Connect with us

Business

Auto executives are hoping for the best and planning for the worst in 2026

Published

on

Auto executives are hoping for the best and planning for the worst in 2026


U.S. President Donald Trump and CEO of Ford Jim Farley clap, as President Trump visits a Ford production center, in Dearborn, Michigan, U.S., January 13, 2026.

Evelyn Hockstein | Reuters

DETROIT — The only consistency has been inconsistency for the U.S. automotive industry during the first half of this decade — a trend that’s expected to continue amid challenging market conditions in 2026.

The U.S. auto sector — a crucial driver of the economy estimated around 4.8% of America’s gross domestic product — has endured rolling crises since the Covid-19 pandemic shuttered U.S. assembly plants in early 2020. The global health crisis was followed by yearslong supply chain issues, semiconductor chip shortages, political whipsawing, tariffs and other challenges for all-electric and autonomous vehicles.

Automakers have been surprisingly resilient during the challenges, but those issues are now combining with more traditional industry problems of affordability and slowing consumer demand. That’s all creating a more challenging environment for automakers in 2026.

“We’ve got to plan for the worst and hope for the best,” Hyundai North America CEO Randy Parker told CNBC during an interview. “That’s the situation that we’re in right now.”

Other executives have expressed similar sentiments as they prepare for a “new” U.S. automotive industry: one that’s more expensive, smaller and, by many means, less predictable.

Automotive forecasters are calling for steady to lower sales this year, despite industry sales only hitting 16.3 million units last year. That was the highest level since the pandemic in 2020, but down from more than 17 million for five consecutive years before the global health crisis, according to industry data.

“Anyone in the auto industry … we should all be very careful about consumer demand,” Ford Motor CEO Jim Farley said Jan. 13 during an event for the Detroit Auto Show. “That’s really important.”

‘Affordability crisis’

“Pandemic-induced production constraints and supply chain chaos didn’t just disrupt the market temporarily. They fundamentally restructured pricing dynamics. This elevated plateau is now the new baseline, which has the market anchored at these higher price points,” said Erin Keating, Cox Automotive senior director of economic and industry insights.

It’s not just vehicle prices hitting consumers’ wallets either. They’re also dealing with inflation, increases in maintenance and repairs, and 13% annual average increases for insurance over the past five years, according to Cox Automotive.

“The cumulative weight of all these increases has pushed total vehicle ownership costs beyond reach for many middle- and lower-income households, constraining market access and accelerating the affordability crisis,” said Cox Automotive interim chief economist Jeremy Robb.

Cox Automotive reports it took 33.7 weeks of median household income to buy the average new vehicle in November 2019. Now it’s 36.3 weeks. That’s down from a record high of 42.2 weeks during the pandemic, but still means vehicles cost thousands of dollars more than historic levels.

David Christ, Toyota Motor’s U.S. sales chief, warned that the current tariff and trade environment will cause prices to continue to increase this year, despite the concerns.

“On our end, we’re just taking it month-to-month, and we’re watching the competitors closely,” Christ said on a call with reporters earlier this month. “But we feel prices are going to go up for us and for our competitors.” 

To combat the slower sales and affordability challenges, Toyota and other automakers have said they will refocus on lower-priced vehicle models — a change from recent years when automakers prioritized their most expensive, highly profitable vehicles during supply chain shortages.

“Every automaker must face the reality that the American market has changed for the foreseeable future,” said Lance Woelfer, head of American Honda Motor’s U.S. sales.

For Honda, Woelfer said that means increasing production on less expensive trims as well as focusing on certified pre-owned vehicles, which are used but backed by company warranties. For others, such as Ford, that could include reentering abandoned segments such as sedans, according to its CEO.

“Never say never,” Farley told reporters during the event in Detroit. “The sedan market is very vibrant. It’s not that there isn’t a market there. It’s just we couldn’t find a way to compete and be profitable. Well, we may find a way to do that.”

Ford sells sedans outside of the U.S. but exited the domestic market with the cancellation of the Michigan-made Fusion in 2020. It also eliminated the larger Taurus sedan and smaller Ford Fiesta and Ford Focus before that.

Ford’s crosstown rivals General Motors and Stellantis have largely exited the traditional U.S. sedan market as well.

Affordability concerns are generating attention from outside the automotive industry as well. A Senate committee led by Sen. Ted Cruz, R-Texas, requested a hearing with CEOs from Ford, GM and Stellantis about affordability and other issues in the automotive industry. The hearing was scheduled for Jan. 14 but was postponed amid scheduling conflicts and general pushback from Ford about Tesla CEO Elon Musk not attending the meeting, according to a letter from the company to the subcommittee that was obtained by Politico.

2025 Jeep Grand Cherokees are displayed for sale at Larry H. Miller Chrysler, Jeep, Dodge and Ram dealership in Thornton, Colorado on Wednesday, Jan. 7, 2026.

Hyoung Chang | The Denver Post | Getty Images

‘Prepared for surprises’

Automakers are also bracing this year for potentially volatile U.S. regulations and trade negotiations, such as the upcoming renegotiating of the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement that’s scheduled for later this year.

Currently, automakers can import new vehicles from South Korea or Japan with lower tariffs than from Canada or Mexico, depending on their U.S. content. The Trump administration has reached trade deals on vehicles with those Asian countries but not its neighbors to the north and south.

Depending on the outcome of those discussions, USMCA could be a tailwind for automakers that have a lot of production in the U.S.

“Looking to 2026, our cycle work would suggest that autos would have a difficult time outperforming given a relatively flat y/y volume outlook. However, we see reasons for optimism for US [automakers],” UBS analyst Joseph Spak wrote last month in an investor note.

Wall Street will begin getting its first outlooks from automakers this week beginning with GM announcing its fourth quarter and year-end earnings on Tuesday, followed by Tesla on Wednesday.

GM CEO Mary Barra earlier this month reconfirmed that the automaker expects 2026 will be better than 2025.  

GM’s 2025 guidance included adjusted earnings before interest and taxes of between $12 billion and $13 billion, or $9.75 to $10.50 adjusted EPS, and adjusted automotive free cash flow of $10 billion to $11 billion, up from $7.5 billion to $10 billion.

But depending on the automaker, Wall Street analysts expect mixed results for the U.S. industry as it continues to deal with uncertain times.

“It is hard to imagine how 2026 could bring more external shocks and share price divergence than 2025 but, with no visible end to industry disruption, we are also prepared for surprises, impairments and strategic shifts,” Jefferies analyst Owen Paterson said in an investor note this month.



Source link

Business

Coal gasification to boost energy security and cut imports, says G Kishan Reddy – The Times of India

Published

on

Coal gasification to boost energy security and cut imports, says G Kishan Reddy – The Times of India


G Kishan Reddy (File photo)

Union coal and mines minister G Kishan Reddy on Sunday said coal gasification will play a critical role in enhancing India’s energy security, reducing import dependence and supporting industrial growth.The renewed push has gained urgency amid the ongoing Middle East conflict, which has led to a surge in global energy prices.Speaking at the Bharat Electricity Summit 2026, the minister described coal gasification as a transformative technology that converts coal into syngas, which can be used to produce cleaner fuels, chemicals, fertilisers and hydrogen, as reported by PTI.He said the approach would enable more efficient and sustainable utilisation of domestic resources while strengthening economic resilience.Reddy highlighted India’s dependence on energy imports, noting that the country imports about 83 per cent of its crude oil requirements, 50 per cent of natural gas and more than 90 per cent of methanol and fertilisers, making energy security a strategic priority.To promote adoption of the technology, the Centre has launched the National Coal Gasification Mission with a target of achieving 100 million tonnes of coal gasification by 2030.“…. An incentive framework of Rs 8,500 crore has been introduced to support public and private sector projects, with several large-scale initiatives already underway and investments exceeding Rs 64,000 crore in the pipeline,” he said.The minister also pointed to advanced technologies such as Underground Coal Gasification, which can help tap previously inaccessible reserves while lowering environmental impact.Calling for greater collaboration, Reddy said coal gasification spans multiple sectors including power, oil and gas and fertilisers, and requires a coordinated ecosystem involving industry, academia, start-ups and research institutions.He reiterated the government’s commitment to streamlined approvals, supportive policies and incentives to encourage early participation and investment.Expressing confidence in India’s potential, the minister said that with innovation, indigenous technology development and coordinated efforts, the country can emerge as a global leader in clean coal technologies while advancing energy security, sustainability and self-reliance.



Source link

Continue Reading

Business

Sri Lanka increases fuel prices around 25% as Middle East tensions disrupt global oil supplies – The Times of India

Published

on

Sri Lanka increases fuel prices around 25% as Middle East tensions disrupt global oil supplies – The Times of India


Sri Lanka on Sunday raised fuel prices by around 25 per cent, marking the second increase within a week as the ongoing Middle East conflict continues to disrupt global energy markets, news agency PTI reported.The price revision, effective from midnight, comes as tensions triggered by joint US–Israel strikes on Iran and retaliatory action by Tehran have spread across the Gulf region, leading to the closure of the Strait of Hormuz — a key global energy transit route.According to official announcements, the price of auto diesel rose 26.1 per cent from Sri Lankan rupees (LKR) 303 to LKR 382 per litre, while super diesel increased 25.5 per cent from LKR 353 to LKR 443. Petrol 92 octane climbed 25.6 per cent from LKR 317 to LKR 398, petrol 95 octane rose 24.7 per cent from LKR 365 to LKR 455, and kerosene jumped 30.8 per cent from LKR 195 to LKR 255.This is the third fuel price hike since March 1 and comes as the conflict, which has unsettled global oil markets, entered its fourth week.With the latest revision, retail fuel prices in Sri Lanka are set to return close to levels seen during the 2022 economic crisis, when the country declared its first-ever sovereign default since independence in 1948. The unprecedented financial turmoil at the time forced then president Gotabaya Rajapaksa to resign amid widespread civil unrest.The steep increase has sparked concern among transport operators. Non-state bus owners warned that up to 90 per cent of their fleet could be taken off the roads unless fares are revised.“This is the biggest rise of diesel ever. We will not be able to operate buses without an adequate fare revision. We need a minimum 15 per cent fare hike to stay afloat,” Gamunu Wijeratne, chairman of the Lanka Private Bus Owners’ Association, told reporters.The association threatened a nationwide strike if authorities fail to announce a scheduled fare revision.Responding to the developments, the National Transport Commission (NTC) said the latest diesel price increase, when applied to its fare formula, translates into a rise of more than 10 per cent in current bus fares. NTC Director General Nilan Miranda said Cabinet approval is expected on Monday to implement revised fares, according to media reports.Private operators account for about 65–75 per cent of the island nation’s public transport fleet, while the state-run share stands at around 25–35 per cent.Three-wheeler taxi operators, many of whom use petrol vehicles dominated by India’s Bajaj brand, said the price of commonly used petrol had risen to nearly LKR 400 per litre.“Who would want to ride with us at this rate?” a three-wheeler driver said, as quoted news agency PTI.Apart from state-owned Ceylon Petroleum Corporation (CPC), fuel retailing in Sri Lanka is also carried out by Lanka IOC — a subsidiary of IndianOil –as well as China’s Sinopec and Australia’s United Petroleum. Following CPC’s decision, LIOC and Sinopec also revised their retail fuel prices, media reports said.Opposition leaders criticised the government’s tax policy, claiming that authorities collect about LKR 119 per litre of petrol and LKR 93 per litre of diesel in taxes. They demanded that these levies be scrapped to provide relief to consumers.Analysts warned that the fresh fuel price hike could push inflation higher by 5–8 per cent.Earlier, government spokesman and minister Nalinda Jayatissa said that despite the price revisions, the government continues to bear a monthly subsidy burden of around Rs 20 billion by subsidising diesel by Rs 100 per litre and petrol by Rs 20 per litre.He said that without the revision, the state would have faced an additional financial burden of approximately $1.5 billion. Jayatissa urged the public to consume electricity and fuel “mindfully” and warned against hoarding, calling on citizens to report any such attempts.



Source link

Continue Reading

Business

Govt orders faster city gas project clearances, hikes commercial LPG allocation to ease supply stress – The Times of India

Published

on

Govt orders faster city gas project clearances, hikes commercial LPG allocation to ease supply stress – The Times of India


The government has stepped up efforts to streamline gas distribution and ease supply pressures, directing faster processing of city gas projects while increasing allocations of commercial LPG to key sectors amid a challenging geopolitical environment.The Petroleum and Explosives Safety Organisation (PESO) has instructed its offices to dispose of City Gas Distribution (CGD) applications within 10 days, aiming to accelerate the rollout of piped natural gas (PNG), an official statement said.Commercial LPG consumers in major cities and urban areas have also been advised to shift to PNG as part of a broader strategy to reduce dependence on liquefied petroleum gas. Domestic LPG supply remains stable, with no reported dry-outs at distributorships and normal delivery patterns across the country, the statement said, adding that most deliveries are being carried out through the Delivery Authentication Code (DAC) while panic bookings have subsided, PTI reported.On the commercial LPG front, the government has progressively increased allocations. After restoring 20 per cent supply earlier, an additional 10 per cent allocation linked to PNG expansion reforms was announced on March 18. A further 20 per cent allocation was cleared on March 21, taking total commercial LPG supply to 50 per cent.The latest increase prioritises sectors such as restaurants, dhabas, hotels, industrial canteens, food processing units, dairy operations, community kitchens and subsidised food outlets run by state governments and local bodies. Provision has also been made for 5 kg cylinders for migrant workers.Around 20 states and Union Territories have implemented the revised allocation guidelines, while public sector oil marketing companies are supplying commercial LPG in the remaining regions. In the past eight days, about 15,440 tonnes of LPG have been lifted by commercial entities.Educational institutions and hospitals continue to receive priority, accounting for nearly half of the total commercial LPG allocation. Despite global uncertainties affecting supply, the government indicated that domestic availability remains under control while efforts continue to transition urban consumers towards PNG.



Source link

Continue Reading

Trending