Business
Auto sector profits to hit Rs6.6billion | The Express Tribune
Report projects earnings to annual 21% amidst stable macros and lower interest rates
Pakistan is seeing a massive growth in car sales. In 2020, car sales amounted to 184,099 units in 10 months with Indus Motor’s share being 52,987. PHOTO: IMC/Filw
KARACHI:
In a significant shift for the Pakistani automotive landscape, industry experts are projecting a 21% year-on-year increase in earnings for the second quarter of the 2026 fiscal year. According to the latest research preview from Optimus Capital Management, the sector’s total Profit After Tax (PAT) is estimated to reach approximately Rs6.6 billion. This projection is being driven by a dramatic 76% surge in sales volumes as lower interest rates and stable macroeconomic conditions revitalise consumer demand.
While the volume of vehicles hitting the road has increased to 17,833 units, the financial success is tempered by a sharp 188% spike in distribution costs and a 25% dip in secondary income, which has caused overall net margins to shrink by 2% points to 6.9%.
Optimus analyst Muhammad Talha noted that passenger cars now dominate overall volumes among Pakistan Automotive Manufacturers Association (PAMA) members. He said intense competition has saturated the SUV and light commercial vehicle segments, where newer technology-focused new energy vehicles are competing aggressively, offering consumers a wider range of options.
The report highlighted shifting competitive dynamics as the sector prepares for new model launches by entrants such as Jaecoo and BYD. Honda Atlas Cars emerged as the standout performer during the quarter, with HR-V and BR-V sales rising 141% year-on-year, driven largely by strong demand for the HR-V HEV variant. As a result, Honda’s quarterly profit is expected to jump 152% to Rs1.4 billion, while its passenger car market share is projected to increase by nearly four percentage points.
Indus Motor Company, meanwhile, is facing increased pressure in the high-end SUV segment. While Corolla and Yaris maintained a combined market share of around 23.8%, Fortuner and Corolla Cross lost 25.9 percentage points of market share due to new competition. Despite this, Indus Motor is still expected to post a quarterly profit of Rs5.1 billion and announce a dividend of Rs40 per share.
Looking ahead, reliance on the passenger car segment has deepened, with Toyota Yaris and Honda City accounting for about 84% of total sector volumes. Talha described the sector outlook as neutral, noting that future performance will depend on innovation and localisation.
Auto sector analyst Mashood Ai Khan told The Express Tribune that interest rates have fallen from 24% to 11% and are expected to drop into single digits over the next six months, which should further support car financing and sales.
He added that Japanese brands retain an advantage due to higher localisation, while Korean and Chinese manufacturers may face price pressures after June 2026, when tax relief under the current policy expires. Localisation, he said, will remain critical for competitiveness, alongside proposed reductions in electricity tariffs to lower manufacturing costs.
Business
Education Budget 2026 Live Updates: What Will The Education Sector Get From FM Nirmala Sitharaman?
Union Education Budget 2026 Live Updates: Union Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman will present the Union Budget 2026–27 on February 1, with a strong focus expected on the Education Budget 2026, a key area of interest for students, teachers, and institutions across the country.
In the previous budget, the Bharatiya Janata Party government announced plans to add 75,000 medical seats over five years and strengthen infrastructure at IITs established after 2014. For 2025, the Centre had earmarked Rs 1,28,650.05 crore for education, a 6.65 percent rise compared to the previous year.
Meanwhile, the Economic Survey 2025–26, tabled in the Parliament of India, points to persistent challenges in school education. While enrolment at the school level is close to universal, this has not translated into consistent learning outcomes, especially beyond elementary classes. The net enrolment rate drops sharply at the secondary level, standing at just over 52 per cent.
The survey also flags concerns over student retention after Class 8, particularly in rural areas. It notes an uneven spread of schools, with a majority offering only foundational and preparatory education, while far fewer institutions provide secondary-level schooling. This gap, the survey suggests, is a key reason behind low enrolment in higher classes.
Stay tuned to this LIVE blog for all the latest updates on the Education Budget 2026 LIVE.
Business
LPG Rates Increased After OGRA Decision – SUCH TV
The Oil and Gas Regulatory Authority (Ogra) has increased the price of liquefied petroleum gas (LPG). According to a notification, the price of LPG has risen by Rs6.37 per kilogram. Following the increase, the price of a domestic LPG cylinder has gone up by Rs75.21. The revised prices have come into effect immediately.
The rise in LPG prices has added to the inflationary burden on household consumers.
Business
Budget 2026: Fiscal deficit, capex, borrowing and debt roadmap among key numbers to track – The Times of India
Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman is set to present her record ninth straight Union Budget, with markets closely tracking headline numbers ranging from the fiscal deficit and capital expenditure to borrowing and tax revenue projections, as India charts its course as the world’s fastest-growing major economy.The Budget will be presented in a paperless format, continuing the practice of recent years. Sitharaman had, in her maiden Budget in 2019, replaced the traditional leather briefcase with a red cloth–wrapped bahi-khata, marking a symbolic shift in presentation.Here are the key numbers and signals that investors, economists and policymakers will be watching in the Union Budget for 2025-26 and beyond:
Fiscal deficit
The fiscal deficit for the current financial year (FY26) is budgeted at 4.4 per cent of GDP, as reported PTI. With the government having achieved its consolidation goal of keeping the deficit below 4.5 per cent, attention will turn to guidance for FY27. Markets expect the government to indicate a deficit closer to 4 per cent of GDP next year, alongside clarity on the medium-term debt reduction path.
Capital expenditure
Capital spending remains a central pillar of the government’s growth strategy. Capex for FY26 is pegged at Rs 11.2 lakh crore. In the upcoming Budget, the government is expected to continue prioritising infrastructure outlays, with a possible 10–15 per cent increase that could take capex beyond Rs 12 lakh crore, especially as private investment sentiment remains cautious.
Debt roadmap
In her previous Budget speech, the finance minister had said fiscal policy from 2026-27 onwards would aim to keep central government debt on a declining trajectory as a share of GDP. Markets will look for a clearer timeline on when general government debt-to-GDP could move towards the 60 per cent target. General government debt stood at about 85 per cent of GDP in 2024, including central government debt of around 57 per cent.
Borrowing programme
Gross market borrowing for FY26 is estimated at Rs 14.80 lakh crore. The borrowing number announced in the Budget will be closely scrutinised, as it signals the government’s funding needs, fiscal discipline and potential impact on bond yields.
Tax revenue
Gross tax revenue for 2025-26 has been estimated at Rs 42.70 lakh crore, implying an 11 per cent growth over FY25. This includes Rs 25.20 lakh crore from direct taxes—personal income tax and corporate tax—and Rs 17.5 lakh crore from indirect taxes such as customs, excise duty and GST.
GST collections
Goods and Services Tax collections for FY26 are projected to rise 11 per cent to Rs 11.78 lakh crore. Projections for FY27 will be keenly watched, especially as GST revenue growth is expected to gather pace following rate rationalisation measures implemented since September 2025.
Nominal GDP growth
Nominal GDP growth for FY26 was initially estimated at 10.1 per cent but has since been revised down to about 8 per cent due to lower-than-expected inflation, even as real GDP growth is pegged at 7.4 per cent by the National Statistics Office. The FY27 nominal GDP assumption—likely in the 10.5–11 per cent range—will offer clues on the government’s inflation and growth outlook.
Spending priorities
Beyond the headline aggregates, the Budget will also be scanned for allocations to key social and development schemes, as well as spending on priority sectors such as health and education.Together, these numbers will shape expectations on fiscal discipline, growth momentum and policy support as India navigates a complex global economic environment.
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