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Pakistan must create 30 million jobs in a decade, World Bank president says | The Express Tribune

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Pakistan must create 30 million jobs in a decade, World Bank president says | The Express Tribune


Ajay Banga says employment growth is vital to turn demographic pressure into dividend

World Bank President Ajay Banga cuts a ribbon during the inauguration of the International Finance Corporation (IFC) office in Karachi, Pakistan February 4, 2026. SOURCE: REUTERS


KARACHI:

Pakistan must create up to 30 million jobs over the next decade to turn its youth bulge into an economic dividend or risk instability and outward migration, World Bank President Ajay Banga said in an interview with Reuters.

Pakistan is entering the implementation phase of a 10-year Country Partnership Framework (CPF) deal agreed with the World Bank last year, while also working with the International Monetary Fund to stabilise its economy. But Islamabad is still facing mounting pressure to deliver sustained growth and jobs.

Read: Ministry mum on UAE debt rollover

“We’re trying to move the bank group as a whole from the idea of projects to the idea of outcomes,” Banga told Reuters in Karachi during a visit this week to Pakistan.

“Job creation is the North Star.”

‘Generational challenge

Pakistan needs to generate 2.5 million to 3 million jobs a year – roughly 25 to 30 million over the next decade – as millions of young people come of age, Banga said. Failure to do so could fuel “illegal migration or domestic instability”.

Banga said Pakistan’s population dynamics mean employment creation will remain a binding constraint on growth over the long term, rather than a secondary policy goal.

“This is a generational challenge,” he said.

The CPF commits around $4 billion a year in combined public and private financing from the World Bank Group, with roughly half expected to come from private-sector operations led by the International Finance Corporation.

Banga said the reliance on private capital reflects a country where the government has limited spending capacity and 90% of jobs are created in the private sector.

Pakistan’s job strategy rests on three pillars, Banga said: investment in human and physical infrastructure, business-friendly regulatory reforms, and expanded access to financing and insurance, particularly for small firms and farmers that typically lack bank credit.

Read more: CPEC 2.0 to hail industrial phase

Infrastructure, primary healthcare, tourism and small-scale agriculture were labour-intensive sectors with the greatest employment potential, he said, adding that farming alone could account for about one-third of the jobs Pakistan needs to create by 2050.

A growing pool of freelancers also highlighted Pakistan’s appetite for entrepreneurship, but they need better access to capital, infrastructure and support to scale into job-creating businesses, he said.

The strain is readily visible in the exodus of skilled workers. Nearly 4,000 doctors emigrated from Pakistan in 2025, the highest annual outflow on record, according to Gallup Pakistan data based on Bureau of Emigration figures, underscoring concerns that weak job prospects and poor working conditions are pushing trained professionals abroad.

Power first

Fixing Pakistan’s power sector is the most urgent near-term priority, Banga said, noting that losses and inefficiencies in electricity distribution have limited growth despite improvements in generation capacity.

Pakistan’s power sector has long been plagued by growing debt from distribution losses, weak bill recovery and delayed government subsidies, which have strained public finances and discouraged private investment. The debt has been a recurring focus of IMF-backed reform programmes, with successive governments struggling to contain losses while keeping energy affordable.

Banga said progress on privatisation and private-sector participation in electricity distribution would be critical to improving efficiency, reducing losses and restoring the sector’s financial viability.

He said rapid rooftop solar adoption, while easing energy costs for households and businesses, risks creating grid instability if distribution reforms are not accelerated.

“Electricity is fundamental to everything – health, education, business and jobs.”

Climate by design

Banga said climate resilience should also be embedded into mainstream development spending rather than treated as a standalone agenda.

Pakistan is among the world’s most climate-vulnerable countries, hit repeatedly by floods, heatwaves and erratic monsoons.

Also read: Faisalabad maps 1,460 sewage ponds

Banga said climate-resilient investments should be integrated into infrastructure, housing, water management and agriculture to support jobs while reducing long-term risks.

“The moment you start thinking about climate as separate from housing, food or irrigation, you create a false debate. Just build resilience into what you’re already doing.”

Asked how Pakistan fits into the World Bank’s global portfolio, Banga said he does not view the country through labels such as fragility or crisis, but as a long-term job-creation opportunity.

“We’re in the business of hope,” he said.



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After Trump’s sanction waiver, Reliance Industries procures 5 million barrels of Iran crude oil: Report – The Times of India

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After Trump’s sanction waiver, Reliance Industries procures 5 million barrels of Iran crude oil: Report – The Times of India


Last Friday, the Donald Trump administration granted a 30-day waiver on sanctions for Iranian oil already in transit. (AI image)

With the US waiving sanctions on Iran oil, Reliance Industries has reportedly bought 5 million barrels of Iranian crude. Reliance runs the world’s largest refining complex. The effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz has led to global crude oil prices shooting up. In recent years, Iranian crude has largely been purchased by independent refiners in China and is often rebranded as originating from other countries.Last Friday, the Donald Trump administration granted a 30-day waiver on sanctions for Iranian oil already in transit. The exemption covers cargo loaded on or before March 20, including shipments on sanctioned vessels, provided it is discharged by April 19.

Reliance buys Iran crude oil

Two sources told Reuters that the cargo was sourced from the National Iranian Oil Company. One of them noted that the crude was priced at a premium of about $7 per barrel over ICE Brent futures. The delivery schedule is not yet known.The transaction marks India’s first import of Iranian oil since May 2019, when the country, the world’s third-largest importer and consumer of crude, stopped purchases following the reimposition of US sanctions on Tehran.The move follows large-scale buying of Russian crude by Indian refiners, who secured more than 40 million barrels to deal with supply crunch from the Middle East.Other Asian refiners, including Indian state-run firms, are evaluating whether to buy Iranian oil, sources said.

State refiners hesitant?

At the same time, a Bloomberg report indicates that state-run refiners are reluctant to procure Iranian crude, as apprehensions around operational, financial and regulatory hurdles could outweigh any short-term benefits.Despite the sanctions waiver granted by the administration of Donald Trump, these refiners have remained cautious. Persistent uncertainties linked to shipping, insurance and payment mechanisms have so far prevented deals from being finalised.The brief duration of the waiver is a major concern. Refiners worry that any delays in execution could push shipments beyond the allowed timeframe, potentially exposing them to the risk of sanctions.



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Property Play: Home flippers see smallest profits since the Great Recession, real estate data firm says

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Property Play: Home flippers see smallest profits since the Great Recession, real estate data firm says


Vesnaandjic | E+ | Getty Images

A version of this article first appeared in the CNBC Property Play newsletter with Diana Olick. Property Play covers new and evolving opportunities for the real estate investor, from individuals to venture capitalists, private equity funds, family offices, institutional investors and large public companies. Sign up to receive future editions, straight to your inbox.

Higher mortgage rates, high home prices and tight supply are all conspiring to squeeze investors in the home flipping play.

In all of 2025, roughly 297,000 single-family homes and condos were flipped nationwide, according to ATTOM, a real estate data provider, which defines a flip as a home purchased and sold in the same 12-month period. That was a decrease of 3.9% from 2024 and the lowest number of flips in any year since 2020. Investor flips accounted for 7.4% of all 2025 home sales, down from 7.6% in 2024.

Flips are falling because profits are making it less and less worth it. 

With the backdrop of the highest median home prices on record, the typical home flip netted investors just $65,981 in gross profit, or a 25.5% return on investment, according to ATTOM. That is down from 32% the prior year and the lowest rate since the Great Recession in 2008. 

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“Competition for homes remains strong in many markets due to constrained supply,” Rob Barber, CEO of ATTOM, said in a release. “With prices staying elevated, investors are finding it harder to secure deals that deliver strong returns.”

For comparison, in the boom decade following the financial crisis, profit margins were higher than 50%, peaking at 61% in 2012, which is around the time home prices bottomed.

Net profits, or investor returns that factor in the cost of fixing up the property, can vary widely depending on local labor, material and financing costs. Across the U.S., however, the cost of fixing properties before flipping remains elevated due to ongoing supply chain pressures and tariff-related increases in material prices, which continue to compress investor margins, according to ATTOM.

There are signs, however, that the flipping market could improve this year, as home prices are expected to moderate further and mortgage rates remain below year-ago levels.

“After nearly 4 years of declining flipped home transaction volume, our survey is picking up signs of positive momentum in the fix-and-flip space,” Alex Thomas, research manager at John Burns Research and Consulting, wrote in a recent report.

The firm partners with Kiavi on a Fix and Flip Housing Market Index, which looks at investor sentiment in the market. In the fourth quarter of 2025, it recorded the largest quarter-over-quarter gain in three years and a reversal of six consecutive quarters of declines. 

In addition, 71% of investors surveyed said they expect to purchase more homes this year, compared with 66% last year and 49% in 2024, according to the JBRC/Kiavi survey. That is the highest share in its four-year history.

Fewer flippers are also reporting disappointing results from their investments. Nationally, 17% of flippers in the fourth quarter reported selling “mostly below” expected after-repair volume, or ARV, down from 21% in the prior quarter, per the survey. 

“Because flippers tend to cut prices faster than typical home sellers during slowdowns (to avoid costly holding periods), this improvement is an early signal that the pricing environment is firming,” Thomas wrote.

He also said several provisions in last summer’s “big beautiful bill” could boost fix-and-flip profitability, including enhanced depreciation, a permanent 20% qualified business income deduction and deductible interest expenses on fix-and-flip loans.

Other measures of real estate flipper sentiment, including the RCN Capital Investor Sentiment Survey, a quarterly report prepared by CJ Patrick Company, also cite optimism.

“It’s those improving market conditions — more inventory, moderating home prices, and slightly better financing costs — coupled with pent-up demand from buyers and increased numbers of distressed properties for sale that I think should give flippers more opportunities as the year goes on,” said Rick Sharga, CEO of CJ Patrick.

The wild card will be mortgage rates. More investors are using financing, at 37.7% in 2025 compared with 36.9% in 2024, according to ATTOM. Rates were expected to be lower this year, but the Iran war and the resulting rise in oil prices have upended those forecasts.

“Flippers are having to get more creative to maintain profitability,” Barber said. “That could include taking on older homes, as the median flipped property in 2025 was built in 1978, the oldest since we began tracking, along with tighter cost control and more disciplined renovation strategies.”

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Centre plans to cut broken rice share in PDS, boost ethanol feedstock supply – The Times of India

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Centre plans to cut broken rice share in PDS, boost ethanol feedstock supply – The Times of India


The Centre plans to move a Cabinet note to reduce the proportion of broken rice distributed under the public distribution system (PDS) from 25% to 10% in a bid to ensure a steady supply of feedstock for ethanol production, Food Secretary Sanjeev Chopra said on Tuesday, as reported PTI.Addressing the All India Distillers’ Association (AIDA) conference, Chopra said the proposal could make about 90 lakh tonnes of broken rice available annually for the ethanol industry, helping provide year-round supply stability.“Climate change is a reality. We need to make sure the supply chain is not disrupted. A steady supply of broken rice to the ethanol sector will help ensure that,” he said.Currently, nearly 80 crore beneficiaries receive foodgrains under the PDS, where broken rice accounts for up to 25% of distribution. The proposed change would lower this share to 10%, releasing surplus stocks from the roughly 360-370 lakh tonnes of rice distributed every year.The excess broken rice would be auctioned to ethanol producers, animal feed manufacturers and other users. A pilot initiative has already been carried out in five states.Chopra also indicated that from the next ethanol supply year, whole-grain rice from the Food Corporation of India (FCI) would no longer be supplied to distilleries. Broken rice from the revamped food distribution system is expected to become the primary grain-based feedstock.“Looking further ahead, from the next ethanol supply year, whole FCI rice will no longer be available for the sector. In its place, we are moving toward the supply of broken rice,” he said, adding that the shift would improve grain quality for beneficiaries, ease storage and logistics pressures, and provide a predictable supply pipeline for the ethanol industry.The proposal comes amid rising global crude oil prices and the government’s push to expand ethanol blending in petrol to cut import dependence. Chopra said blending levels have reached 20%, up from 1.5% in 2013, helping save more than Rs 1.63 lakh crore in foreign exchange and reduce crude oil imports by 277 lakh metric tonnes since 2014.He noted that ethanol production capacity has increased from 420 crore litres in 2013-14 to nearly 2,000 crore litres now, with about 650 crore litres added in the past three years.The government is now focusing on demand-side measures, including deliberations on raising blending limits beyond 20%, exploring ethanol blending in diesel and promoting flex-fuel vehicles, he said.Chopra said supply disruptions in 2023, triggered by a weak sugar harvest and concerns over rice output, had highlighted the need for a more stable feedstock strategy.He also urged distilleries to accelerate lifting of existing FCI rice allocations. Of the 52 lakh tonnes earmarked for the current ethanol supply year, only 21 lakh tonnes have been lifted so far, while another 20 lakh tonnes remain available at discounted rates until June 30.On alternative feedstocks, he said maize, particularly rain-fed varieties, is being promoted to encourage crop diversification away from paddy cultivation. Around 40% of ethanol supply currently comes from grain-based sources, mainly maize, with efforts underway to develop high-yield varieties producing five to six tonnes per hectare.Referring to Brazil’s experience following the 1973 oil shock, which eventually led to ethanol blending levels of about 30%, Chopra said the current global energy situation presents an opportunity for India to strengthen its biofuel strategy.“Every challenge carries within it an opportunity. This is an important moment for us to revisit and strengthen our ethanol blending programme,” he said.AIDA president Vijendra Singh said the industry was prepared to go beyond the E20 milestone and called for a gradual increase in blending mandates, introduction of flex-fuel vehicles capable of running on 100% ethanol, promotion of ethanol-based cooking stoves and exploration of blending in diesel.P S Ravi, Director (Downstream) at the Federation of Indian Petroleum Industry, also urged the ethanol sector to support expansion of the biofuel programme beyond petrol blending, including biodiesel use in diesel, development of ethanol as a cooking fuel, sustainable aviation fuel pathways and feedstock expansion.Deputy Agriculture Commissioner Mehraj A S and Robert Papa, agriculture attaché at the Embassy of Brazil in New Delhi, were among those present at the conference.



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