Business
US job growth revisions signal economic weakness
The US economy added 911,000 fewer jobs than initial estimates had suggested in the year through March, according to preliminary data from the Labor Department released on Tuesday.
The routine annual report – a revision to payrolls data – showed that the jobs market had been growing at a slower pace than previously thought at the end of the Biden administration and in the first months of the Trump administration.
Economists had anticipated a large downward revision, but the weaker-then-expected figure bolstered concerns about the health of the world’s largest economy.
The Federal Reserve is closely watching for signs of softness in the jobs market ahead of its meeting next week.
The US central bank is expected to lower its benchmark interest rate after holding rates steady so far this year, as it weighs signs of a slowdown in the jobs market against fears that US President Donald Trump’s tariffs might reignite inflation.
Last week, the Labor Department reported that employers added just 22,000 jobs in August, fewer than expected, while the unemployment rate ticked up from 4.2% to 4.3%. Tuesday’s data added to this picture of a slowing jobs market, reinforcing expectations that the US central bank will cut interest rates next week.
The job growth revisions come at a politically fraught time for the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Just weeks ago, President Trump responded to the signs of a slowdown by firing the head of the agency, accusing Erika McEntarfer, without evidence, of rigging the numbers to make him look bad.
Analysts say the more recent troubles in the job market are partly due to the president’s sweeping changes to tariff and immigration policy, which economists have consistently warned would hurt the economy.
But the Labor Department revisions, which encompass part of the Biden administration, could serve as a boost for President Trump, who has pushed back against claims that his policies are fuelling weakness in the jobs market.
“President Trump was right: Biden’s economy was a disaster and the BLS is broken,” White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt said in a statement on Tuesday.
She reiterated longstanding calls from the Trump administration for Jerome Powell, the chair of the Fed, to “cut the rates now”.
Wall Street largely looked past the jobs growth revisions, with the S&P 500 index holding steady in early trading on Tuesday. But investors remain on edge.
Fresh inflation data is set to be released on Thursday. That could bring fears of stagflation – a situation in which economic growth slows while consumer prices rise – to the forefront, said Chris Zaccarelli, chief investment officer at Northlight Asset Management.
Zaccarelli added that while a deteriorating jobs market “should make it easier for the Fed to cut rates this fall, it could also throw some cold water on the recent rally.”
The Labor Department’s revisions were broad-based, with particularly large adjustments in services sectors including leisure and hospitality.
“With services being the last bastion of employment growth, this does not bode well for the overall health of the labour market,” Bradley Saunders, North America economist at Capital Economics, said in a research note.
Kevin PeacheyCost of living correspondent, BBC News
Getty ImagesContactless card payments are set to exceed £100 and potentially become unlimited under new proposals to allow banks and other providers to set limits.
The proposals from the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) mean entering a four-digit PIN to make a card payment could become even more of a rarity for shoppers.
If approved, purchases which can cost more than £100 – such as a big supermarket shop, or large family meal in a restaurant – could be made with a tap of a card.
The move would bring cards in line with payments made through digital wallets on smartphones which have no restriction, and reflects the ongoing changes in the way people pay.
When contactless card payments were introduced in 2007, the transaction limit was set at £10. The limit was raised gradually, to £15 in 2010, to £20 in 2012, then to £30 in 2015, before the Covid pandemic prompted a jump to £45 in 2020, then to £100 in October 2021.
If approved, the latest plan could be put in place early next year.
Every rise has been met with concerns about theft and fraud, and the FCA said card providers would only permit higher-value contactless payments for low-risk transactions and would carry the burden if things went wrong.
However, the freedom for banks to raise or even scrap the contactless limit suggests the four-digit PIN could soon become relatively redundant.
The FCA has proposed the changes, despite the majority of consumers and industry respondents to a consultation favouring the current rules.
Some 78% of consumers who responded said they did not want any change to the limits.
The FCA said it did not expect any quick changes, but providers would welcome the flexibility over time when prices rise and technology advances. They could also give customers the option to set their own limits.
Fraud and theft fears
The idea of high-value payments being made with a tap of a card will raise concern that thieves and fraudsters will target cards.
Various protections are already in place. In addition to the £100 single payment limit, consumers are often required to enter a PIN if a series of contactless transactions totals more than £300, or five consecutive contactless payments are made.
The FCA’s own analysis suggests raising the limits would increase fraud losses, but said detection was improving and would continue to get better.
It said any change would be reliant on providers ensuring payments were low-risk, through their fraud prevention systems.
Consumers would still get their money back if money was stolen by fraudsters, according to David Geale, from the FCA.
“People are still protected. Even with contactless, firms will refund your money if your card is used fraudulently,” he said.
Many banks already allow cardholders to set a contactless limit of lower than £100, or switch it off completely, and the FCA expected this option to be made widely available.
It argued that time savings, less “payment friction”, and a reflection of rising prices over time would make changes in the limits worthwhile.
Payment terminals would also need to be altered, as most are programmed to automatically refuse payments of more than £100 by card.
‘I only use my phone to pay’
Smartphones already have an extra layer of security, through thumbprints or face ID. That allows people to pay without limits.
Nearly three-quarters of 16 to 24-year-olds regularly use mobile payments, according to industry research.
Near the appropriately named Bank Street in Sevenoaks, 24-year-old Demi Grady said she rarely bothered carrying her cards around anymore because she used her phone for everything.
“I was in London the other day, my phone died and I couldn’t pay for stuff because I couldn’t remember my card details,” she said.
Her mum, Carrie, in contrast, uses her card when shopping.
“It would worry me more than be of benefit if they were to lose the limit of £100,” she said.
Robert Ryan, who had just bought a “winter-ish jacket” at a Harveys Menswear on Bank Street said he did not regard entering a four-digit number when paying as a hassle. Instead it could be a useful budgeting tool.
“I feel more secure in what I’m buying and it does give me a bit of a prompt to make sure I’m not overspending on my tap-and-go,” he said.
Richard Staplehurst, the owner of the store, said the majority of his customers were paying via a device.
He said that removing any obstacles to payment was great, but he did not want to be landed with a bill if a card was used fraudulently.
Stimulating the UK economy
The idea of removing the contactless limit was highlighted as one way the FCA was responding to the prime minister’s call to regulators to remove restrictions to create more economic growth.
The government has been striving to improve the UK’s economic performance, which has been slow for some time.
Other countries, such as Canada, Australia and New Zealand allow industry to set contactless card limits.
The FCA will consult on its proposals until 15 October.
First Minister John Swinney has met President Donald Trump in the Oval Office to discuss whisky tariffs.
The meeting took place in the Oval Office, where the President was accompanied by Secretary of State Marco Rubio.
Mr Swinney says he discussed the possibility for a better tariff deal for Scotch whisky.
A 50-minute meeting took place ahead of the US President’s State Visit to the United Kingdom next week.
The First Minister confirmed to Mr Trump he would attend the State Banquet at Windsor Palace.
He said: “With the US state visit to the UK just days away, we are now entering the critical days on which hopes of a better tariff deal for Scotch whisky rest. Scotch whisky holds a unique position, as it can only legally be produced in Scotland.
“During my discussions with President Trump, I made the case to reduce the tariffs on the Scotch whisky industry – something the US industry supports.
“The United States is the largest market for Scotch whisky but Scottish distillers also spend hundreds of millions of dollars every year buying Bourbon casks from Kentucky.
“The negotiations themselves are, of course, for the UK negotiating team but given whisky exports to the US were worth almost £1 billion in 2024, its importance to the Scottish economy cannot be underestimated and I am determined to do all that I can to protect and safeguard this iconic Scottish product.”
The First Minister also raised the international situation including the ongoing conflict in Gaza and Qatar.
Mr Swinney is in the United States to undertake a series of trade and political meetings involving both main US political parties.
In a video posted to X, he confirmed he had met Mr Trump and discussed whisky tariffs, in particular, the possibility of no tariffs on Scotch whisky.
He said: “I wanted to share an update on my visit to Washington, DC. I spent the morning with representatives of the whisky industry from Scotland and the United States and we discussed the zero-for-zero approach on tariffs, which would help the industry to flourish on both sides of the pond.
“I’ve now taken those arguments to the Oval Office to President Trump, and we’ve had a constructive discussion about the reasons why Scotch whisky would benefit from no tariffs.
“It’s all part of my job to make sure that Scotland’s interests are promoted at all times, and that’s what I’ll always do as First Minister.”
The meeting at the White House was scheduled to last around 30 minutes and took place at 7pm UK time.
Prior to the meeting at the White House, the First Minister met representatives and member companies of the Distilled Spirits Council of the United States (Discus) and the Scotch Whisky Association (SWA) at Mount Vernon, the home of US founding father George Washington and the site of a whisky distillery he opened in 1798 which was operated by his Scottish farm hand, James Anderson.
The First Minister flew to Washington DC on Tuesday, saying he would be “pressing the case” for a better tariff deal for Scotch whisky in key talks in the United States.
Business
‘GST cut to ease entry level stress,’ says Godrej Enterprises executive director – The Times of India
MUMBAI: The rejigging of GST slabs will make products more affordable for consumers, easing stress for the entry level market segment, said Nyrika Holkar, executive director at Godrej Enterprises Group (GEG), which is expecting reduction in taxes to give a boost to festive purchases. The move, Holkar said, will also push premiumisation. Availability of financing options has made it easy for consumers to buy products without paying for it upfront and lower taxes will only put more money in the hands of people, aiding spending. “The change in GST for appliances is very positive for us. It will put less strain on consumers, the entry level segment of the middle class remains stressed today and we should see that segment picking up in the festive period. Today, appliances (ACs) shouldn’t be discretionary purchases; given the climatic shifts and other factors, they have become essential,” Holkar said.For GEG, which has four consumer businesses, the appliances segment comprising AC portfolio will benefit from the GST reset. ACs which were earlier taxed at 28% have been placed under the 18% tax slab, broadening its accessibility for a larger share of low and middle-income households. The appliances business, in which Godrej competes with a mix of local and global players such as Tata’s Voltas, Samsung and LG, makes up for about 30% of the group’s revenues. In India, penetration of ACs stand at 10%. GEG’s appliances portfolio includes dishwashers, which too will see a reduction in tax although the share of sales is not high.For GEG, which has been premiumising its consumer portfolio across appliances and furniture, the GST boost provides an opportunity to expand its market share. India Inc is hopeful that lower taxes will give a leg up to broader consumption as consumers will be able to spend more. GEG is stepping up omni-channel play in its Interio (furniture) business which has set a target of doubling revenues to Rs 10,000 crore in three years. The strategy will be to build new store formats as consumers become more experiential and strengthen its play online (own website) which enables companies to reach more consumers.In a market where online platforms such as Amazon and Flipkart are rapidly innovating and 10-minute delivery players are rewriting the rules, competition for legacy companies has intensified. There is a change in the way people today buy and browse, said Holkar, and GEG will step up its online play. “More than 80% of searches today start online. We will also shorten our delivery time,” Holkar said. Following the Godrej Family’s split last year, GEG refreshed its brand identity and accelerated digital transformation. On Tuesday, the group also launched a refreshed brand identity for the Interio business.
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