Business
C/A slips into $594m deficit in Q1 of FY26 | The Express Tribune
KARACHI:
Pakistan’s current account recorded a deficit of $594 million for the first quarter of FY26 (July-September 2025), reversing a small surplus of $110 million in August, as rising imports outpaced gains in exports and remittances, according to provisional data released by the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) on Monday.
The deficit reflects a growing import bill amid moderate export growth. Exports of goods rose modestly to $7.9 billion during the quarter, up from $7.4 billion a year earlier – a growth of about 6.5%. However, imports surged faster to $15.4 billion, up 8.3% year-on-year, widening the goods trade deficit to $7.53 billion for the quarter.
Service exports grew by 15% to $2.2 billion, but this was offset by higher service imports of $3.1 billion, leaving a $931 million deficit in the services balance. Among the service sector, Pakistan recorded its highest-ever monthly IT exports.
“IT exports have made a new high of $366 million (up 25% YoY), and contribution to total goods and services exports has also reached a high of 10.7% (+1.8 ppts YoY) in September 2025,” said Maaz Azam, Research Head at Optimus Capital.
Pakistan recorded its highest-ever monthly IT exports of $366 million in September 2025, up 25% year-on-year and 9% month-on-month. These exports were higher than the last 12-month average of $326 million. This took first-quarter FY26 IT exports to $1.06 billion, marking a 21% year-on-year increase. Average daily export proceeds stood at $16.64 million in September 2025 versus $14.65 million in August 2025.
Topline Securities’ analyst Sania Irfan noted that year-on-year growth in IT exports was driven by four factors: (1) expansion of IT companies’ global client base, especially in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) region; (2) the SBP’s decision to raise the permissible retention limit from 35% to 50% in exporters’ specialised foreign currency accounts; (3) permission for equity investment abroad through these accounts; and (4) exchange rate stability encouraging higher repatriation of profits.
According to a survey by the Pakistan Software Houses Association (P@SHA), 62% of IT firms now maintain specialised foreign currency accounts. “In our view, the SBP’s Equity Investment Abroad (EIA) policy – allowing exporters to acquire foreign interests using up to 50% of proceeds – will further strengthen confidence and remittances in the sector,” she said.
Net IT exports (exports minus imports) stood at $330 million, up 29% year-on-year and 8% month-on-month, exceeding the 12-month average of $286 million. While the government has set an FY26 target of $5 billion, Topline expects IT exports to grow by 18-20% this fiscal year. Under the “Uraan Pakistan” economic plan, the FY2029 export target of $10 billion implies a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 27%. Within the sector, Systems Limited (SYS) remains a preferred pick, trading at 2025E and 2026F price-to-earnings (P/E) multiples of 21.6x and 16.1x, respectively.
Meanwhile, workers’ remittances showed encouraging momentum, rising to $9.54 billion in July-September FY26, compared to $8.8 billion in the same period last year – a growth of 8.4% as inflows from Gulf countries and the US strengthened.
Pakistan recorded a net foreign direct investment (FDI) inflow of $186 million in September 2025, slightly higher than $175 million in August. However, quarterly inflows remained subdued, according to Arif Habib Limited (AHL). During the first quarter of FY26, net FDI inflows declined by 34% year-on-year to $569 million, compared to $865 million in the same period of FY25.
Overall, Pakistan’s net borrowing position worsened as the balance from current and capital accounts slipped to a deficit of $562 million for the month.
The SBP’s reserves excluding banks rose to $14.28 billion by end-September, up sharply from $10.84 billion at the close of FY25, while total gross reserves (including banks) reached $15.49 billion.
Pakistan’s external account faces renewed pressure as the current account deficit widened, driven by rising imports, weak export competitiveness, and higher income outflows. Despite robust remittances, the goods trade gap remains elevated at over $7.5 billion in 1QFY26, reflecting persistent import dependence.
Foreign direct investment remains modest, while oil prices and demand recovery continue to strain the import bill. Sustaining reserves near $14.3 billion will hinge on International Monetary Fund inflows and policy discipline, as structural issues, including low productivity, narrow export base, and sluggish private investment, pose significant medium-term challenges.
Business
Power as ‘currency’: Experts say data centre growth lifts demand; India poised for global leadership – The Times of India
India’s expanding data centre and artificial intelligence ecosystem could position the country as a global leader in power trade, with experts pointing to surplus electricity capacity and rapid reforms in the power distribution sector, according to speakers at a national conference on energy and technology.Speaking at the National Conference on AI and Machine Learning based solutions in the power sector, Jitendra Srivastava, chairman and managing director of REC Limited, said the rapid rise of AI and data centres is creating a new era where electricity itself becomes a strategic asset, according to ANI.“With the exploding growth of artificial intelligence, with the exploding growth of data centres, with the sheer amount of power required to function these places…We are going to see an era when power will be the currency and we are uniquely placed with its huge potential with its already surplus status. We are poised to become world leaders. We are in a position where we can show the world that power is a tradable commodity and we can be global leaders in this,” Srivastava said.The conference brought together solution providers and power distribution companies with the aim of enabling collaboration and innovation. Shashank Mishra, Joint Secretary in the Ministry of Power, said the initiative was designed to create a common platform for developing new solutions.“Today we are bringing together solution providers and distribution companies on a single platform where they can interact and develop new solutions and ideas. We are also presenting several innovative concepts in the form of solutions, and the best among them will be awarded by the Minister of Power,” Mishra told ANI.He added that the government expects the initiative to be “a transformative” step for the sector.Highlighting ongoing reforms, Srivastava said the Ministry of Power has been driving changes under the Revamped Distribution Sector Scheme (RDSS), with smart metering forming a core pillar of the programme. He stressed that the benefits of smart meters can be fully realised only with the use of advanced analytics.“To understand the advantages of smart metering, it is essential to leverage the power of artificial intelligence and machine learning,” he said, adding that such tools can aid anti-theft measures, load forecasting and system rationalisation.According to Srivastava, the conference seeks to demonstrate how AI- and machine learning-based tools can improve consumer services, assist electricity regulators and help discoms function more efficiently.India’s energy sector has strengthened significantly in recent years, balancing rising demand with sustainability goals. Citing International Energy Agency projections, speakers noted that emerging and developing economies will account for about 85 per cent of the growth in global electricity demand over the next three years, with India playing a central role.As of June 2025, India’s total installed power capacity stood at 476 GW, while power shortages have declined sharply from 4.2 per cent in 2013-14 to 0.1 per cent in 2024-25, according to official data.
Business
‘Next big clean-up’: FM Sitharaman flags customs simplification; hints at duty rationalisation in Budget – The Times of India
Ahead of Budget 2026, Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman on Saturday said simplifying India’s customs framework will be the government’s next major reform focus, signalling a comprehensive clean-up aimed at making compliance easier and more transparent.Speaking at the HT Leadership Summit, Sitharaman said customs reforms would follow the rationalisation efforts already undertaken in income tax and Goods and Services Tax (GST) to boost consumption by leaving more cash in the hands of consumers, PTI reported.“We need a complete overhaul of customs… we need to have customs simplified for people to feel that it is not cumbersome to comply… need to make it more transparent,” the finance minister said.She said the government intends to bring the same virtues of transparency and ease that guided income-tax reforms to the customs regime, adding that the proposed changes would include further rationalisation of customs duty rates.The finance minister indicated that announcements to this effect may be made in the Union Budget, likely to be presented on February 1.“We have brought down customs duty over the last two years steadily. But in those few items where our rates are considered to be over the optimal level, we have to bring them down as well. Customs is my next big cleaning-up assignment,” she said.In this year’s Budget, the government proposed eliminating seven additional customs tariff rates on industrial goods, following the removal of seven tariff slabs in 2023-24. This reduced the total number of customs tariff slabs to eight, including a zero rate.On the rupee’s sharp depreciation, Sitharaman said the currency would find its natural level. The rupee has weakened about 5 per cent against the US dollar during calendar year 2025.The currency breached the 90-per-dollar mark for the first time earlier this week, settling at a provisional all-time low of 90.21 amid sustained foreign fund outflows and elevated crude oil prices, PTI noted.On economic growth, Sitharaman expressed confidence that India’s GDP expansion would remain at 7 per cent or above in the current financial year.The Indian economy grew at a six-quarter high of 8.2 per cent in the July-September quarter, aided by stronger factory output and robust services-sector performance, offsetting a slowdown in farm output. Growth stood at 7.8 per cent in the preceding quarter and 5.6 per cent a year earlier.For the first half of the financial year ended September, India clocked GDP growth of 8 per cent.
Business
Smartworld Developers enters Noida, to invest Rs 2K cr on 1st realty project – The Times of India
Realty firm Smartworld Developers will invest around Rs 2,000 crore to build its first project in Noida, as part of the company’s plan to expand beyond the Gurugram property market. Smartworld Developers has announced its entry into Noida, which is an important micro-market in the Delhi-NCR. The company has acquired a 6-acre land parcel in Sector 98 along the Noida Expressway through an auction process for Rs 414 crore, it said in a statement. Smartworld Developers will build a mixed-use project comprising premium branded residences, high-street retail, and serviced homes. The company will invest around Rs 2,000 crore to build this project, while the estimated revenue exceeds Rs 3,000 crore. “Entry into Noida is a significant milestone for Smartworld Developers as we further strengthen our presence in the NCR region. Noida’s rapidly evolving infrastructure and its growing importance as a key real estate hub offer immense potential,” said Ashish Jerath, President – Sales & Marketing, Smartworld Developers. The company is in discussions with a leading global brand for a potential collaboration on the Noida project. Smartworld Developers clocked Rs 6,400 crore worth of sales bookings last fiscal year, a remarkable 60 per cent annual growth. Gurugram-based Smartworld Developers has delivered around 6.5 million sq ft to date, and another 20 million sq ft is currently under construction. According to real estate consultant PropTiger data, housing sales across eight major cities fell 95,547 units during the third quarter of this calendar year from 96,544 units in the corresponding period of the preceding year. Sales of residential properties in Delhi-NCR decreased 21 per cent to 7,961 units from 10,098 units, said PropTiger, which Aurum PropTech has recently acquired.
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