Business
Asian stocks today: Markets trade mostly in red; Nikkei sheds 1%, HSI remains flat – The Times of India
Asian markets opened on a weak note on Tuesday, as most indices slipped into the red as investors reacted to trade tensions and political developments in Japan. In US, markets remained closed for the Martin Luther King Jr Day holiday.Hong Kong’s HSI was up 35 points to 26,599. Nikkei trimmed 519 points or 0.97% to 53,064. Shanghai and Shenzhen were down 0.12% and 0.89%, respectively. Meanwhile, Kospi was 0.36% up, trading at 4,922 at 11:30 am IST. Investors across the globe remained cautious after US President Donald Trump threatened to impose fresh tariffs on European imports, unsettling major trading partners that have significant investments in the United States. US stock futures fell sharply, tracking losses across European markets on Monday, while oil prices were steady. The announcement also triggered turbulence in Japan’s bond market. Government bond yields climbed rapidly after Takaichi indicated she would dissolve parliament to seek a stronger mandate, buoyed by high public approval ratings. She has also floated a proposal to temporarily suspend the food tax. Markets are increasingly concerned that a renewed mandate could lead to higher government spending, reigniting worries over Japan’s public finances. As a result, bond prices fell and yields jumped. The yield on the 40-year Japanese government bond rose to a record 4% on Tuesday, while yields on other long-term bonds surged to their highest levels in decades. Investors are now turning their attention to a busy week in the United States, which will feature more corporate earnings and fresh inflation data closely watched by the Federal Reserve. The US central bank meets in two weeks and is expected to keep its key interest rate unchanged as it balances signs of a slowing labour market against inflation that remains above its 2% target. Japan’s central bank is also set to conclude its policy meeting later this week.
Business
Budget 2026: Why standard deduction should be hiked under the new income tax regime – explained – The Times of India
Budget 2026 income tax expectations: Standard deduction is seen as a much needed relief for taxpayers – it’s a simple, straightforward deduction from your gross income – a fixed amount that allows salaried taxpayers and pensioners to reduce their tax outgo.With the Union Budget 2026 set to be presented by Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman on February 1, taxpayers are wondering if this relief will see a hike, especially in the new income tax regime.The standard deduction limit varies depending on the tax regime that salaried taxpayers opt for: under the old income tax regime it has stayed at Rs 50,000 for several years, and under the new income tax regime it was hiked to Rs 75,000 in 2024. As the government pushes for the adoption of the new income tax regime, any major changes including those in standard deduction limits, are expected only in that regime.Over the last few years, several income tax slab and rate changes have been introduced in the new regime to make it more attractive for salaried individuals. Last year, FM Sitharaman made income up to Rs 12 lakh tax free (Rs 12.75 lakh for salaried taxpayers who get the benefit of Rs 75,000 standard deduction). As per government data, for FY 2023-24, 72% of taxpayers had opted for the new regime – a figure that will likely go up after last year’s tax relief under the new regime.
Latest Income Tax Slabs FY 2025–26 (Under New Income Tax Regime)
So, should the standard deduction limit be raised from Rs 75,000? Most tax experts surveyed by Times of India Online are of the view that a hike in standard deduction under the new income tax regime should be considered by the government.
Why Standard Deduction Should Be Hiked
The case for a hike in standard deduction limits is simple: the new income tax regime does not offer benefits of most deductions and exemptions that are available under the old income tax regime. Hiking this limit will push more people to opt to the clutter-free new income tax regime. Some experts also advocate linking standard deduction limits to inflation, hence ensuring that the limit is in line with the rising cost of living.Preeti Sharma, Partner – Tax and Regulatory Services at BDO India tells TOI, “Under the new tax regime, salaried taxpayers currently enjoy a standard deduction of Rs 75,000, raised from Rs 50,000 in Budget 2025. This increase has provided some relief, especially since most exemptions and deductions are not available under the new tax regime. However, rising inflation and higher day-to-day expenses have reduced the disposable income of salaried households. A further increase in the standard deduction would help employees manage these rising costs.”Radhika Viswanathan, Executive Director at Deloitte India sees a case for standard deduction to be hiked to as much as Rs 1.25 lakh!“There is a strong case for further enhancing the standard deduction under the new tax regime since no other major deductions or exemptions are available to the salaried class. While the current limit stands at Rs 75,000, the government could consider increasing it to Rs 1 lakh to 1.25 lakh. An increase would provide meaningful relief, support middle-class taxpayers, and preserve the simplicity of the regime without reintroducing multiple deduction-linked compliances,” she tells TOI.
What is Standard Deduction?
Chander Talreja, Partner, Vialto Partners makes an important point: introduction of new labour codes may reduce take home pay, and an increase in standard deduction may help offset that.“This Budget will focus on how to further accelerate adoption of the new personal tax regime by the taxpayers. On the one hand, the scope for further rationalization of tax slabs or the introduction of reduced tax rates and additional rebates is limited, as these were revised last year only. On the other hand, introducing new deductions or exemptions under the new personal tax regime may not be feasible, given that the regime is designed to operate without such provisions, and any deviation could dilute its core objective,” he says.According to Talreja, this effectively leaves the government with one viable option – enhancement of the standard deduction. The existing limit is Rs 75,000 under the new personal tax regime which may be increased by at least Rs 15,000 to address rising cost-of-living pressures.“Moreover, the said increase in standard deduction may also be crucial with the introduction of the new Labour Codes. With the definition of “Wages” the contribution towards provident fund may go up which may consequently reduce the take-home pay for individuals. Some relief in the form of increased standard deduction may help to offset this impact,” he says.Tanu Gupta, Partner at Mainstay Tax Advisors LLP also finds merit in increasing the standard deduction limit. “In last year’s Budget, the government revised the income tax slabs under the new tax regime and enhanced the rebate under Section 87A, effectively providing tax relief for income up to Rs 12 lakh (Rs 12.75 lakh for salaried taxpayers). The objective was to increase disposable income, thereby boosting consumption. This was further supplemented during the year by reductions in GST on several items,” she tells TOI.However, the standard deduction, which was increased from Rs 50,000 to Rs 75,000 in Union Budget 2024 under the new tax regime, has since remained unchanged, she says. “There is merit in automatically adjusting this limit each year for inflation, in a manner similar to the government’s periodic revision of Dearness Allowance for its employees.Given the limited number of exemptions and deductions available under the new tax regime, such simplicity – combined with automatic inflation adjustment – would make the regime even more straightforward and taxpayer-friendly,” she adds.Parizad Sirwalla, Partner and Head, Global Mobility Services, Tax at KPMG in India is also of the view that since salaried taxpayers do not have any avenue to claim deduction for increased cost of living / other expenses (unlike a person earning business income) there is an ongoing expectation that the standard deduction is enhanced periodically keeping in mind the rate of inflation prevailing in the economy.
Why the government may not hike standard deduction limit
However, some experts note that the government will have limited fiscal room to hike standard deduction after last year’s tax slab changes under the new income tax regime and sweeping GST rate cuts. There is also the rationale that the government may await data on how many taxpayers opt for the new tax regime as per FY 2025-26 slabs before looking to incentivise it further.Richa Sawhney, Partner, Tax at Grant Thornton Bharat explains that salaried taxpayers often feel that they end up paying more taxes than taxpayers with business income, due to limited avenues of deductions available from salary income.
Why Standard Deduction Should Be Hiked & Why It May Not Be
Standard deduction is one of the limited deductions available to salaried taxpayers, which aims to compensate them for employment‑related expenses, without requiring proof of claim. “Salaried taxpayers do feel that the current limit of Rs 75,000 is inadequate and a hike is surely on their budget wishlist . However, considering that the standard deduction was enhanced last year, increasing it further this year may not be feasible for the government. More-so, when the softening of gross non corporate tax collections is evident post the slab rate reforms carried out last year,” she says.Surabhi Marwah, Tax Partner, EY India also says that a further hike in the standard deduction appears unlikely in the near term. “In Budget 2024, the government increased the standard deduction under the new tax regime to Rs 75,000 for salaried taxpayers, while the old regime continues to offer Rs 50,000. This differential already provides a clear incentive for taxpayers to shift to the new regime,” she tells TOI.“With the Income-tax Act 2025 focusing on structural simplification, the priority now seems to be on wider adoption of the revised framework rather than introducing additional reliefs,” she adds.
Business
Gold steadies near record high as trade war risks sour global sentiment – SUCH TV
Gold and silver traded near record highs on Tuesday, as US President Donald Trump’s threats to acquire Greenland soured global sentiment and sparked a rush into safe-haven assets.
Spot gold was up 0.1% at $4,675.32 per ounce, as of 0336 GMT, after scaling an all-time high of $4,689.39 in the previous session.
US gold futures for February delivery climbed 1.9% to $4,680.30 per ounce.
Spot silver fell 1.4% to $93.33 an ounce, after hitting a record high of $94.72 earlier in the session.
“Gold is biding its time today and consolidating recent gains, with traders waiting to see what happens next regarding Trump’s latest spat with the EU over Greenland,” said Tim Waterer, KCM Trade’s chief market analyst.
“If Trump continues to turn the heat up regarding tariff threats, gold could feasibly be eying off a run north of $4,700 in the near term,” Waterer said, adding that if European Union leaders managed to patch things up with Trump at Davos this week, gold’s risk premium might fade.
Trump has intensified his push to wrest sovereignty over Greenland from fellow NATO member Denmark, prompting the European Union to weigh hitting back with its own measures.
The dollar retreated to its lowest in a week after tariff threats triggered a broad selloff across US stocks and government bonds.
Gold also found support as concerns lingered around the Federal Reserve’s independence with the US Supreme Court this week expected to hear a case around Trump’s attempt to fire Fed Governor Lisa Cook over alleged mortgage fraud.
The Fed is broadly expected to maintain interest rates at its January 27-28 meeting despite Trump’s calls for cuts.
Gold, which does not yield interest, typically performs well during periods of low interest rates.
Kelvin Wong, a senior market analyst at OANDA, expects the Fed to continue its rate-cut cycle into 2026, citing a sluggish labour market and lacklustre consumer sentiment, with the next reduction now being priced further down the calendar in either June or July.
Among other precious metals, spot platinum slid 1.8% to $2,331.20 an ounce, while palladium dropped 2% to $1,804.15.
Business
Greenland ‘will stay Greenland’, former Trump adviser declares
Faisal IslamEconomics editor
Getty ImagesOliver SmithBusiness producer, Davos
Donald Trump will not be able to force Greenland to change ownership, a former top adviser to the US president has told the BBC.
IBM’s vice chairman Gary Cohn, who advised Trump on the economy in his first term, said “Greenland will stay Greenland” and linked the need for access to critical minerals to his former boss’s plans for the territory.
Cohn is one of America’s top tech bosses, a leader in the race to develop AI and quantum computing, and served under Trump as director of the White House National Economic Council.
In a sign of how seriously business leaders are taking the crisis, he warned “invading an independent country that is part of Nato” would be “over the edge”.
He also suggested the president’s recent comments about Greenland “may be part of a negotiation”.
“I just came from a US congressional delegation meeting, and I think there’s pretty uniform consensus with both Republicans and Democrats that Greenland will stay Greenland”, he said.
Greenland would be happy for the US to increase its military presence on the island, he said, with the North Atlantic and Arctic Ocean “becoming much more of a military threat”.
The US could also negotiate an “offtake” agreement for Greenland’s vast yet largely untapped supplies of rare earth minerals, Cohn suggested.
“But I think, you know, invading a country that doesn’t want to be invaded – that’s part of a militaristic alliance, Nato – seems to me to be a little bit over the edge at this point”, he said.
Cohn indicated the president may be overstating his demands as part of a negotiating tactic – something he says the president has done successfully in the past.
“You’ve got to give Donald Trump some credit for the successes he’s had and he’s many times tried to overreach to get something in a compromise situation,” he said.
“He has overreached in advertising something to end up getting what he actually wants. Maybe what he actually wants is a larger military presence and an offtake.”
The start of this year’s World Economic Forum in the Swiss ski resort of Davos has been overshadowed by the president’s increasingly aggressive stance on the arctic territory, with many political and business leaders alarmed about the potential geopolitical and economic impact. Trump is due to address delegates at the gathering on Wednesday.
While Cohn expressed reservations about some of the president’s actions, he said the US administration had “various different motives” for what they were doing.
He said Trump’s decision to intervene in Venezuela was “a path” to disrupt the country’s relationship with China, the biggest market for its oil, as well as Russia and Cuba.
Cohn also thinks that the president has become increasingly focused on the importance of rare earth minerals, noting that “Greenland has quite a supply” of the resources.
Those minerals are critical to the development of Artificial Intelligence (AI) and quantum computing – also a major talking point in Davos.
US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent on Monday hit back at claims Trump has blamed his escalating threats over Greenland on the fact he was not awarded the Nobel Peace Prize.
In a message to Norway’s Prime Minister Jonas Gahr Støre, Trump blamed the country for not giving him the prize and said he no longer feels obliged to think only of peace.
Bessent said: “I don’t know anything about the president’s letter to Norway, and I think it’s complete canard that the President will be doing this because of the Nobel Prize.
“The president is looking at Greenland as a strategic asset for the United States. We are not going to outsource our hemispheric security to anyone else.”
AI ‘to be part of every business’
Developments in quantum computing and AI are seen as critical not just for the US economy and productivity, but for US strategic influence in the world.
“IBM is dead centre in what’s going on in quantum today. We have the largest amount of quantum computers in use today” Cohn said, highlighting that his company has put many of these computers into use across America in firms from the banking industry to medicine.
“AI is going to be the backbone for data that feeds into quantum to solve problems we’ve never been able to solve”, he added.
“Where we’re heading is AI is going to be part of everyone’s enterprise. AI and quantum are going to be working in the enterprise behind the scenes to make every company more efficient. And we’re just at the beginning of that sort of long road, and that’s going to take probably another three to five years to get there.”
Earlier this month, Google, also a US company, told the BBC it had the world’s best-performing quantum computer. The race to develop the technology is the other key talking point – apart from Greenland – at the World Economic Forum.
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