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FTSE 100 soars as Middle East peace hopes grow

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FTSE 100 soars as Middle East peace hopes grow



European stocks rallied on Wednesday as comments from both sides of the Middle East war gave some conviction for a near-term end to hostilities.

“The market appears increasingly optimistic that an end to the war in Iran is in the offing as big gains in the US and Asia were matched in Europe,” said AJ Bell investment director Russ Mould.

The FTSE 100 closed up 188.34 points, 1.9%, at 10,364.79. The FTSE 250 ended up 484.48 points, 2.3%, at 21,688.19, and the AIM All-Share advanced 22.13 points, 3.1%, at 739.25.

On Wednesday, US President Donald Trump said that Iran had asked for a ceasefire but that the US would only consider this once the Strait of Hormuz, the vital oil and gas shipping route which Iran has effectively closed for most exports, is clear for shipping.

This came after Mr Trump told reporters on Tuesday the US would end operations in Iran “very soon”, perhaps within “two weeks, maybe three”.

The US president is due to make a televised address later on Wednesday.

Meanwhile, Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian said the Islamic republic had the “necessary will” to end the war, provided its enemies guaranteed it would not flare up again.

But Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu insisted that Israel would press ahead with its military campaign and that “we will continue to crush the terror regime”.

Brent oil traded lower at 101.83 dollars a barrel on Wednesday afternoon, from 107.38 dollars late on Tuesday.

In European equities on Wednesday, the CAC 40 in Paris closed up 2.1%, while the DAX 40 in Frankfurt rose 2.7%.

Stocks in New York were higher, extending Tuesday’s bumper gains. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 0.9%, as was the S&P 500 index, and the Nasdaq Composite advanced 1.3%.

Michael Brown, senior research strategist, at Pepperstone pointed out that amid the “euphoria, exuberance, and relief” which has driven a rebound in risk appetite over the last day or so, the surge in energy prices means that a rise in headline inflation over the next few months is, essentially, “baked in”.

“Added to which, considerably higher energy prices, and continued supply chain disruption, are likely to bring with them substantial growth headwinds, in turn amounting to a notable negative demand shock, which will likely weaken what is already very anaemic economic momentum, most notably in Europe,” he said.

Mr Brown does not think financial markets have “ignored” these risks, but are essentially “parking these worries, to be dealt with on some other day in the future”.

Reflecting these concerns, the Bank of England said the Middle East war had caused “a substantial negative supply shock to the global economy”, increasing risks to the financial system.

The central bank said the fallout will also weigh on economic growth and tighten financial conditions, such as restricted lending by banks.

“Adverse impacts on the global macroeconomy increase the likelihood that multiple vulnerabilities could crystallise at the same time, amplifying their effect on financial stability,” the Bank said in a quarterly update on identifying risks to financial stability.

Bank governor Andrew Bailey sought to dampen expectations of interest rate hikes.

In an interview with Reuters, Mr Bailey responded to market expectations for higher rates by commenting “that is a ​judgment markets have to make but I think they’re getting ahead of themselves”.

Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer said the UK could weather the economic storm caused by the Iran conflict but acknowledged the crisis will “affect the future of our country” as households faced higher fuel costs now and the prospect of energy bill hikes later this year.

The UK is leading a diplomatic initiative to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, but restoring the flow of global trade will not be easy, Sir Keir admitted.

Foreign Secretary Yvette Cooper will host an international meeting on Thursday to “assess all viable diplomatic and political measures” to reopen the strait, after 35 countries signed up to a statement expressing willingness to contribute to efforts to ensure safe passage for shipping.

The yield on the US 10-year Treasury narrowed to 4.31% on Wednesday from 4.33% on Tuesday. The yield on the US 30-year Treasury ebbed to 4.89% from 4.91%.

The pound rose to 1.3324 dollars on Wednesday afternoon from 1.3205 dollars at the equities close on Tuesday. Against the euro, sterling firmed to 1.1476 euro from 1.1463 euro.

The euro stood higher against the greenback at 1.1608 dollars from 1.1523 dollars. Against the yen, the dollar was trading lower at 158.66 yen compared to 159.02 yen.

On the FTSE 100, the risk-on mood saw gains for banks Lloyds, up 5.8%, NatWest, up 5.4%, and Barclays, up 5.1%.

British Airways owner, International Consolidated Airlines, flew 5.7% higher, budget airlines easyJet and Wizz Air soared 5.0% and 6.2% respectively.

But housebuilder Berkeley Group plunged 9.7% as its decision to halt land buying amid the uncertainty sparked by the Iran war sparked significant profit downgrades.

In an unscheduled trading update, the Surrey-based housebuilder said its fears, expressed in a recent trading statement, that the economic consequences of the conflict in the Middle East could reduce confidence in a near-term market recovery has “now become a reality”.

The builder said it is reducing work in progress investment to match current sales levels and will not acquire new land.

Berkeley anticipates delivering above £1.4 billion of pre-tax profit, over financial 2027 to 2030, which analysts at RBC Capital Markets said was 29% below Visible Alpha consensus of £1.98 billion.

Mr Mould said Berkeley has a “long-standing reputation for being adroit at calling the ups and downs of the property market”.

“In that context, the moves the company has announced today will make others sit up and take notice,” he said.

Rightmove fell 1.4% as it said it will “defend vigorously” a proposed class action claim filed against it, as estate agents accuse the firm of charging excessive fees.

The London-based online property portal confirmed it is aware of reports that an application to commence collective proceedings has been filed with the UK’s Competition Appeal Tribunal.

On the FTSE 250, Trustpilot climbed 7.3% as Panmure Liberum upgraded to “buy” from “hold”, while Raspberry Pi extended Tuesday’s bumper gains with a further 13% rise.

Gold traded at 4,781.92 dollars an ounce on Wednesday, up from 4,613.15 dollars at the same time on Tuesday.

The biggest risers on the FTSE 100 were Babcock International, up 110.0p at 1,268.0p, Rolls Royce, up 75.0p at 1,207.0p, 3i Group, up 146.0p at 2,584.0p, Endeavour Mining, up 260.0p at 4,720.0p and Fresnillo, up 192.0p at 4,720.0p.

The biggest fallers on the FTSE 100 were Berkeley Group, down 332.0p at 3,104.0p, BP, down 30.3p at 576.0p, Shell, down 139.5p at 3,443.5p, Rightmove, down 6.0p at 422.9p and British American Tobacco, down 58.0p at 4,313.0p.

Thursday’s global economic calendar has trade figures in the US and Canada, and US weekly jobless claims.

Thursday’s domestic corporate calendar has half year results from Baillie Gifford Japan Trust.

– Contributed by Alliance News



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Shop numbers return to growth after years of decline, say experts

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Shop numbers return to growth after years of decline, say experts


UK high streets and shopping destinations are showing signs of recovery as more than 13 retail stores opened each week over the past year, according to new figures.

However, England and Wales have still seen more than 6,000 retail premises vanish from local communities over the past five years.

Analysis of Valuation Office Agency data by tax firm Ryan, found that there were 507,810 retail premises across England and Wales at the end of 2025.

It said the figures showed that a recent contraction across the sector has appeared to stabilise, with a 723 net increase in the number of retail stores compared with a year earlier.

Property numbers increased across every region of England and Wales, with the exception of the North West, which saw a decline of 41.

It suggests that parts of the sector are now beginning to rebalance following significant structural contraction seen since the pandemic.

The creation of new retail units also comes as many retail real estate firms, such as Hammerson, have turned empty large units, often former department stores, into a greater number of smaller units.

Other retail groups, such as John Lewis, have moved away from ambitions to transform some retail property for other uses such as rental accommodation.

Nevertheless, the retail sector is still facing pressure from higher business rates for many firms, increased labour costs and concerns over consumer sentiment.

The data also shows that there has also been significant decline over the past few years, with a net reduction of 6,045 retail properties since the end of 2020.

London recorded the largest five-year regional reduction, with 1,266 retail premises disappearing over the period, followed by the South East (-1,191), North West (-719) and North East (-672).

The figures show retail premises which have permanently disappeared from communities altogether, having either been demolished or converted for alternative use.

The figures come as Ryan’s 2026 annual business rates review highlighted that the retail sector saw a 9.3% increase in rateable values at the 2026 business rates revaluation despite the major shift in the retail landscape since the pandemic.

The retail sector is still facing pressure from higher business rates for many firms, increased labour costs and concerns over consumer sentiment (Louisa Collins-Marsh/PA) (PA Archive)

Alex Probyn, practice leader for Europe and Asia-Pacific property tax at Ryan, said: “The pandemic accelerated structural changes that were already emerging across the retail sector, including changing consumer behaviour, hybrid working patterns and a reduced reliance on traditional retail floorspace in many locations.

“Many locations were arguably over-retailed before Covid and high streets have evolved towards more mixed-use environments, with retail space being rebalanced alongside growing demand for residential, leisure, hospitality and service-led uses.

“The revaluation outcome does suggest a large proportion of retail premises have seen bigger increases in their assessments than underlying market conditions and rental evidence would have led occupiers to expect.

“Retailers should therefore carefully review and, where appropriate, challenge their assessments.”



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Indians cut overseas travel spending to $1.9 billion in March: RBI

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Indians cut overseas travel spending to .9 billion in March: RBI


Indians sharply cut back on overseas travel spending in March, with remittances for foreign trips dropping by more than $212 million from the previous month, according to Reserve Bank of India data. The fall in outbound travel expenditure came amid rising oil prices linked to the Middle East conflict and persistent pressure on rupee, even as travel remained the single largest component of outward remittances under the Liberalised Remittance Scheme (LRS).In March, travel-related remittances fell to $1.09 billion from $1.3 billion in February and $1.65 billion in January. The decline came at a time when the West Asia conflict pushed oil prices higher and weakened rupee to record lows. Amid the situation, Prime Minister Narendra Modi urged citizens to cut down on foreign travel and adopt measures such as carpooling. Lower overseas travel spending could reduce foreign exchange outflows and help ease pressure on rupee.According to the RBI’s data on outward remittances by resident individuals, travel continued to account for the largest share of money sent abroad under the LRS in March. Total remittances during the month stood at $2.59 billion.The RBI tracks overseas spending across categories including travel, studies abroad, maintenance of close relatives, overseas investments, and property purchases. Under the LRS framework, resident individuals, including minors, can remit up to $250,000 in a financial year for permitted current or capital account transactions.Within the travel segment, the biggest component remained the ‘other travel’ category, which covers holiday spending and international credit card settlements. Indians spent $623.05 million under this category in March, accounting for nearly 57 per cent of total travel-related remittances during the month.Expenditure linked to education travel, including hostel and fee payments, stood at $450.16 million. Business travel, pilgrimage, and overseas medical treatment together accounted for $21.39 million.The data also showed a rise in remittances meant for the maintenance of close relatives abroad. Such transfers increased to $389.78 million in March from $266.18 million in February.At the same time, spending under the ‘studies abroad’ category declined. This category includes payments made for educational services accessed remotely without travelling overseas, such as correspondence courses. Remittances under this head stood at $151.71 million in March, compared to $175.68 million in February and $267.42 million in January.For the financial year 2024-25, Indians remitted a total of $29.56 billion under the LRS. Travel made up the largest portion of this amount at $16.96 billion.The RBI figures further showed that investments by Indians in overseas equity and debt instruments rose significantly to $440.22 million in March from $265.99 million in February.Meanwhile, outward remittances for the purchase of immovable property overseas declined to $38.68 million in March, down from $51.36 million a month earlier.



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Bullion watch: Gold, silver seen range-bound as US-Iran talks enter crucial phase

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Bullion watch: Gold, silver seen range-bound as US-Iran talks enter crucial phase


Gold and silver are expected to take cues from developments in the ongoing US-Iran talks this week, with analysts forecasting a largely steady trend for gold prices while silver may continue to outperform amid geopolitical tensions and elevated crude oil prices.Investors are also likely to track a series of economic indicators from the United States, including GDP data, housing numbers, consumer confidence figures and the Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) inflation print, as markets look for signals on the Federal Reserve’s next policy move.“Gold price momentum next week looks sideways, while silver still looks positive as focus will again be on the peace negotiations between the US and Iran to end the war,” said Pranav Mer, Vice President, EBG – Commodity & Currency Research, JM Financial Services Ltd.Trading activity in domestic commodity futures markets will be curtailed on Thursday morning due to Bakri Id.On the MCX, gold futures ended the previous week at Rs 1.58 lakh per 10 grams after posting marginal gains, while silver futures settled lower at Rs 2.71 lakh per kilogram.“Gold traded in a range-bound manner last week, posting marginal gains of around 0.40% on the MCX to close near Rs 1,58,670 per 10 grams,” said Jateen Trivedi, VP Research Analyst – Commodity and Currency, LKP Securities.He noted that crude oil prices witnessed heavy profit booking during the week and corrected nearly 7% from recent highs, easing concerns around inflationary pressure globally.“At the same time, the rupee recovered from weaker levels of 97 against the US dollar to strengthen near 95.70, which limited upside momentum in domestic gold prices despite stable international bullion trends,” Trivedi added.In international trade, Comex gold futures closed the week 1% lower at $4,523.2 per ounce. Silver futures also weakened, slipping nearly 2% to $76.20 per ounce.“Gold prices moved in a consolidative range over the past few sessions, but ended the week with a marginal loss. Prices were steady amid a lack of fresh direction in the market — be it on the economy front or the US-Iran war front,” Mer said.According to analysts, uncertainty surrounding the geopolitical situation has continued to keep markets on edge, particularly as statements from both Washington and Tehran have frequently shifted.On Sunday, US President Donald Trump said that an agreement between the US and Iran aimed at reducing tensions in the Gulf region and reopening the Strait of Hormuz was close to being finalised.Posting on Truth Social, Trump said the deal had been “largely negotiated” and that only final formalities remained.However, Iranian media disputed Trump’s remarks regarding the full reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, stating that Tehran would continue to maintain control over the key waterway.Analysts said the contrasting positions from both sides are likely to keep bullion prices sensitive to any fresh headlines emerging from the region.Meanwhile, market participants are also expected to monitor comments from Federal Reserve officials after Kevin Warsh formally succeeded Jerome Powell as head of the US central bank on Friday during a period of geopolitical tensions, market volatility and persistent inflation pressures.



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