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Does December’s rise in UK GfK’s consumer confidence report conceal tougher expectations for 2026?

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Does December’s rise in UK GfK’s consumer confidence report conceal tougher expectations for 2026?


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December 21, 2025

​The latest consumer confidence report from GfK didn’t share the gloom of the one a day earlier from the British Retail Consortium (BRC), but it did reflect its note of caution for the year ahead.

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GfK’s long-running Consumer Confidence Index in fact showed confidence is up two points (to -17) in December and all five of its measures edged up this month. But confidence still “remains subdued after a year of no progress”, it noted.

So how did those five measures, come out this time? The personal finances index over the last 12 months increased by one point to -6 month on month; the forecast for personal finances over the next year rose one point to 2; the measure for the country’s general economic situation over the last 12 months increased three points to -40; expectations for the general economic situation over the next 12 months lifted three points to -29; the Major Purchase Index jumped four points to -11; and finally, the Savings Index was unchanged at 24.

Neil Bellamy, Consumer Insights director at GfK, said: “It’s tempting to see festive cheer in December’s two-point improvement in consumer confidence. Are we seeing a sigh of relief that the Autumn Budget wasn’t as bad as most had feared?

“All five measures are up this month led by a four-point jump in major purchase intentions. This is a surprise finding for the UK high street because it contrasts with the Black Friday sales slump we reported on earlier this month. Have people decided to spend on Christmas regardless, and worry about 2026 later?

Bellamy added: “However, looking at the full year, the December headline score of -17 is the same as 12 months ago, and on that basis 2025 has been a year of no progress. UK households still face cost-of-living pressures, despite the recent softening in inflation, along with rising economic uncertainty, and those conditions result in weaker consumer confidence. 

“Sadly, consumers resemble a family on a festive winter hike, crossing a boggy field – plodding along stoically, getting stuck in the mud and hoping that easier conditions are not far off.”

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Higher energy costs to slow India FY27 growth to 6.5%: ICRA

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Higher energy costs to slow India FY27 growth to 6.5%: ICRA



India’s gross domestic product (GDP) growth is expected to moderate to 6.5 per cent in fiscal 2026-27 (FY27) from the projected 7.5 per cent in FY26 owing to the adverse impact of elevated energy prices and concerns around energy availability, according to ICRA Ratings.

While trends in high frequency indicators for January-February 2026 appear favourable, the heightened uncertainty around the duration of the Middle East conflict casts a shadow on the near-term macroeconomic outlook for India amid high import dependency for items like crude oil, natural gas and fertilisers, it noted.

India’s FY27 GDP growth is likely to slow to 6.5 per cent from the projected 7.5 per cent in FY26 owing to the impact of higher energy prices and concerns around energy availability, ICRA Ratings said.
The heightened uncertainty around the duration of the Iran war casts a shadow on the near-term macroeconomic outlook for India.
If the conflict lasts longer, the adverse effects could widen across sectors.

If the conflict lasts for an extended period, the adverse implications of the same could widen across sectors, amid an uptick in input costs and the consequent impact on profitability of the India corporate sector.

Amid the projected uptrend in the consumer price index-based inflation in FY27 with risks tilted to the upside, ICRA Ratings expects an extended pause on the policy rates by the central bank’s monetary policy committee in the fiscal despite the anticipated softening in the GDP growth. However, it expects the Reserve Bank of India to continue to intervene on the liquidity front during FY27.

The available data for January–February FY2026 indicate a positive trend across most non-agricultural indicators, with the year-on-year performance of 12 out of 18 indicators improving compared to the third quarter of FY26, while the remaining six deteriorated.

Fibre2Fashion News Desk (DS)



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Indonesia’s apparel exports at $8.7 bn; 56% shipments to US

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Indonesia’s apparel exports at .7 bn; 56% shipments to US




Indonesia’s apparel exports rose modestly to $8.705 billion in 2025 from $8.316 billion in 2024, reflecting gradual recovery.
The US remained dominant, accounting for over 56 per cent of shipments, highlighting growing market dependence.
While Japan, South Korea and Europe offered stability, exports stayed concentrated in key products and segments.



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Methanol jumps nearly 150% as oil surge disrupts markets

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Methanol jumps nearly 150% as oil surge disrupts markets




Methanol prices in India have surged nearly 150 per cent from pre-Iran–US tension levels, tracking a sharp rise in crude oil and tightening global energy markets.
Hormuz disruption risks, limited rerouting capacity, rising freight and insurance costs, and constrained imports are fuelling volatility, with prices seen approaching ₹90 per kg.



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