Business
US Supreme Court tariff ruling adds uncertainty to global trade outlook, offers limited relief: Analysts – The Times of India
The US Supreme Court’s decision striking down tariffs imposed by President Donald Trump has done little to ease pressures on the global economy, with analysts warning that uncertainty over future trade policy may instead intensify. Economists said the ruling, while limiting Trump’s use of tariffs under emergency powers, is unlikely to change the broader trajectory of global trade tensions as Washington explores alternative ways to impose duties, reported Reuters.
“In general, I think it will just bring in a new period of high uncertainty in world trade, as everybody tries to figure out what the U.S. tariff policy will be going forward,” said Varg Folkman, analyst at the European Policy Centre think tank. “In the end it’s going to look pretty much the same.”Following the judgment, Trump announced new global tariffs of 10 per cent for an initial 150-day period and acknowledged uncertainty over whether funds collected under the annulled levies would be refunded.Analysts said multiple questions remain unresolved, including what new tariffs could emerge and whether countries that negotiated agreements with the US to soften tariff impacts may reopen those arrangements.Economists at ING bank said, as quoted Reuters, the ruling does not mark an end to tariff-driven trade policy. “The scaffolding has come down, but the building remains under construction. No matter how today’s ruling reads, tariffs are here to stay.”The court’s decision applies only to tariffs introduced under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA), legislation designed for national emergencies. Those levies are estimated to have generated more than $175 billion in revenue.According to Global Trade Alert, the ruling reduces the trade-weighted average US tariff rate from 15.4 per cent to 8.3 per cent. Countries facing higher tariffs — including China, Brazil and India — could see double-digit percentage-point reductions, though duties remain elevated.Countries that struck bilateral deals with Washington to mitigate tariff impacts are now expected to assess whether the ruling offers grounds to renegotiate terms.Bernd Lange, chair of the European Parliament’s trade committee, said lawmakers would evaluate the implications while moving toward ratification of the EU-US trade pact.“The era of unlimited, arbitrary tariffs … might now be coming to an end,” Lange said on X. “We must now carefully evaluate the ruling and its consequences.”Britain, meanwhile, said it expects its preferential trading arrangement with the United States — including a baseline 10 per cent tariff — to remain unchanged.Despite years of tariff disruptions, the global economy has broadly held up. A Federal Reserve Bank of New York report indicated that much of the tariff burden has been absorbed by US consumers.The International Monetary Fund projected global growth at a “resilient” 3.3 per cent in 2026 in its latest World Economic Outlook update.China reported a record trade surplus of nearly $1.2 trillion in 2025, supported by stronger exports to markets outside the United States as producers adapted to tariff pressures.Some countries may therefore opt to retain existing bilateral deals rather than risk renewed instability, Folkman said, referring to the uncertainty triggered by Trump’s “reciprocal” tariffs in 2025.However, Niclas Poitiers, research fellow at economic think tank Bruegel, told Reuters political uncertainties surrounding the EU-US trade agreement remain significant.“There could be circumstances in which the deal unravels,” he noted.
Business
Oil prices slide on hopes of US-Iran peace deal
Trump said on Saturday that an agreement would include the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, without giving further details.
Source link
Business
Shop numbers return to growth after years of decline, say experts
UK high streets and shopping destinations are showing signs of recovery as more than 13 retail stores opened each week over the past year, according to new figures.
However, England and Wales have still seen more than 6,000 retail premises vanish from local communities over the past five years.
Analysis of Valuation Office Agency data by tax firm Ryan, found that there were 507,810 retail premises across England and Wales at the end of 2025.
It said the figures showed that a recent contraction across the sector has appeared to stabilise, with a 723 net increase in the number of retail stores compared with a year earlier.
Property numbers increased across every region of England and Wales, with the exception of the North West, which saw a decline of 41.
It suggests that parts of the sector are now beginning to rebalance following significant structural contraction seen since the pandemic.
The creation of new retail units also comes as many retail real estate firms, such as Hammerson, have turned empty large units, often former department stores, into a greater number of smaller units.
Other retail groups, such as John Lewis, have moved away from ambitions to transform some retail property for other uses such as rental accommodation.
Nevertheless, the retail sector is still facing pressure from higher business rates for many firms, increased labour costs and concerns over consumer sentiment.
The data also shows that there has also been significant decline over the past few years, with a net reduction of 6,045 retail properties since the end of 2020.
London recorded the largest five-year regional reduction, with 1,266 retail premises disappearing over the period, followed by the South East (-1,191), North West (-719) and North East (-672).
The figures show retail premises which have permanently disappeared from communities altogether, having either been demolished or converted for alternative use.
The figures come as Ryan’s 2026 annual business rates review highlighted that the retail sector saw a 9.3% increase in rateable values at the 2026 business rates revaluation despite the major shift in the retail landscape since the pandemic.
Alex Probyn, practice leader for Europe and Asia-Pacific property tax at Ryan, said: “The pandemic accelerated structural changes that were already emerging across the retail sector, including changing consumer behaviour, hybrid working patterns and a reduced reliance on traditional retail floorspace in many locations.
“Many locations were arguably over-retailed before Covid and high streets have evolved towards more mixed-use environments, with retail space being rebalanced alongside growing demand for residential, leisure, hospitality and service-led uses.
“The revaluation outcome does suggest a large proportion of retail premises have seen bigger increases in their assessments than underlying market conditions and rental evidence would have led occupiers to expect.
“Retailers should therefore carefully review and, where appropriate, challenge their assessments.”
Business
Indians cut overseas travel spending to $1.9 billion in March: RBI
Indians sharply cut back on overseas travel spending in March, with remittances for foreign trips dropping by more than $212 million from the previous month, according to Reserve Bank of India data. The fall in outbound travel expenditure came amid rising oil prices linked to the Middle East conflict and persistent pressure on rupee, even as travel remained the single largest component of outward remittances under the Liberalised Remittance Scheme (LRS).In March, travel-related remittances fell to $1.09 billion from $1.3 billion in February and $1.65 billion in January. The decline came at a time when the West Asia conflict pushed oil prices higher and weakened rupee to record lows. Amid the situation, Prime Minister Narendra Modi urged citizens to cut down on foreign travel and adopt measures such as carpooling. Lower overseas travel spending could reduce foreign exchange outflows and help ease pressure on rupee.According to the RBI’s data on outward remittances by resident individuals, travel continued to account for the largest share of money sent abroad under the LRS in March. Total remittances during the month stood at $2.59 billion.The RBI tracks overseas spending across categories including travel, studies abroad, maintenance of close relatives, overseas investments, and property purchases. Under the LRS framework, resident individuals, including minors, can remit up to $250,000 in a financial year for permitted current or capital account transactions.Within the travel segment, the biggest component remained the ‘other travel’ category, which covers holiday spending and international credit card settlements. Indians spent $623.05 million under this category in March, accounting for nearly 57 per cent of total travel-related remittances during the month.Expenditure linked to education travel, including hostel and fee payments, stood at $450.16 million. Business travel, pilgrimage, and overseas medical treatment together accounted for $21.39 million.The data also showed a rise in remittances meant for the maintenance of close relatives abroad. Such transfers increased to $389.78 million in March from $266.18 million in February.At the same time, spending under the ‘studies abroad’ category declined. This category includes payments made for educational services accessed remotely without travelling overseas, such as correspondence courses. Remittances under this head stood at $151.71 million in March, compared to $175.68 million in February and $267.42 million in January.For the financial year 2024-25, Indians remitted a total of $29.56 billion under the LRS. Travel made up the largest portion of this amount at $16.96 billion.The RBI figures further showed that investments by Indians in overseas equity and debt instruments rose significantly to $440.22 million in March from $265.99 million in February.Meanwhile, outward remittances for the purchase of immovable property overseas declined to $38.68 million in March, down from $51.36 million a month earlier.
-
Entertainment1 week agoWhere Pete Davidson, Elsie Hewitt stand after breakup: Details revealed
-
Politics1 week agoRising diesel costs from Iran war strain US school budgets
-
Tech1 week agoWhy Is Your Grill So Dumb? The Best Grills Set Temp Like an Oven
-
Tech1 week agoThis Solar-Powered Smart Sprinkler Keeps My Lawn Watered Without Any Power Cables
-
Fashion6 days agoNigeria Kwara Garment Factory, KWS Garment Production Village ink pact
-
Fashion7 days agoTurkiye’s current account deficit expected to widen in 2026: Minister
-
Entertainment1 week agoPrincess of Wales praised as ‘step ahead’ of royal family
-
Fashion1 week agoIndia’s Pearl Global’s FY26 revenue crosses $521 mn milestone
