Business
Stocks slide and pound dives as bond yields spike
Stocks in London fell sharply on Tuesday and the pound sank, unnerved by a renewed spike in bond yields.
“Warning lights are flashing about increasingly tricky economic conditions and geopolitical risk,” said Susannah Streeter, head of money and markets at Hargreaves Lansdown.
“As concerns collide about the global outlook, inflationary pressures and worrisome public finances, the FTSE 100 remains on the back foot, with other European indices also largely in the red.”
The FTSE 100 index closed down 79.65 points, or 0.9%, at 9,116.69. The FTSE 250 ended 470.80 points lower, or 2.2%, at 21,162.89 and the AIM All-Share finished down 3.07 points, or 0.4%, at 765.57.
In Europe, the Cac 40 in Paris ended down 0.7%, while the Dax 40 in Frankfurt closed 2.3% lower.
“Investors are finding little reason to chase stocks higher when bond markets continue to promote the need for caution,” said Rostro analyst Joshua Mahony.
The yield on UK 30-year government bonds – also known as gilts – jumped to the highest level since 1998, at 5.71% on Tuesday, up seven points from Monday, while the yield on the 10-year bond stretched to 4.81%, up six points.
Gilt yields move counter to the value of the bonds, meaning their prices fall when yields rise.
Bond yields also soared across Europe. In Germany, the 10-year bond climbed four points to 2.79%, while in France, the 10-year bond yield widened to 3.59%, up five points. The yield on 30-year government bonds hit 4.50% in France, a 14-year high. In Italy, the 10-year bond yield increased seven points to 3.71%.
The latest gains came amid political instability in France and concerns over rising government debt across Europe.
Kathleen Brooks at XTB Research said a driver of weakness in the UK bond market could be a delayed reaction to the Government reshuffle on Monday.
“The Prime Minister beefed up his economic team in the lead-up to the budget. This has not gone down too well, with concerns that there is still a strategy void when it comes to the economy, as the Government struggles to deliver the growth that it promised,” she said.
The shake-up saw the chancellor’s deputy Darren Jones move into a new role as Chief Secretary to the Prime Minister.
Sir Keir Starmer also brought in Minouche Shafik, a former Bank of England deputy governor, as his chief economic adviser.
Treasury minister James Murray replaced Mr Jones as Treasury chief secretary, while Chipping Barnet MP Dan Tomlinson replaced Mr Murray as Treasury exchequer secretary.
Simon French, head of economics at Panmure Liberum, said Mr Jones and Ms Shafik were a “sensible” duo of appointments and “long overdue” given the lack of economic expertise in the Prime Minister’s team.
But he noted gilts were sold off partly because Mr Murray and Mr Tomlinson “are seen as more left wing than Darren.”
Ms Brooks said the UK was not an “outlier” as European bond yields were also moving higher.
“A rise in UK yields always garner more attention, because our yields are at a higher level to begin with. However, if UK yields continue to rise, and if they start to rise at a faster rate than elsewhere, then it could be a sign the market is pricing in a growing probability that Rachel Reeves will throw away her fiscal rules and borrow more at the budget to fund spending, rather than increase taxes and stymie growth.”
Deutsche Bank thinks the autumn budget will be a “defining moment” for the UK as the Chancellor looks to fill a fiscal hole worth around £20 billion to £25 billion.
“How the Chancellor decides to fill the fiscal hole will be important,” Deutsche said.
“While we expect fiscal headroom to be restored, we expect the Chancellor to adopt a slightly looser fiscal policy path in the near term, compared to March, with a good chunk of fiscal consolidation likely to be backloaded,” the bank said.
The pound dropped to 1.3389 dollars late on Tuesday afternoon in London, compared with 1.3548 at the equities close on Monday. The euro fell to 1.1659 dollars, against 1.1705 dollars. Against the yen, the dollar was trading higher at 148.20 compared with 147.27.
On the FTSE 100, insurer Legal & General fell 4.5%, while wealth management firms Phoenix Group and St James’s Place declined 4.2% and 3.6% respectively.
Rate sensitive housebuilders Persimmon and Taylor Wimpey fell 3.4% and 3.2%, with the latter not helped by a rating downgrade by Bank of America to “neutral” from “buy”.
Retailer Marks & Spencer tumbled 4.0% on fears consumer spending could stall amid slowing economic growth, and as house broker Shore Capital lowered earnings forecasts.
Electricity generator SSE fell 3.7%, which JPMorgan attributed to “rising UK bond yields and concerns around the company’s balance sheet”. However, JPM sees the weakness as a “buying opportunity”.
On the FTSE 250, Ithaca Energy tumbled 13% as its two leading shareholders sold a 3% stake.
Peel Hunt confirmed DKL Energy, a wholly owned subsidiary of Delek Group, and Eni UK, an indirect wholly owned subsidiary of Eni, offloaded 49.6 million shares. They were placed by Peel Hunt with institutional investors at a price of 213.75p per share for a value of £106.0 million.
Gold hit another record high, climbing to 3,511.91 dollars an ounce on Tuesday against 3,476.94 on Monday.
UBS said elevated political and geopolitical risks underline the appeal of gold, which tends to benefit from uncertainty.
“Gold’s status as a durable long-term portfolio diversifier is strengthening amid higher government debts, persistent inflation, geopolitical risks, and the desire of ex-G10 central banks to raise their longer-term holdings as a percentage of total reserves,” the Swiss bank said.
A barrel of Brent traded at 68.81 dollars late on Tuesday afternoon, up from 68.63 on Monday.
The biggest risers on the FTSE 100 were Fresnillo, up 94.0p at 1,919.0p, Endeavour Mining, up 40.0p at 2,664.0p, Unilever, up 64.0p at 4,728.0p, BP, up 3.1p at 434.2p and Haleon, up 2.5p at 363.2p.
The biggest fallers were Whitbread, down 142.0p at 2,983.0p, Legal & General, down 11.0p at 236.1p, Unite Group, down 30.5p at 674.5p, Phoenix Group, down 28.5p at 653.0p and Land Securities, down 23.0p at 529.0p.
Contributed by Alliance News
Business
Petrol and diesel prices may rise if Middle East crisis persists, says RBI Governor Sanjay Malhotra – The Times of India
Reserve Bank Governor Sanjay Malhotra has said the government may eventually have to raise petrol and diesel prices if the ongoing Middle East crisis continues for a prolonged period, PTI reported on Wednesday.Speaking at a conference in Switzerland on Tuesday, Malhotra said the disruption in oil and gas supplies due to the conflict and blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has begun impacting India, which remains heavily dependent on energy and fertiliser imports.Referring to the crisis, the RBI governor said if it continues for a longer duration, it is a “matter of time that the government will actually pass on some of these price increases”.The government has so far not increased retail petrol and diesel prices despite the conflict in West Asia that began on February 28.Malhotra also said the government has remained fiscally prudent and continues on the path of fiscal consolidation.The comments come amid rising pressure on India’s external sector due to elevated crude oil prices and a weakening rupee, which has slipped below the 95 mark against the US dollar.Prime Minister Narendra Modi had earlier called for measures such as reducing fuel consumption and lowering edible oil usage to help conserve foreign exchange reserves.As global crude oil prices surge amid the prolonged Middle East conflict and disruptions around the Strait of Hormuz, India has so far avoided major increases in petrol and diesel prices, choosing instead to absorb the pressure through state-run oil marketing companies (OMCs), tax adjustments and supply management measures.The Centre has repeatedly asserted that there is no fuel shortage in the country and no plan to introduce rationing of petrol, diesel or LPG despite disruptions in global energy shipments linked to the Iran conflict and the Strait of Hormuz crisis.“There is no need to panic. There are sufficient supplies. There is no rationing in place. It’s not going to happen,” Oil Secretary Neeraj Mittal said recently at the CII Annual Business Summit.Officials said India currently maintains around 60 days of fuel stocks and nearly 45 days of LPG inventories despite continuing volatility in global energy markets.
OMC losses mount as crude prices surge
The government’s decision to hold retail fuel prices steady despite rising international crude rates has increased pressure on state-run oil companies.According to official discussions reviewed during recent government briefings, OMCs are estimated to be losing between Rs 1,000 crore and Rs 1,200 crore every day because of elevated crude prices and unchanged pump rates.Under-recoveries are estimated to have approached nearly Rs 2 lakh crore during the first quarter of 2026.The current crisis intensified after shipping movement through the Strait of Hormuz — a key global oil transit route handling nearly one-fifth of global crude flows — came under severe disruption during the Iran conflict.Brent crude prices surged above $110 per barrel during the latest phase of the crisis, sharply increasing import costs for major oil-consuming countries like India. India imports nearly 90 per cent of its crude oil requirements, making the economy highly vulnerable to global energy price shocks.
Govt focuses on supply stability, inflation control
The Centre has simultaneously attempted to prevent inflationary shocks and avoid panic in domestic fuel markets.Officials said India has increased procurement from alternate suppliers and secured additional energy cargoes to maintain uninterrupted supplies.“We have procured from other sources. We have procured from other countries. We have increased procurement from existing countries and that has kept us going in terms of supply management in the short run,” Mittal said.The government has also absorbed part of the global price shock through excise duty adjustments on petrol and diesel. Officials estimate the revenue impact of fuel-related tax reductions at nearly Rs 1.6 lakh crore.Prime Minister Narendra Modi on Sunday (May 10) urged citizens to conserve fuel, reduce unnecessary imports and avoid wasteful consumption as rising oil prices increase pressure on India’s import bill and foreign exchange reserves. The Prime Minister also encouraged greater use of public transport, carpooling, electric vehicles and work-from-home arrangements wherever possible. The government has described these as precautionary steps rather than emergency restrictions.
Pressure likely to continue
Fuel prices remain among the most politically sensitive economic issues in India because increases in petrol and diesel rates directly affect transport costs, food prices and household budgets.While the Centre has so far avoided large retail fuel price increases, analysts say prolonged suppression of prices could further strain OMC finances if crude prices remain elevated for a longer period.
Business
Companies start getting tariff refunds after Supreme Court decision
Containers at the Port of Oakland in Oakland, California, US, on Thursday, March 26, 2026.
David Paul Morris | Bloomberg | Getty Images
Months after the Supreme Court ruled some tariffs were unconstitutional, the first round of tariff refunds has begun flowing in.
Oshkosh Corporation CFO Matt Field confirmed to CNBC that the company has started receiving tariff refunds as of Tuesday.
“Following acceptance of our initial filing, we have begun receiving payments on our tariff refund claims, representing an initial portion of our total claims submitted,” Field said.
The company has not yet verified its total refund amount, Field added.
Basic Fun, the company behind Care Bears and Tonka trucks, also told CNBC it began receiving tariff refunds on Tuesday.
CEO Jay Foreman said the refunds so far have only represented 5% of the company’s total claim on its early invoices.
“We will utilize the refund dollars to help support our 2026 cash flow and invest in our team. This is the toughest time of the year for toy companies,” Foreman said in a statement. “We’ll also be announcing to our staff that we will be increasing salaries to help offset cost of living increase, announcing promotions and larger merit increases. We are reinvesting the funds in our business and people.”
Logistics companies UPS, FedEx and DHL have previously said that they will file for tariff refunds on behalf of their customers, requiring no further action from them. The first phase of tariff refunds only covers requests for entries that CBP finalized within the past 80 days, though that process could take months to reach customers.
The U.S. Customs and Border Protection said in a court filing that it anticipated paying refunds of $35.46 billion on 8.3 million shipments, as of Monday morning.
In February, the Supreme Court invalidated President Donald Trump‘s tariffs imposed under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act of 1977. In the months that followed, companies began filing for tariff refunds in a portal, called the Consolidated Administration and Processing of Entries.
In a radio interview with WABC on Tuesday morning, Trump called the tariff refund situation “crazy.”
“In theory, you have to pay the tariffs back. We’ll fight that,” Trump said. “We were taking in fortunes from people that hate us, countries and companies that hate us.”
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