Business
Bears tighten grip on PSX ahead of MPC meeting | The Express Tribune
Index sheds 1,286 points as investors adopt cautious stance before roll-over week
KARACHI:
The Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) came under renewed selling pressure on Friday, extending its corrective streak as investors braced for next week’s key monetary policy announcement and futures roll-over. The benchmark KSE-100 Index slumped by 1,286 points, or 0.78%, to close the week at 163,304, marking another bearish session driven by profit-taking and defensive trading.
Market sentiment remained cautious throughout the day as participants opted to trim exposure and rebalance portfolios ahead of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting, scheduled for Monday, October 27, 2025, according to Ali Najib, Deputy Head of Trading at Arif Habib Ltd. “Historically, both rollover week and policy meetings tend to heighten volatility, prompting traders to adopt a wait-and-watch strategy.”
According to a survey by Arif Habib Ltd (AHL), the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) is likely to keep the policy rate unchanged at 11%, citing recent inflationary upticks, a mild widening of the current account deficit, and the early stages of domestic economic recovery.
Market Snapshot – October 24, 2025
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* KSE-100: Pullers & Draggers
* KMI-30: Pullers & Draggers pic.twitter.com/IlMxxAVXVp— PSX (@pakstockexgltd) October 24, 2025
The banking sector led the decline, collectively knocking off 952 points from the index as heavyweights UBL, BAHL, MEBL, HBL, BOP, AKBL, BAFL, and NBP faced aggressive selling.
Despite the downtrend, overall market activity remained healthy, with 1.03 billion shares traded and a total value of Rs34.9 billion. K-Electric (KEL) topped the volume chart once again, posting 194.8 million shares.
Weekly Review:
On a week-on-week (WoW) basis, the benchmark index lost 502 points (-0.31%), having opened at 164,912, touched a high of 168,414, and dipped to a low of 163,042 before closing at 163,304.
Analysts suggest the market may remain in a short-term consolidation phase as investors await clearer macroeconomic signals. The 160,000-point level is expected to act as a crucial support zone, while the 165,000 mark could cap near-term upside potential. Stability around these levels may attract fresh buying interest once monetary clarity emerges.
Business
Education Budget 2026 Live Updates: What Will The Education Sector Get From FM Nirmala Sitharaman?
Union Education Budget 2026 Live Updates: Union Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman will present the Union Budget 2026–27 on February 1, with a strong focus expected on the Education Budget 2026, a key area of interest for students, teachers, and institutions across the country.
In the previous budget, the Bharatiya Janata Party government announced plans to add 75,000 medical seats over five years and strengthen infrastructure at IITs established after 2014. For 2025, the Centre had earmarked Rs 1,28,650.05 crore for education, a 6.65 percent rise compared to the previous year.
Meanwhile, the Economic Survey 2025–26, tabled in the Parliament of India, points to persistent challenges in school education. While enrolment at the school level is close to universal, this has not translated into consistent learning outcomes, especially beyond elementary classes. The net enrolment rate drops sharply at the secondary level, standing at just over 52 per cent.
The survey also flags concerns over student retention after Class 8, particularly in rural areas. It notes an uneven spread of schools, with a majority offering only foundational and preparatory education, while far fewer institutions provide secondary-level schooling. This gap, the survey suggests, is a key reason behind low enrolment in higher classes.
Stay tuned to this LIVE blog for all the latest updates on the Education Budget 2026 LIVE.
Business
LPG Rates Increased After OGRA Decision – SUCH TV
The Oil and Gas Regulatory Authority (Ogra) has increased the price of liquefied petroleum gas (LPG). According to a notification, the price of LPG has risen by Rs6.37 per kilogram. Following the increase, the price of a domestic LPG cylinder has gone up by Rs75.21. The revised prices have come into effect immediately.
The rise in LPG prices has added to the inflationary burden on household consumers.
Business
Budget 2026: Fiscal deficit, capex, borrowing and debt roadmap among key numbers to track – The Times of India
Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman is set to present her record ninth straight Union Budget, with markets closely tracking headline numbers ranging from the fiscal deficit and capital expenditure to borrowing and tax revenue projections, as India charts its course as the world’s fastest-growing major economy.The Budget will be presented in a paperless format, continuing the practice of recent years. Sitharaman had, in her maiden Budget in 2019, replaced the traditional leather briefcase with a red cloth–wrapped bahi-khata, marking a symbolic shift in presentation.Here are the key numbers and signals that investors, economists and policymakers will be watching in the Union Budget for 2025-26 and beyond:
Fiscal deficit
The fiscal deficit for the current financial year (FY26) is budgeted at 4.4 per cent of GDP, as reported PTI. With the government having achieved its consolidation goal of keeping the deficit below 4.5 per cent, attention will turn to guidance for FY27. Markets expect the government to indicate a deficit closer to 4 per cent of GDP next year, alongside clarity on the medium-term debt reduction path.
Capital expenditure
Capital spending remains a central pillar of the government’s growth strategy. Capex for FY26 is pegged at Rs 11.2 lakh crore. In the upcoming Budget, the government is expected to continue prioritising infrastructure outlays, with a possible 10–15 per cent increase that could take capex beyond Rs 12 lakh crore, especially as private investment sentiment remains cautious.
Debt roadmap
In her previous Budget speech, the finance minister had said fiscal policy from 2026-27 onwards would aim to keep central government debt on a declining trajectory as a share of GDP. Markets will look for a clearer timeline on when general government debt-to-GDP could move towards the 60 per cent target. General government debt stood at about 85 per cent of GDP in 2024, including central government debt of around 57 per cent.
Borrowing programme
Gross market borrowing for FY26 is estimated at Rs 14.80 lakh crore. The borrowing number announced in the Budget will be closely scrutinised, as it signals the government’s funding needs, fiscal discipline and potential impact on bond yields.
Tax revenue
Gross tax revenue for 2025-26 has been estimated at Rs 42.70 lakh crore, implying an 11 per cent growth over FY25. This includes Rs 25.20 lakh crore from direct taxes—personal income tax and corporate tax—and Rs 17.5 lakh crore from indirect taxes such as customs, excise duty and GST.
GST collections
Goods and Services Tax collections for FY26 are projected to rise 11 per cent to Rs 11.78 lakh crore. Projections for FY27 will be keenly watched, especially as GST revenue growth is expected to gather pace following rate rationalisation measures implemented since September 2025.
Nominal GDP growth
Nominal GDP growth for FY26 was initially estimated at 10.1 per cent but has since been revised down to about 8 per cent due to lower-than-expected inflation, even as real GDP growth is pegged at 7.4 per cent by the National Statistics Office. The FY27 nominal GDP assumption—likely in the 10.5–11 per cent range—will offer clues on the government’s inflation and growth outlook.
Spending priorities
Beyond the headline aggregates, the Budget will also be scanned for allocations to key social and development schemes, as well as spending on priority sectors such as health and education.Together, these numbers will shape expectations on fiscal discipline, growth momentum and policy support as India navigates a complex global economic environment.
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