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Gold-Loan NBFC AUM Seen Crossing Rs 4 Lakh Crore By FY27 On Record Gold Prices: CRISIL

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Gold-Loan NBFC AUM Seen Crossing Rs 4 Lakh Crore By FY27 On Record Gold Prices: CRISIL


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CRISIL Ratings projects gold-loan NBFC AUM to grow at 40 percent CAGR, surpassing Rs 4.0 lakh crore by March 2027, driven by record gold prices and regulatory support.

Gold-Loan NBFCs Eye Rs 4 Lakh Crore AUM as High Gold Prices Drive Demand

Gold-Loan NBFCs Eye Rs 4 Lakh Crore AUM as High Gold Prices Drive Demand

Assets under management (AUM) of non-banking financial companies (NBFCs) specialising in gold loans are expected to grow at a sharp pace over the next two years, driven by record gold prices, rising demand for secured credit and regulatory support.

According to CRISIL Ratings, gold-loan NBFC AUM is set to clock a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of around 40% between the current fiscal and the next, crossing Rs 4.0 lakh crore by March 2027. This is significantly higher than the 27% CAGR seen between fiscals 2023 and 2025.

High gold prices boost lending capacity

CRISIL Ratings noted that gold prices surged nearly 68% in the first nine months of the current fiscal, touching record highs. This sharp rise has enhanced collateral values, allowing lenders to increase disbursements against the same quantity of gold.

At the same time, limited availability of unsecured credit has pushed borrowers to explore alternative funding sources. Gold loans, backed by physical collateral, have emerged as a preferred option due to quicker processing and easier access.

NBFCs expand footprint despite bank competition

To tap rising demand, both large and mid-sized gold-loan NBFCs are expanding their presence, even as competition from banks intensifies.

“Large gold-loan NBFCs, with an established brand image, are scaling up portfolios through existing branches,” said Aparna Kirubakaran, Director, CRISIL Ratings. She added that mid-sized players are following a dual strategy—expanding branch networks while also acting as loan originators for larger NBFCs and banks.

These efforts have lifted business per branch by around 40% over the last two fiscals. Average AUM per branch stood at about Rs 14 crore in the first half of the current fiscal, compared with around Rs 10 crore in FY24, CRISIL Ratings said.

Regulatory changes to support growth

On the regulatory front, revised loan-to-value (LTV) norms for lower-ticket gold loans, effective April 1, 2026, are expected to provide additional lending headroom.

CRISIL Ratings estimates that LTV for lower-ticket bullet loans could rise from the current 65–68% to around 70–75% after factoring in accrued interest. This will allow borrowers to access higher credit against the same gold collateral, further improving loan attractiveness.

Shift from unsecured to secured credit

Demand is also being driven by a structural shift away from unsecured lending. “Following asset quality issues and stricter regulatory action in unsecured lending, gold loans have emerged as a strong alternative,” said Prashant Mane, Associate Director, CRISIL Ratings.

However, CRISIL cautioned that managing risks—especially LTV discipline, gold price volatility, and operational controls—will be critical for sustainable growth.

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Volkswagen to cut 50,000 jobs as profits drop

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Volkswagen to cut 50,000 jobs as profits drop



Europe’s largest carmaker said post-tax profits had dropped to their lowest level since 2016.



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Gas supply rejig: Govt prioritises LPG, CNG and piped cooking gas amid LNG disruption – The Times of India

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Gas supply rejig: Govt prioritises LPG, CNG and piped cooking gas amid LNG disruption – The Times of India


The government has revised the priority order for allocating domestically produced natural gas, placing LPG production, CNG for transport and piped cooking gas for households at the top of the list, as disruptions in imported gas supplies intensify amid the widening West Asia conflict, PTI reported.According to a gazette notification, the requirements of these sectors will be fully met first before gas is supplied to other sectors.Under the revised framework, the fertiliser sector has been placed second, with at least 70% of its past six-month average gas demand to be met, subject to availability.At the third priority level, gas supply to tea industries, manufacturing units and other industrial consumers will be maintained at 80% of their past six-month average consumption, depending on operational availability.City gas distribution (CGD) entities supplying gas to industrial and commercial consumers have been placed at fourth priority in the revised allocation order.The reshuffle means that domestically produced gas will be diverted towards priority sectors, while supplies to petrochemical plants, power plants and other high-priced gas consumers may be curtailed.The move follows supply disruptions triggered by the ongoing conflict in West Asia.Following US-Israeli strikes inside Iran and Tehran’s retaliation, maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz has sharply declined, while insurance premiums have surged and energy markets have turned volatile.The strait handles roughly one-fifth of global seaborne oil and nearly one-third of LNG shipments, and is a key route for India’s imports of LNG and LPG.With tanker movement slowing, the government has decided to rework the allocation of domestically available gas to ensure supplies to essential sectors such as household cooking fuel and vehicular transport.Natural gas produced in India currently meets about half of the country’s total consumption of around 191 million standard cubic metres per day.“The Central Government has assessed that the ongoing conflict in the Middle East has resulted in the disruption of liquefied natural gas (LNG) shipments through the Strait of Hormuz and suppliers have invoked force majeure clause,” the notification said.It added that the revised allocation was necessary to maintain supplies and ensure equitable distribution of natural gas to priority sectors.The notification stated that domestic piped natural gas, CNG for vehicles and LPG production — including LPG shrinkage requirements — will receive 100% of their past six-month average gas consumption.Gas required for pipeline compressor fuel and other operational needs of the pipeline network will also receive priority allocation.For fertiliser plants, gas supply will be maintained at 70% of their past six-month average consumption, and the fuel must be used strictly for fertiliser production.“The gas marketing entities shall ensure that gas supply to tea industries, manufacturing and other industrial consumers supplied through the national gas grid is maintained at 80 per cent of their past six month average gas consumption subject to operational availability,” the order said.Similarly, CGD companies will ensure industrial and commercial consumers supplied through their networks receive 80% of their past six-month average gas consumption, depending on availability.To meet these priorities, gas supplies will be curtailed first to petrochemical facilities such as ONGC Petro additions Ltd, GAIL Pata Petrochemical Complex, Reliance O2C and other high-pressure high-temperature gas consumers, followed by power plants if required, the order said.Oil refining companies have also been asked to absorb part of the LNG supply disruption by reducing gas consumption at refineries to around 65% of their past six-month average usage.State-owned GAIL has been tasked with managing the allocation and distribution of natural gas to implement the revised priority order.



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Watchdog urged to clamp down on heating oil prices after 1.7m hit by soaring bills

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Watchdog urged to clamp down on heating oil prices after 1.7m hit by soaring bills



The government has been urged to take quick action to help the 1.7 million homes that still use heating oil and have seen prices double due to the US attacks on Iran.

These are often people in rural areas, who have seen prices for their fuel jump in some cases from 62p a litre before the war to perhaps £1.73 now.

Suppliers have been accused of delivering supplies without a price being quoted, leaving consumers in for a nasty shock when the bill arrives.

Conservative net zero minister Clare Coutinho wants the Competition and Markets Authority (CMA) to probe the suppliers and order them to be fairer to consumers.

Speaking on the BBC Today programme this morning, Ms Coutinho said: “Heating oil is being delivered without a price being quoted. We have called on the CMA to investigate these practices. We want more transparency and fair practices for consumers.”

Chancellor Rachel Reeves says she has asked the CMA to be “vigilant”, but Ms Coutinho accused the government of being “slow off the mark”.

“I hope this is something we can work on together. It is people who are vulnerable and in rural communities who have no other choice,” she added.

All energy costs are rising as fears grow of a supply squeeze. But heating oil seems to be the energy supply that is being most badly hit. There are about 120 heating oil suppliers, much smaller firms than the large energy conglomerates that supply electricity and gas to most of the population.

Emma Simpson, chief executive of Rural Action Derbyshire, a charity that runs an oil-buying scheme, said: “People who rely on heating oil are facing a sudden and frightening surge in cost. We may be heading into spring, but anyone running low on oil right now doesn’t have the luxury of waiting for prices to fall.”

She added: “For some, the decision to order or not will come down to whether they can realistically afford it, and that is a really hard position to be in.”

There were wild swings in both the oil and equity markets on Monday. But on Tuesday, oil prices fell sharply and stock markets bounced back as US president Donald Trump said the US-Israel war with Iran could be over soon.

The price of Brent crude was more than 8 per cent lower at just under $91 dollars a barrel, retreating from near-four year highs above $100 a barrel in volatile trading on Monday.

Markets responded by recovering some of the recent ground lost in the sell-off, with the FTSE 100 Index up 1.6% soon after opening, up 165.3 at 10,414.8.

Lindsay James, investment strategist at Quilter, said: “Markets are attempting to stabilise after an extraordinary round trip in oil prices that saw prices collapse from an intraday high of nearly $120 a barrel back towards the low $90s, helped in part by President Trump signalling that the war with Iran could be ‘very complete, pretty much’.

“Equities in the US responded in turn with modest gains while Treasury yields reversed, ending the day fractionally lower.”

Matt Britzman, senior equity analyst at Hargreaves Lansdown, said: “Global equity markets are still taking their cues from oil this morning – but the tone has notably improved after yesterday’s wild swings.

“What initially looked like a one-way surge in energy costs and the inflation headaches that come with it has started to stabilise, offering some much-needed breathing room.”



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