Business
FTSE 100 dips as Unilever falls amid Magnum split
The FTSE 100 started the week on the back foot, weighed by falls in Marmite owner Unilever, while in the US the battle for control of Warner Bros Discovery took another turn.
The FTSE 100 index closed down 21.92 points, 0.2%, at 9,645.09. The FTSE 250 ended 142.67 points lower, 0.7%, at 21,921.28, and the AIM All-Share ended down 2.78 points, 0.4%, at 748.52.
In London, trading was muted ahead of Wednesday’s US interest rate decision.
The US central bank is widely expected to deliver a third consecutive 25 basis points interest rate cut, taking the Federal Reserve’s target range for the federal funds rate to 3.5%-3.75% at what could be a contentious meeting.
Goldman Sachs says the case for a cut is “solid”.
“Job growth remains too low to keep up with labour supply growth, the unemployment rate has risen for three months in a row to 4.4%, other measures of labour market tightness have weakened more on average and some alternative data measures of layoffs have begun to rise recently, presenting a new and potentially more serious downside risk,” the investment bank said.
Barclays expects a “hawkish” cut.
“At the press conference, we expect (Fed) chairman Powell to reinforce the message that a pause is likely at the January meeting, provided the labour market does not suddenly deteriorate, and to mention that the (Federal Open Market Committee) remains very divided about the future course of policy,” the bank said.
The pound was quoted lower at 1.3319 dollars at the time of the London equities close on Monday, compared to 1.3326 dollars on Friday.
The euro stood at 1.1624 dollars, down against 1.1635 dollars. Against the yen, the dollar was trading higher at 155.88 yen compared to 155.42 yen.
In European equities on Monday, the CAC 40 in Paris closed down 0.2%, while the DAX 40 in Frankfurt ended up 0.1%.
Stocks in New York were lower at the time of the London equity close.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 index were down 0.3%, while the Nasdaq Composite was 0.2% lower.
In New York, Paramount Skydance launched an all-cash offer to acquire Warner Bros Discovery for 30 dollars per share, trumping a previous bid from streamer Netflix.
The hostile offer sets up a battle between Paramount – whose owner, Larry Ellison, is an ally of US President Donald Trump – and streaming behemoth Netflix to buy one of Hollywood’s most storied studios.
Netflix shocked the industry last week by announcing it had sealed an agreement to buy the Warner Bros studio, drawing bitter reactions from voices in Hollywood worried about the future of their industry.
Mr Trump weighed in on Sunday, saying Netflix’s effort to acquire Warner Bros “could be a problem” as it would be left with a huge market share of the film and TV industry.
“We’re really here to finish what we started,” David Ellison, chairman and chief executive of Paramount, told CNBC as his company made a sixth offer for Warner Bros since the bidding war began.
Netflix fell 4.5%, Warner Bros rose 5% and Paramount Skydance surged 7.3%.
The yield on the US 10-year Treasury was quoted at 4.19%, widened from 4.14%. The yield on the US 30-year Treasury was at 4.83%, stretched from 4.80%.
On the FTSE 100, Unilever fell 6.6% as Magnum Ice Cream started trading in Amsterdam, London and New York.
Shares in the Ben & Jerry’s and Magnum owner, which has been split from Unilever, rose 1.3% in Amsterdam compared to the 12.80 euro reference price, implying a market value of around 7.94 billion euros, below some market forecasts.
Diana Radu, Morningstar equity analyst, said initial valuations are “lower than earlier estimates”, while she noted technical factors could also weigh on Magnum shares in the short-term.
She said: “Magnum is headquartered in the Netherlands and has its primary listing on Euronext Amsterdam, so unlike Unilever, it does not qualify for inclusion in the FTSE UK index series.
“As a result, UK index-tracking funds that receive Magnum shares in the spin-off but benchmark against FTSE UK indices are required to sell, which creates some short-term downward pressure on the share price after listing.
“Still, we remain optimistic on the longer-term outlook. As a standalone company, the ice-cream business gains a refreshed management team and a more focused, category-specific strategy.”
Housebuilders were also another weak feature as UK bond yields pushed higher, with Barratt Redrow down 4% and Persimmon down 3.5%.
Nonetheless, Ami Galla, equity analyst at Citi, believes a spring bounce is likely to drive a sector re-rating, saying: “We continue to have a positive sector view into 2026 for volume housebuilders, which should benefit from a favourable rate outlook as well as a gradual improvement to the planning backdrop.”
Heading upwards, defence stocks rallied on continued geopolitical uncertainty.
Defence contractor Babcock International led the blue-chip risers, up 2.6%, with BAE Systems, up 1.1%.
Aerospace manufacturer Rolls-Royce was in demand, up 2.1%, after receiving an order from defence company KNDS for more than 300 engines for Leopard 2 battle tanks.
On the FTSE 250, Kainos surged 6.6% as Bank of America double-upgraded to “buy” from “underperform”, while Baltic Classifieds, up 5.9%, recouped some of last week’s heavy falls, which followed a downbeat trading update.
Brent oil was quoted at 62.79 dollars a barrel at the time of the London equities close on Monday, down from 63.60 dollars late on Friday.
Gold was quoted at 4,192.10 dollars an ounce on Monday, lower against 4,208.77 dollars.
The biggest risers on the FTSE 100 were Babcock International, up 30p at 1,176p; Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust, up 25p at 1,094.5p; Polar Capital Technology Trust, up 10.5p at 475p; Rolls-Royce, up 22.5p at 1,107p; and Prudential, up 19.5p at 1,097.5p.
The biggest fallers on the FTSE 100 were Unilever, down 296p at 4,160p; Barratt Redrow, down 15p at 363.2p; JD Sports Fashion, down 3.1p at 79.6p; Persimmon, down 46.5p at 1,298.5p; and Entain, down 24p at 735.2p.
Tuesday’s economic calendar has an interest rate decision in Australia overnight and BRC retail sales data in the UK. The two-day FOMC meeting starts in the US.
Tuesday’s UK corporate calendar has half-year results from equipment hire firm Ashtead Group and greetings card and gift retailer Moonpig.
Contributed by Alliance News.
Business
Gold and silver sell-off gathers steam in correction after record highs
Gold and silver prices have continued to drop sharply in a “brutal” sell-off after hitting record highs in recent weeks.
The precious metals began falling on Friday in response to US President Donald Trump’s nomination for the incoming chairman of the Federal Reserve.
His choice for former Fed governor Kevin Warsh to replace current chairman Jerome Powell when his term ends in May soothed some investor nerves, which boosted the US dollar but saw appetite for safe-haven investments gold and silver slump in response.
Gold and silver suffered their worst trading days for decades on Friday and were down heavily again on Monday, with spot prices off by another 7% and 11% respectively at one stage.
Silver had plunged by nearly 30% on Friday and gold dropped over 9% in its worst one-day drop since 1983.
Gold and silver had been enjoying a record breaking rally as investors sought refuge amid global geopolitical uncertainty, conflict and tariff woes.
Ipek Ozkardeskaya, senior analyst at Swissquote, said: “The sell-off has been far more brutal than I, and many, expected.”
He added: “For silver, the rally on the way up was faster than gold’s, so the correction on the way down is faster too.”
Kathleen Brooks, research director at XTB, added: “If the sell off continues, then gold and silver are at risk of eroding their losses for the year so far.
“The historic move lower in silver prices has not stemmed a fall at the start of this week.
“Traders have not yet found a level that they are happy to buy the dips, and the timing of Chinese Lunar New Year in mid-February could accelerate the sell off, as Chinese traders reduce risk ahead of the holiday.”
UK and US stock markets are expected to open in the red on Monday, as the gold and silver rout has a knock on effect on mining giants, while Brent oil was also 5% lower.
Derren Nathan, head of equity research at Hargreaves Lansdown, said: “Mining stocks are likely to feel the heat as metal prices scramble to find a floor.
“Oil prices are also trending the wrong way for investors in commodity-focused companies.”
Business
Budget’s mild fiscal consolidation to be positive for GDP growth: Report
Mumbai: Lower revenue as a share of GDP has been more than offset by cuts to subsidies and spending on current schemes, leading to the smallest fiscal consolidation in six years, likely positive for growth, a new report has said.
The fiscal consolidation for FY27 is the slowest in six years. And the budgeted disinvestment, which is a below-the-line funding item, is likely to see the highest rise in six years, the report from HSBC Global Investment Research said.
“The central government continues with fiscal consolidation, though signing up for a gentler path for FY27; the fiscal impulse will likely turn neutral after several years in the negative, and this should be good news for GDP growth,” the research firm added.
The report said that the services sector was the focus of the Budget, “with ambitious plans and increased outlays for medical institutions, universities, tourism, sports facilities, and the creative economy.”
Urban infrastructure saw a renewed push with each City Economic Region (CER) set to receive get Rs 50 billion over 5 years.
Seven new high-speed rail corridors will connect major cities, the report noted, adding large cities will also get an incentive of Rs 1 billion if they issue municipal bonds worth more than Rs 10 billion.
The report highlighted policy priorities, saying, “new manufacturing sectors were given incentives, namely biopharma, semiconductors, electronic components, rare earth corridors, chemical parks, container manufacturing, and high-tech tool rooms.”
Direct taxes are expected to grow faster than nominal GDP while indirect taxes will expand more slowly, with gross tax revenues budgeted to rise about 8 per cent year‑on‑year, the report said.
Central government set a fiscal deficit target of 4.3 per cent of GDP for FY27 after a 4.4 per cent estimate for FY26, and nominal GDP growth was pegged at 10 per cent.
Business
India’s $5 trillion economy push: How ‘C+1’ strategy could turn country into world’s factory
New Delhi: India is preparing for a major economic transformation. The Union Budget 2026-27 lays out measures that could make the country the top choice for global manufacturing using the popular ‘China +1’ (C+1) strategy. This comes as international companies rethink supply chains after COVID-19 disruptions, rising trade tariffs and geopolitical tensions.
India has positioned itself as the backup factory for the world that is ready to absorb international demand in case of any crisis in China or Taiwan.
The government has offered tax breaks for cell phone, laptop, and semiconductor makers, making India more attractive to foreign investors. Reducing bureaucratic hurdles for global firms, the budget also strengthens the National Single Window System to simplify business procedures. The message is clear: India is ready to step in as a global manufacturing hub, ensuring supply continuity for the world.
The expressway to a $5 trillion economy
China presently dominates about 40% of global manufacturing. Its factories supply critical products worldwide, but 2026 is expected to be a turning point. Expanding influence and economic opacity have made global companies seek alternatives.
India has leveraged this moment, offering a comprehensive incentive package for foreign manufacturers. Analysts call it more than policy; it is a blueprint to become a $5 trillion economy and reclaim India’s historic position as a global industrial leader.
Why the world needs India now
The COVID-19 pandemic exposed the dangers of over-reliance on a single supplier. When China halted medical exports, nations realised the need for diversified supply chains. Major companies such as Apple and Samsung now see India as a dependable alternative.
China’s aging workforce and rising labour costs further enhance India’s appeal. With 65% of its population under 35, India offers a vast, skilled and affordable workforce for decades. The geopolitical uncertainty surrounding Taiwan, which produces 90% of advanced chips, has also created demand for a secure manufacturing backup. India is stepping in to fill that gap.
How India stands to gain from China’s challenges
India’s budget, 2026-27, slashes import duties on cell phone and laptop components, turning the country into a hub for component manufacturing, not just assembly. Electronics exports are projected to cross $120 billion by 2025.
The government has also launched a Rs 1.5 lakh crore semiconductor mission, attracting companies like Tata and Micron to establish advanced chip plants in India. In the chemical sector, stricter environmental regulations in China have shut down several plants, benefiting Indian companies such as Privi Specialty and Aarti Industries, which are now filling gaps in global supply chains.
Incentives for companies
The Production Linked Incentive (PLI) scheme promises cash rewards for output, covering over 14 sectors. This is India’s answer to Chinese subsidies. From land acquisition to electricity connections, the National Single Window System now enables businesses to clear all approvals through a single portal.
Infrastructure investment has also received a massive boost, with Rs 11.11 lakh crore allocated under PM GatiShakti. New ports and dedicated freight corridors are being built to ensure that exports from India reach the world faster and cheaper than ever before.
India’s moves points to a strategic shift in global manufacturing. By rolling out the red carpet for foreign companies and investing heavily in infrastructure, technology and policy reforms, the country is poised to become the go-to destination for global supply chains. The C+1 formula is not only a concept; it is a roadmap to turn India into the next industrial superpower and a $5 trillion economy.
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