Despite promising to end United States’ involvement in costly and destructive foreign wars, President Donald Trump, together with Israel, has launched a massive military assault on Iran, targeting its leadership as well as its nuclear and missile infrastructure.

Since the September 11, 2001, attacks on New York and Washington DC, the United States has engaged in three full-scale wars and conducted bombing operations in at least 10 countries. These operations have ranged from large-scale invasions to targeted air strikes and drone campaigns, often carried out over multiple years.

In the immediate aftermath of 9/11, then-President George W Bush declared a “war on terror”, launching a global military campaign that reshaped US foreign policy.

The wars in Afghanistan and Iraq were followed by military operations in Pakistan, Syria, Yemen and other regions, as successive administrations expanded or sustained counterterrorism efforts.

Two decades of war and its costs

Research by Brown University’s Watson Institute for International and Public Affairs estimates that US-led wars since 2001 have directly caused approximately 940,000 deaths across Afghanistan, Pakistan, Iraq, Syria, Yemen and other conflict zones, according to Al Jazeera report.

The figure excludes indirect deaths resulting from displacement, destruction of infrastructure, limited access to healthcare and food shortages, the report said.

According to the report, the United States has spent an estimated $5.8 trillion on post-9/11 wars. This includes $2.1 trillion allocated by the Department of Defence, $1.1 trillion by the Department of Homeland Security, $884 billion added to the Pentagon’s base budget, $465 billion for veterans’ medical care and roughly $1 trillion in interest payments on war-related borrowing.

In addition, the US is projected to spend at least another $2.2 trillion on veterans’ care over the next three decades, bringing the total estimated cost of its post-2001 wars to approximately $8 trillion.

Iran’s Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi says US President Donald Trump betrayed both the indirect negotiations with Tehran and the American people by launching unprovoked aggression against Iran.

In a post published on social media platform X on Wednesday, Araghchi said, “When complex nuclear negotiations are treated like a real estate transaction, and when big lies cloud realities, unrealistic expectations can never be met. The outcome? Bombing the negotiation table out of spite.”

“Mr. Trump betrayed diplomacy and Americans who elected him,” added the top diplomat.

Iran and the US were in the midst of indirect negotiations regarding Iran’s nuclear program, with Iranian negotiators and the Omani mediators expressing strong hope that an agreement could be reached.

On Friday, one day before the Israeli-US aggression against Iran and immediately after the third round of negotiations in Geneva, Switzerland, Omani diplomats went so far as to say that a new comprehensive agreement was closer than ever.

However, on Saturday, Israeli and US armed forces launched a series of attacks against strategic targets across Iran, killing several senior officials.

Trump’s especial envoy to West Asia Steve Witkoff, head of the US negotiating team, had earlier tried to pave the way for the US aggression on Iran by falsely claiming that it was the Iranian side that had undermined the process.

However, a diplomat familiar with the process of the negotiations told MS NOW that Witkoff’s claims are completely false and Iranians were open to a fair but comprehensive agreement with the US.

“I can categorically state that this is inaccurate,” said the diplomat, referring to Witkoff’s account.

According to the Persian Gulf diplomat, who spoke on condition of anonymity, the Iranian delegation had told Witkoff during indirect negotiations on Iran’s nuclear program that Tehran enriched the uranium after Trump pulled the US out of a 2015 nuclear agreement brokered by former President Barack Obama’s administration.

Scores of Iranian cities have been targeted in the US-Israeli aggression. Leader of the Islamic Revolution Ayatollah Seyyed Ali Khamenei was assassinated in the Saturday attack.

Since then, Iranian armed forces have swiftly and decisively retaliated against these strikes by launching barrages of missile and drones against Israeli-occupied territories as well as on US bases in region.

Iranian officials have stated that targeting US military bases in the region constitutes “legitimate self-defense.”
Referring to Article 51 of the Charter of the United Nations, they said that Iran has the legal right to defend itself against “acts of aggression” by the US or the Israeli regime.

• Airline shares stabilise after significant losses.
• Skies over swathes of Middle East still empty.
• Worst crisis for global travel industry since Covid-19.

Dozens of repatriation flights were due to depart from the Middle East on Wednesday as governments hurried to bring tens of thousands of stranded citizens home in the midst of an intensifying US and Israeli conflict with Iran.

Skies over most of the Middle East remained empty of commercial planes on Wednesday, with major Gulf hubs, including the world’s busiest international airport in Dubai, largely shut for a fifth day, in the biggest travel disruption since the Covid-19 pandemic.

The first repatriation flights were due to leave for Britain and France on Wednesday, and the United Arab Emirates opened special corridors to allow some citizens to return home. Normally, thousands of commercial flights would take off from the region daily.

Marooned tourists and some expatriates have also tried to find their own way out.

“We’re doing this cautiously,” said French Finance Minister Roland Lescure. The French government said several repatriation flights for its citizens, around 400,000 of whom are in the region, were planned for Wednesday.

A British chartered flight will leave Oman on Wednesday evening, prioritising vulnerable UK nationals, the British Foreign Office said.

Emirates, the world’s largest international carrier, said all routes to and from Dubai remain suspended until March 7 and it was operating a “limited” flight schedule from Dubai International and from Maktoum International.

The New Zealand government said it expected a total of 121 repatriation flights to depart from Dubai International Airport on Wednesday.

Qantas, meanwhile, was running extra flights to bring British people stuck in Australia back home, but would have to route them via a refuelling stop in Singapore as an alternative to the normal Middle East hubs.

With airspace severely constrained, many airlines are carrying extra fuel or making additional refuelling stops to guard against sudden rerouting or longer flight paths through safer corridors.

Airline shares were less volatile on Wednesday after double-digit percentage drops in the past few days, which wiped tens of billions of dollars from airlines’ market value.

Lufthansa was up 3% at 1306 GMT, while Qantas closed down 2.7% lower, having lost more than 10% of their value so far this week. BA-owner ICAG was up 2%, having fallen more than 13% in the past three days.

Airline executives have said that crew and pilots are now scattered across the world, complicating the process of resuming flights when airspace reopens. Soaring prices of oil will also add to carriers’ costs.

Analysts said flights will become more expensive if longer routes become the only options for international carriers.

The Gulf is also a major hub for air cargo, putting further pressure on international trade routes following the disruption of Red Sea shipping routes.

Asian airline stocks

Shares of US carriers United Airlines, American Airlines and Delta Air Lines were all up about 1% in pre-market trading, while Southwest Airlines shares were marginally lower.

Most Asian airline shares pared losses from earlier this week, though Korean Air Lines shares fell 7.9% after dropping 10.3% on Tuesday.

South Korea’s stock market was closed on Monday when most airline and travel stocks bore the brunt of the impact from the conflict.

Oil prices have risen sharply this week, with Brent crude oil up around 14% since the US-Israeli strikes on Iran, potentially pushing up fuel costs for airlines.

Hedging is expected to help mitigate some of the cost increases.

“Recent guidance indicates that the airlines have hedged around 50% of their jet fuel needs. In general, they should be able to pass through the balance of the price rise to passengers,” Lorraine Tan, director of equity research for Asia at Morningstar, said.