Business
Brighter US outlook fires up European stocks
The FTSE 100 recorded strong gains on Friday as US data pointed to resilient consumer spending and relatively subdued inflation, keeping hopes for rate cuts across the pond on track.
The FTSE 100 index closed up 70.85 points, 0.8%, at 9,284.83. The FTSE 250 ended 93.71 points higher, 0.4%, at 21,681.48, and the AIM All-Share ended up 3.91 points, 0.5%, at 777.53.
For the week, the FTSE 100 rose 0.7%, the FTSE 250 advanced 0.4% and the AIM All-Share climbed 0.4%.
Figures from the Bureau of Economic Analysis showed US inflation pressure was largely steady in August.
The core personal consumption expenditures price index, which is the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflationary measure, rose 2.9% on-year in August, matching the pace of growth from July and landing in line with FXStreet cited consensus.
The core reading excludes food and energy. The headline PCE price index rose 2.7% on-year last month, picking up speed slightly from 2.6% in July, as expected.
In addition, the report showed personal income rose 0.4% month-over-month, the same as in the month prior. Consumer spending grew 0.6% month-on-month in nominal terms, coming on the heels of 0.5% gains in the two months prior.
Personal income beat consensus of 0.3%, while spending beat a forecast of 0.5%.
Barclays analyst Pooja Sriram called the inflation figures subdued although she expects core inflation to firm in the coming months amid tariff pass-through.
Analysts at TD Economics said the data, following strong economic growth figures on Thursday, suggests that the US consumer is in “somewhat better shape than previously thought”.
“Overall, an improved growth trend and persistent inflation lean in favour of the Fed potentially having to do a little less in the way of rate cuts to support the economy. This may put some doubt on the interest rate path, though it does not derail the case for two more rate cuts by the end of this year,” the broker said.
The CME FedWatch tool puts an 86% chance of a quarter point rate cut at the Federal Open Market Committee meeting in October, unchanged from Thursday.
The pound was quoted higher at 1.3399 dollars at the time of the London equity market close on Friday compared with 1.3348 dollars on Thursday. The euro stood at 1.1692 dollars, higher against 1.1676 dollars. Against the yen, the dollar was trading at 149.51 yen, lower compared with 149.74 yen.
The yield on the US 10-year Treasury was quoted at 4.18% trimmed from 4.20% on Thursday. The yield on the US 30-year Treasury stood at 4.75%, narrowed from 4.76%.
In European equities on Friday, the CAC 40 in Paris closed up 0.8%, as was the DAX 40 in Frankfurt.
Stocks in New York were mixed at the time of the London close. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 0.4%, the S&P 500 index was 0.2% higher, while the Nasdaq Composite was down 0.1%.
On the FTSE 100, Intercontinental Hotels topped the blue-chip leaderboard, rising 4.0%, as JP Morgan double upgraded the hotel operator to ‘overweight’ from ‘underweight’.
IHG is a “quality compounder” benefiting from superior earnings visibility and execution, in JPM’s view, adding this is “key” in times of revenue per average room uncertainty.
Pharmaceutical stocks shrugged off new tariffs from the US with AstraZeneca up 0.4% and GSK up 1.1%.
Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell, explained that drug companies are exempt from the 100% tariffs on US imports if they are building a factory in the country.
“That means AstraZeneca and GSK are safe as they’ve both unveiled big investments in the US in what look like strategic moves to get on the right side of Trump,” he said.
“Being exempt is a big win for these companies given previous uncertainty over how they might be affected by Trump’s repeated threats for tariffs on the pharmaceutical sector,” he added.
Phoenix Group rose 1.9% as RBC Capital Markets raised its share price target and reiterated an ‘outperform’ rating.
“Phoenix shares continue to trade at a notable valuation discount versus peers, likely reflecting perceptions that are increasingly unwarranted, in our view,” RBC said.
The broker expects Phoenix to start deploying excess capital supporting buybacks alongside financial 2026 results.
Pennon Group climbed 0.2% as it said its financial performance remains on track, although guidance fell short of consensus, amid the benefits and challenges from the hot weather.
In a trading statement covering April 1 to September 25, the Exeter-based water utility company explained that high demand for water over the summer due to the hot weather was more than offset in revenue by increased meter usage, deferring sales into financial 2027.
In addition, the hot weather also resulted in higher operational costs to respond to the increased demand and operational pressure on the networks.
Despite this, Pennon said it has made a “strong return” to profitability, with earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation anticipated to increase by 60% year-on-year, net of revenue deferred into financial 2027.
In the financial year to March 2025, Pennon reported underlying Ebitda of £335.6 million.
Analysts at Jefferies said this was slightly below consensus of 66%/67% although part of the variation could be driven by the profiling of revenues from the current year into next to manage the bill profile.
Brent oil advanced to 70.64 dollars a barrel on Friday from 69.15 dollars late on Thursday. Gold firmed to 3,775.97 dollars an ounce on Friday, up against 3,729.67 dollars on Thursday.
The biggest risers on the FTSE 100 were Intercontinental Hotels Group, up 350.0 pence at 9,124.0p, Hikma Pharmaceuticals, up 52.0p at 1,644.0p, Babcock International, up 39.0p at 1,273.0p, NatWest, up 15.2p at 520.4p and Kingfisher, up 8.2p at 301.0p.
The biggest fallers on the FTSE 100 were Rio Tinto, down 84.5p at 4,831.5p, Coca-Cola Europacific Partners, down 80.0p at 6,620.0p, Spirax, down 80.0p at 6,795.0p, Bunzl, down 24.0p at 2,336.0p and Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust, down 11.0p at 1,120.0p.
Monday’s global economic calendar has UK mortgage approvals figures, US pending home sales numbers and Spanish CPI data. Later in the week, a slew of data on the US jobs market will be released, culminating in Friday’s nonfarm payrolls.
Monday’s UK corporate calendar sees third quarter results from cruise operator Carnival. Later in the week, food retailer Tesco reports half-year results while bakery chain Greggs issues a third quarter trading statement.
Contributed by Alliance News
A Bank of England policymaker has dismissed suggestions that inflation is a problem unique to Britain, as she called for more interest rate cuts.
Swati Dhingra, a member of the Bank’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC), argued there was no need to be “overly cautious” about lowering borrowing costs.
Writing in The Times, Ms Dhingra said: “It’s become commonplace to assert that inflation in the UK is out of step with other economies, requiring a more careful approach to cutting interest rates as a result.
“With prices for services and food rising more quickly than in the major eurozone countries, inflation looks like a particularly British problem.”
But she said that was not the case and that the factors putting pressure on UK inflation “will fade”.
A report from the Organisation of Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) earlier this week found that Britain will experience the highest level of inflation among the G7 group of advanced economies this year.
In 2026, the overall inflation rate will be the second highest in the G7, behind only the US, according to its forecasts.
Ms Dhingra said food prices are often a named “culprit for accelerating inflation”, having risen at a faster pace in the UK than in the eurozone.
“But it’s not clear that this gap reflects anything other than global trends and slightly different supply chains and shopping baskets in the two economies,” she wrote.
“The difference in inflation between the UK and our continental neighbours can be largely explained by administered prices and global commodity shocks.
“These should pass.
“We can afford to cut rates further and not put additional strain on economic growth without threatening the inflation target.”
Her comments contrast to remarks made by fellow MPC member Megan Greene earlier this week, who said risks to the UK’s inflation outlook may have increased.
Ms Greene said a “cautious approach to rate cuts going forward” was appropriate in the face of “uncertainty and risks” to the economy.
Sarah JulianBBC Radio WM and
Eleanor LawsonWest Midlands
ReutersSome businesses in the Jaguar Land Rover (JLR) supply chain have just seven to 10 days of money left, an MP has told the BBC.
Ten companies within the supply chain voiced their concerns about their businesses, in the wake of the cyber attack at JLR, at a meeting with the government’s Business and Trade Committee on Thursday.
Labour MP for Tamworth Sarah Edwards, who is a member of the committee, said some of the companies had not been paid by JLR since the end of August.
“They’re very worried, they are concerned,” Ms Edwards said. “It’s imperative suppliers are paid very very quickly.”
JLR, which has plants in Solihull, Wolverhampton and Merseyside, employs about 30,000 people directly, with an additional 100,000 in the supply chain.
Ms Edwards said the 10 companies in attendance at Thursday’s meeting covered a “cross section” of first-line direct suppliers, covering the “whole eco-system” of the supply chain.
She expressed particular concerns about the smaller suppliers and their cashflow concerns.
“It’s very worrying and that’s because we’re nearly a month into this – some of those suppliers had not been paid,” she said.
“We heard from one supplier who had still not received payment from JLR since 29 August, so it’s really good to hear that the [JLR] invoicing system is coming back online.”
JLR said on Thursday that it had begun a “phased restart” of its operations with parts of its IT system back up and running.
Ms Edwards said some of the suggestions from the businesses were how to keep money within the supply chain and how the government might be able to support that.
“The feeling was [the need to] retain the work force and skills and having the immediate cash flow to keep these places open,” she said.
“We heard from one smaller supplier who’s already had to sell machinery, sell one of their trucks and go from two buildings down to one.
“Some people are at home already, they do not know whether they’ll be returning to work and when.”
The MP added that JLR needed “to be much clearer on the timeframe” for the return to production, as suppliers were unable to plan, meaning “they’re at a much higher risk of not being able to weather this.”
She said that some of the businesses thought that JLR “could have done more to communicate with them” and wanted clarity on the situation.
One idea the government is exploring is for it to buy the component parts built by the suppliers to keep them in business until JLR’s production lines are up and running, and then sell on those parts to JLR.
Ms Edwards said the businesses were pleased to hear it was an option being discussed but believed there would be “logistical challenges”.
“This is a ‘just in time’ operation, so storing those parts, making sure they’re not damaged, making sure that quality control is intact would be difficult,” she said.
“One of the thoughts [from the suppliers] therefore was that you could buy forward, so you’d essentially place the orders knowing you were going to start production but pay now. That’s an option they thought was more likely.”
Addressing the role of the government in supporting the supply chain, the MP said: “This is JLR and their issue, it shouldn’t really lie with the taxpayer, but it may be the taxpayer needs to step in temporarily.”
The Conservative Party said it would back a targeted emergency loan scheme for UK firms after the cyber attack affecting JLR.
The Tories have also called on the government to look into new cyber insurance measures.
“JLR’s supply chain is significant in the West Midlands and nationally,” said shadow business secretary Andrew Griffith.
Last Updated:
Sameer Arora credits these companies’ success to resilience, noting that most competitors exited early, leaving only the strongest players in the market
Sameer Arora remarks that the valuations of unlisted startups remain high because they are not yet publicly traded. (News18 Hindi)
In a recent statement, Helios Capital founder and renowned investor Sameer Arora emphasised three essential factors for investing in new companies today: survival, penetration, and monetisation.
Reflecting this philosophy, Helios Capital has persistently invested in emerging technology companies such as Eternal, Paytm, Ola, Ather, and Swiggy. By August, they had notably increased their stakes in One97 Communications (Paytm), Swiggy, Delhivery, Ola, and Ather Energy. The firm is also investing in CarTrade and PB Fintech.
Sameer Arora attributes the success of these companies to their resilience during challenging times. He recalls that in the early stages, these companies faced competition from hundreds of rivals. Over time, however, most competitors have exited, leaving only a select few.
For instance, the food delivery industry once had 20 players, but now only two remain. Hence, Arora’s strategy focuses on investing in companies that have emerged as winners in this competitive landscape.
Why Sameer Arora Is Betting Big On Quick Commerce
Arora has a particular interest in Quick Commerce. He explains that instead of focusing on the sector’s overall growth, he prioritises the rapid adoption of new features by consumers. He believes that consumers will increasingly prefer Quick Commerce over traditional stores due to the convenience of fast delivery at minimal cost. These companies earn Rs 8-10 per order, with Rs 5 from margins and Rs 3-4 from advertising.
Arora holds a similar view on digital companies like Paytm, noting that consumers are simply shifting their existing expenses to the app, not creating new ones. His team has observed a 70-75 percent profit from their investment in Ather. They also invested in Ola when its market capitalisation was $2 billion, by which time the company had 500 outlets and a solid production system.
Investment Outlook On Loss-Making Companies
Arora remarks that the valuations of unlisted startups remain high because they are not yet publicly traded. He advises making small investments in companies that are not incurring daily losses, as these companies will gradually grow over time.
According to Arora, the market has humbled the founders of such companies, who were previously overconfident. He suggests waiting a year or two before investing in any new company unless it has a particularly compelling story.
Uncertainty Over Consumer Spending Patterns
Arora also shared his views on the GST rate cut. He mentioned that he purchased Hero Motors stock with the GST cut in mind. He believes that when the scheme was announced on August 15, many people delayed buying vehicles to benefit from the price adjustment, causing a temporary halt in sales in late August and early September.
Arora underscores that the real benefit depends on how people choose to spend their money. While there is money in the system, which is positive for consumption, it is not guaranteed that people will buy products from the companies in which they have invested. They could invest in SIPs, pay off debt, or purchase an AC from a foreign brand. Therefore, it is crucial to carefully consider which companies will truly benefit.
September 26, 2025, 19:18 IST
Read More
Kane nets 100th Bayern goal; bests Haaland, CR7
Heritage Foundation Uses Bogus Stat to Push a Trans Terrorism Classification
Marquinhos adds to PSG injury woes before Barça
-
Tech6 days agoAmericans would dominate board of new TikTok US entity: W.House
-
Tech1 week agoThe DOGE Subcommittee Hearing on Weather Modification Was a Nest of Conspiracy Theorizing
-
Sports1 week agoCommanders get final approval to build new stadium at RFK site after DC Council vote
-
Fashion7 days agoTrützschler set to showcase textile tech at ITMA Asia 2025
-
Tech7 days agoIraq’s first industrial-scale solar plant opens in Karbala desert to tackle electricity crisis
-
Tech6 days agoEU to finalize probes into tech platforms soon: Commissioner
-
Tech6 days agoThe Best Hybrid Mattresses for Every Kind of Sleeper
-
Tech6 days agoHow to Clean a Kid’s Car Seat the Right Way