Fashion
Amazon’s layoffs show how AI is coming for India
By
Bloomberg
Published
November 2, 2025
Amazon.com Inc.’s latest global layoffs should come as a singular warning to India. For policymakers dealing with the world’s largest youth population, AI suddenly poses a very real risk to jobs, wages, and a white-collar future.
The e-commerce and cloud services giant’s elimination of 14,000 corporate positions worldwide may not have a large direct impact on its sizeable Indian workforce. The more worrying thing is the kind of occupations at risk: Generative artificial intelligence is starting to affect more than just entry-level computer programming.
Outsourcing hubs like Bengaluru and Hyderabad are already feeling the pinch from AI. But Amazon’s cuts may affect finance, marketing, human resources and tech employees, according to local media reports. That puts many more sectors on notice and validates a growing body of academic work.
After parsing nearly 200 years of data on labor markets and technological change, finance scholars at Northwestern University and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology have concluded that advances in natural-language processing may favor occupations that are lower-educated, lower-paid, and more male-dominated, such as construction and trucking.
It would be a dramatic departure from how previous innovation affected demand for workers. As Huben Liu and his coauthors explain, until the 1980s IT revolution, most advances in automation supplanted manual effort while supporting cognitive tasks. Take, for instance, Irving Colburn’s early-20th-century invention of a machine to substitute hand-blown glass in window panes. The blowers’ wages fell 40%. Within one generation, mechanization drove an entire class of artisans out of business.
By contrast, the arrival of electronic calculators in the 1970s helped accountants and auditors to become more productive. It didn’t replace them. The tilt toward services such as finance and health care favored women, facilitating their entry into the workforce as 20th-century innovations also eased the burden of domestic chores.
Over time, these improvements went global, but the hard-won gains may now reverse. With the capital costs of implementing AI expected to become cheaper each year, cognitive tasks that don’t require at least five years of specific vocational preparation will be at risk from automation, the researchers say. That includes many entry-level jobs, such as analyzing financial statements at Wall Street firms.
Mechanized production of sheet glass did little to hurt women. At the cusp of automation in 1900, they held few of the 53,000 jobs in the US glass industry. Employers preferred men. (In 1900, the industry employed twice as many children under 16 as women.) But to lose out now to Lilli, McKinsey & Co.’s proprietary AI tool that’s drafting client proposals and preparing slide decks? That would certainly rankle, especially since it’s named after the first woman professional hired by the consulting firm in 1945.
All this may come as a particularly harsh blow to the 375 million Indians who are between 10 and 24 years old. At 18.5%, youth unemployment in cities is alarmingly high. Young women’s participation in the labor force is abysmally low at under 22%. Large-scale adoption of AI tools by companies will further muddy the picture. In a separate paper, London School of Economics professor Luis Garicano and his coauthor examine a realistic scenario: If AI does away with entry-level grunt work, which employer will bother to train fresh graduates? How will they rise up the career ladder to higher-wage positions?
Artificial intelligence may still surprise us by creating new tasks that don’t yet exist. It’s also possible that young people will invest in their own AI training. But if Amazon is any indication, the technological exposure of higher-educated, better-paid, and more women-oriented occupations is indeed high.
This won’t be the first shock to India’s labor market in modern times. Its cotton spinners and weavers, among the world’s best in the early 18th century, took a large hit from the Industrial Revolution. As the economy struggles to move from lower-middle to higher-middle income, AI is threatening its biggest advantage: the youth bulge it enjoys against other countries that are rapidly aging.
The right approach to AI would contain both carrots and sticks. The preponderance of Chinese large language models among the world’s top 20, as highlighted by my colleague Catherine Thorbecke, makes it obvious that India isn’t doing enough fundamental research. This must change. The government also needs to read the riot act to outsourcing firms. They have to halt share buybacks and invest in meaningful AI projects, not just data centers.
Finally, the broader corporate sector should be given generous tax breaks for research and development. Instead of coming up with generic copies of drugs going off patent in the West, pharmaceutical companies must be encouraged to use AI to discover new molecules.
The next quarter-century offers the most-populous nation a chance to get rich before it grows old. Ending up on the wrong side of technological change for the second time in 300 years won’t be a good outcome — either for India, or the world. Amazon’s job cuts are the proverbial canary in the coal mine. The time to act is now, before the outlook for white-collar work turns more toxic.
Fashion
Indian textile players hail Budget’s ESG & circularity thrust
Industry stakeholders said the Budget signals a transition away from volume-driven growth towards a value-led, low-carbon and traceable textile ecosystem, supported by initiatives such as the Text-ECO initiative, the National Fibre Scheme, Samarth 2.0, and sustainability-linked capacity building.
Indian textile industry has welcomed the Budget for its strong focus on sustainability, circularity and responsible manufacturing.
Industry leaders said the measures signal a shift towards value-led, low-carbon and traceable growth.
Initiatives such as Text-ECO, Samarth 2.0 and the National Fibre Scheme are seen as strengthening competitiveness, skills and sustainable sourcing across the value chain.
Shruti Singh, Country Director–India at Canopy Planet, said, “This Budget creates enabling conditions for India to lead in manufacturing of low carbon textile fibres and paper packaging. Investing in circular material ecosystems can meet business ESG goals, create domestic fibre security and global export competitiveness,” she said. Singh added that as demand grows across textiles, packaging and paper-based applications, the real test will lie in responsible sourcing. “For companies linked to forest-based supply chains, this is a moment to strengthen traceability, reduce deforestation risk, and move sustainability from intent to execution,” she noted.
From a fashion brand perspective, Amar Nagaram, co-founder of Virgio, said the Budget clearly links sustainability with innovation and design-led growth. “India’s next phase of growth will be driven by the convergence of design, technology and sustainability. The emphasis on sustainable textiles, MSME scale-up, AI-led innovation and design education reflects a long-term vision to move Indian manufacturing up the global value chain,” he said. Nagaram added that the policy direction supports responsible production, data-driven decision-making, and positions India as a credible global hub for future-ready fashion and lifestyle businesses.
At the manufacturing end, Sabhari Girish, chief sustainability officer at Sulochana Cotton Spinning Mills, Tiruppur, said that sustainability and circularity receiving prominence in the Budget is encouraging for the sector. “Circularity and sustainability taking a prominent spot in the Budget speech is a positive signal. The announcement of Text-ECON will help Indian textile companies showcase their environmentally friendly contributions to the world,” he said. Girish noted that upcoming FTAs with the UK and EU are expected to sharpen the focus on sustainability, adding that Samarth 2.0 will play a critical role in skilling the workforce with updated technologies across the value chain, from fibre to garments.
He also pointed out that the National Fibre Scheme could enhance the quality and global competitiveness of Indian-made fibres, though capital-intensive modernisation will require a clear funding roadmap. “Adopting best practices needs more support, and a proper roadmap will help indigenous fibres take centre stage,” Girish said, while welcoming the proposal to upgrade sports goods manufacturing as a boost for R&D and technical textiles.
Industry experts said the Budget’s sustainability-led approach aligns closely with stricter environmental regulations in markets such as the EU and UK, and could strengthen India’s positioning as a responsible, compliant and future-ready sourcing destination.
Fibre2Fashion News Desk (KUL)
Fashion
US inks reciprocal trade agreement with Guatemala
“President Trump’s leadership is forging a new direction for trade that promotes partnership and prosperity in Latin America, further strengthening the American economy, supporting American workers, and protecting our national security interests,” said Ambassador Greer in a USTR release.
USTR Jamieson Greer and Guatemala’s Minister of Economy Adriana Gabriela Garcia recently signed the US-Guatemala Agreement on Reciprocal Trade.
The agreement addresses trade barriers facing American workers and producers, expands and solidifies markets for US exports and strengthens strategic economic ties in the Western Hemisphere, Greer said.
US trade body NCTO welcomed the signing.
The agreement addresses trade barriers facing American workers and producers, expands and solidifies markets for US exports and strengthens strategic economic ties in the Western Hemisphere, he said.
“This agreement builds on our long-standing trade relationship and shared interest in reinforcing regional supply chains,” he added.
The key terms of the agreement includes breaking down non-tariff barriers for US industrial and exports, advancing trade facilitation and sound regulatory practices; protecting and enforcing intellectual property; preventing barriers for digital trade; improving labour standards; strengthening environmental protection; strengthening economic security alignment; and confronting state-owned enterprises and subsidies.
Guatemala has committed to take steps to restrict access to central level procurement covered by its free trade agreement commitments for suppliers from non-free trade agreement partners, permitting exemptions as necessary, in a manner comparable to US procurement restrictions.
Welcoming the announcement, National Council of Textile Organizations (NCTO) president and chief executive officer Kim Glas said the agreement marks an important step toward strengthening the US textile supply chain.
“Guatemala is a key partner in the CAFTA-DR [Dominican Republic-Central America-United States Free Trade Agreement] region, with nearly $2 billion in two-way textile and apparel trade. Together, the region operates as an integrated co-production platform that is essential to the US textile supply chain,” he noted.
The US-Western Hemisphere textile and apparel supply chain remains ‘a critical strategic alternative’ to China and other Asian producers, he added.
Fibre2Fashion (DS)
Fashion
Canada could lift GDP 7% by easing internal trade barriers
Canada could boost long-term economic output by nearly 7 per cent if it dismantles policy-related barriers that restrict the movement of goods, services, and labour across provinces, according to new analysis by the International Monetary Fund (IMF).
Despite being one of the world’s most open economies globally, Canada’s internal market remains fragmented, with non-geographic barriers equivalent to an average 9 per cent tariff nationwide.
Canada could raise long-term GDP by nearly 7 per cent by removing internal trade barriers that restrict interprovincial movement of goods, services, and labour, new analysis shows.
Policy-related frictions act like a 9 per cent internal tariff nationwide.
Liberalising high-impact sectors could deliver productivity-led gains worth about C$210 billion (~$153.04 billion).
Model-based estimates suggest that fully removing these barriers could add around C$210 billion (~$153.04 billion) to real GDP over time, driven largely by productivity gains rather than short-term demand, IMF said in a release.
While full liberalisation will be gradual, targeted reforms in high-impact sectors could deliver sizable benefits and improve economic resilience. Analysts argue that stronger federal–provincial coordination, wider mutual recognition of standards and credentials, and transparent benchmarking of internal trade barriers will be key to turning Canada’s fragmented domestic market into a more integrated national economy.
Fibre2Fashion News Desk (HU)
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