratic hurdles. Without removing these barriers, the dream of increasing investment cannot be realised.”
He noted that investors, both domestic and foreign, are deeply sensitive to the environment they operate in, and Pakistan’s current legal and regulatory framework, unpredictable energy policies, fluctuating exchange rates, and ad hoc government decisions have created an atmosphere of uncertainty that keeps capital away.
The business community by and large thinks that once the US-Israel-Iran conflict is settled fully, Pakistan can have better opportunities; however they simultaneously say that to grab those opportunities, “we need to settle our systems, which are dominated by anti-investment and anti-business culture”.
There are systems, which welcome and protect overseas as well as local investment; those societies belong to the first world or second world; “unfortunately here in Pakistan we are still unable to manage the smooth flow of Chinese investments, whom we call ‘iron brothers’,” said Bilal Hanif, a Lahore-based businessman.
“We keep building new institutions and launching new investment windows, but nothing changes on the ground because the real problem is structural. A foreign investor does not just look at your pitch; he looks at your court system, your tax regime, and whether rules will be the same two years from now. On all these counts, we are falling short,” he said.
Pakistan has averaged barely $2 billion in annual FDI over the past 26 years; a figure that expert bodies like the Pakistan Business Council say should be at least $12 billion per year, or roughly 3% of GDP, to meet basic development benchmarks. Meanwhile, regional competitors such as India, Vietnam, Indonesia, and even smaller economies like Bangladesh have consistently attracted far greater inflows, benefiting from predictable regulations, stronger investor protection, and long-term policy continuity.
Mian Shafqat Ali was clear that the failure does not rest with any single institution. He said the problem is not the fault of the Special Investment Facilitation Council (SIFC) or any other body, but rather the deeply entrenched systems that make doing business in Pakistan unnecessarily complicated.
“Until policymakers are willing to make difficult structural and political decisions, investment will remain weak, no matter how many new institutions are created,” he warned.
What investors consistently ask for is not complicated; it is political stability, simple regulations, and confidence that policies of today will not be reversed tomorrow. Pakistan, unfortunately, has struggled to offer any of these in a reliable manner. Frequent political disruptions, leadership changes, and policy discontinuity have created uncertainty that discourages long-term capital, and the capital does not avoid Pakistan because of a lack of opportunity, it avoids uncertainty.
“Government should move beyond announcements and focus on real structural reforms, overhauling the regulatory framework, simplifying business registration processes, ensuring energy availability at competitive rates and most importantly, providing a stable and consistent policy environment as without fixing the foundation, everything else is meaningless,” Ali added.
Business
Spirit’s collapse, high fuel prices test limits of summer vacation spending
Travelers walk through the terminal at Ronald Reagan Washington National Airport on May 1, 2026.
Leslie Josephs | CNBC
Higher fuel prices are testing how badly consumers want to travel this summer, whether flying or driving.
Airfare hasn’t been this high since May 2022, when airlines stumbled out of the pandemic with aircraft and employee shortages to face hordes of consumers ready for “revenge travel.” Gasoline is above $4 a gallon and could get closer to $5 a gallon this summer, AAA warned this week.
Jet fuel prices doubled in the span of less than three months this year after the U.S. and Israel attacked Iran, kicking off a conflict that has left a key shipping channel effectively closed.
Domestic round-trip airfares in April averaged $623, the highest in nearly four years, according to data from the Airlines Reporting Corporation, which tracks travel agency ticket sales. Jet fuel is the second-biggest expense for airlines after labor, and carriers say they are increasingly passing those costs along to customers.
Separately, airlines are also trimming their growth plans because of higher fuel costs. Even if a route isn’t cut, fewer flights on certain routes means that customers will have fewer seats to choose from and, with demand robust, that could drive up prices even more.
Spirit Airlines, the most famous budget carrier in the U.S., shut down earlier this month, and partially blamed jet fuel prices for its failure to emerge from near back-to-back bankruptcies. It was the biggest U.S. airline collapse in decades. Other airlines swooped in to snatch up those customers in the aftermath, but the carrier’s demise removes a main purveyor of low fares.
The fuel spikes have set the stage for higher fares and more expensive gas station visits this summer. The start of the peak travel season Memorial Day weekend will be a taste of how much travelers will shell out to fly while everything from groceries to clothing has become more expensive this year.
The Transportation Security Administration said it expects to screen 18.3 million people between Thursday and next Wednesday, compared with the 18.5 million it saw over a similar period last year.
Lackluster road trip growth
Road trips won’t be a bargain either. AAA this week forecast 39.1 million people will drive at least 50 miles between Thursday and Monday, up just 0.1% compared with last Memorial Day weekend. That was the least growth in a decade, AAA told CNBC.
Gasoline price site GasBuddy forecast this week that prices across the U.S. will average $4.48 on Memorial Day, up from $3.14 last year, and that prices could average $4.80 through Labor Day “if the Strait of Hormuz remains closed for a significant portion of the summer.”
A customer fills his vehicle with fuel at a gas station in Miami, April 13, 2026.
Joe Raedle | Getty Images
Still flying
Leisure travel intentions in the U.S. were slightly lower in March — at 82.8% compared with 83.1% the same month a year earlier — though they are still relatively high, UBS said in a note Monday.
“We believe the year-over-year moderation in travel intentions this year was likely due to higher jet fuel and other geopolitical concerns,” UBS airline analyst Atul Maheswari wrote. He added that the intent to travel is near the highest points in the past nine years.
So far, airline executives said, customers are still booking, and executives are optimistic about the summer travel season. They’ve also said they’re expecting a boost from the FIFA World Cup, which will be held in June and July in the U.S., Canada and Mexico, and from major concerts such as Harry Styles’ residencies in Amsterdam and London this summer.
United Airlines said it expects to carry 53 million travelers between June and August, up 3 million people from last year. American Airlines has forecast 75 million customers between May 21 and Sept. 8, after Labor Day, topping its previous record, in 2019.
Refueling trucks at LaGuardia Airport in New York, April 23, 2026.
Zhang Fengguo | Xinhua News Agency | Getty Images
‘What are you waiting for?’
Airlines have been pruning their schedules and axing unprofitable or less profitable routes but have been eager to fill in the gaps after Spirit’s collapse.
Travelers can still find deals if they’re flexible, said Kyle Potter, who runs the Thrifty Traveler website. He recommended using tools such as the “Explorer” tool in Google Flights that allows users to look up destinations by the length of trip and by month in a map view.
He also suggested flyers consider traveling on a Tuesday or Wednesday, when fares and traffic are often lower.
“That, in many cases, can save you hundreds of dollars per ticket, and multiply that by a family of four,” he said.
He had a simple message for travelers sitting on piles of frequent flyer miles.
“Now is the time to use your miles or your credit card points or both,” he said, warning that miles can end up devalued. “What are you waiting for? I think a lot of people hoard their miles because they want to go to to Europe in 2027.”
— CNBC’s Contessa Brewer contributed to this report.
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