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Bank of England hold interest rates at 4% amid inflation concerns – live

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Bank of England hold interest rates at 4% amid inflation concerns – live


Bank of England to announce interest rates decision

Just a few minutes to go and then we’ll hear the latest.

Typically, what follows is a bit more discourse on wider economic policy, questions to some of the MPC members on their voting stance and some other aspects of the announcement.

We’ll bring you the consumer-focused element of that, plus reaction from lenders, industry experts and what it all means for you going forward.

Karl Matchett18 September 2025 11:56

Interest rates: From 0 to 5.25% – and back again?

Here’s the interest rates chart over the last 3.5 years from the Bank of England. Remember a time we were at 0.1%?!

Nobody really expects that to happen again any time soon, even if inflation stabilises and rates drop to a more neutral level.

But, also, we’re down some distance from the 2023/24 highs of 5.25 per cent, which caused real shocks for mortgage repayments and loans on variable rates.

Five cuts have happened since then, three this year.

A fourth today would be an extraordinary surprise – but perhaps, we could still see one in December.

(Bank of England)

Karl Matchett18 September 2025 11:50

Will interest rates go down today?

We’re approaching time for the Bank of England’s interest rates vote announcement and reaction to that, so let’s have a quick check in on what to expect.

Here’s what’s happening and what it will mean for you:

Karl Matchett18 September 2025 11:40

LISA reform on the agenda

Continuing with the data around ISAs, today’s figures show 87,250 people used their Lifetime ISA (LISA) to buy their first home in 2024-25 – that’s up 53.7% from the previous tax year, say money managers Nutmeg.

However, the rate of penalties for early withdrawal also increased across LISAs.

Claire Exley, head of financial advice and guidance at Nutmeg, says that should open debate once more to ensure savers aren’t punished due to increased housing costs and frozen thresholds.

“The Treasury received over £100 million from early LISA withdrawal penalties for the first time, a 35% increase from the previous tax year and the second year in a row it has risen.

“Whether it is rising house prices which have put properties beyond the LISA house price cap or a change in life circumstances that means people need the money in their LISA, more savers are handing over their savings to pay the exit penalty.

“While some friction to withdrawals helps consumers remain focused on goals, there should be a mechanism which ensures the Government gets back any bonus paid to LISA savers but does not excessively harm those who can no longer use a LISA or whose life circumstances change.

“While some are debating the future of the LISA, this data shows that it remains a well-loved and powerful tool for younger savers to accumulate wealth and get on the property ladder.”

Karl Matchett18 September 2025 11:20

Cash ISAs continue to rise – expert advises investing instead

An ongoing theme this: cash ISAs are in use more than ever, but so much money is in them that people could be investing instead to generate far better returns for the long term.

Around 5m people have between £10k and £20k in their cash ISA – it’s recommended for most people that having four months’ costs in a savings account is an ideal buffer. Beyond that, consider investing to help your reach your goals.

A total of around £360bn is thought to now be in cash ISAs.

Claire Trott, head of advice at St. James’s Place, said:

“Today’s HMRC figures are the latest indication that the UK population is over-saved and under-invested. While a cash buffer is important – and no doubt brings comfort to savers, promising safe, guaranteed returns – individuals who chose a cash ISA over a stocks and shares ISA could be missing out on hundreds of thousands of pounds over the long term.

“For individuals saving for long-term goals the cash ISA approach can be risky. As shown by our analysis, inflation can quickly and substantially erode the real value of cash savings.

“Ultimately, those wanting to reap the rewards of their finances over the long term need to be invested in the market. While short term fluctuations and market volatility may deter risk averse savers, history shows that staying invested over time has consistently offered far greater potential for growth, and protected wealth against inflation.

“For those nervous about investing without guidance, speaking to a financial adviser can be a great way to get started, and can provide confidence you’re making the best decisions over the long term.”

Karl Matchett18 September 2025 11:00

Holdings interest rates means repayments, mortgage rates and other costs might not go any higher – but it also means those already struggling with cost of living expenses and rampant inflation will get no relief.

That becomes a real consumer concern as winter and Christmas come closer, says Tamsin Powell, consumer finance expert at Creditspring.

“Although markets are predicting the Bank of England will hold rates, many households will continue to feel the strain of tight budgets. With unemployment at 4.7% and living costs remaining high, day-to-day budgets are under pressure, and borrowing – whether for loans or mortgages – is still expensive.

“Winter is just around the corner, and for many, Christmas will bring additional financial strain. Rising heating bills, combined with the 2% increase in the energy price cap from the 1st of October, mean millions of households will have less money to cover essentials and unexpected costs.

“While stable rates may prevent extra repayment pressure, they don’t provide relief for those already stretched.”

Karl Matchett18 September 2025 10:45

BoE may adjust QT programme

One of the questions the BoE will answer today, aside from interest rates, is on the matter of quantitive tightening programme.

In simple terms, this is the rate at which it’s selling bonds bought during periods when the government needed additional money, such as during the Covid pandemic.

However, selling at the rate it has been has contributed to lowering bond prices, which in turn pushes up bond yields – which for the government means “borrowing costs”.

In other words, the government has to pay back more money when the Bank is selling bonds at such a rate.

Therefore we may get an update on that today.

Karl Matchett18 September 2025 10:31

How much a young person in the UK needs to save in order to retire comfortably

The analysis was conducted by investment and insurance company Shepherds Friendly, using average UK household spending rates, common debt, and a recommended six-month emergency fund.

The investigation also factored in 25 years of rising costs at 2.88 per cent annual inflation and a 5 per cent annual return on savings or investments, to reveal exactly how much would be needed today to enjoy 25 years of financial freedom in retirement.

Karl Matchett18 September 2025 10:00

FTSE 100 rises ahead of Bank of England interest rate vote

With the BoE expected to hold rates at 4% today, UK stocks have risen in early morning trading.

The FTSE 100 is up 0.23 per cent so far, though remains down for the week after a subdued couple of days.

Pest control firm RELX is the leader, up 2.75 per cent, while retailer Next is down 5.7 per cent after its profit release this morning, citing slowing or no growth to come.

Next remains up more than 19 per cent this year, however.

Karl Matchett18 September 2025 09:40

Next delivers profit boost, but cautions over ‘anaemic’ UK economic growth

Next has notched up a surge in half-year profits, but warned UK sales will be weighed on by “anaemic” economic growth and a faltering jobs market as the Government’s tax hike takes its toll.

The fashion and homewares group reported a 13.8% rise in underlying pre-tax profits to £515 million for the six months to the end of July as total full-price sales lifted 10.9%.

But it cautioned that UK sales growth will pull back sharply.

Chief executive Lord Simon Wolfson said: “The medium to long-term outlook for the UK economy does not look favourable.

“To be clear, we do not believe the UK economy is approaching a cliff edge.

“At best we expect anaemic growth.”

Karl Matchett18 September 2025 09:20



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FTSE 100 in the green after lower-than-expected US inflation figures

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FTSE 100 in the green after lower-than-expected US inflation figures



Stock prices in London closed mostly higher on Friday, in light of lower-than-expected US inflation the day before.

The US consumer price index rose by 2.7% in November from a year before, slowing from 3.0% annual inflation in September. Market consensus cited by FXStreet had expected inflation to increase to 3.1% in November.

“The knife-edge nature of yesterday’s rate decision by the Bank of England is keeping UK stocks in check and stalled the FTSE 100’s push towards the 10,000 mark,” said AJ Bell’s Danni Hewson. “Investors have responded to the reality that we could be approaching the end of the current rate-cutting cycle.”

She continued: “Across the Atlantic, the sharply lower-than-anticipated CPI reading in the US suggests the Federal Reserve might have more scope for rate cuts next year.”

The FTSE 100 index closed up 59.65 points, 0.6%, at 9,897.42. The FTSE 250 ended down 12.88 points, 0.1%, at 22,312.71, and the AIM All-Share closed up 1.03 points, 0.1%, at 757.39.

On the FTSE 100, Anglo American edged up 0.4% after reporting that it was striving to wrap up the sale of its nickel business and that it had restarted efforts to dispose of its remaining coal operation.

The London-based diversified miner previously suffered a setback, after Peabody Energy abruptly ended its bid to acquire Anglo American’s steelmaking coal assets in Australia.

Anglo American said on Friday it has reinitiated a formal process to sell the remaining steelmaking coal business.

The miner also said it is working to finalise the last regulatory approval with the European Commission required to complete the transaction, first announced in February this year.

Carnival, on the FTSE 250, jumped 17%.

The Florida-based cruise operator’s pre-tax profit jumped 45% to a “record” 2.77 billion dollars in the financial year ended November 30, from 1.92 billion dollars a year ago. Revenue climbed 6.4% to 26.62 billion dollars, also a record, from 25.02 billion dollars, with passenger ticket revenue growing 5.8% to 17.42 billion dollars.

Carnival also announced the reinstatement of dividends, declaring a quarterly payout of 15 US cents.

For the full year 2026, the company expects adjusted net income to grow by 12%.

In small caps, Seraphim Space rose 8.8%.

The space technology-focused investor’s largest holding, ICEYE, has won a 1.7 billion euro deal through a joint venture with arms firm Rheinmetall AG. The JV will provide the German armed forces with radar services.

On AIM, Revel Collective plunged 74%.

The bar and pub company said that “a number of credible parties” were in talks with the firm to potentially acquire the businesses it operates, but it warned that any deal is unlikely to return any value to shareholders.

Caledonia Mining rose 11%.

The Zimbabwe-focused gold miner has “welcomed” revised provisions announced by the Zimbabwean government on the gold mining sector.

A proposal to up a royalty rate to 10% from 5% will now only apply if the bullion price tops 5,000 dollars an ounce, and not 2,500 dollars. Also, a proposed tax change on capital expenditure treatment has been withdrawn.

Caledonia said that so long as the gold price remains below 5,000, dollars there will be no change to its financial outlook.

In European equities on Friday, the CAC 40 in Paris closed up 0.3%, while the DAX 40 in Frankfurt ended up 0.3%.

The pound was quoted at 1.3373 dollars at the time of the London equities close on Friday, lower compared with 1.3387 dollars on Thursday. The euro stood at 1.1715 dollars, lower against 1.1730 dollars. Against the yen, the dollar was trading higher at 157.46 yen compared with 155.46 yen.

Stocks in New York were higher. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 0.6%, the S&P 500 index up 0.7%, and the Nasdaq Composite up 0.8%.

The yield on the US 10-year Treasury was quoted at 4.14%, widening from 4.11%. The yield on the US 30-year Treasury was quoted at 4.82%, widening from 4.79%.

Brent oil was quoted at 60.16 dollars a barrel at the time of the London equities close on Friday, down from 60.23 dollars late Thursday.

Gold was quoted lower at 4,348.80 dollars an ounce, against 4,370.61 dollars on Thursday.

The biggest risers on the FTSE 100 were Endeavour Mining, up 120.00p at 3,910.00p, Rolls-Royce, up 26.00p at 1,170.00p, DCC, up 103.52p at 5,019.52p, Melrose Industries, up 11.20p at 576.60p, and Spirax, up 120.00p at 6,850.00p.

The biggest fallers on the FTSE 100 were Barratt Redrow, down 10.16p at 368.64p, Persimmon, down 32.00p at 1,317.00p, JD Sports Fashion, down 2.05p at 84.63p, Berkeley Group, down 70.00p at 3,884.00p, and Marks & Spencer, down 5.50p at 326.60p.

On Monday’s economic calendar, the UK releases current account and gross domestic product data.

On Monday’s UK corporate calendar, no significant events are scheduled.

– Contributed by Alliance News



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November home sales struggle as supply stalls

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November home sales struggle as supply stalls


High home prices, stubbornly high mortgage rates and now less supply are all weighing on potential homebuyers.

Sales of previously owned homes rose just 0.5% in November from October and were 1% lower than November 2024, according to the National Association of Realtors. Sales came in at an annualized rate of 4.13 million units.

This count is based on closings, so it reflects contracts likely signed in September and October, when mortgage rates initially came down slightly but then stayed in a tight range.

Supply, which had been gaining for much of this year, fell in November. There were 1.43 million homes for sale at the end of the month, down 5.9% from October but up 7.5% year over year, according to the association. At the current sales pace, that represents a 4.2-month supply. A six-month supply is considered balanced between buyer and seller.

“Inventory growth is beginning to stall,” Lawrence Yun, chief economist for the Realtors, said in a release. “With distressed property sales at historic lows and housing wealth at an all-time high, homeowners are in no rush to list their properties during the winter months.”

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Sellers who were on the market also began to delist their properties at a higher rate than usual. Sellers often take unsold homes off the market heading into winter, but that dynamic was much stronger this year.

And that is keeping pressure on home prices. The median price of a home sold in November was $409,200, an increase of 1.2% from November 2024, and the highest November reading on record. The Realtors use a median measurement, which can skew to what end of the market is selling most. The high end is currently doing much better than the low end. Sales of homes priced in the $100,000 to $250,000 range were down nearly 8% from a year ago, while homes priced at more than $1 million were up 1.4%.

“Wage growth is outpacing home price gains, which improves housing affordability. Still, future affordability could be hampered if housing supply fails to keep pace with demand,” Yun said.

Homes are staying on the market longer, at 36 days compared with 32 days last November. First-time homebuyers made up 30% of sales, unchanged from a year ago, but historically they make up about 40%. Investors stepped back into the market, making up 18% of transactions, up from 13% in November 2024.



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US monetary policy: Fed’s official sees no urgency for further rate cuts, flags distorted inflation data – The Times of India

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US monetary policy: Fed’s official sees no urgency for further rate cuts, flags distorted inflation data – The Times of India


A senior US Federal Reserve official has said there is no immediate need to cut interest rates further, cautioning that recent inflation data may have been distorted due to disruptions in data collection during the federal government shutdown, AFP reported.Speaking to CNBC on Friday, New York Federal Reserve President John Williams said inflation readings for recent months were likely affected because government agencies were unable to collect price data in October and the first half of November amid the record-long shutdown.“Because of that, I think the data were distorted in some of the categories, and that pushed down the consumer price index reading probably by a tenth or so,” Williams said, adding that it was difficult to precisely quantify the impact.He said inflation data for December could provide a clearer picture of the extent of the distortion.Williams’ remarks followed the release of a delayed US consumer price index report earlier this week, which showed inflation easing to 2.7 per cent in November from 3 per cent in September. Several economists had warned that the figures may not fully reflect underlying price pressures.Some analysts pointed out that a higher share of price quotes may have been collected during the Black Friday discount period, potentially biasing the data downward — a concern Williams echoed.Asked how the latest data influenced his outlook on interest rates, Williams said the Fed’s policy stance was appropriate for now.“I don’t personally have a sense of urgency to need to act further on monetary policy right now,” he said, adding that the rate cuts already delivered had positioned policymakers well.The Federal Reserve has cut interest rates three times this year as the labour market weakened, but has signalled a higher threshold for additional easing. The central bank’s next policy meeting is scheduled for late January.



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