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El Clásico is here! Madrid vs. Barça head-to-head, form, key clashes, predictions, odds

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El Clásico is here! Madrid vs. Barça head-to-head, form, key clashes, predictions, odds


There is nothing quite like El Clásico. Whenever Real Madrid and Barcelona play each other, there is no bigger match happening anywhere else in the soccer world.

Sunday’s clash at the Estadio Santiago Bernabéu (stream LIVE at on ESPN+ in the U.S.) will be no different. Defending LaLiga champions Barcelona arrive in the Spanish capital sitting two points behind their bitter rivals at the top of the table.

Madrid coach Xabi Alonso, a legendary midfielder who won the LaLiga title and the UEFA Champions League during his five years as a player for Los Blancos, will be experiencing his first clash against Barcelona from the dugout. He will be doing so with star striker Kylian Mbappé in top form.

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Barça boss Hansi Flick claimed a clean sweep over Madrid last season, winning all four of the matchups in his first season in charge. Young phenom Lamine Yamal was among the stars over the course of those wins, and he could once again be a match-winner in Madrid.

ESPN’s Alex Kirkland and Sam Marsden run through the form, all-time head-to-head, latest team news and key clashes ahead of the 262nd edition of El Clásico.


All-time head-to-head: Barça can draw level with a win

Real Madrid have historically maintained an advantage for most of the time in their head-to-head matchup with Barcelona, dating to the 1930s. Since then, both clubs have had periods of sustained dominance in meetings with their rivals — Madrid in the 1960s, and Barça in the 1970s and ’80s. But the balance started to shift in the past 20 years, as Madrid’s head-to-head lead narrowed, starting with the Pep Guardiola era at Barça. Madrid posted only one win in 14 meetings in all competitions between 2008 and 2012, a spell that included legendary 6-2 and 5-0 wins in the fixture for Guardiola’s team, as well as a triumph in a UEFA Champions League semifinal.

Since then, it has been more even — Barça were unbeaten in seven Clásicos from 2017 to 2019, before Madrid went six undefeated between 2019 and 2022 — but Barça’s four victories last season leave them on the brink of matching Madrid in the all-time head-to-head. — Kirkland

What happened last season?

Barcelona, slightly unexpectedly, ruled Madrid last season. There was uncertainty surrounding the Blaugrana at the start of the campaign, with no one really sure how new coach Flick would do with a young squad. Madrid, meanwhile, on the back of winning LaLiga and the Champions League, had added Kylian Mbappé to their squad.

But as often is the case in this fixture, logic did not prevail. Barça were superb in attack, racking up 16 goals in four victories against Madrid as they won both league meetings en route to the title, as well as final wins in the Copa del Rey and the Spanish Supercopa. At times, it felt as if they could score at will, especially in the final Clásico of the season, which effectively clinched the league title. After Mbappé had given Madrid a 2-0 lead inside 15 minutes, Barça replied with four unanswered goals before the break.

That was very much a theme of Barça’s wins: lots of goals in short spurts. They also scored four in the second half at the Bernabéu last October, and four in the first half in the 5-2 Supercopa win in January. It ended 16-7 to Barça on aggregate over the course of the four fascinating and hugely entertaining games. Barça are now aiming to win five straight editions of the Clásico for only the second time in club history — 2008-10, under Guardiola, was the only other time. — Marsden

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Craig Burley and Steve Nicol look ahead to Real Madrid vs. Barcelona after UCL victories for both teams.

How are they doing this season?

REAL MADRID

The feeling is that Madrid are an improvement on last season’s vintage, but they’re still a work in progress. There has been a notable change in the way the team plays out of possession — with more intensity, pressing high to win the ball back, and a more cohesive defensive shape — while the other big plus has been the sensational form of Mbappé, who has scored in 10 of his 11 club games this season. Vinícius Júnior is getting closer to his best form, and while the midfield still hasn’t quite jelled, Arda Güler is now a valuable creative influence, already providing five assists for Mbappé this campaign.

Madrid’s record in LaLiga is impressive, with eight wins out of nine, but the game they didn’t win was a 5-2 thumping to Atlético Madrid. And there’s still the nagging feeling that in the “big” games — that Madrid derby, and the FIFA Club World Cup semifinal against Paris Saint-Germain in the summer — Alonso’s team has suffered stage fright. — Kirkland

BARCELONA

Flick has acknowledged Barcelona aren’t yet hitting the heights of last season. He has bemoaned poor positioning and a drop in the intensity of the pressing as two of the biggest factors in the team’s drop-off. Injuries have also played a part, with Raphinha, Yamal, Fermín López, Gavi, Joan García, Dani Olmo and Robert Lewandowski among those to sit out stretches of the season. That said, results have not been that bad. They have won two out of three in the Champions League, losing only to Paris Saint-Germain via a late goal, and are only two points behind leaders Madrid in LaLiga.

Performances have not always been as encouraging. Rayo Vallecano could have beat them earlier in the season, Sevilla scored four against them and Girona should arguably have taken at least a point last weekend. But snatching a late win against Girona and then beating Olympiacos 6-1 in midweek will give the players a confidence boost heading to Madrid. López is back and looking sharp, Yamal has featured in the past two games after recovering from a groin problem, and Marcus Rashford has settled in well. — Marsden

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Rashford impressed by ‘unbelievable’ Pedri since move to Barcelona

Marcus Rashford reveals which Barcelona players have impressed him since joining the club.

Both teams have several injury doubts. What is the latest?

REAL MADRID

There’s optimism that Madrid’s issues at right back — where Trent Alexander-Arnold and Dani Carvajal have both been out injured, and Federico Valverde has reluctantly been drafted in — are soon to be solved, with both Alexander-Arnold and Carvajal pushing for a return in time for the Clásico. On the other side of the defense, Ferland Mendy is also getting close to full fitness, although the Clásico might come too soon for him, and Álvaro Carreras is the starter at left back anyway.

At center back, Dean Huijsen should be available to partner with Éder Militão, as Antonio Rüdiger is expected to be out until December, and David Alaba was substituted at halftime against Getafe last weekend as a precaution. In midfield, Dani Ceballos has a muscular problem, and is unlikely to be fit to face Barça. — Kirkland

BARCELONA

Joan García, Marc-André ter Stegen, Gavi, Olmo and Lewandowski will all sit out the game, and a source told ESPN that Raphinha will also miss out after suffering a setback in his return from a hamstring injury. But there is some positive news for Barça — Yamal and López both returned to action last weekend, with the latter then scoring a stunning hat trick with his weaker left foot against Olympiacos. Ferran Torres returned to the bench against the Greek side. Though he didn’t play, he should be ready this weekend. — Marsden

Key clashes

Kylian Mbappé vs. Barcelona’s high line: Who can forget the last time these two teams met at the Bernabéu, almost exactly a year ago? Barcelona ended up winning the match 4-0, but all four of those goals came in the second half. Before the break, it could have been a very different story, as Madrid went toe-to-toe with Barça, but Mbappé was caught offside six times (his game total of eight was a career high) and was unable to make the breakthrough.

Since then, much has changed: Mbappé looks a different player, supremely confident and comfortable in a Real Madrid shirt, and he has Güler behind him providing the support. Barça, meanwhile, look nothing like the well-oiled machine of Flick’s first season, and there’s no Iñigo Martínez marshalling the defense. There could be rich pickings if Madrid and Mbappé get it right this time. — Kirkland

Lamine Yamal vs. Álvaro Carreras: Even though Barça won both games in Lisbon against Benfica last season (5-4 and 1-0), Yamal did not have all things go his way in the matchup with Carreras. The Spanish left back was one of the players who did the best job of containing Yamal, who finally scored against Benfica in the third meeting between the teams, when Carreras was suspended.

Yamal is the sort of player who’s also motivated by individual battles. The idea that he needs to prove himself against an opponent fuels him, and he will be ready to run at Carreras. He is averaging 14.8 take-ons per 90 minutes and 6.4 successful take-ons per 90 this season in LaLiga, both of which are the most in Europe’s top five leagues (minimum 300 minutes). He also, as Flick pointed out this week, nearly always steps up in the big games. His three career goals against Madrid are more than he has scored against any other team.

With Raphinha, Lewandowski and Olmo absent, a large part of Barça’s hopes will again depend on the teenager delivering. — Marsden

Predictions

The gap between the two teams last season was significant, if not always as great as the scorelines in their four meetings suggested. Madrid look quite a bit better than last season, while Barça are worse. Madrid will win 3-1. — Kirkland

Madrid have looked more stable but also have their own problems defensively. Alonso’s biggest games in charge so far — against PSG and Atlético — have ended in defeats and I expect Barça to improve on what we have seen in recent weeks. Ultimately, with only two points between the teams in the league, a draw might not be deemed the worst result for either side if it’s tied late on. It will be a 2-2 draw. — Marsden

Odds (via ESPNBET)

Real Madrid: +105
Barcelona: +210
Draw: +300



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Between the sheets at the college Excel championships

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One of the most unusual — and fun — events in college sports is a high-stakes spreadsheeting competition in Las Vegas.



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Over to you, City: Arsenal recover power and poise in classic Arteta win

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Over to you, City: Arsenal recover power and poise in classic Arteta win


LEEDS, England — Whatever fate awaits Arsenal in this Premier League title race, they are determined to do it their way. Much of the fallout from last weekend’s 3-2 defeat to Manchester United centered on suggestions the Gunners have to do something different from here to win their first league crown since 2004.

Mikel Arteta spoke of a clear-the-air meeting a day later in which they vowed to “live and play with enjoyment … courage … and conviction they are going to win it.”

Dropping captain Martin Ødegaard against Leeds hinted at something different. But in the end, they thrashed Leeds United 4-0 on Saturday with a performance that was quintessentially Arteta’s Arsenal.

One goal from a recycled corner, another direct from a corner, a Viktor Gyökeres close-range finish and substitute Gabriel Jesus‘ late strike secured a win that extends their lead at the top of the table back to seven points.

It wasn’t necessarily “fun” — the football was one again formulaic — but it was Arsenal at their effective best. They strangled the life out of Leeds and their vociferous Elland Road crowd with a level of control they only momentarily threatened to relinquish as the home side tried to rouse themselves early in the second half.

There was courage on display, and they certainly had conviction. But significantly, this was Arsenal being Arsenal. There was no timidity or self-doubt. This is how Arteta believes Arsenal can win the league: Dominate possession and territory, extract an advantage from set pieces and send on the “finishers” to complete the job.

The combination was a hugely impressive response to their winless three-game run. No wonder Arteta was delighted.

“The mentality is good,” Arteta said. “I mentioned it to you, to play with that level of enjoyment about where we are and then with the conviction to believe in what we do, how good we are and that we can beat any opponent.

“We certainly did that. And then you have to show the quality to do it in this league to prove it and it came out in great ways from different ways as well.”

play

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Arteta hails Madueke for performance after Saka’s warmup injury

Mikel Arteta reacts to Arsenal’s 4-0 win over Leeds United, and the performance of Noni Madueke, a late addition to the starting lineup.

The first hour was the most fiercely contested part of this game, and during that period, Arsenal’s physical power and dead-ball prowess made the difference. Noni Madueke only started this game because Bukayo Saka suffered a hip injury in the warmup, but he was their most effective threat.

His 27th-minute corner was cleared, but Arsenal worked the ball back out to the England international, who produced a superb delivery which Martín Zubimendi glanced into the net.

The noise in this famous old ground rarely subsided in the opening 45 minutes, but there was an audible hush whenever Arsenal won a corner. Perhaps they knew what was coming.

The Gunners’ seventh corner of the half was whipped into the near post with such ferocity by Madueke that Leeds goalkeeper Karl Darlow could only rise above the gaggle of players in front of him and punch the ball into his own net.

Leeds boss Daniel Farke made a double change at the break and they began to enjoy more of the ball, but Ødegaard was excellent when he came on alongside Gabriel Martinelli after 61 minutes. His cute pass released Martinelli, who found a cross for Gyökeres to steer home on 69 minutes, snuffing out any hope of a Leeds comeback.

Jesus added a fourth four minutes from time, collecting Ødegaard’s pass and expertly working space for himself in the box before finishing low into the net.

Leeds ended with just three shots and an expected goals tally of 0.15 — the third-lowest figure of any team Arsenal have played across all competitions this season.

This defensive resilience was the foundation of their ascent to the top of the table in the first place and it returned emphatically here.

“[That control] is something that we want,” Arteta said. “You always have an opponent in front of you who is going to test that and you have to execute the actions and be very, very consistent if you don’t want to concede anything. Really impressive because it is a really tough team to do that and between all of us, we did it.”

Farke could not argue: “They were on it from the first to the last second. Whatever we did, they always had an answer. We were not really able to create chances.”

Arsenal’s attacking cohesion remains unconvincing. “Own goal” briefly drew level as their top scorer in the league this season before Gyökeres’ intervention put him clear on six. After wasting a glorious chance when clean through at 2-0, he continues to face a battle to justify his €63.5 million fee, but his goal will help.

Collectively, Arsenal recovered their power and poise to reassert themselves in the title race with Manchester City facing Tottenham and Aston Villa hosting Brentford on Sunday.

Arteta talked about “bringing the temperature down” in his meeting with the players Monday. But nothing will have done it like winning so emphatically as this, especially as they reinforced their own identity while doing so.

Over to you, City.



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Transfer rumors, news: Liverpool eye Jacquet move

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Transfer rumors, news: Liverpool eye Jacquet move


Liverpool could battle Chelsea in the race to land Rennes center back Jérémy Jacquet, while Manchester United interim boss Michael Carrick wants forward Marcus Rashford to rejoin the club, after his loan at Barcelona. Join us for the latest transfer news and rumors from around the globe.

Transfers home page | Men’s winter grades | Women’s grades

TRANSFERS TO WATCH

TRENDING RUMORS

– Liverpool are set to battle Chelsea in the race to land Rennes center back Jérémy Jacquet, according TalkSPORT. Chelsea had already agreed personal terms with the 20-year-old defender earlier this month ahead of a move that could cost around €60 million at the end of the season, but Liverpool are now accelerating their plans after missing out on Marc Guéhi to Manchester City. Rennes are adamant that Jacquet won’t leave the club in January, so it’s down to the two English clubs to see who can thrash out a deal. But the Blues could miss out as Mamadou Sarr is set to return to the club and terminate his loan at Strasbourg, while Aaron Anselmino will head to the French side on loan instead.

Manchester United interim boss Michael Carrick wants forward Marcus Rashford to rejoin the club, after his loan at Barcelona, if he’s given the manager’s job on a permanent basis. The Telegraph says that United will bring Rashford, 28, back into the fold, even though Barcelona are ready to offer the €30 million option which would trigger negotiations over a permanent move to Camp Nou.

– Atletico Madrid are hoping to beat Fenerbahce to the signing of Atalanta forward Ademola Lookman after having matched the Turkish club’s bid of €35 million, plus €5 million in add-ons, according to Fabrizio Romano. Atleti look to have stolen a march on Fenerbahce, who are yet to agree terms or bank guarantees. The switch could have a ripple effect, as Lookman’s arrival could see Argentina striker Julián Álvarez move to Arsenal or Barcelona in the summer.

Ivan Toney has turned down a move to Juventus, as wants to keep scoring goals in the Saudi Pro League to keep his World Cup dream alive, according to The Mirror. Juve boss Luciano Spalletti is keen to bring in a striker ahead of the transfer deadline in an effort to maintain his side’s run of eight wins in 11 games, and has turned to Toney following Tottenham’s refusal to end their loan of Randal Kolo Muani from PSG. However, 29-year-old Toney wants to stay where he feels is the best place to aid his chances of making Thomas Tuchel’s England squad this summer.

AC Milan and Crystal Palace have a deal in place over the transfer of striker Jean-Philippe Mateta, but the move is being held up by the Eagles’ search for a replacement, according to The Times. Mateta, 28, is currently awaiting permission from the club to be able to fly to Milan. However, Palace are yet to rubber stamp the deal as they continue to look for reinforcements, which include Wolves striker Jorgen Strand Larsen.

DONE DEALS

– Former Newcastle winger Allan Saint-Maximin has terminated his contract with Liga MX side Club América and is now a free agent.

EXPERT TAKE

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OTHER RUMORS

Joshua Zirkzee has long been linked with a move back to Serie A, but the Dutchman wants to stay and fight for his place under Carrick. (Sun)

– Tottenham Hotspur and Leeds United have both been offered the chance to sign Colombia striker Jhon Duran from Al Nassr, though he is currently on loan at Fenerbahce. (TEAMtalk)

– Real Madrid are considering Aston Villa manager Unai Emery as the next incumbent at the Bernabeu, despite the Spaniard signing a new contract at Villa Park until 2029. (Sun)

– Fulham have seen a £20 million bid to sign Newcastle United midfielder Joe Willock rejected. (TalkSPORT)

– Wolves have agreed a deal in principle to sign former Man United midfielder Angel Gomes from Marseille on loan. The Premier League side will part with €1 million, and can make the move permanent for €7 million. (Fabrizio Romano)

– Stuttgart continue to try and find a way to land goalkeeper Alexander Nubel from Bayern Munich, but the stumbling block is Bayern’s valuation of €30 million. Premier League clubs are also interested. (Ekrem Konur)

– Juventus have reached an agreement to sign 29-year-old winger Jeremie Boga in a deal that sees the Frenchman return to Italy for the first time since leaving Atalanta in 2023. (Fabrizio Romano)

– Chelsea plan to send defender Aaron Anselmino on loan to sister club Strasbourg after recalling him from his temporary switch to Borussia Dortmund. (Sun)

– Leicester City and Birmingham City are two of six Championship clubs interested in making a move for Newcastle United defender Jamaal Lascelles, 32. (Sky Sports)

– Chelsea are contemplating moves from Auxerre and Real Mallorca for defender David Datro Fofana. The two clubs are keen on a loan move with a permanent option. (L’Equipe)

– Everton and Sunderland are both making moves to land 19-year-old winger Tyrique George on loan from Chelsea. (Sky Sports)

– Napoli have expressed interest in Cagliari 26-year-old right back Gabriele Zappa. (Nicolo Schira)

– Bologna 35-year-old forward Ciro Immobile is contemplating a move to Paris FC, with the details of the move now awaiting to be finalized. (L’Equipe)





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